<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
<!DOCTYPE article PUBLIC "-//NLM//DTD Journal Publishing with OASIS Tables v3.0 20080202//EN" "journalpub-oasis3.dtd">
<article xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:oasis="http://docs.oasis-open.org/ns/oasis-exchange/table" dtd-version="3.0">
  <front>
    <journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">BG</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>Biogeosciences</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">BG</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">Biogeosciences</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub">1726-4189</issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>

    <article-meta>
      <article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/bg-13-389-2016</article-id><title-group><article-title>Vegetation structure and fire weather influence variation in burn severity
and fuel consumption during peatland wildfires</article-title>
      </title-group><?xmltex \runningtitle{Variation in peatland fire severity}?><?xmltex \runningauthor{G.~M.~Davies  et al.}?>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes" rid="aff1 aff2">
          <name><surname>Davies</surname><given-names>G. M.</given-names></name>
          <email>davies.411@osu.edu</email>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff3 aff4">
          <name><surname>Domènech</surname><given-names>R.</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff5">
          <name><surname>Gray</surname><given-names> A.</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff2">
          <name><surname>Johnson</surname><given-names>P. C. D.</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <aff id="aff1"><label>1</label><institution>School of Environment and Natural Resources, Kottman Hall, The Ohio State University, Columbus, Ohio, 43210, USA</institution>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff2"><label>2</label><institution>Boyd Orr Centre for Population and Ecosystem Health, Institute for Biodiversity, Animal Health and Comparative Medicine,
University of Glasgow, Graham Kerr Building, Glasgow, G12 8QQ, UK</institution>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff3"><label>3</label><institution>Solway Centre for Environment and Culture, University of
Glasgow, Henry Duncan Building, Crichton University Campus, Dumfries, DG1
4ZL, UK</institution>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff4"><label>4</label><institution>Forest Sciences Centre of Catalonia (CTFC), Ctra. de Sant Llorenç de Morunys, Km 2, 25280 Solsona, Spain</institution>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff5"><label>5</label><institution>Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, Bush Estate, Penicuik, Midlothian, EH26 0QB, UK</institution>
        </aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <author-notes><corresp id="corr1">G. M. Davies (davies.411@osu.edu)</corresp></author-notes><pub-date><day>21</day><month>January</month><year>2016</year></pub-date>
      
      <volume>13</volume>
      <issue>2</issue>
      <fpage>389</fpage><lpage>398</lpage>
      <history>
        <date date-type="received"><day>28</day><month>July</month><year>2015</year></date>
           <date date-type="rev-request"><day>22</day><month>September</month><year>2015</year></date>
           <date date-type="rev-recd"><day>16</day><month>December</month><year>2015</year></date>
           <date date-type="accepted"><day>21</day><month>December</month><year>2015</year></date>
      </history>
      <permissions>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Unported License. To view a copy of this license, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/">http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://bg.copernicus.org/articles/13/389/2016/bg-13-389-2016.html">This article is available from https://bg.copernicus.org/articles/13/389/2016/bg-13-389-2016.html</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://bg.copernicus.org/articles/13/389/2016/bg-13-389-2016.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://bg.copernicus.org/articles/13/389/2016/bg-13-389-2016.pdf</self-uri>


      <abstract>
    <p>Temperate peatland wildfires are of significant environmental concern but
information on their environmental effects is lacking. We assessed variation
in burn severity and fuel consumption within and between wildfires that
burnt British moorlands in 2011 and 2012. We adapted the composite burn
index (pCBI) to provide semi-quantitative estimates of burn severity. Pre-
and post-fire surface (shrubs and graminoids) and ground (litter, moss,
duff) fuel loads associated with large wildfires were assessed using
destructive sampling and analysed using a generalised linear mixed model
(GLMM). Consumption during wildfires was compared with published estimates
of consumption during prescribed burns. Burn severity and fuel consumption
were related to fire weather, assessed using the Canadian Fire Weather Index
System (FWI System), and pre-fire vegetation type. pCBI varied 1.6 fold
between, and up to 1.7 fold within, wildfires. pCBI was higher where
moisture codes of the FWI System indicated drier fuels. Spatial variation in
pre- and post-fire fuel load accounted for a substantial proportion of the
variance in fuel loads. Average surface fuel consumption was a linear
function of pre-fire fuel load. Average ground fuel combustion completeness
could be predicted by the Buildup Index. Carbon release ranged between 0.36
and 1.00 kg C m<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>. The flammability of ground fuel layers
may explain the higher C release-rates seen for wildfires in comparison to
prescribed burns. Drier moorland community types appear to be at greater
risk of severe burns than blanket-bog communities.</p>
  </abstract>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
<body>
      

<sec id="Ch1.S1" sec-type="intro">
  <title>Introduction</title>
      <p>Peatland wildfires pose a significant global challenge due to their
potential for severe effects on ecosystem functioning and the detrimental
role they may play in climate change. Peatlands account for approximately
2.5 % of Earth's land-cover (Kaat and Joosten, 2009) and contain more than
600 Gt of stored carbon (Yu et al., 2010), equivalent to 25 % of global
soil organic carbon stocks (Mitra et al., 2005) and 75 % of all
atmospheric carbon (Kaat and Joosten, 2009). The degradation of this resource
is a potential positive feedback to climate change and smouldering wildfires
also have other significant environmental and human impacts such as
respiratory problems associated with the inhalation of noxious smoke, the
significant effort and costs involved in fire fighting, destruction of soil
seedbanks, widespread plant mortality and post-fire erosion and water
pollution problems (Watts and Kobziar, 2013). Increased fire risk and
severity with climate change means wildfires pose a particularly significant
threat to the ecological integrity and carbon stocks of peatlands (Turetsky
et al., 2015).</p>
      <p>The majority of research on the effects of peatland wildfires has come from
tundra, boreal and tropical ecosystems (Turetsky et al., 2015). Temperate
peatlands are also an important carbon store and habitat type but many have
a long history of disturbance and management (e.g. Moore, 2002). British
peatlands are acknowledged to be of significant national and international
conservation importance though most have been subjected to a variety of land
management practices, including burning and grazing, over at least the last
two centuries (Bonn et al., 2009). Many peatlands have also been
significantly impacted by drainage (Holden et al., 2004) and nutrient
deposition from atmospheric pollution (Hogg et al., 1995). British peatland
habitats contain fire-prone vegetation including moorlands dominated by
<italic>Calluna vulgaris</italic> L. Hull (hereafter <italic>Calluna</italic>) and a variety of mire and bog communities associated
with <italic>Molinia caerulea</italic> (L.) Moench and <italic>Eriophorum</italic> spp. The majority of such habitats are underlain
either by deep peat deposits or by shallower organic soils that nevertheless
hold substantial amounts of carbon. Estimates suggest that around 88 t C ha<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>
are stored in the soil and up to 2 t C ha<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> in the vegetation
of dwarf shrub dominated moorlands in the UK (Ostle et al., 2009). The
majority of the UK's 4.5 Tg of soil carbon stocks are stored in peat
deposits below heath, bog and moorland habitats (Bradley et al., 2005).
Managed burning is an important control on the structure of these habitats
with fires burnt regularly in both moorland and blanket bog habitats systems
(Bonn et al., 2009). Recommended burn rotations are 15–25 years for
<italic>Calluna</italic>-dominated moorlands whilst longer rotations or no burning are recommended
for wetter bog communities (Scottish Government, 2011). The role of fire in
peatland ecology has become a highly controversial subject with substantial
debate surrounding the effect of managed burning on ecosystem dynamics (e.g.
Grant et al., 2012). The situation is not helped by a lack of data on how
fire affects temperate peatland ecosystems such as those found in the UK. A
number of studies have been completed but mostly for low-severity
experimental prescribed burns (e.g. Davies et al., 2010) or for a few
individual wildfire events (e.g. Davies et al., 2013; Maltby et al., 1990;
Worrall et al., 2011). There is a consensus that wildfires pose a substantial
and growing threat in the context of a changing climate (Bonn et al., 2009).
In this context, data are urgently needed on both the scale of the wildfire
problem and the effects of such burns.</p>

<?xmltex \floatpos{p}?><table-wrap id="Ch1.T1" orientation="landscape"><caption><p>Summary of wildfires used in this study including variation in
biotic and abiotic conditions across the fire grounds and the monitoring
effort associated with each fire. Vegetation type is reported as National
Vegetation Classification (NVC) communities (Rodwell, 1991) with the NVC code
given in brackets. Paired CBI plots were those placed around the fire
perimeter to enable direct comparison of burnt and unburnt fuel loads and
soil gas fluxes. Stand-alone CBI plots were additional plots located within
the fire in order to give a more comprehensive overview of variation in burn
severity. Nearby unburnt comparison locations were not available for these
plots.</p></caption><oasis:table frame="topbot"><?xmltex \begin{scaleboxenv}{.98}[.98]?><oasis:tgroup cols="9">
     <oasis:colspec colnum="1" colname="col1" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="2" colname="col2" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="3" colname="col3" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="4" colname="col4" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="5" colname="col5" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="6" colname="col6" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="7" colname="col7" align="justify" colwidth="113.811024pt"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="8" colname="col8" align="center"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="9" colname="col9" align="center"/>
     <oasis:thead>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Fire name</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Latitude</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Date of</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">Burned area</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">Elevation</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">Soil</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">Vegetation</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">Paired CBI</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">Stand-alone</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">and location</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">and longitude</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">fire</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">(ha)</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">(m)</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">type</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">plots</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">CBI plots</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:thead>
     <oasis:tbody>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Anglezarke   (N England)</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">53.658<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> N, 2.569<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> W</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">29 Apr 2011</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">4144</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">270–380</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">Deep peat</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7"><italic>Calluna vulgaris</italic> – <italic>Eriophorum vaginatum</italic> blanket mire (M19)</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">3</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">4</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Mardsen   (N England)</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">53.596<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> N, 1.976<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> W</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">9 Apr 2011</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">316</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">385–480</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">Deep peat</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7"><italic>Calluna vulgaris</italic> – <italic>Eriophorum vaginatum</italic> blanket mire (M19)   <italic>Calluna vulgaris</italic> – <italic>Vaccinium myrtillus</italic> heath (H12)</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">3</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">2</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Loch Doon   (SW Scotland)</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">55.214<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> N, 4.393<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> W</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">29 May 2011</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">No data</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">230–250</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">Shallow peat</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7"><italic>Molinia caerulea</italic> – <italic>Potentilla erecta</italic> mire (M25a)</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">2</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">2</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Wainstalls   (N England)</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">53.777<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> N, 1.928<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> W</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">30 Apr 2011</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">82</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">385–420</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">Deep peat</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7"><italic>Calluna vulgaris</italic> – <italic>Eriophorum vaginatum</italic> blanket mire (M19)  Scattered <italic>Calluna vulgaris</italic> – <italic>Vaccinium myrtillus</italic> heath (H12)</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">3</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">3</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Finzean   (NE Scotland)</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">57.025<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> N, 2.702<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> W</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">30 Mar 2012</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">19</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">320–340</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">Rocky organic</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7"><italic>Calluna vulgaris</italic> – <italic>Vaccinium myrtillus</italic> heath (H12)</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">3</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">0</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:tbody>
   </oasis:tgroup><?xmltex \end{scaleboxenv}?></oasis:table></table-wrap>

      <p>In systems with peat or organic soils severe wildfires that ignite
carbon-rich deposits can lead to substantial, instantaneous losses of carbon
(Davies et al., 2013) and long-term changes to ecosystem function
(Maltby et al., 1990). Whilst the severe effects of smouldering peat fires are obvious,
such burns lie at one end of a spectrum of burn severity and not all fires
on peatlands necessarily ignite peat or cause ecological damage. Indeed,
carefully managed burning of peatlands can have a variety of ecosystem
benefits (Davies et al., 2008a). Differences in burn severity can be caused
by between and within site variation in fuel type and fuel structure as well
as by differences in fire weather conditions (e.g. fuel moisture content,
wind speed) across different burn days (Davies et al., 2010). In general this
may mean that managed fires, typically burnt during low-severity conditions,
have more limited effects than wildfires. Such patterns are not consistent as
wildfires can occur in a wide variety of conditions and not all have
particularly severe effects. Rather little effort has been made to try to
capture or understand the effects of such variation but this is vital in
order to monitor the amount of carbon released during wildfires and the
extent of the environmental change they cause.</p>
      <p>This research was initiated following severe wildfires during the springs of
2011 and 2012. We aimed to assess how burn severity varied within and
between individual wildfires, and to define what the implications of such
variation might be for carbon emissions due to wildfire and on-going
development of fire danger rating systems such as the Met Office Fire
Severity Index (MOFSI; Kitchen et al., 2006). MOFSI is based on the Canadian
Fire Weather Index System (FWI System; Van Wagner, 1987) and has been
implemented in Wales and England in order to provide a forecast of
“exceptional” conditions when it becomes permissible to close open-access
land under the Countryside and Rights of Way Act 2000. To date there have
been limited efforts to examine the relationship between the FWI System and
fire severity in the UK. There is some evidence its moisture codes relate
fairly well to ground fuel (Legg et al., 2007) and peat (Krivtsov et al.,
2008) moisture content, and that it can do a tolerable job of discriminating
periods of increased wildfire risk (Legg et al., 2007). We aimed to
investigate the relationship between fire severity and all the sub codes and
indices of the FWI System but were particularly interested in its response
to variation in the DMC (Duff Moisture Code), the DC (Drought Code) and the
BUI (Build-up Index). The DMC and DC are designed to relate, respectively,
to the moisture content of duff (partly decomposed litter) and compacted
deeper organic layers. Such fuel layers bear some resemblance to the
moss and/or litter layers and peat deposits found in British peatland ecosystems.
The BUI integrates DMC and DC to provide an overall indication of fuel
availability. Our specific objectives were to develop a simple methodology
to assess variation in burn severity post hoc; assess the extent to which
burn severity and fuel consumption vary within and between wildfires; and to
investigate links between burning conditions (fuel type and fire weather)
and variation in burn severity and fuel consumption.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2">
  <title>Material and methods</title>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS1">
  <title>Study sites</title>
      <p>Monitoring was completed on five different wildfires (Table 1) that burnt
British peatlands during the springs of 2011 and 2012. Sites were selected
from information on fires provided by land-managers, public and private
land-owners, government agencies and Fire and Rescue Services. We selected
five sites that represented fires displaying moderate to high burn severity
and the north-south and west-east range of bioclimatic conditions of the
British uplands.</p>
      <p>Pre-fire biotic and abiotic conditions varied both within and between our
study sites (Table 1). Most locations in England were broadly classified as
mires on deep peat with vegetation dominated by <italic>Calluna</italic> and <italic>Eriophorum vaginatum</italic> L. along with species
such as <italic>Vaccinium myrtillus</italic> L., <italic>Deschampsia flexuousa</italic> (L.) Trin. and <italic>Trichophorum caespitosum</italic> (L.) Hartm. Vegetation was underlain by mats of
pleurocarpous mosses. A number of plot locations were recorded at noticeably
wetter locations. Here <italic>Calluna</italic> was less dominant, <italic>Eriophorum</italic> spp. and <italic>T. caespitosum</italic> occasionally very
abundant and ground layer vegetation included patches of <italic>Sphagnum</italic>. Sites in Scotland
represented opposite ends of the spectrum of peatland habitat types found in
Britain. Finzean was comparatively drier, had shallow, stony organic soils
and vegetation dominated by a mixture of <italic>Calluna</italic> and <italic>Pteridium aquilinum</italic> (L.) Kuhn. The site at Loch
Doon was a bog with true peat soils and vegetation dominated by <italic>Molinia caerulea</italic> (L.)
Moench, <italic>Myrica gale</italic> L. and <italic>Sphagnum</italic> spp.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS2">
  <title>Field data collection</title>
      <p>Burn severity and fuel consumption sampling was performed approximately 6 months
after the fires occurred. Previous researchers have collected such
data as much as a year after fire (e.g. de Groot et al., 2009). Wildfires are
sporadic, unpredictable events meaning sites had not been surveyed prior to
the burns. Similar to other studies (e.g. Kasischke and Johnstone, 2005;
Hollis et al., 2007; de Groot et al 2009), we used paired plots with
burnt and/or unburnt subplots located across the fire perimeter (see Supplement
Fig. S1). Two or three paired plots were located within each fire
and chosen to represent the range of burn severities visible during a
detailed site reconnaissance with local stakeholders. Many peatlands in the
British uplands have a patchwork of fuel structures produced by managed
burning. We were therefore careful to ensure that subplots were established
where, following observation of stem basal diameters and stem density and
discussion with local land-managers, we were confident that pre-fire fuel
conditions across the fire-line were similar. Plots were also only
established in regions of the fireline known to have been actively
extinguished. In order to capture additional information about variation in
burn severity we established a number of unpaired plots within the interior
of each fire (Table 1). Unburnt areas were not available for comparison with
these plots and they were only used to explore variation in burn severity.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS3">
  <title>Fire weather</title>
      <p>Variation in burning conditions between the fires was described using the
FWI System (Van Wagner, 1987). The FWI System requires daily data on wind
speed, temperature and humidity at 12 noon as well as 24 h accumulated
rainfall. These were extracted from the British Atmospheric Data Centre
database for the nearest weather station to each of the wildfires (mean
distance <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 15 km, max <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 31 km). Rainfall data were available from rain
gauges closer to the fire site than the nearest full weather station and we
used these to estimate precipitation (mean distance <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 5 km, max <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 10 km).
Available data on 24 h accumulated rainfall was 09:00–09:00 rather than
noon to noon though the difference is unlikely to be of importance. FWI
System values were calculated using the package “fume” (Santander
Meteorology Group, 2012) in R 3.1.2 (R Development Core Team, 2014). Some of
the moisture codes and indices of the FWI System have long lag times (52 days for the Drought Code) so values were calculated with a 90-day lead-in.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS4">
  <title>Assessing burn severity</title>
      <p>To assess burn severity we adapted the Composite Burn Index (Key and Benson,
2006) which was developed in the USA to allow semi-quantitative assessment
of burn severity and ground-truthing of remotely sensed data (e.g. Miller
and Thode, 2007). The CBI uses a scoring system to visually estimate a fire's
impact on components of each of five fuel strata. For instance, assessment of
“substrates” considers consumption of downed fuels of a variety of size
classes (litter up to heavy fuels &gt; 8 inches diameter),
consumption of duff layers and changes to the cover and colour of soil and
rock. Similarly to Schepers et al. (2014), we adapted the CBI to account for
the unique vertical structure and fuelbeds of treeless peatland habitats
and, specifically, to include the impact of fire on peat-building <italic>Sphagnum</italic> species.
We recorded severity in circular plots 20 m in diameter (Supplement
Fig. S1) according to two strata – substrates (soil, litter and
mosses) and the field layer (dwarf shrubs and graminoids; see Supplement
Table S1). All variables were rated on a scale of 1–3 with
individual ratings averaged within strata and then summed across the strata.
Any variable that was not relevant, or which could not be recorded, for a
particular plot was disregarded. A full protocol and data collection sheet
for using the peatland CBI methodology (pCBI) are provided in the
Supplement.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS5">
  <title>Estimating fuel consumption</title>
      <p>We assessed fuel consumption in two pCBI burnt–unburnt paired plots for each
fire. Within both the burnt and unburnt subplots we randomly located two
fuel quadrats (0.25 m<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and five gas-flux chambers (0.12 m<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. All
biomass above the top of the peat was harvested in each quadrat/chamber. A
total of 14 biomass estimates were thus available for each plot – seven
from burnt and seven from unburnt subplots. Harvested vegetation was
separated into the following categories: dwarf shrubs, graminoids, ferns
<italic>(P. aquilinum</italic>), pleurocarpous mosses and plant litter, <italic>Sphagnum</italic> spp., tussock bases of <italic>M. caerulea</italic> and/or
<italic>Eriophorum</italic> spp. and woody stems buried in the moss and litter. During analysis, the
first three categories were grouped into a surface fuel category whilst the
mosses, litter, tussock bases and buried stems were classified as ground
fuels. Material was dried for 48 h at 80 <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>C.</p>
      <p>Fuel consumption in our wildfires was compared with values reported by Legg
et al. (2007) for 26 experimental prescribed burns in <italic>Calluna</italic>-dominated moorland
fuel types. Legg et al. (2007) used a non-destructive method, based on
visual obstruction of a measuring stick (Davies et al., 2008b), to estimate
pre-fire surface and ground fuel loads. Post-fire surface fuel loads were
estimated via destructive harvesting. We estimated ground fuel consumption
in these fires by using the reported mean change in moss/litter layer depth
following burning and in the equation in Davies et al. (2008b) which relates
moss/litter layer depth <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>D</mml:mi><mml:mtext>m</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, cm) to ground fuel biomass (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>B</mml:mi><mml:mtext>g</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, g m<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>; Eq. 1).
            <disp-formula id="Ch1.E1" content-type="numbered"><mml:math display="block"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>B</mml:mi><mml:mtext>g</mml:mtext></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>407</mml:mn><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mn>171</mml:mn><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>D</mml:mi><mml:mtext>m</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula></p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS6">
  <title>Data analysis</title>
      <p>We analysed burn severity data at the plot-level, in essence treating each
plot as a separate observation of fire effects and burn severity. We believe
that this is valid because substantial variations in vegetation type and
fuel structure across the fire ground and changes in fire weather during the
course of the burn day mean fire behaviour can be considered independent at
each plot. This approach is frequently used in wildland fire research as
obtaining numerous observations of individual fires is often impossible
(e.g. Fernandes et al., 2000; de Groot et al., 2009). The relationship between
pCBI and FWI system codes was analysed graphically and using correlation
analysis (Pearson product-moment correlation in the “cor.test” function in
R 3.1.2; R Core Team, 2014).</p>
      <p>We used a generalised linear mixed model (GLMM) with a normal error
distribution to investigate spatial variation in estimated fuel consumption.
The aim of our analysis was to partition variance in our data to understand
how fuel consumption varies at multiple scales (i.e. between fires, plots
within fires and within plots) and how this contributes to uncertainty in
estimates of fuel consumption. We were not interested in testing the
hypothesis that there is a difference in biomass between burnt and unburnt
plots as this is not particularly enlightening. The GLMM was run with plot
and fire site defined as random effects whilst status (burnt/unburnt)
and sample type (chamber/quadrat) were defined as fixed effects. Including
plot as a random effect accounts for the paired burnt-unburnt subplots
design of our experiment. We selected the best fitting model by comparing a
full model and a minimal model. The minimal model contained all sources of
variation intrinsic to the design: the main effects of status and sample
type, and random intercepts at the plot and fire levels. The full model
additionally allowed the effect of status to vary between sample types
(fitted as an interaction between status and sample type), and between plots
and fires (fitted as random slopes at the plot and fire levels). Analysis
started with the full model and simplification proceeded by null hypothesis
testing, dropping non-significant effects. Random effects were tested first,
using parametric bootstrapping with 10 000 replicates (Faraway, 2005),
dropping effects where <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>P</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> &gt; 0.1. Fixed effects were then tested
using likelihood ratio tests, dropping effects where <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>P</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> &gt; 0.05. We
justify using a less stringent significance level for random effects on the
basis that power for testing random effects is generally low with few random
effect levels, and incorrectly dropping a random effect due to a false
negative test result can result in over-precise (anti-conservative) fixed
effect estimates (Schielzeth and Forstmeier, 2009). We used parametric
bootstrapping with 10 000 replicates to estimate confidence intervals around
mean plot-level consumption. This process was used to fit separate models
for both ground and surface fuel consumption. Fuel consumption was
square-root transformed to improve the fit of the residuals to a normal
distribution. Log transformation was also considered but provided a poorer
fit (see Fig. S2  for dot plots showing the raw data distributions,
Supplement). There is debate in ecology about the usefulness of
<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>P</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> values (Ellison et al., 2014) and we do not report them. Rather we report
the explanatory power of the final selected models and the variance
explained by different levels of our experimental design. Thus, for the
final, reduced models we used the procedures described by Nakagawa and
Schielzeth (2013) and Johnson (2014) to calculate marginal and conditional
<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> values. These describe the explanatory power of the fixed effects and the
whole model (fixed <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> random effects) respectively. As an initial step in
this analysis we were also able to partition the variance in our data into
that related to the fixed effects and the random effects of plot and fire.
We assumed that residual variance was the result of within subplot variation
in load between samples.</p>
      <p>We examined controls on mean fuel consumption by combining the estimates of
fuel consumption during wildfires produced by the GLMM analysis with
information available from the prescribed fires reported by Legg et al. (2007).
This allowed us to examine how mean ground and surface fuel
consumption varies over a wider range of fire weather conditions. We used
the “lm” function in R to model changes in the consumption and combustion
completeness of surface and ground fuels as a function of pre-fire fuel load
and fire weather.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3">
  <title>Results</title>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS1">
  <title>Variation in burn severity</title>
      <p>There was substantial variation in burn severity both within and between
individual fires (Fig. 1). On average, mean pCBI varied 1.6 fold between
wildfires but up to 1.7 fold within fires. Variability in burn severity was
particularly substantial in the Anglezarke and Loch Doon wildfires.
Examining the relationship between plot vegetation community, fire weather
conditions and pCBI suggested potential interactions between these variables
(Fig. 2). In general, pCBI appeared to increase with higher DMC
(<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>r</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.80, <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>P</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 6.4 <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>×</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 10<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">4</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and DC (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>r</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.68, <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>P</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 7.9 <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>×</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 10<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>
values. Plots in drier <italic>Calluna</italic>-dominated communities (National Vegetation Community
H12) appeared to burn at high severities at lower DMC and DC values than
wetter bog and mire communities (NVC M19, M20, M25a). However, fire sites
with more varied vegetation community structure did not necessarily show the
greatest amount of variation in fire severity.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F1"><caption><p>Variation in burn severity (peatland Composite Burn Index; pCBI)
within and between five UK wildfires and across all 25 paired and unpaired
pCBI plots. Error bars are 95 % confidence intervals for the mean.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=199.169291pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://bg.copernicus.org/articles/13/389/2016/bg-13-389-2016-f01.pdf"/>

        </fig>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F2"><caption><p>The relationship between burn severity as estimated by the
peatland composite burn index, ecosystem type (National Vegetation
Classification community; Rodwell, 1991) and moisture codes of the Canadian
Fire Weather Index system. Only data for the 14 paired burnt-unburnt pCBI
plots were available. Codes shown are the Duff Moisture Code (DMC; relating
to loosely compacted organic layers of moderate depth) and the Drought Code
(DC; relating to the moisture content of peat and layers of organic soil).
Individual wildfires are shown as different symbol shapes, colours relate to
NVC vegetation community (see Table 1 for NVC community descriptions).</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=241.848425pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://bg.copernicus.org/articles/13/389/2016/bg-13-389-2016-f02.pdf"/>

        </fig>

</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS2">
  <title>Variation in fuel consumption</title>
      <p>Both surface and ground fuel consumption were best represented by a model
which included the fixed effects of plot status (burnt/unburnt), sample type
(quadrat/chamber), random intercepts for individual fires and plots within
fires, and random slopes for the effect of status within individual plots
(Table 2). Plot status had considerably greater explanatory power for
surface fuel loads compared to ground fuel loads where random factors
attributable to variation in load between fires, plots and samples explained
a greater proportion of the variance. There was considerable variation in
fuel consumption both within and between different wildfires (Fig. 3),
indeed variability within some fires was greater than that seen, on average,
between fires.</p>

<?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><table-wrap id="Ch1.T2" specific-use="star"><caption><p>Summary of the linear mixed model analyses on surface and ground
fuel consumption showing. Top: the proportion of variance explained by each
component of the models (the marginal and conditional <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, respectively,
show the explanatory power of the fixed effects and the whole model); and
bottom: the magnitude of the fixed-effects' terms in the model where
“Estimate” is the increase in the square-root of fuel load in comparison
to the reference level (burnt or gas flux chamber for status and sample type
respectively). SE <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> standard error.</p></caption><oasis:table frame="topbot"><oasis:tgroup cols="6">
     <oasis:colspec colnum="1" colname="col1" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="2" colname="col2" align="center"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="3" colname="col3" align="center"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="4" colname="col4" align="center"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="5" colname="col5" align="center"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="6" colname="col6" align="center"/>
     <oasis:thead>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Model</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Fixed effects</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Random effects</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">Fixed <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> random effects</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">Residual</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6"/>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">(marginal <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Fire</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">Plot</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">(conditional <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6"/>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:thead>
     <oasis:tbody>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Surface fuels</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">48</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">5</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">24</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">77</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">23</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Ground fuels</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">30</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">12</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">29</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">71</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">29</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Model</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Fixed effect</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Estimate</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">SE</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"><inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6"/>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Surface fuels</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Status – Unburnt</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">0.51</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.056</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">9.11</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6"/>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Sample – Quadrat</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">0.11</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.034</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">3.27</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6"/>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Ground fuels</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Status – Unburnt</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">0.49</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.074</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">6.62</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6"/>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Sample – Quadrat</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">0.10</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.046</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">2.23</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6"/>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:tbody>
   </oasis:tgroup></oasis:table></table-wrap>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F3"><caption><p>Estimated mean consumption of (left) surface, and (right) ground
fuels across two plots on each of five UK wildfires. Error bars are 95 %
confidence intervals estimated using parametric bootstrapping based on a
general linear mixed model analysis of variation in consumption (Table 3).</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=241.848425pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://bg.copernicus.org/articles/13/389/2016/bg-13-389-2016-f03.pdf"/>

        </fig>

      <p>For surface fuels there was a positive linear relationship between pre-fire
fuel load and mean fuel consumption irrespective of fire type (Fig. 4).
Surface fuel consumption (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>C</mml:mi><mml:mtext>s</mml:mtext></mml:msub><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> was best predicted by pre-fire fuel load
(<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>L</mml:mi><mml:mtext>s</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>; <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mtext>adj</mml:mtext><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.73, <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>P</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 1.79 <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>×</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 10<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn>11</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>; Eq. 2).
None of the FWI System values were significant or substantially improved the
model fit. For ground fuels, the relationship between pre-fire fuel load and
mean fuel consumption was noticeably different with a positive, linear
relationship for wildfires but little change in consumption with load for
prescribed fires (Fig. 4). Ground fuel consumption and ground fuel
combustion completeness appeared to decline with ground fuel load (Fig. 4).
It proved difficult to develop a satisfactory model of ground fuel
consumption, but ground fuel combustion completeness (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mtext>g</mml:mtext></mml:msub><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> could be
predicted tolerably well as an asymptotic function of BUI (B;
<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mtext>adj</mml:mtext><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.77, <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>P</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 1.77 <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>×</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 10<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn>12</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>; Eq. 3).

                <disp-formula specific-use="align" content-type="numbered"><mml:math display="block"><mml:mtable displaystyle="true"><mml:mlabeledtr id="Ch1.E2"><mml:mtd/><mml:mtd/><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>C</mml:mi><mml:mtext>s</mml:mtext></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.173</mml:mn><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.624</mml:mn><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>L</mml:mi><mml:mtext>s</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mlabeledtr><mml:mlabeledtr id="Ch1.E3"><mml:mtd/><mml:mtd/><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mtext>g</mml:mtext></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msqrt><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.034</mml:mn><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.020</mml:mn><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:mi>B</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msqrt><mml:mo>.</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mlabeledtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></disp-formula></p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F4"><caption><p>The relationships between mean pre-fire fuel load and mean fuel
consumption for surface and ground fuels (top left and right respectively);
and mean pre-fire fuel load and mean combustion completeness of surface and
ground fuels (bottom left and right). Stars are experimental prescribed
burns (see Legg et al., 2007), all other symbols are wildfires. The colours
and shapes of the points for wildfires follows Fig. 3.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=241.848425pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://bg.copernicus.org/articles/13/389/2016/bg-13-389-2016-f04.pdf"/>

        </fig>

</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S4">
  <title>Discussion</title>
      <p>Wildfires are variable in every aspect and the fires we were able to assess
do not capture the full range of possible conditions. Notably, none of our
fires displayed peat smouldering outside of isolated “hotspots”.
Nevertheless, this work represents the first multi-site attempt to
investigate the relationship between burning conditions and wildfires'
ecosystem effects on moorlands. Wildfires on peatlands are recognised as a
growing global challenge with the potential to develop into a significant
positive feedback to climate change (Kettridge et al., 2015). Scientists and
land-managers currently have a limited understanding of the extent and causes
of variation in the severity and ecological effects of temperate peatland
fires. Temperate peatlands, such as those found in the UK, are likely to be
at the forefront of the effects of climate change with some studies
suggesting considerable declines in their bioclimatic space (Gallego-Sala
and Prentice, 2013) and fundamental changes in state associated with even
moderate reductions in water tables (Kettridge et al., 2015). UK peatlands
are of particular management concern due to the substantial area that has
already been lost or degraded by changing land-management, and debates over
the effects of traditional managed burning on the ecosystem services they
provide (Bonn et al., 2009).</p>
      <p><?xmltex \hack{\newpage}?>The growing peatland wildfire problem demands evidence to inform management
and solve on-going conflict about the impacts of burning. Our adapted
version of the CBI provides a method for rapid cataloguing of post-fire
effects and burn severity in UK peatland ecosystems. The pCBI method
appeared to function well and detected substantial differences in burn
severity between and within individual fires. Importantly, there was
evidence that increased pCBI can be attributed to reduced ground fuel layer
moisture content as higher burn severity in British peatland ecosystems was recorded at higher values of
DMC and DC (Fig. 2). Our results, and existing evidence that the DC may
relate to the potential for smouldering peat fires (Davies et al., 2013),
raise the prospect that it will be possible to forecast the potential for
damaging wildfires. There was also a suggestion that burn severity is a
function of ecosystem type, and associated site hydrology, as we recorded
higher severity burns in dry moorland sites than would be expected given the
intermediate DMC/DC values at which they occurred (Fig. 2). Sites with
thin organic soils may thus be at greater risk of severe and smouldering
wildfires than those with deeper peat and forecasts for such systems should
be developed separately.</p>
<sec id="Ch1.S4.SS1">
  <title>Variation in fuel consumption</title>
      <p>In general, the random factors in our GLMM that account for variation in
loads within plots and within and between fires, explained for as much, if
not more, of the variation in fuel loads across our survey than differences
between burnt/unburnt subplots. This was particularly true for ground fuels
where 70 % of the variance was attributable to spatial variation rather
than the effects of fire or sample type. For ground fuels, the higher
variance explained by random factors is possibly a function of the
substantial differences in their composition between sites and, at some
locations, between plots. Our sites included both bog communities with
substantial cover of <italic>Sphagnum</italic> spp. and drier sites with thin organic soils where
bryophyte communities were poorly-developed and ground fuels were dominated
by litter. When considering the wildfires alone, ground fuel consumption
showed a linear relationship with pre-fire fuel load though there was some
evidence of a possible interaction with ecosystem type. Shetler et al. (2008)
demonstrated that the presence of <italic>Sphagnum</italic> had a limiting effect on total
carbon release during fires in black spruce forest peatlands and combustion
completeness was lowest at Loch Doon, the wettest of our sites, where
<italic>Sphagnum</italic> spp. and <italic>Molinia</italic> tussocks comprised a substantial proportion of the ground fuel
load Fig. 4. However, this fire also occurred under the least severe fire
weather conditions (Fig. 2).</p>
      <p>When we analysed ground fuel consumption for the wild and prescribed fires
together we were unable to develop a tolerably robust model. We hypothesise
that this was due to differences in combustion rates between ecosystem
types. Given that all our prescribed fires were in drier <italic>Calluna</italic>-dominated
heathlands, our current data set was not sufficient to model
ecosystem-specific rates. de Groot et al. (2009) examined variation in
ground fuel consumption, albeit in non-peatland systems, and also found
differences in the controlling relationships for different fuel types. We
were, however, able to predict combustion completeness based on BUI. These
results are significant because (i) it provides further evidence that the
moisture status of ground fuel layers is a critical control on burn severity
in peatlands; (ii) it further demonstrates that certain components of the FWI
System (DMC, DC and BUI) may be useful in forecasting potential burn
severity.</p>
      <p>Surface fuel consumption also showed significant spatial variation, though
variability between plots explained a greater proportion of the variance
than that between fires (Table 2). Surface fuel consumption of shrubs and
graminoids was strongly related to pre-fire fuel load (Fig. 4, Eq. 2)
and there was no significant effect of fire weather conditions. This matches
some of our existing understanding of fire behaviour in moorland fuel types
(Legg et al., 2007). In the vast majority of cases a relatively constant
proportion of fuel is consumed as the fire spreads through the <italic>Calluna</italic> canopy
consuming fine fuel particles but leaving larger live basal stems unburnt.
Coarse woody, live fuels form a larger proportion of the fuel in older stands (Davies
et al., 2008b) but rarely burn except under exceptionally severe conditions.
This accounts for the decline in combustion completeness with increasing
fuel load (Fig. 4). The variability we recorded in fuel consumption within
and between our fires is likely to be attributable to (i) differences in fuel
load between ecosystems; and (ii) the highly-managed nature of many UK
peatlands where rotational patch burning produces a mosaic of fuel/habitat
loads across the landscape.</p>
      <p>Assuming that the approximate carbon content of our fuels was 49 %
(Worrall et al., 2013), our data suggest that average carbon release from
the combustion of above-ground biomass by wildfires can range between 0.36
and 1.00 kg C m<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>. This is somewhat greater than was seen
for the prescribed fires which saw C release rates of between 0.26
and 0.66 kg C m<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>. Our wildfire C release rates are
considerably higher than the mean release of 0.15 kg C m<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> reported by
Clay and Worral (2011) for the single moorland wildfire they studied, but
both their result and ours falls within the range reported by Poulter et al. (2006)
for a temperate peatland wildfire in North Carolina, USA. Whether or
not leaving a peatland unburnt would increase the amount of carbon stored in
the landscape is difficult to judge from our data alone. Whilst unmanaged
peatlands may store greater amounts of C in surface and ground fuel layers
than those that are subject to regular managed burning, they may also be
more susceptible to large-scale wildfires because of their unmanaged fuel
loads (Allen et al., 2013). Our results show rates of fuel consumption during
such wildfire events will also be higher.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S5" sec-type="conclusions">
  <title>Conclusions</title>
      <p>Burn severity varies considerably in relation to fuel structure and fire
weather. To date much of the research on the effects of fire on moorlands
has drawn an artificial distinction between the effects of prescribed
burning and wildfires, though the latter do seem to be associated with
increased severity. Our results suggest that critical differences in burn
severity and fuel consumption can be linked to the flammability of ground
fuel layers. Our data add to the information available to researchers
modelling the effects of land-management and fire regimes on ecosystem
carbon dynamics but we urge caution in their use and suggest that further
work to determine linkages between burning conditions and both short-
and long-term fire effects is urgently needed in temperate peatland
ecosystems.</p>
</sec>

      
      </body>
    <back><app-group>
        <supplementary-material position="anchor"><p><bold>The Supplement related to this article is available online at <inline-supplementary-material xlink:href="http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/bg-13-389-2016-supplement" xlink:title="pdf">doi:10.5194/bg-13-389-2016-supplement</inline-supplementary-material>.</bold></p></supplementary-material>
        </app-group><notes notes-type="authorcontribution">

      <p>G. M. Davies designed the study, assisted with fieldwork, analysed the data and wrote
the manuscript; R. Domènec completed the fieldwork and assisted in analysing the
data and writing the manuscript; P. C. D. Johnson designed the mixed effects modelling
element of the analysis and wrote the paper; A. Gray designed the study and
helped write the paper.</p>
  </notes><ack><title>Acknowledgements</title><p>Funding for this research was provided by the National Environment Research
Council (project number NE/J006289/1). Additional support was kindly
provided by Jane and David Philbrick. A large number of individuals and
organisations provided us with information on wildfire events but we are
particularly grateful to the England and Wales Wildfire Forum, the Knowledge
for Wildfire project at the University of Manchester and Michael Bruce.
Access to field study sites and logistical support were provided by United
Utilities, Yorkshire Water, the National Trust, Finzean Esate, and Forestry
Commission Scotland. Field data collection was completed with the assistance
of Sophie Philbrick. Two anonymous reviewers helped us improve our
manuscript<?xmltex \hack{\newline}?><?xmltex \hack{\newline}?>
Edited by: A. Rammig</p></ack><ref-list>
    <title>References</title>

      <ref id="bib1.bib1"><label>1</label><mixed-citation>Allen, K. A., Harris, M. P. K., and Marrs, R. H.: Matrix modelling of
prescribed burning in <italic>Calluna vulgaris</italic>-dominated moorland: short burning rotations minimize
carbon loss at increased wildfire frequencies, J. Appl. Ecol., 50, 614–624,
2013.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib2"><label>2</label><mixed-citation>Bates, D., Maechler, M., Bolker, B., and Walker, S.: lme4: Linear
mixed-effects models using Eigen and S4. R package version 1.1-7, <uri>http://CRAN.R-project.org/package=lme4</uri> (last access: 14
January 2016), 2014.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib3"><label>3</label><mixed-citation>
Bonn, A., Allott, T., Hubacek, K., and Stewart, J.: Drivers of Environmental
Change in the Uplands, Routledge, London, UK, 2009.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib4"><label>4</label><mixed-citation>
Bradley, R. I., Milne, R., Bell, J., Lilly, A., Jordan, C., and Higgins, A.:
A soil carbon and land use database for the United Kingdom, Soil Use
Manage., 21, 363–369, 2005.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib5"><label>5</label><mixed-citation>
Clay, G. D.  and Worrall. F.: Charcoal production in a UK moorland wildfire
– how important is it?, J. Environ. Manage., 92, 676–682, 2011.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib6"><label>6</label><mixed-citation>
Davies, G. M., Gray, A., Hamilton, A., and Legg, C.J.: The future of fire
management in the British uplands, Int. J. Biodiv. Sci. Manage., 4, 127-147,
2008a</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib7"><label>7</label><mixed-citation>
Davies, G. M., Legg, C. J., Hamilton, A., and Smith, A. A.: Using visual
obstruction to estimate heathland fuel load and structure, Int. J. Wildland
Fire, 17, 380–389, 2008b.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib8"><label>8</label><mixed-citation>Davies, G. M., Smith, A. A., McDonald, A. J., Bakker, J. D., and Legg, C.
J.: Fire intensity, fire severity and ecosystem response in heathlands:
factors affecting the regeneration of <italic>Calluna vulgaris</italic>, J. Appl. Ecol., 47, 356–365, 2010.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib9"><label>9</label><mixed-citation>
Davies, G. M., Gray, A., Rein, G., and Legg, C. J.: Peat consumption and
carbon loss due to smouldering wildfire in a temperate peatland, Forest Ecol.
Manag., 308, 136–144, 2013.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib10"><label>10</label><mixed-citation>
de Groot, W. J., Pritchard, J. M., and Lynham, T. J.: Forest floor fuel
consumption and carbon emissions in Canadian boreal forest fires, Can. J.
For. Res., 39, 367-382, 2009.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib11"><label>11</label><mixed-citation>
Ellison, A. M., Gotelli, N. J., Inouye, B. D., and Strong, D. R.: P values,
hypothesis testing, and model selection: it's déjà vu all over
again, Ecology, 95, 609–610, 2014.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib12"><label>12</label><mixed-citation>
Faraway, J. J.: Extending the Linear Model with R: Generalized Linear, Mixed
Effects and Nonparametric Regression Models, Chapman and Hall/CRC, Boca
Raton, FL, USA, 2005.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib13"><label>13</label><mixed-citation>
Fernandes, P. M., Catchpole, W. R., and Rego, F. C. Shrubland fire behaviour
modelling with microplot data, Can. J. Forest Res., 30, 889–899, 2000.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib14"><label>14</label><mixed-citation>
Gallego-Sala, A. V.  and Prentice, I. C.: Blanket peat biome endangered by
climate change, Nature Climate Change, 3, 152–155, 2012.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib15"><label>15</label><mixed-citation>Grant, M. C., Mallord, J., Stephen, L., and Thompson, P. S.: The costs and
benefits of grouse moor management to biodiversity and aspects of the wider
environment: a review, RSPB Research Report Number 43, RSPB, Sandy
Bedfordshire, UK, <uri>http://www.rspb.org.uk/Images/grant_mallord_stephen_thompson_2012_tcm9-318973.pdf</uri> (last access: 14 January 2016), 2012.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib16"><label>16</label><mixed-citation>
Hogg, P., Squires, P., and Fitter, A. H.: Acidification, nitrogen deposition
and rapid vegetational change in a small valley mire in Yorkshire, Biol.
Conserv., 71, 143–153, 1995.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib17"><label>17</label><mixed-citation>
Holden, J., Chapman, P. J., and Labadz J. C.: Artificial drainage of
peatlands: hydrological and hydrochemical process and wetland restoration,
Prog. Phys. Geog., 28, 95–123, 2004.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib18"><label>18</label><mixed-citation>
Hollis, J. J., Matthews, S., Anderson, W. R., Cruz, M. G., and Burrows, N. D.:
Behind the flaming zone: Predicting woody fuel consumption in eucalypt
forest fires in southern Australia, Forest Ecol. Manag., 261, 2049–2067, 2011.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib19"><label>19</label><mixed-citation>Johnson, P. C. D.: Extension of Nakagawa and Schielzeth's R<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> GLMM to
random slopes models, Methods Ecol. Evol., 5, 944–946, 2014.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib20"><label>20</label><mixed-citation>Kaat, A. and Joosten, H.: Factbook for UNFCCC policies on peat carbon
emissions, Wetlands International, Wageningen, the Netherlands, <ext-link xlink:href="http://www.wetlands.org/Portals/0/publications/Report/factbook UNFCCC policies 09 lowres.pdf">http://www.wetlands.org/Portals/0/publications</ext-link>
(last access: 19 January 2016),
2009.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib21"><label>21</label><mixed-citation>
Kasischke, E. S.  and Johnstone, J. F.: Variation in postfire organic layer
thickness in a black spruce forest complex in interior Alaska and its
effects on soil temperature and moisture, Can. J. Forest Res., 35, 2164–2177,
2005.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib22"><label>22</label><mixed-citation>Kettridge, N., Turetsky, M. R., Sherwood, J. H., Thompson, D. K., Miller, C.
A., Benscoter, B. W., Flannigan, M. D., Wotton, B. M., and Waddington, J.
M.: Moderate drop in water table increases peatland vulnerability to
post-fire regime shift, Sci. Rep., 5, 8063, <ext-link xlink:href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/srep08063" ext-link-type="DOI">10.1038/srep08063</ext-link>, 2015.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib23"><label>23</label><mixed-citation>Key, C. H. and Benson, N. C.: Landscape Assessment LA Sampling and Analysis
Methods. General Technical Report RMRS-GTR-164-C, USDA Forest Service Rocky
Mountain Research Station, Fort Collins, CO, USA, <uri>http://www.fs.fed.us/rm/pubs/rmrs_gtr164/rmrs_gtr164_13_land_assess.pdf</uri> (last access: 14 January 2016),
2006.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib24"><label>24</label><mixed-citation>Kitchen, K., Marno, P., Legg, C. J., Bruce, M., and Davies, G. M.: Developing
a fire danger rating system for the United Kingdom, Forest Ecol. Manag.,
234S1, S21, <ext-link xlink:href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.foreco.2006.08.037" ext-link-type="DOI">10.1016/j.foreco.2006.08.037</ext-link>, 2006.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib25"><label>25</label><mixed-citation>
Krivtsov, V., Gray, A., Valor, T., Legg, C. J., and Davies, G. M.: The fuel
moisture content of peat as a fuel in relation to meteorological factors,
WIT Trans. Ecol. Envir., 119, 193–200, 2008.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib26"><label>26</label><mixed-citation>Legg, C. J., Davies, G. M., Marno, P., and Kitchen, K.: Developing a Fire
Danger Rating System for the UK: FireBeaters final report, Report to the
Scottish Wildfire Forum, <uri>https://www.era.lib.ed.ac.uk/handle/1842/3011</uri> (last access: 14 January 2016), 2007.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib27"><label>27</label><mixed-citation>
Maltby, E., Legg, C. J., and Proctor, M. C. F.: The ecology of severe
moorland fire on the North York Moors: Effects of the 1976 fires, and
subsequent surface and vegetation development, J. Ecol., 78, 490–518, 1990.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib28"><label>28</label><mixed-citation>
Miller, J. D.  and Thode, A. E.: Quantifying burn severity in a
heterogeneous landscape with a relative version of the delta Normalized Burn
Ratio dNBR, Remote Sens. Environ., 109, 66–80, 2007.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib29"><label>29</label><mixed-citation>
Mitra, S., Wassmann, R., and Vlek, P. L. G.: An appraisal of global wetland
area and its organic carbon stock, Curr. Sci., 88, 25–35, 2005.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib30"><label>30</label><mixed-citation>
Moore, P. D.: The future of cool temperate bogs, Environ. Conserv., 29, 3–20,
2002.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib31"><label>31</label><mixed-citation>Nakagawa, S. and Schielzeth, H.: A general and simple method for obtaining
<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> from generalized linear mixed-effects models, Methods Ecol. Evol.,
4, 133–142, 2013.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib32"><label>32</label><mixed-citation>
Ostle, N. J., Levy, P. E., Evans, C. D., and Smith, P.: UK land use and soil
carbon sequestration, Land Use Policy, 26S1, S274–S283, 2009.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib33"><label>33</label><mixed-citation>Poulter, B., Christensen Jr., N. L., and Halpin, P. N.: Carbon emissions
from a temperate peat fire and its relevance to interannual variability of
trace atmospheric greenhouse gases, J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos., 111, D06301, <ext-link xlink:href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2005JD006455" ext-link-type="DOI">10.1029/2005JD006455</ext-link>, 2006.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib34"><label>34</label><mixed-citation>R Development Core Team: R: A language &amp; environment for statistical
computing. R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria,
<uri>http://www.R-project.org</uri> (last access: 14 January 2016), 2014.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib35"><label>35</label><mixed-citation>
Rodwell, J. S.: British Plant Communities. Volume 2. Mires &amp; heaths,
Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, 1991.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib36"><label>36</label><mixed-citation>Santander Meteorology Group: fume: FUME package, R package version 1.0,
<uri>http://CRAN.R-project.org/package=fume</uri> (last access: 14 January 2016), 2012.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib37"><label>37</label><mixed-citation>
Schepers, L., Haest, B., Veraverbeke, S., Spanhove, T., Vanden Borre, J.,
and Goossens, R.: Burned area detection and burn severity assessment of a
heathland fire in Belgium using airborne imaging spectroscopy (APEX), Remote
Sens., 6, 1803–1826, 2014.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib38"><label>38</label><mixed-citation>
Schielzeth, H. and Forstmeier, W.: Conclusions beyond support: overconfident
estimates in mixed models, Behav. Ecol., 20, 416–420, 2009.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib39"><label>39</label><mixed-citation>
Scottish Government: The Muirburn Code, Scottish Government, Edinburgh,
2011.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib40"><label>40</label><mixed-citation>Shetler, G., Turetsky, M. R., Kane, E., and Kasischke, E.: <italic>Sphagnum</italic> mosses limit
total carbon consumption during fire in Alaskan black spruce forests, Can.
J. Forest Res., 38, 2328–2336, 2008.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib41"><label>41</label><mixed-citation>
Stace, C.: New Flora of the British Isles, Cambridge University Press,
Cambridge, UK, 1997.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib42"><label>42</label><mixed-citation>Turetsky, M. R., Benscoter, B., Page, S., Rein, G., van der Werf, G. R., and
Watts, A.: Global vulnerability of peatlands to fire and carbon loss, Nat.
Geosci., 8, 11–14, 2015.
 </mixed-citation></ref><?xmltex \hack{\newpage}?>
      <ref id="bib1.bib43"><label>43</label><mixed-citation>
Van Wagner, C. E.: Development and structure of the Canadian Forest Fire
Weather Index System, Forestry Technical Report 35, Canadian Forestry
Service, Ottawa, 1987.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib44"><label>44</label><mixed-citation>
Watts, A. C.  and Kobziar, L. N.: Smoldering combustion and ground fires:
ecological effects and multi-scale significance, Fire Ecol., 9, 124–132,
2013.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib45"><label>45</label><mixed-citation>
Worrall, F., Rowson, J. G., Evans, M. G., Pawson, R., Daniels, S., and Bonn,
A.: Carbon fluxes from eroding peatlands – the carbon benefit of
revegetation following wildfire, Earth Surf. Proc. Land., 36, 1487–1498,
2011.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib46"><label>46</label><mixed-citation>
Worrall, F., Clay, G. D., and May, R.: Controls upon biomass losses and char
production from prescribed burning on UK moorland, J. Environ. Manage., 120,
27–36, 2013.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib47"><label>47</label><mixed-citation>Yu, Z., Loisel, J., Brosseau, D. P., Beilman, D. W., and Hunt, S. J.: Global
peatland dynamics since the Last Glacial Maximum, Geophys. Res. Lett., 110,
L13402, <ext-link xlink:href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2010GL043584" ext-link-type="DOI">10.1029/2010GL043584</ext-link>, 2010.</mixed-citation></ref>

  </ref-list><app-group content-type="float"><app><title/>

    </app></app-group></back>
    <!--<article-title-html>Vegetation structure and fire weather influence variation in burn severity
and fuel consumption during peatland wildfires</article-title-html>
<abstract-html><p class="p">Temperate peatland wildfires are of significant environmental concern but
information on their environmental effects is lacking. We assessed variation
in burn severity and fuel consumption within and between wildfires that
burnt British moorlands in 2011 and 2012. We adapted the composite burn
index (pCBI) to provide semi-quantitative estimates of burn severity. Pre-
and post-fire surface (shrubs and graminoids) and ground (litter, moss,
duff) fuel loads associated with large wildfires were assessed using
destructive sampling and analysed using a generalised linear mixed model
(GLMM). Consumption during wildfires was compared with published estimates
of consumption during prescribed burns. Burn severity and fuel consumption
were related to fire weather, assessed using the Canadian Fire Weather Index
System (FWI System), and pre-fire vegetation type. pCBI varied 1.6 fold
between, and up to 1.7 fold within, wildfires. pCBI was higher where
moisture codes of the FWI System indicated drier fuels. Spatial variation in
pre- and post-fire fuel load accounted for a substantial proportion of the
variance in fuel loads. Average surface fuel consumption was a linear
function of pre-fire fuel load. Average ground fuel combustion completeness
could be predicted by the Buildup Index. Carbon release ranged between 0.36
and 1.00 kg C m<sup>−2</sup>. The flammability of ground fuel layers
may explain the higher C release-rates seen for wildfires in comparison to
prescribed burns. Drier moorland community types appear to be at greater
risk of severe burns than blanket-bog communities.</p></abstract-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib1"><label>1</label><mixed-citation>
Allen, K. A., Harris, M. P. K., and Marrs, R. H.: Matrix modelling of
prescribed burning in <i>Calluna vulgaris</i>-dominated moorland: short burning rotations minimize
carbon loss at increased wildfire frequencies, J. Appl. Ecol., 50, 614–624,
2013.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib2"><label>2</label><mixed-citation>
Bates, D., Maechler, M., Bolker, B., and Walker, S.: lme4: Linear
mixed-effects models using Eigen and S4. R package version 1.1-7, <a href="http://CRAN.R-project.org/package=lme4" target="_blank">http://CRAN.R-project.org/package=lme4</a> (last access: 14
January 2016), 2014.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib3"><label>3</label><mixed-citation>
Bonn, A., Allott, T., Hubacek, K., and Stewart, J.: Drivers of Environmental
Change in the Uplands, Routledge, London, UK, 2009.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib4"><label>4</label><mixed-citation>
Bradley, R. I., Milne, R., Bell, J., Lilly, A., Jordan, C., and Higgins, A.:
A soil carbon and land use database for the United Kingdom, Soil Use
Manage., 21, 363–369, 2005.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib5"><label>5</label><mixed-citation>
Clay, G. D.  and Worrall. F.: Charcoal production in a UK moorland wildfire
– how important is it?, J. Environ. Manage., 92, 676–682, 2011.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib6"><label>6</label><mixed-citation>
Davies, G. M., Gray, A., Hamilton, A., and Legg, C.J.: The future of fire
management in the British uplands, Int. J. Biodiv. Sci. Manage., 4, 127-147,
2008a
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib7"><label>7</label><mixed-citation>
Davies, G. M., Legg, C. J., Hamilton, A., and Smith, A. A.: Using visual
obstruction to estimate heathland fuel load and structure, Int. J. Wildland
Fire, 17, 380–389, 2008b.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib8"><label>8</label><mixed-citation>
Davies, G. M., Smith, A. A., McDonald, A. J., Bakker, J. D., and Legg, C.
J.: Fire intensity, fire severity and ecosystem response in heathlands:
factors affecting the regeneration of <i>Calluna vulgaris</i>, J. Appl. Ecol., 47, 356–365, 2010.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib9"><label>9</label><mixed-citation>
Davies, G. M., Gray, A., Rein, G., and Legg, C. J.: Peat consumption and
carbon loss due to smouldering wildfire in a temperate peatland, Forest Ecol.
Manag., 308, 136–144, 2013.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib10"><label>10</label><mixed-citation>
de Groot, W. J., Pritchard, J. M., and Lynham, T. J.: Forest floor fuel
consumption and carbon emissions in Canadian boreal forest fires, Can. J.
For. Res., 39, 367-382, 2009.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib11"><label>11</label><mixed-citation>
Ellison, A. M., Gotelli, N. J., Inouye, B. D., and Strong, D. R.: P values,
hypothesis testing, and model selection: it's déjà vu all over
again, Ecology, 95, 609–610, 2014.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib12"><label>12</label><mixed-citation>
Faraway, J. J.: Extending the Linear Model with R: Generalized Linear, Mixed
Effects and Nonparametric Regression Models, Chapman and Hall/CRC, Boca
Raton, FL, USA, 2005.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib13"><label>13</label><mixed-citation>
Fernandes, P. M., Catchpole, W. R., and Rego, F. C. Shrubland fire behaviour
modelling with microplot data, Can. J. Forest Res., 30, 889–899, 2000.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib14"><label>14</label><mixed-citation>
Gallego-Sala, A. V.  and Prentice, I. C.: Blanket peat biome endangered by
climate change, Nature Climate Change, 3, 152–155, 2012.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib15"><label>15</label><mixed-citation>
Grant, M. C., Mallord, J., Stephen, L., and Thompson, P. S.: The costs and
benefits of grouse moor management to biodiversity and aspects of the wider
environment: a review, RSPB Research Report Number 43, RSPB, Sandy
Bedfordshire, UK, <a href="http://www.rspb.org.uk/Images/grant_mallord_stephen_thompson_2012_tcm9-318973.pdf" target="_blank">http://www.rspb.org.uk/Images/grant_mallord_stephen_thompson_2012_tcm9-318973.pdf</a> (last access: 14 January 2016), 2012.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib16"><label>16</label><mixed-citation>
Hogg, P., Squires, P., and Fitter, A. H.: Acidification, nitrogen deposition
and rapid vegetational change in a small valley mire in Yorkshire, Biol.
Conserv., 71, 143–153, 1995.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib17"><label>17</label><mixed-citation>
Holden, J., Chapman, P. J., and Labadz J. C.: Artificial drainage of
peatlands: hydrological and hydrochemical process and wetland restoration,
Prog. Phys. Geog., 28, 95–123, 2004.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib18"><label>18</label><mixed-citation>
Hollis, J. J., Matthews, S., Anderson, W. R., Cruz, M. G., and Burrows, N. D.:
Behind the flaming zone: Predicting woody fuel consumption in eucalypt
forest fires in southern Australia, Forest Ecol. Manag., 261, 2049–2067, 2011.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib19"><label>19</label><mixed-citation>
Johnson, P. C. D.: Extension of Nakagawa and Schielzeth's R<sup>2</sup> GLMM to
random slopes models, Methods Ecol. Evol., 5, 944–946, 2014.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib20"><label>20</label><mixed-citation>
Kaat, A. and Joosten, H.: Factbook for UNFCCC policies on peat carbon
emissions, Wetlands International, Wageningen, the Netherlands, <a href="http://www.wetlands.org/Portals/0/publications/Report/factbook UNFCCC policies 09 lowres.pdf" target="_blank">http://www.wetlands.org/Portals/0/publications</a>
(last access: 19 January 2016),
2009.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib21"><label>21</label><mixed-citation>
Kasischke, E. S.  and Johnstone, J. F.: Variation in postfire organic layer
thickness in a black spruce forest complex in interior Alaska and its
effects on soil temperature and moisture, Can. J. Forest Res., 35, 2164–2177,
2005.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib22"><label>22</label><mixed-citation>
Kettridge, N., Turetsky, M. R., Sherwood, J. H., Thompson, D. K., Miller, C.
A., Benscoter, B. W., Flannigan, M. D., Wotton, B. M., and Waddington, J.
M.: Moderate drop in water table increases peatland vulnerability to
post-fire regime shift, Sci. Rep., 5, 8063, <a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/srep08063" target="_blank">doi:10.1038/srep08063</a>, 2015.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib23"><label>23</label><mixed-citation>
Key, C. H. and Benson, N. C.: Landscape Assessment LA Sampling and Analysis
Methods. General Technical Report RMRS-GTR-164-C, USDA Forest Service Rocky
Mountain Research Station, Fort Collins, CO, USA, <a href="http://www.fs.fed.us/rm/pubs/rmrs_gtr164/rmrs_gtr164_13_land_assess.pdf" target="_blank">http://www.fs.fed.us/rm/pubs/rmrs_gtr164/rmrs_gtr164_13_land_assess.pdf</a> (last access: 14 January 2016),
2006.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib24"><label>24</label><mixed-citation>
Kitchen, K., Marno, P., Legg, C. J., Bruce, M., and Davies, G. M.: Developing
a fire danger rating system for the United Kingdom, Forest Ecol. Manag.,
234S1, S21, <a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.foreco.2006.08.037" target="_blank">doi:10.1016/j.foreco.2006.08.037</a>, 2006.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib25"><label>25</label><mixed-citation>
Krivtsov, V., Gray, A., Valor, T., Legg, C. J., and Davies, G. M.: The fuel
moisture content of peat as a fuel in relation to meteorological factors,
WIT Trans. Ecol. Envir., 119, 193–200, 2008.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib26"><label>26</label><mixed-citation>
Legg, C. J., Davies, G. M., Marno, P., and Kitchen, K.: Developing a Fire
Danger Rating System for the UK: FireBeaters final report, Report to the
Scottish Wildfire Forum, <a href="https://www.era.lib.ed.ac.uk/handle/1842/3011" target="_blank">https://www.era.lib.ed.ac.uk/handle/1842/3011</a> (last access: 14 January 2016), 2007.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib27"><label>27</label><mixed-citation>
Maltby, E., Legg, C. J., and Proctor, M. C. F.: The ecology of severe
moorland fire on the North York Moors: Effects of the 1976 fires, and
subsequent surface and vegetation development, J. Ecol., 78, 490–518, 1990.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib28"><label>28</label><mixed-citation>
Miller, J. D.  and Thode, A. E.: Quantifying burn severity in a
heterogeneous landscape with a relative version of the delta Normalized Burn
Ratio dNBR, Remote Sens. Environ., 109, 66–80, 2007.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib29"><label>29</label><mixed-citation>
Mitra, S., Wassmann, R., and Vlek, P. L. G.: An appraisal of global wetland
area and its organic carbon stock, Curr. Sci., 88, 25–35, 2005.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib30"><label>30</label><mixed-citation>
Moore, P. D.: The future of cool temperate bogs, Environ. Conserv., 29, 3–20,
2002.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib31"><label>31</label><mixed-citation>
Nakagawa, S. and Schielzeth, H.: A general and simple method for obtaining
<i>R</i><sup>2</sup> from generalized linear mixed-effects models, Methods Ecol. Evol.,
4, 133–142, 2013.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib32"><label>32</label><mixed-citation>
Ostle, N. J., Levy, P. E., Evans, C. D., and Smith, P.: UK land use and soil
carbon sequestration, Land Use Policy, 26S1, S274–S283, 2009.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib33"><label>33</label><mixed-citation>
Poulter, B., Christensen Jr., N. L., and Halpin, P. N.: Carbon emissions
from a temperate peat fire and its relevance to interannual variability of
trace atmospheric greenhouse gases, J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos., 111, D06301, <a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2005JD006455" target="_blank">doi:10.1029/2005JD006455</a>, 2006.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib34"><label>34</label><mixed-citation>
R Development Core Team: R: A language &amp; environment for statistical
computing. R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria,
<a href="http://www.R-project.org" target="_blank">http://www.R-project.org</a> (last access: 14 January 2016), 2014.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib35"><label>35</label><mixed-citation>
Rodwell, J. S.: British Plant Communities. Volume 2. Mires &amp; heaths,
Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, 1991.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib36"><label>36</label><mixed-citation>
Santander Meteorology Group: fume: FUME package, R package version 1.0,
<a href="http://CRAN.R-project.org/package=fume" target="_blank">http://CRAN.R-project.org/package=fume</a> (last access: 14 January 2016), 2012.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib37"><label>37</label><mixed-citation>
Schepers, L., Haest, B., Veraverbeke, S., Spanhove, T., Vanden Borre, J.,
and Goossens, R.: Burned area detection and burn severity assessment of a
heathland fire in Belgium using airborne imaging spectroscopy (APEX), Remote
Sens., 6, 1803–1826, 2014.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib38"><label>38</label><mixed-citation>
Schielzeth, H. and Forstmeier, W.: Conclusions beyond support: overconfident
estimates in mixed models, Behav. Ecol., 20, 416–420, 2009.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib39"><label>39</label><mixed-citation>
Scottish Government: The Muirburn Code, Scottish Government, Edinburgh,
2011.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib40"><label>40</label><mixed-citation>
Shetler, G., Turetsky, M. R., Kane, E., and Kasischke, E.: <i>Sphagnum</i> mosses limit
total carbon consumption during fire in Alaskan black spruce forests, Can.
J. Forest Res., 38, 2328–2336, 2008.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib41"><label>41</label><mixed-citation>
Stace, C.: New Flora of the British Isles, Cambridge University Press,
Cambridge, UK, 1997.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib42"><label>42</label><mixed-citation>
Turetsky, M. R., Benscoter, B., Page, S., Rein, G., van der Werf, G. R., and
Watts, A.: Global vulnerability of peatlands to fire and carbon loss, Nat.
Geosci., 8, 11–14, 2015.

</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib43"><label>43</label><mixed-citation>
Van Wagner, C. E.: Development and structure of the Canadian Forest Fire
Weather Index System, Forestry Technical Report 35, Canadian Forestry
Service, Ottawa, 1987.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib44"><label>44</label><mixed-citation>
Watts, A. C.  and Kobziar, L. N.: Smoldering combustion and ground fires:
ecological effects and multi-scale significance, Fire Ecol., 9, 124–132,
2013.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib45"><label>45</label><mixed-citation>
Worrall, F., Rowson, J. G., Evans, M. G., Pawson, R., Daniels, S., and Bonn,
A.: Carbon fluxes from eroding peatlands – the carbon benefit of
revegetation following wildfire, Earth Surf. Proc. Land., 36, 1487–1498,
2011.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib46"><label>46</label><mixed-citation>
Worrall, F., Clay, G. D., and May, R.: Controls upon biomass losses and char
production from prescribed burning on UK moorland, J. Environ. Manage., 120,
27–36, 2013.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib47"><label>47</label><mixed-citation>
Yu, Z., Loisel, J., Brosseau, D. P., Beilman, D. W., and Hunt, S. J.: Global
peatland dynamics since the Last Glacial Maximum, Geophys. Res. Lett., 110,
L13402, <a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2010GL043584" target="_blank">doi:10.1029/2010GL043584</a>, 2010.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>--></article>
