<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
<!DOCTYPE article PUBLIC "-//NLM//DTD Journal Publishing DTD v3.0 20080202//EN" "https://jats.nlm.nih.gov/nlm-dtd/publishing/3.0/journalpublishing3.dtd">
<article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" article-type="research-article" dtd-version="3.0" xml:lang="en">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">BG</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>Biogeosciences</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">BG</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">Biogeosciences</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub">1726-4189</issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/bg-10-4189-2013</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>Towards a more objective evaluation of modelled land-carbon trends using atmospheric CO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt; and satellite-based vegetation activity observations</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Dalmonech</surname>
<given-names>D.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Zaehle</surname>
<given-names>S.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry, Biogeochemical Systems Department, Hans-Knöll-Str. 10, 07745 Jena, Germany</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>25</day>
<month>06</month>
<year>2013</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>10</volume>
<issue>6</issue>
<fpage>4189</fpage>
<lpage>4210</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2013 D. Dalmonech</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2013</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Unported License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://bg.copernicus.org/articles/10/4189/2013/bg-10-4189-2013.html">This article is available from https://bg.copernicus.org/articles/10/4189/2013/bg-10-4189-2013.html</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://bg.copernicus.org/articles/10/4189/2013/bg-10-4189-2013.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://bg.copernicus.org/articles/10/4189/2013/bg-10-4189-2013.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>Terrestrial ecosystem models used for Earth system modelling show a
significant divergence in future patterns of ecosystem processes, in
particular the net land–atmosphere carbon exchanges, despite a seemingly
common behaviour for the contemporary period. An in-depth evaluation of
these models is hence of high importance to better understand the reasons
for this disagreement.
&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;
Here, we develop an extension for existing benchmarking systems by making use
of the complementary information contained in the observational records of
atmospheric CO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt; and remotely sensed vegetation activity to provide a
novel set of diagnostics of ecosystem responses to climate variability in the
last 30 yr at different temporal and spatial scales. The selection of
observational characteristics (traits) specifically considers the robustness
of information given that the uncertainty of both data and evaluation
methodology is largely unknown or difficult to quantify.
&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;
Based on these considerations, we introduce a baseline benchmark – a minimum
test that any model has to pass – to provide a more objective, quantitative
evaluation framework. The benchmarking strategy can be used for any land
surface model, either driven by observed meteorology or coupled to a climate
model.
&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;
We apply this framework to evaluate the offline version of the MPI Earth
System Model&apos;s land surface scheme JSBACH. We demonstrate that the
complementary use of atmospheric CO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt; and satellite-based vegetation
activity data allows pinpointing of specific model deficiencies that would not
be possible by the sole use of atmospheric CO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt; observations.</p>
</abstract>
<counts><page-count count="22"/></counts>
</article-meta>
</front>
<body/>
<back>
<ref-list>
<title>References</title>
<ref id="ref1">
<label>1</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Alessandri, A. and Navarra, A.: On the coupling between vegetation and rainfall inter-annual anomalies: Possible contributions to seasonal rainfall predictability over land areas, Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L02718, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2007GL032415&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1029/2007GL032415&lt;/a&gt;, 2008.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref2">
<label>2</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Anav, A., Friedlingstein, P., Kidston, M., Bopp, L., Ciais, P., Cox, P., Jones, C., Jung, M., Myneni, R., and Zhu, Z.: Evaluating the land and ocean components of the global carbon cycle in the CMIP5 Earth System Models, J. Climate, in press, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00417.1&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00417.1&lt;/a&gt;, 2013.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref3">
<label>3</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Angert, A., Biraud, S., Bonfils, C., Henning, C. C., Buermann, W., Pinzon, J., Tucker, C. J., and Fung, I.: Drier summers cancel out the CO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt; uptake enhancement induced by warmer springs, P. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA, 102, 10823–10827, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0501647102&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0501647102&lt;/a&gt;, 2005.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref4">
<label>4</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Arora, V., Boer, G., Friedlingstein, P., Eby, M., Jones, C., Christian, J., Bonan, G., Bopp, L., Brovkin, V.,  Cadule, P., Hajima, T.,  Ilyina, T., Lindsay, K., Tjiputra, J., and Wu, T.: Carbon-concentration and carbon-climate feedbacks in CMIP5 Earth system models, J. Climate, in press, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00494.1&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00494.1&lt;/a&gt;, 2013.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref5">
<label>5</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Asner, G. P. and Alencar, A.: Drought impacts on the Amazon forest: the remote sensing perspective, New Phytol., 187, 569–578, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1469-8137.2010.03310.x&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1469-8137.2010.03310.x&lt;/a&gt;, 2010.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref6">
<label>6</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Badeck, F.-W., Bondeau, A., Bottcher, K., Doktor, D., Lucht, W., Schaber, J., and Sitch, S.: Responses of spring phenology to climate change, New Phytol., 162, 295–309, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1469-8137.2004.01059.x&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1469-8137.2004.01059.x&lt;/a&gt;, 2004.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref7">
<label>7</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Beck, H. E., McVicar, T. R., van Dijk, A. I. J. M., Schellekens, J., de Jeu, R. A. M., and Bruijnzeel, L. A.: Global evaluation of four AVHRR–NDVI data sets: Intercomparison and assessment against Landsat imagery, Remote Sens. Environ., 115, 2547–2563, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2011.05.012&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2011.05.012&lt;/a&gt;, 2011.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref8">
<label>8</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Beer, C., Reichstein, M., Tomelleri, E., Ciais, P., Jung, M., Carvalhais, N., Rödenbeck, C., Arain, M. A., Baldocchi, D., Bonan, G. B., Bondeau, A., Cescatti, A., Lasslop, G., Lindroth, A., Lomas, M., Luyssaert, S., Margolis, H., Oleson, K. W., Roupsard, O., Veenendaal, E., Viovy, N., Williams, C. F. I., and Papale, D.: Terrestrial Gross Carbon Dioxide Uptake: Global Distribution and Covariation with Climate, Science, 329, 834–838, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.1184984&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1184984&lt;/a&gt;, 2010.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref9">
<label>9</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Blasing, T. J., Broniak, C. T., and Marland, G.: The annual cycle of fossil-fuel carbon dioxide emissions in the United States, Tellus B, 57, 107–115, 2005.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref10">
<label>10</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Blyth, E., Clark, D. B., Ellis, R., Huntingford, C., Los, S., Pryor, M., Best, M., and Sitch, S.: A comprehensive set of benchmark tests for a land surface model of simultaneous fluxes of water and carbon at both the global and seasonal scale, Geosci. Model Dev., 4, 255–269, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/gmd-4-255-2011&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-4-255-2011&lt;/a&gt;, 2011.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref11">
<label>11</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Bonan, G. B.: Forests and climate change: forcings, feedbacks, and the climate benefits of forests, Science, 320, 1444–14449, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.1155121&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1155121&lt;/a&gt;, 2008.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref12">
<label>12</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Brown, M. E., Pinzón, J. E., Didan, K., Morisette, J. T., and Tucker, C. J.: Evaluation of the Consistency of Long-Term NDVI Time Series Derived From AVHRR , and Landsat ETM + Sensors, Sensors (Peterborough, NH), 44, 1787–1793, 2006.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref13">
<label>13</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Buermann, W., Anderson, B., Tucker, C. J., Dickinson, R. E., Lucht, W., Potter, C., and Myneni, R. B.: Interannual covariability in Northern Hemisphere air temperatures and greenness associated with El Niño-Southern Oscillation and the Arctic Oscillation, J. Geophys. Res., 108, 4396, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2002JD002630&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1029/2002JD002630&lt;/a&gt;, 2003.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref14">
<label>14</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Buermann, W., Lintner, B. R., Koven, C. D., Angert, A., Pinzon, J. E., Tucker, C. J., and Fung, I. Y.: The changing carbon cycle at Mauna Loa Observatory, P. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA, 104, 4249–4254, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0611224104&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0611224104&lt;/a&gt;, 2007.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref15">
<label>15</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Cadule, P., Friedlingstein, P., Bopp, L., Sitch, S., Jones, C. D., Ciais, P., Piao, S. L., and Peylin, P.: Benchmarking coupled climate-carbon models against long-term atmospheric CO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt; measurements, Global Biogeochem. Cy., 24, GB2016, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2009GB003556&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1029/2009GB003556&lt;/a&gt;, 2010.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref16">
<label>16</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Conway, T. J., Tans, P. P., Waterman, L. S., Thoning, K. W., Kitzis, D. R., Masarie, K. A., and Zhang, N.: Evidence for interannual variability of the carbon cycle from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration/Climate Monitoring and Diagnostics Laboratory Global Air Sampling Network, J. Geophys. Res., 99, 22831–22855, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/94JD01951&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1029/94JD01951&lt;/a&gt;, 1994.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref17">
<label>17</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Cox, P. M., Betts, R. A, Jones, C. D., Spall, S. A., and Totterdell, I. J.: Acceleration of global warming due to carbon-cycle feedbacks in a coupled climate model, Nature, 408, 184–187, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/35041539&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1038/35041539&lt;/a&gt;, 2000.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref18">
<label>18</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Dahlke, C., Loew, A., and Reick, C. H.: Robust identification of global greening phase patterns from remote sensing vegetation products, J. Climate, 25, 8289–8307, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00319.1&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00319.1&lt;/a&gt;,2013.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref19">
<label>19</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Deser, C., Phillips, A., Bourdette, V., and Teng, H.: Uncertainty in climate change projections: the role of internal variability, Climate Dynam., 38, 527–546, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-010-0977-x&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-010-0977-x&lt;/a&gt;, 2010.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref20">
<label>20</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Estrella, N. and Menzel, A.: Responses of leaf colouring in four deciduous tree species to climate and weather in Germany, Climate Res., 32, 253–267, 2006.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref21">
<label>21</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Foley, J. A., Defries, R., Asner, G. P., Barford, C., Bonan, G., Carpenter, S. R., Chapin, F. S., Coe, M. T., Daily, G. C., Gibbs, H. K., Helkowski, J. H., Holloway, T., Howard, E. A., Kucharik, C. J., Monfreda, C., Patz, J. A., Prentice, I. C., Ramankutty, N., and Snyder, P. K.: Global consequences of land use, Science, 309, 570–574, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.1111772&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1111772&lt;/a&gt;, 2005.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref22">
<label>22</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Friedlingstein, P., Cox, P., Betts, R., Bopp, L., von Bloh, W., Brovkin, V., Cadule, P., Doney, S., Eby, M., Fung, I., Bala, G., John, J., Jones, C., Joos, F., Kato, T., Kawamiya, M., Knorr, W., Lindsay,K., Matthews,H.D., Raddatz,T., Rayner, P., Reick, C., Roeckner, E., Schnitzler, K.-G., Schnur, R., Strassmann, K., Weaver, A. J., Yoshikawa, C., and Zeng, N.: Climate – Carbon Cycle Feedback Analysis: Results from the C 4 MIP Model Intercomparison, J. Climate, 19, 3337–3353, 2006.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref23">
<label>23</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Gobron, N., Pinty, B., Aussedat, O., Chen, J. M., Cohen, W. B., Fensholt, R., Gond, V., Huemmrich, K. F., Lavergne, T., Mélin, F., Privette, J. L., Sandholt, I., Taberner, M., Turner, D. P., Verstraete, M. M., and Widlowski, J.: Evaluation of fraction of absorbed photosynthetically active radiation products for different canopy radiation transfer regimes: Methodology and results using Joint Research Center products derived from SeaWiFS against ground-based estimations, J. Geophys. Res., 111, D13110, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2005JD006511&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1029/2005JD006511&lt;/a&gt;, 2006a.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref24">
<label>24</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Gobron, N., Pinty, B., Taberner, M., Mélin, F., Verstraete, M. M., and Widlowski, J.-L.: Monitoring the photosynthetic activity of vegetation from remote sensing data, Adv. Space Res., 38, 2196–2202, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.asr.2003.07.079&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1016/j.asr.2003.07.079&lt;/a&gt;, 2006b.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref25">
<label>25</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Goetz, S. J., Bunn, A. G., Fiske, G. J., and Houghton, R. A.: Satellite-observed photosynthetic trends across boreal North America associated with climate and fire disturbance, P. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA, 102, 13521–13525, 2005.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref26">
<label>26</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Groeneveld, D. and Baugh, W.: Correcting satellite data to detect vegetation signal for eco-hydrologic analyses, J. Hydrol., 344, 135–145, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2007.07.001&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2007.07.001&lt;/a&gt;, 2007.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref27">
<label>27</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Gurney, K. R., Law, R. M., Denning, A. S., Rayner, P. J., Baker, D., Bousquet, P., Bruhwiler, L., Chen, Y.-H., Ciais, P., Fan, S., Fung, I. Y., Gloor, M., Heimann M., Higuchi, K., John, J., Maki, T., Maksyutov, S., Masariek, K., Peylin, P., Pratherkk, M., Pakkk, B. C., Randerson, J., Sarmiento, J., Taguchi, S., Takahashi, T., and Yuen, C. : Towards robust regional estimates of CO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt; sources and sinks using atmospheric transport models, Nature, 415, 626–630, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/415626a&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1038/415626a&lt;/a&gt;, 2002.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref28">
<label>28</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Gurney, K. R., Law, R. M., Denning, A. S., Rayner, P. J., Baker, D., Bousquet, P., Bruhwiler, L., Chen, Y.-H., Ciais, P., Fan, S., Fung, I. Y., Gloor, M., Heimann, M., Higuchi, K., John, J., Kowalczyk, E., Maki, T., Maksyutov, S., Peylin, P., Prather, M., Pak, B. C., Sarmiento, J., Taguchi, S., Takahashi, T., and Yuen, C.: TransCom3 CO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt; inversion intercomparison: 1. Annual mean control results and sensitivity to transport and prior flux information, Tellus B, 55, 555–579, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1034/j.1600-0889.2003.00049.x&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1034/j.1600-0889.2003.00049.x&lt;/a&gt;, 2003.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref29">
<label>29</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Heimann, M., Esser, G., Haxeltine, A., Kaduk, J., Kicklighter, D. W., Knorr, W., Kohlmaier, G. H., Mcguire, A. D., Melillo, J., Moore III, B., Otto, R. D., Prentice, I. C., Sauf, W., Schloss, A., Sitch, S., Wittenberg, U., and Wurth, G.: Evaluation of terrestrial carbon cycle models through simulations of the seasonal cycle of atmospheric First results of a model intercomparison study, Global Biogeochem. Cy., 12, 1–24, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/97GB01936&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1029/97GB01936&lt;/a&gt;, 1998.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref30">
<label>30</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Hirschi, M., Seneviratne, S. I., Alexandrov, V., Boberg, F., Boroneant, C., Christensen, O. B., Formayer, H., Orlowsky, B., and Stepanek, P.: Observational evidence for soil-moisture impact on hot extremes in southeastern Europe, Nat. Geosci., 4, 17–21, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/ngeo1032&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo1032&lt;/a&gt;, 2010.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref31">
<label>31</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Holben, B. N.: Characteristics of maximum-value composite images from temporal AVHRR data, Int. J. Remote Sens., 7, 1417–1434, 1986.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref32">
<label>32</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Huete, A., Didan, K., Miura, T., Rodriguez, E., Gao, X., and Ferreira, L.: Overview of the radiometric and biophysical performance of the MODIS vegetation indices, Remote Sens. Environ., 83, 195–213, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0034-4257(02)00096-2&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1016/S0034-4257(02)00096-2&lt;/a&gt;, 2002.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref33">
<label>33</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Hurtt, G. C., Frolking, S., Fearon, M. G., Moore, B., Shevliakova, E., Malyshev, S., Pacala, S. W., and Houghton, R. A.: The underpinnings of land-use history: Three centuries of global gridded land-use transitions, wood-harvest activity, and resulting secondary lands, Glob. Change Biol., 1208–1229, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2006.01150.x&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2006.01150.x&lt;/a&gt;, 2006.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref34">
<label>34</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Jacobson, A. R., Mikaloff Fletcher, S. E., Gruber, N., Sarmiento, J. L., and Gloor, M.: A joint atmosphere-ocean inversion for surface fluxes of carbon dioxide: 1. Methods and global-scale fluxes, Global Biogeochem. Cy., 21, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2005GB002556&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1029/2005GB002556&lt;/a&gt;, 2007.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref35">
<label>35</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Jung, M., Henkel, K., Herold, M., and Churkina, G.: Exploiting synergies of global land cover products for carbon cycle modeling, Remote Sens. Environ., 101, 534–553, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2006.01.020&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2006.01.020&lt;/a&gt;, 2006.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref36">
<label>36</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Jung, M., Reichstein, M., Ciais, P., Seneviratne, S. I., Sheffield, J., Goulden, M. L., Bonan, G., Cescatti, A., Chen, J., de Jeu, R., Dolman, A. J., Eugster, W., Gerten, D., Gianelle, D., Gobron, N., Heinke, J., Kimball, J., Law, B. E., Montagnani, L., Mu, Q., Mueller, B., Oleson, K, Papale, D., Richardson, A. D., Roupsard, O., Running, S., Tomelleri, E., Viovy, N., Weber, U., Williams, C., Wood, E., Zaehle, S., and Zhang, K.: Recent decline in the global land evapotranspiration trend due to limited moisture supply, Nature, 467, 951–954, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nature09396&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1038/nature09396&lt;/a&gt;, 2010.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref37">
<label>37</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Kalnay, E., Kanamitsu, M., Kistler, R., Collins, W., Deaven, D., Gandin, L., Iredell, M., Saha, S., White, G., Wollen, J., Zhu, Y., Chelliah, M., Ebisuzaki, W., Higgins, W., Janowiak, J., Mo, K. C., Ropelewski, C., Wang, J., Leetmaa, A., Reynolds, R., Jenne, R., and Joseph, D.: The NCEP/NCAR 40-year reanalysis project, Bull. Am. Meteor. Soc., 77, 437–471, 1996.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref38">
<label>38</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Keeling, C. D., Whorf, T. P., Wahlen, M., and van der Plicht, J.: Interannual extremes in the rate of rise of atmospheric carbon dioxide since 1980, Nature, 375, 666–670, 1995.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref39">
<label>39</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Keeling, C. D., Chin, J. F. S., and Whorf, T. P.: Increased activity of northern vegetation inferred from atmospheric CO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt; measurements, Nature, 382, 146–149, 1996.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref40">
<label>40</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Lloyd-Hughes, B. and Saunders, M. A.: A drought climatology for Europe, Int. J. Climatol., 22, 1571–1592, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.846&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.846&lt;/a&gt;, 2002.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref41">
<label>41</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Lucht, W., Prentice, I. C., Myneni, R. B., Sitch, S., Friedlingstein, P., Cramer, W., Bousquet, P., Buermann, W., and Smith, B.: Climatic control of the high-latitude vegetation greening trend and Pinatubo effect, Science, 296, 1687–1689, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.1071828&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1071828&lt;/a&gt;, 2002.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref42">
<label>42</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Maignan, F., Bréon, F. M., Vermote, E., Ciais, P., and Viovy, N.: Mild winter and spring 2007 over western Europe led to a widespread early vegetation onset, Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L02404, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2007GL032472&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1029/2007GL032472&lt;/a&gt;, 2008.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref43">
<label>43</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Mckee, T. B., Doesken, N. J., and Kleist, J.: The relationship of drought frequency and duration to time scales, Conference Proceedings, Eighth Conference on Applied Climatology, 17–22 January, Anaheim, California, 1993.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref44">
<label>44</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Menzel, A., Sparks, T. H., Estrella, N., Koch, E., Aasa, A., Ahas, R., Alm-Kübler, K., Bissolli, P., Braslavská, O., Briede, A., Chmielewski, F. M., Crepinsek, Z., Curnel, Y., Dahl, A., Defila, C., Donnelly, A., Filella, Y., Jatcza, K., Måge, F., Mestre, A. Nordli, Ø., Peñuelas, J., Pirinen, P., Remišova, V., Scheifinger, H., Striz, M., Susni, A., Van Vliet, A. J. H., Wielgolaski, F., Zachz, S., and Zust, A.: European phenological response to climate change matches the warming pattern, Glob. Change Biol., 12, 1969–1976, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2006.01193.x&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2006.01193.x&lt;/a&gt;, 2006.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref45">
<label>45</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Mikaloff Fletcher, S. E., Gruber, N., Jacobson, A. R., Doney, S. C., Dutkiewicz, S., Gerber, M., Follows, M., Joos, F., Lindsay, K., Menemenlis, D., Mouchet, A., Müller, S. A., and Sarmiento, J. L.: Inverse estimates of anthropogenic CO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt; uptake, transport, and storage by the ocean, Global Biogeochem. Cy., 20, GB2002, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2005GB002530&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1029/2005GB002530&lt;/a&gt;, 2006.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref46">
<label>46</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Mikaloff Fletcher, S. E., Gruber, N., Jacobson, A. R., Gloor, M., Doney, S. C., Dutkiewicz, S., Gerber, M., Follows, M., Joos, F., Lindsay, K., Menemenlis, D., Mouchet, A., Müller, S. A., and Sarmiento, J. L.: Inverse estimates of the oceanic sources and sinks of natural CO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt; and the implied oceanic carbon transport, Global Biogeochem. Cy., 21, GB1010, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2006GB002751&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1029/2006GB002751&lt;/a&gt;, 2007.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref47">
<label>47</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Myneni, R. B. and Williams, D. L.: On the Relationship between FAPAR and NDVI, Remote Sens. Environ., 49, 200–211, 1994.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref48">
<label>48</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Myneni, R. B., Keeling, C. D., Tucker, C. J., Asrar, G., and Nemani, R. R.: Increased plant growth in the northern high latitudes from 1981 to 1991, Nature, 386, 698–702, 1997.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref49">
<label>49</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Notaro, M., Vavrus, S., and Liu, Z.: Global Vegetation and Climate Change due to Future Increases in CO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt; as Projected by a Fully Coupled Model with Dynamic Vegetation*, J. Climate, 20, 70–90, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI3989.1&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI3989.1&lt;/a&gt;, 2007.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref50">
<label>50</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Peñuelas, J., Rutishauser, T., and Filella, I.: Ecology. Phenology feedbacks on climate change, Science, 324, 887–888, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.1173004&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1173004&lt;/a&gt;, 2009.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref51">
<label>51</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Peylin, P., Bousquet, P., Le Quéré, C., Sitch, S., Friedlingstein, P., McKinley, G., Gruber, N., Rayner, P. J. and Ciais, P.: Multiple constraints on regional CO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt; flux variations over land and oceans, Global Biogeochem. Cy., 19, GB1011, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2003GB002214&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1029/2003GB002214&lt;/a&gt;, 2005.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref52">
<label>52</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Prentice, I. C., Heimann, M., and Sitch, S.: The carbon balance of the terrestrial biosphere: ecosystem models and atmospheric observations, Ecol. Appl., 10, 1553–1573, 2000.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref53">
<label>53</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Le Quere, C., Aumont, O., Bopp, L., Bousquet, P., Ciais, P., Francey, R., Heimann, M., Keeling, C. D., Keeling, R. F., Kheshgi, H., Peylin, P., Piper, S. C., and Prentice, I. C.: Two decades of ocean CO2 sink and variability, Tellus B, 55, 649–656, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1034/j.1600-0889.2003.00043.x&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1034/j.1600-0889.2003.00043.x&lt;/a&gt;, 2003.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref54">
<label>54</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Le Quéré, C., Raupach, M. R., Canadell, J. G., Marland, G., Bopp, L., Ciais, P., Conway, T. J., Doney, S. C., Feely, R. A., Foster, P., Friedlingstein, P., Gurney, K., Houghton, R. A., House, J. I., Huntingford, C., Levy, P. E., Lomas, M. R., Majkut, J., Metzl, N., Ometto, J. P., Peters, G. P., Prentice, I. C., Randerson, J. T., Running, S. W., Sarmiento, J. L., Schuster, U., Sitch, S., Takahashi, T., Viovy, N., van der Werf, G. R., and Woodward, F. I.: Trends in the sources and sinks of carbon dioxide, Nat. Geosci., 2, 831–836, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/ngeo689&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo689&lt;/a&gt;, 2009.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref55">
<label>55</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Raddatz, T. J., Reick, C. H., Knorr, W., Kattge, J., Roeckner, E., Schnur, R., Schnitzler, K.-G., Wetzel, P., and Jungclaus, J.: Will the tropical land biosphere dominate the climate–carbon cycle feedback during the twenty-first century?, Climate Dynam., 29, 565–574, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-007-0247-8&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-007-0247-8&lt;/a&gt;, 2007.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref56">
<label>56</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Rafelski, L. E., Piper, S. C., and Keeling, R. F.: Climate effects on atmospheric carbon dioxide over the last century, Tellus B, 61, 718–731, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1600-0889.2009.00439.x&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1600-0889.2009.00439.x&lt;/a&gt;, 2009.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref57">
<label>57</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Randerson, J. T., Hoffman, F. M., Thornton, P. E., Mahowald, N. M., Lindsay, K., Lee, Y.-H., Nevison, C. D., Doney, S. C., Bonan, G., Stöckli, R., Covey, C., Curtis, C., Running, S. W., and Fung, I. Y. : Systematic assessment of terrestrial biogeochemistry in coupled climate-carbon models, Glob. Change Biol., 15, 2462–2484, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2009.01912.x&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2009.01912.x&lt;/a&gt;, 2009.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref58">
<label>58</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Raupach, M. R., Canadell, J. G., and Qu, C. L.: Anthropogenic and biophysical contributions to increasing atmospheric CO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt; growth rate and airborne fraction, Analysis, 1991 (June 1991), 1601–1613, 2008.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref59">
<label>59</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Raupach, M. R., Rayner, P. J., Barrett, D. J., Defries, R. S., Heimann, M., Ojima, D. S., Quegan, S., and Schmullius, C. C.: Model–data synthesis in terrestrial carbon observation: methods, data requirements and data uncertainty specifications, Glob. Change Biol., 11, 378–397, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2005.00917.x&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2005.00917.x&lt;/a&gt;, 2005.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref60">
<label>60</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Reick, C., Raddatz, T., Brovkin, V., and Gayler, V.: The representation of natural and anthropogenic land cover change in MPI-ESM, J. Adv. Model. Earth Syst., 4, accepted, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/jame.20022&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1002/jame.20022&lt;/a&gt;, 2013.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref61">
<label>61</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Richardson, A. D., Braswell, B. H., Hollinger, D. Y., Jenkins, J. P., and Ollinger, S. V.: Near-surface remote sensing of spatial and temporal variation in canopy phenology, Ecol. Appl., 19, 1417–1428, 2009.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref62">
<label>62</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Rödenbeck, C., Houweling, S., Gloor, M., and Heimann, M.: CO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt; flux history 1982–2001 inferred from atmospheric data using a global inversion of atmospheric transport, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 3, 1919–1964, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/acp-3-1919-2003&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-3-1919-2003&lt;/a&gt;, 2003.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref63">
<label>63</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Sitch, S., Huntingford, C., Gedney, N., Levy, P. E., Lomas, M., Piao, S. L., Betts, R., Ciais, P., Cox, P., Friedlingstein, P., Jones, C. D., Prentice, I. C., and Woodward, F. I.: Evaluation of the terrestrial carbon cycle, future plant geography and climate-carbon cycle feedbacks using five Dynamic Global Vegetation Models (DGVMs), Glob. Change Biol., 14, 2015–2039, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2008.01626.x&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2008.01626.x&lt;/a&gt;, 2008.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref64">
<label>64</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Taylor, K. E.: Summarizing multiple aspects of model performance in a single diagram, J. Geophys. Res., 106, 7183–7192, 2001.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref65">
<label>65</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Thoning, K. W., Tans, P. P., and Komhyr, W. D.: Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide at Mauna Loa Observatory 2. Analysis of the NOAA GMCC Data, 1974–1985, J. Geophys. Res., 94, 8549–8565, 1989.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref66">
<label>66</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Tucker, C., Pinzon, J., Brown, M., Slayback, D., Pak, E., Mahoney, R., Vermote, E., and El Saleous, N.: An extended AVHRR 8-km NDVI dataset compatible with MODIS and SPOT vegetation NDVI data, Int. J. Remote Sens., 26, 4485–4498, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/01431160500168686&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1080/01431160500168686&lt;/a&gt;, 2005.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref67">
<label>67</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">van der Werf, G. R., Randerson, J. T., Collatz, G. J., Giglio, L., Kasibhatla, P. S., Arellano, A. F., Olsen, S. C., and Kasischke, E. S.: Continental-scale partitioning of fire emissions during the 1997 to 2001 El Niño/La Niña period, Science, 303, 73–76, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.1090753&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1090753&lt;/a&gt;, 2004.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref68">
<label>68</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Verstraete, M. M., Gobron, N., Aussedat, O., Robustelli, M., Pinty, B., Widlowski, J.-L., and Taberner, M.: An automatic procedure to identify key vegetation phenology events using the JRC-FAPAR products, Adv. Space Res., 41, 1773–1783, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.asr.2007.05.066&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1016/j.asr.2007.05.066&lt;/a&gt;, 2008.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref69">
<label>69</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Yang, Z., Washenfelder, R. A., Keppel-Aleks, G., Krakauer, N. Y., Randerson, J. T., Tans, P. P., Sweeney, C., and Wennberg, P. O.: New constraints on Northern Hemisphere growing season net flux, Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, L12807, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2007GL029742&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1029/2007GL029742&lt;/a&gt;, 2007.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref70">
<label>70</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Zeng, N., Mariotti, A., and Wetzel, P.: Terrestrial mechanisms of interannual CO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt; variability, Global Biogeochem. Cy., 19, GB1016, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2004GB002273&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1029/2004GB002273&lt;/a&gt;, 2005.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref71">
<label>71</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Zhou, L.: Relation between interannual variations in satellite measures of northern forest greenness and climate between 1982 and 1999, J. Geophys. Res., 108, 4004, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2002JD002510&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1029/2002JD002510&lt;/a&gt;, 2003.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
</ref-list>
</back>
</article>