<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
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<article xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:oasis="http://docs.oasis-open.org/ns/oasis-exchange/table" xml:lang="en" dtd-version="3.0"><?xmltex \makeatother\@nolinetrue\makeatletter?>
  <front>
    <journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">BG</journal-id><journal-title-group>
    <journal-title>Biogeosciences</journal-title>
    <abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">BG</abbrev-journal-title><abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">Biogeosciences</abbrev-journal-title>
  </journal-title-group><issn pub-type="epub">1726-4189</issn><publisher>
    <publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
    <publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
  </publisher></journal-meta>
    <article-meta>
      <article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/bg-15-2481-2018</article-id><title-group><article-title>How does the terrestrial carbon exchange respond to<?xmltex \hack{\break}?> inter-annual climatic variations?
A quantification<?xmltex \hack{\break}?> based on atmospheric CO<inline-formula><mml:math id="M1" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> data</article-title><alt-title>How does the terrestrial carbon exchange respond to climatic variations?</alt-title>
      </title-group><?xmltex \runningtitle{How does the terrestrial carbon exchange respond to climatic variations?}?><?xmltex \runningauthor{C.~R\"{o}denbeck et al.}?>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes" rid="aff1">
          <name><surname>Rödenbeck</surname><given-names>Christian</given-names></name>
          <email>christian.roedenbeck@bgc-jena.mpg.de</email>
        <ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6011-6249</ext-link></contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff1">
          <name><surname>Zaehle</surname><given-names>Sönke</given-names></name>
          
        <ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5602-7956</ext-link></contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff2">
          <name><surname>Keeling</surname><given-names>Ralph</given-names></name>
          
        <ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9749-2253</ext-link></contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff1 aff3">
          <name><surname>Heimann</surname><given-names>Martin</given-names></name>
          
        <ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6296-5113</ext-link></contrib>
        <aff id="aff1"><label>1</label><institution>Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry, Jena, Germany</institution>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff2"><label>2</label><institution>Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California, San Diego, USA</institution>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff3"><label>3</label><institution>Institute for Atmospheric and Earth System Research (INAR), Faculty of
Science,<?xmltex \hack{\break}?> University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland</institution>
        </aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <author-notes><corresp id="corr1">Christian Rödenbeck (christian.roedenbeck@bgc-jena.mpg.de)</corresp></author-notes><pub-date><day>24</day><month>April</month><year>2018</year></pub-date>
      
      <volume>15</volume>
      <issue>8</issue>
      <fpage>2481</fpage><lpage>2498</lpage>
      <history>
        <date date-type="received"><day>17</day><month>January</month><year>2018</year></date>
           <date date-type="rev-request"><day>22</day><month>January</month><year>2018</year></date>
           <date date-type="rev-recd"><day>5</day><month>April</month><year>2018</year></date>
           <date date-type="accepted"><day>11</day><month>April</month><year>2018</year></date>
      </history>
      <permissions>
        
        
      <license license-type="open-access"><license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://bg.copernicus.org/articles/15/2481/2018/bg-15-2481-2018.html">This article is available from https://bg.copernicus.org/articles/15/2481/2018/bg-15-2481-2018.html</self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="https://bg.copernicus.org/articles/15/2481/2018/bg-15-2481-2018.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://bg.copernicus.org/articles/15/2481/2018/bg-15-2481-2018.pdf</self-uri>
      <abstract>
    <p id="d1e136">The response of the terrestrial net ecosystem exchange (NEE) of CO<inline-formula><mml:math id="M2" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> to
climate variations and trends may crucially determine the future climate
trajectory. Here we directly quantify this response on inter-annual
timescales by building a linear regression of inter-annual NEE anomalies
against observed air temperature anomalies into an atmospheric inverse
calculation based on long-term atmospheric CO<inline-formula><mml:math id="M3" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> observations. This allows
us to estimate the sensitivity of NEE to inter-annual variations in
temperature (seen as a climate proxy) resolved in space and with season. As
this sensitivity comprises both direct temperature effects and the effects of
other climate variables co-varying with temperature, we interpret it as
“inter-annual climate sensitivity”. We find distinct seasonal patterns of
this sensitivity in the northern extratropics that are consistent with the
expected seasonal responses of photosynthesis, respiration, and fire. Within
uncertainties, these sensitivity patterns are consistent with independent
inferences from eddy covariance data. On large spatial scales, northern
extratropical and tropical inter-annual NEE variations inferred from the NEE–<inline-formula><mml:math id="M4" display="inline"><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>
regression are very similar to the estimates of an atmospheric inversion with
explicit inter-annual degrees of freedom. The results of this study offer a
way to benchmark ecosystem process models in more detail than existing
effective global climate sensitivities. The results can also be used to
gap-fill or extrapolate observational records or to separate inter-annual
variations from longer-term trends.</p>
  </abstract>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
<body>
      

      <?xmltex \hack{\newpage}?>
<sec id="Ch1.S1" sec-type="intro">
  <title>Introduction</title>
      <p id="d1e173">About one-quarter of the carbon dioxide (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M5" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">CO</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) emitted to the
atmosphere by human fossil fuel burning and cement <?xmltex \hack{\mbox\bgroup}?>manufacturing<?xmltex \hack{\egroup}?> is
currently taken up by the terrestrial biosphere <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx31" id="paren.1"/>, thereby
slowing down the rise of atmospheric CO<inline-formula><mml:math id="M6" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> levels and thus mitigating
climate change. The magnitude of this terrestrial net ecosystem exchange
(NEE) of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M7" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">CO</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, however, is subject to substantial variability and
trends, in large part as a response to variations and trends in climate. Due
to this feedback loop, the response of NEE to climate may crucially determine
the future climate trajectory <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx17" id="paren.2"/>, yet present-day
coupled climate–carbon cycle models strongly disagree on its strength
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx18" id="paren.3"/>.</p>
      <p id="d1e221">To reduce these uncertainties, observations of present-day year-to-year
variations have been used as a constraint on the unobservable longer-term
changes <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx14 bib1.bibx39" id="paren.4"/> using the finding that these models
show a close link between the climate–carbon cycle responses at year-to-year
and centennial timescales. It cannot be known, however, to what extent this
link indeed holds in reality <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx39" id="paren.5"/>. While carbon cycle
anomalies on the year-to-year timescale are clearly attributable to climate
anomalies (through the variable occurrence of sunny vs. cloudy, warm vs. cold,
and wet vs. dry days or periods), additional longer-term trends may arise as a
response to growing nitrogen and CO<inline-formula><mml:math id="M8" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> fertilization, slow warming,
expanding or shrinking vegetation, adaptation of ecosystems, shifts<?pagebreak page2482?> in
species composition, or changing human agricultural practices and fire
suppression. Some of these processes may also slowly change the strength of
the short-term climate–carbon cycle responses over time. Moreover, both
year-to-year and decadal to centennial carbon cycle changes are overlaid by the
much larger periodic variability (day–night cycle, seasonal cycle). When
using observations to constrain the climate–carbon cycle responses,
it is therefore essential to employ observational records spanning time
periods as long as possible to get statistically significant results and to
separate the signals on seasonal, inter-annual, and decadal timescales
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx43" id="paren.6"><named-content content-type="pre">compare</named-content></xref>.</p>
      <p id="d1e244">Variability and trends of terrestrial carbon exchange have been observed
through a variety of sustained measurements, including local measurements by
eddy covariance towers measuring ecosystem fluxes
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx6 bib1.bibx5" id="paren.7"><named-content content-type="pre">e.g.</named-content></xref> and indirect measurements by
satellites recording changes in vegetation properties
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx38" id="paren.8"><named-content content-type="pre">e.g.</named-content></xref>. The longest observational records are the
atmospheric CO<inline-formula><mml:math id="M9" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> measurements started in the late 1950s at Mauna Loa
(Hawaii) and the South Pole by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx28" id="text.9"/> and since then extended into a
network of more than 100 CO<inline-formula><mml:math id="M10" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> sampling locations worldwide. Based on the
Mauna Loa long-term record considered to reflect global CO<inline-formula><mml:math id="M11" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> fluxes, a
close link between the atmospheric CO<inline-formula><mml:math id="M12" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> growth rate and tropical temperature
variations has been established <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx54" id="paren.10"><named-content content-type="pre">e.g.</named-content></xref>. Using measurements
from Barrow (Alaska) conceivably reflecting variations in boreal CO<inline-formula><mml:math id="M13" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>
fluxes, similar relationships have been suggested for high-latitude
ecosystems <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx42" id="paren.11"><named-content content-type="pre">e.g.</named-content></xref>.</p>
      <p id="d1e316">Extending these analyses, the aim of this study is to directly quantify the
contributions of the different seasons and different climatic zones to the
response of NEE to inter-annual climatic variations in order to obtain more
process-relevant information. To this end, we combine a linear regression
between NEE and climate anomalies with an “atmospheric inversion”
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx40 bib1.bibx44 bib1.bibx48 bib1.bibx3 bib1.bibx41" id="paren.12"><named-content content-type="pre">e.g.</named-content></xref>
which quantitatively disentangles the atmospheric CO<inline-formula><mml:math id="M14" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> signal into its
contributions from the various regions and times of origin and allows us to
make use of multiple long-term atmospheric CO<inline-formula><mml:math id="M15" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> records. In addition to the
atmospheric data, eddy covariance data are used for independent verification.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2">
  <title>Method</title>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS1">
  <title>The standard inversion</title>
      <p id="d1e353">As a starting point, we use the existing Bayesian atmospheric CO<inline-formula><mml:math id="M16" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>
inversion implemented in the Jena CarboScope, run s85oc_v4.1s <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx48 bib1.bibx45" id="paren.13"><named-content content-type="pre">update
of</named-content><named-content content-type="post">see
<uri>http://www.BGC-Jena.mpg.de/CarboScope/</uri></named-content></xref>.
It estimates spatially and temporally explicit CO<inline-formula><mml:math id="M17" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> fluxes between the
Earth's surface and the atmosphere based on atmospheric CO<inline-formula><mml:math id="M18" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> measurements
from 23 stations (marked with <inline-formula><mml:math id="M19" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>*</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> in Table <xref ref-type="table" rid="Ch1.T1"/>) each of which
spans the entire analysis period (chosen here to be 1985–2016 when more data
are available; see <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx50" id="text.14"/> for runs over 1957–2016).
Using an atmospheric tracer transport model to simulate the atmospheric
CO<inline-formula><mml:math id="M20" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> field that would arise from a given flux field, the inversion
algorithm finds the flux field that leads to the closest match between
observed and simulated CO<inline-formula><mml:math id="M21" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> mole fractions. In addition, the estimation is
regularized by a priori constraints meant to suppress excessive spatial and
high-frequency variability in the flux field. The a priori settings do not
involve any information from biosphere process models. Fossil fuel fluxes are
fixed to accounting-based values. In the particular run s85oc_v4.1s used
here, ocean fluxes are fixed to estimates based on an interpolation of
surface–ocean <inline-formula><mml:math id="M22" display="inline"><mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>CO<inline-formula><mml:math id="M23" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> data (Jena CarboScope run oc_v1.5). A more detailed
technical specification, including references and highlighting changes with
respect to earlier Jena CarboScope versions, is given in
Appendix <xref ref-type="sec" rid="App1.Ch1.S1"/>.</p>

<?xmltex \floatpos{p}?><table-wrap id="Ch1.T1"><caption><p id="d1e447">Atmospheric CO<inline-formula><mml:math id="M24" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> measurement stations used in the NEE–<inline-formula><mml:math id="M25" display="inline"><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>
inversion. The smaller set of stations used in the standard inversion is
labelled with an asterisk. The eight parts individually omitted in
sensitivity tests are separated by horizontal lines. Institutions are
referenced as follows: AEMET: <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx20" id="text.15"/>; BGC: <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx52" id="text.16"/>;
CSIRO: <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx16" id="text.17"/>; EC: <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx58" id="text.18"/>; FMI: <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx29" id="text.19"/>; HMS:
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx23" id="text.20"/>; IAFMS: <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx12" id="text.21"/>; JMA: <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx56" id="text.22"/>; LSCE:
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx35" id="text.23"/>; NIES: <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx53" id="text.24"/>; NIPR: <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx37" id="text.25"/>; NOAA:
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx13" id="text.26"/>; Saitama:
<uri>http://www.pref.saitama.lg.jp/b0508/cess-english/index.html</uri>, last
access: 17 January 2018; SAWS: <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx30" id="text.27"/>; SIO: <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx28" id="text.28"/>,
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx33" id="text.29"/>; UBA: <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx32" id="text.30"/>. Appended letters indicate the record
type: (f): flask data, mostly weekly; (h): in situ data, mostly hourly; (d):
in situ data, daytime only; (n): in situ data, night-time only.</p></caption><oasis:table frame="topbot"><?xmltex \begin{scaleboxenv}{.85}[.85]?><oasis:tgroup cols="5">
     <oasis:colspec colnum="1" colname="col1" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="2" colname="col2" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="3" colname="col3" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="4" colname="col4" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="5" colname="col5" align="left"/>
     <oasis:thead>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Code</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Latitude</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Longitude</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">Height</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">Institution</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">(<inline-formula><mml:math id="M26" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>)</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">(<inline-formula><mml:math id="M27" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>)</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">(m a.s.l.)</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"/>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:thead>
     <oasis:tbody>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M28" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>*</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>CMN</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">44.18</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">10.70</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">2165</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">IAFMS(n)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M29" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>*</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>LJO</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">32.87</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M30" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>117.25</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">15</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">SIO(f)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M31" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>*</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>ASC</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M32" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>7.97</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M33" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>14.40</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">88</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">NOAA(f)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M34" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>*</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>BHD</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M35" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>41.40</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">174.90</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">85</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">SIO(f)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M36" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>*</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>BRW</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">71.32</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M37" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>156.61</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">13</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">NOAA(h,f), SIO(f)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M38" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>*</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>CHR</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">1.70</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M39" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>157.16</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">3</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">NOAA(f)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M40" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>*</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>MID</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">28.21</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M41" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>177.37</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">10</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">NOAA(f)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M42" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>*</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>MLO</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">19.53</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M43" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>155.57</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">3417</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">NOAA(h,f), SIO(f)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M44" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>*</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>SPO</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M45" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>89.97</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M46" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>24.80</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">2816</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">NOAA(h,f), SIO(f)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M47" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>*</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>SYO</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M48" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>69.00</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">39.58</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">29</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">NIPR(h)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M49" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>*</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>KER</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M50" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>29.03</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M51" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>177.15</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">2</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">SIO(f)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">ESP</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">49.38</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M52" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>126.54</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">27</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">CSIRO(f), EC(f)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">MQA</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M53" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>54.48</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">158.97</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">13</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">CSIRO(f)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">RYO</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">39.03</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">141.83</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">230</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">JMA(d)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">MNM</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">24.30</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">153.97</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">8</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">JMA(d)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">MHD</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">53.32</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M54" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>9.81</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">18</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">NOAA(f)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">RPB</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">13.16</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M55" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>59.43</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">19</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">NOAA(f)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">UTA</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">39.90</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M56" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>113.72</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">1332</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">NOAA(f)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">HUN</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">46.95</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">16.64</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">353</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">HMI(d), NOAA(f)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">AZR</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">38.76</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M57" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>27.23</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">23</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">NOAA(f)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">HBA</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M58" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>75.58</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M59" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>26.61</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">24</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">NOAA(f)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">LEF</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">45.93</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M60" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>90.26</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">791</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">NOAA(f)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">SEY</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M61" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>4.68</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">55.53</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">6</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">NOAA(f)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">CPT</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M62" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>34.35</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">18.48</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">230</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">SAWS(d)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">PAL</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">67.96</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">24.12</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">565</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">FMI(d), NOAA(f)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">WLG</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">36.28</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">100.91</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">3852</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">NOAA(f)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">HAT</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">24.05</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">123.80</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">10</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">NIES(f)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">SBL</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">43.93</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M63" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>60.01</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">5</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">EC(d,f)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">CRZ</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M64" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>46.43</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">51.85</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">202</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">NOAA(f)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">SGP</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">36.71</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M65" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>97.49</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">348</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">NOAA(f)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">SUM</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">72.60</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M66" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>38.42</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">3214</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">NOAA(f)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">WES</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">54.93</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">8.32</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">12</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">UBA(d)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">AVI</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">17.75</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M67" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>64.75</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">5</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">NOAA(f)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">EIC</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M68" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>27.15</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M69" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>109.44</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">63</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">NOAA(f)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">ICE</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">63.40</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M70" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>20.29</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">124</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">NOAA(f)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">TIK</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">71.60</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">128.89</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">29</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">NOAA(f)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">CVR</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">16.86</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M71" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>24.87</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">10</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">BGC(f)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">ZOT301</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">60.80</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">89.35</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">301 a.gr.</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">BGC(d,f)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">POCN30</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">29.48</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M72" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>134.24</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">20</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">NOAA(f)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">POCN20</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">19.69</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M73" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>132.68</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">20</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">NOAA(f)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">POCN10</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">9.68</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M74" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>140.37</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">20</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">NOAA(f)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">POC000</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">0.60</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M75" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>150.35</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">20</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">NOAA(f)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">POCS10</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M76" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>10.02</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M77" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>3.61</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">20</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">NOAA(f)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">POCS20</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M78" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>20.28</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">0.08</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">20</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">NOAA(f)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">POCS30</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M79" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>29.68</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M80" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>0.04</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">20</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">NOAA(f)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:tbody>
   </oasis:tgroup><?xmltex \end{scaleboxenv}?></oasis:table></table-wrap>

<?xmltex \hack{\addtocounter{table}{-1}}?><?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><table-wrap id="Ch1.T2"><caption><p id="d1e1755">Continued.</p></caption><oasis:table frame="topbot"><?xmltex \begin{scaleboxenv}{.85}[.85]?><oasis:tgroup cols="5">
     <oasis:colspec colnum="1" colname="col1" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="2" colname="col2" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="3" colname="col3" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="4" colname="col4" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="5" colname="col5" align="left"/>
     <oasis:thead>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Code</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Latitude</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Longitude</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">Height</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">Institution</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">(<inline-formula><mml:math id="M81" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>)</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">(<inline-formula><mml:math id="M82" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>)</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">(m a.s.l.)</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"/>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:thead>
     <oasis:tbody>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M83" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>*</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>ALT</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">82.47</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M84" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>62.42</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">202</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">CSIRO(f), EC(f),</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">NOAA(f)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M85" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>*</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>CBA</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">55.21</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M86" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>162.71</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">41</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">NOAA(f), SIO(f)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M87" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>*</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>CGO</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M88" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>40.67</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">144.70</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">130</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">CSIRO(f),  NOAA(f)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M89" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>*</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>GMI</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">13.39</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">144.66</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">6</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">NOAA(f)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M90" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>*</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>IZO</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">28.30</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M91" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>16.50</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">2367</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">AEMET(h)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M92" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>*</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>KEY</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">25.67</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M93" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>80.18</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">4</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">NOAA(f)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M94" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>*</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>KUM</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">19.51</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M95" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>154.82</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">22</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">NOAA(f), SIO(f)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M96" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>*</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>NWR</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">40.04</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M97" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>105.60</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">3526</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">NOAA(f)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M98" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>*</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>PSA</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M99" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>64.92</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M100" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>64.00</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">12</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">NOAA(f), SIO(f)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M101" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>*</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>SHM</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">52.72</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">174.11</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">27</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">NOAA(f)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M102" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>*</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>SMO</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M103" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>14.24</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M104" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>170.57</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">51</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">NOAA(h,f), SIO(f)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M105" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>*</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>AMS</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M106" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>37.80</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">77.54</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">55</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">LSCE(d)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">CFA</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M107" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>19.28</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">147.06</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">5</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">CSIRO(f)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">MAA</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M108" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>67.62</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">62.87</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">42</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">CSIRO(f)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">SIS</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">60.18</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M109" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>1.26</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">31</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">BGC(f), CSIRO(f)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">SCH</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">47.92</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">7.92</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">1205</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">UBA(n)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">BMW</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">32.26</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M110" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>64.88</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">46</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">NOAA(f)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">TAP</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">36.72</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">126.12</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">21</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">NOAA(f)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">UUM</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">44.45</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">111.10</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">1012</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">NOAA(f)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">ASK</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">23.26</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">5.63</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">2715</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">NOAA(f)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">TDF</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M111" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>54.86</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M112" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>68.40</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">20</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">NOAA(f)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">WIS</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">30.41</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">34.92</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">319</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">NOAA(f)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">ZEP</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">78.91</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">11.89</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">479</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">NOAA(f)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">FSD</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">49.88</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M113" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>81.57</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">250</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">EC(d)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">YON</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">24.47</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">123.02</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">30</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">JMA(d)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">COI</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">43.15</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">145.50</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">45</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">NIES(f)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">CYA</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M114" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>66.28</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">110.52</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">55</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">CSIRO(f)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">THD</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">41.04</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M115" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>124.15</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">112</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">NOAA(f)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">CIB</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">41.81</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M116" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>4.93</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">848</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">NOAA(f)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">KZD</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">44.26</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">76.22</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">506</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">NOAA(f)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">LLN</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">23.47</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">120.87</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">2867</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">NOAA(f)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">NAT</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M117" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>5.66</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M118" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>35.22</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">53</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">NOAA(f)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">NMB</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M119" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>23.57</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">15.02</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">461</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">NOAA(f)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">STM</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">66.00</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">2.00</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">3</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">NOAA(f)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">STP</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">50.00</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">145.00</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">SIO(f)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">BIK300</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">53.22</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">23.02</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">300 a.gr.</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">BGC(f)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">DDR</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">36.00</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">139.18</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">840</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">Saitama(n)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">KEF <inline-formula><mml:math id="M120" display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> RYF</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">var.</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">var.</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">JMA(f)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">POCN25</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">25.20</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M121" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>133.99</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">20</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">NOAA(f)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">POCN15</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">15.07</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M122" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>135.22</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">20</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">NOAA(f)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">POCN05</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">4.80</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M123" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>145.11</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">20</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">NOAA(f)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">POCS05</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M124" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>4.66</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M125" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>4.24</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">20</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">NOAA(f)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">POCS15</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M126" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>14.72</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M127" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>0.15</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">20</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">NOAA(f)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">POCS25</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M128" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>25.01</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M129" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>0.17</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">20</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">NOAA(f)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:tbody>
   </oasis:tgroup><?xmltex \end{scaleboxenv}?></oasis:table></table-wrap>

      <p id="d1e2953">For reference in Sect. <xref ref-type="sec" rid="Ch1.S2.SS2"/> below, we mention here
that this standard inversion calculation represents the total
surface-to-atmosphere CO<inline-formula><mml:math id="M130" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> flux <inline-formula><mml:math id="M131" display="inline"><mml:mi>f</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> as a decomposition,
            <disp-formula id="Ch1.E1" content-type="numbered"><mml:math id="M132" display="block"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">NEE</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">LT</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">adj</mml:mi></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">NEE</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Seas</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">adj</mml:mi></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">NEE</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">IAV</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">adj</mml:mi></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Ocean</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">fix</mml:mi></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Foss</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">fix</mml:mi></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula>
          into adjustable long-term mean terrestrial NEE
(<inline-formula><mml:math id="M133" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">NEE</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">LT</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">adj</mml:mi></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>), adjustable large-scale seasonal NEE
anomalies (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M134" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">NEE</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Seas</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">adj</mml:mi></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>), adjustable inter-annual and
shorter-term NEE anomalies (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M135" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">NEE</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">IAV</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">adj</mml:mi></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>), the
prescribed ocean fluxes (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M136" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Ocean</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">fix</mml:mi></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>), and the
prescribed fossil fuel emissions (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M137" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Foss</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">fix</mml:mi></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>). All
these terms represent spatio-temporal fields.</p>
      <p id="d1e3126">This standard inversion will be used as a reference to compare the results of
the NEE–<inline-formula><mml:math id="M138" display="inline"><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> inversion introduced below (Sect. <xref ref-type="sec" rid="Ch1.S2.SS2"/>) at
large spatial scales. Further, we used its estimated NEE variations in
preparatory tests to confirm that NEE–<inline-formula><mml:math id="M139" display="inline"><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> correlations actually exist and to
determine the degrees of freedom needed to accommodate their spatio-temporal
heterogeneity.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS2">
  <?xmltex \opttitle{The NEE--$T$ inversion}?><title>The NEE–<inline-formula><mml:math id="M140" display="inline"><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> inversion</title>
      <p id="d1e3159">Compared to the standard inversion (run s85oc_v4.1s), the NEE–<inline-formula><mml:math id="M141" display="inline"><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> inversion
(base run s04XocNEET_v4.1s) uses the same transport model and the same
prescribed data-based CO<inline-formula><mml:math id="M142" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> fluxes of the ocean
(<inline-formula><mml:math id="M143" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Ocean</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">fix</mml:mi></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) and fossil fuel emissions
(<inline-formula><mml:math id="M144" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Foss</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">fix</mml:mi></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>). It also possesses the same adjustable
degrees of freedom representing the long-term mean CO<inline-formula><mml:math id="M145" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> fluxes (term
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M146" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">NEE</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">LT</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">adj</mml:mi></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) and its large-scale seasonality
(<inline-formula><mml:math id="M147" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">NEE</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Seas</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">adj</mml:mi></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>).</p>
      <p id="d1e3250">The NEE–<inline-formula><mml:math id="M148" display="inline"><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> inversion differs only by replacing the explicitly
time-dependent inter-annual NEE variations
(<inline-formula><mml:math id="M149" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">NEE</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">IAV</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">adj</mml:mi></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) with a linear NEE–<inline-formula><mml:math id="M150" display="inline"><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> regression term
plus residual terms: <?xmltex \hack{\newpage}?>

                <disp-formula specific-use="align" content-type="numbered"><mml:math id="M151" display="block"><mml:mtable displaystyle="true"><mml:mlabeledtr id="Ch1.E2"><mml:mtd/><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" class="stylechange"/><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">NEE</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">IAV</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">adj</mml:mi></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:mtd><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle class="stylechange" displaystyle="true"/><mml:mo>→</mml:mo><mml:msubsup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">γ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>NEE-</mml:mtext><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">adj</mml:mi></mml:msubsup><mml:mi>w</mml:mi><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>T</mml:mi><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>T</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">LT</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Seas</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Deca</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Trend</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mlabeledtr><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" class="stylechange"/></mml:mtd><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle class="stylechange" displaystyle="true"/><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mi>w</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">NEE</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">IAV</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">adj</mml:mi></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">NEE</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Trend</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">adj</mml:mi></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">NEE</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">SCTrend</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">adj</mml:mi></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>.</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></disp-formula>

            <inline-formula><mml:math id="M152" display="inline"><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> represents the monthly spatio-temporal field of air temperature taken
from GISS <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx22 bib1.bibx19" id="paren.31"/> and interpolated to the spatial grid
and daily time steps of the inversion (Appendix <xref ref-type="sec" rid="App1.Ch1.S1"/>). Its
long-term mean, mean seasonal cycle, and decadal variations including linear
trend (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M153" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>T</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">LT</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Seas</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Deca</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Trend</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) have been subtracted to only retain
inter-annual (including non-seasonal month-to-month) anomalies. The scalar
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M154" display="inline"><mml:mi>w</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> is a temporal wei<?pagebreak page2484?>ghting being <inline-formula><mml:math id="M155" display="inline"><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:math></inline-formula> within the analysis period 1985–2016
and zero outside; this ensures that the regression specifically refers to
this period. The inter-annual temperature anomaly field is multiplied by
unknown (i.e. adjustable by the inversion) scaling factors
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M156" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">γ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>NEE-</mml:mtext><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (the NEE–<inline-formula><mml:math id="M157" display="inline"><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> regression coefficients). These
scaling factors are identical in each year of the inversion, but are allowed
to vary smoothly both seasonally (with a correlation length of about 3 weeks
such that <inline-formula><mml:math id="M158" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">γ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>NEE-</mml:mtext><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> contains 13 independent degrees of
freedom in time, repeated every year) and spatially (with correlation lengths
of about 1600 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M159" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">km</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> in the longitude direction and 800 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M160" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">km</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> in the
latitude direction, imposing a spatial smoothing on
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M161" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">γ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>NEE-</mml:mtext><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> over the same spatial scales as the smoothing
imposed on the inter-annual flux anomalies
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M162" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">NEE</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">IAV</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">adj</mml:mi></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in the standard inversion). The need for
seasonal and spatial resolution of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M163" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">γ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>NEE-</mml:mtext><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> has been
inferred from an analysis of the standard inversion results
(Sect. <xref ref-type="sec" rid="Ch1.S2.SS1"/>). The a priori spatial and temporal
correlations are imposed on <inline-formula><mml:math id="M164" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">γ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>NEE-</mml:mtext><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> to prevent a
localization of inverse adjustments in the vicinity of the atmospheric
stations. In contrast to the standard inversion, however, where the a priori
correlations lead to a smooth NEE field, the NEE result of the NEE–<inline-formula><mml:math id="M165" display="inline"><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>
inversion still retains structure on the pixel and monthly scale from the
temperature field. By having only 13 degrees of freedom in the time
dimension, the introduction of the regression term also regularizes the
inversion further compared with the explicit inter-annual term of the
standard inversion, which has 796 degrees of freedom in the time dimension.</p>
      <p id="d1e3585">Equation (<xref ref-type="disp-formula" rid="Ch1.E2"/>) also contains adjustable residual terms (2nd
line) to accommodate modes of variability from the atmospheric CO<inline-formula><mml:math id="M166" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> signals
that cannot be explicitly represented by the regression term and might
therefore be at risk of being aliased into spurious adjustments to
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M167" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">γ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>NEE-</mml:mtext><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>.
<list list-type="bullet"><list-item>
      <p id="d1e3615">Outside the non-zero period 1985–2016 of the regression term, inter-annual
NEE variations are represented by a standard inter-annual term
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M168" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">NEE</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">IAV</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">adj</mml:mi></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> with weights <inline-formula><mml:math id="M169" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mi>w</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> opposite to those of
the regression term.</p></list-item><list-item>
      <p id="d1e3653">An adjustable linear trend (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M170" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">NEE</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Trend</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">adj</mml:mi></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) is needed
because trends have explicitly been removed from <inline-formula><mml:math id="M171" display="inline"><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>. For every pixel,
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M172" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">NEE</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Trend</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">adj</mml:mi></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is proportional to the time difference
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M173" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> since the beginning of the calculation period multiplied by an
unknown trend parameter to be adjusted by the inversion (with zero prior).
The trend parameters are correlated with each other in space with the same
correlation length scale as the mean and inter-annual variability components
of the standard inversion (i.e. as <inline-formula><mml:math id="M174" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">NEE</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">LT</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">adj</mml:mi></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M175" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">NEE</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">IAV</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">adj</mml:mi></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in Eq. <xref ref-type="disp-formula" rid="Ch1.E1"/>).</p></list-item><list-item>
      <p id="d1e3749">Further, as the NEE field from the standard inversion contains a strong
increase in seasonal cycle amplitude in northern extratropical latitudes
(described earlier in <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx21" id="altparen.32"/>, and <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx57" id="altparen.33"/>) which is
expected to not (solely) arise from changes in the temperature seasonal
cycle, we decoupled this mode of variability from the regression by adding it
as an explicitly adjustable term <inline-formula><mml:math id="M176" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">NEE</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">SCTrend</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">adj</mml:mi></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. For
each degree of freedom in the mean seasonality term
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M177" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">NEE</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Seas</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">adj</mml:mi></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in Eq. (<xref ref-type="disp-formula" rid="Ch1.E1"/>), the additional
term <inline-formula><mml:math id="M178" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">NEE</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">SCTrend</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">adj</mml:mi></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> contains the same mode
multiplied by <inline-formula><mml:math id="M179" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and having its own adjustable strength parameter.</p></list-item></list>
Any further residual modes of variability (including NEE variations related
to variations in other environmental drivers uncorrelated to <inline-formula><mml:math id="M180" display="inline"><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>
variations, non-linear responses, memory effects and internal ecosystem
dynamics, errors in the employed <inline-formula><mml:math id="M181" display="inline"><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> field, errors in the a priori fixed
ocean and fossil fuel terms, and effects of transport model errors) are not
explicitly accounted for, as we lack sufficient a priori information to model
them explicitly. To the extent that they are uncorrelated to <inline-formula><mml:math id="M182" display="inline"><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>
variations, they will stay in the data residual of the inversion.</p>
      <p id="d1e3848">In contrast to the standard inversion using 23 stations with temporally
homogeneous records over 1985–2016, the NEE–<inline-formula><mml:math id="M183" display="inline"><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> inversion uses atmospheric
data from 89 stations (Table <xref ref-type="table" rid="Ch1.T1"/>) partially with shorter records
but spatially covering the globe more evenly (including stations in northern
Siberia and tropical America). While the standard inversion with explicitly
time-dependent degrees of freedom can develop spurious NEE variations when
stations pop in or out with time, the major inter-annual variability from the
NEE–<inline-formula><mml:math id="M184" display="inline"><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> inversion comes from the regression term using its degrees of
freedom (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M185" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">γ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>NEE-</mml:mtext><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) repeatedly each year such that any data
point influences all years of the calculation period simultaneously.
Therefore, the NEE–<inline-formula><mml:math id="M186" display="inline"><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> inversion is not prone to spurious variations from a
temporally changing station network.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS3">
  <title>Sensitivity cases</title>
      <p id="d1e3894">The algorithm uses several inputs carrying uncertainties and contains several
parameters that are not well determined from a priori available information.
Therefore, we also ran an ensemble of sensitivity cases. In each such
sensitivity case, one of the uncertain elements of the algorithm is changed
within ranges that may be considered as plausible as the base case: (1)
longer spatial a priori correlations (2.4 times in the longitude direction
and 1.6 times in the latitude direction) for <inline-formula><mml:math id="M187" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">γ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>NEE-</mml:mtext><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, (2) 4
weeks (rather than 3 weeks) of temporal a priori correlation length scale for
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M188" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">γ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>NEE-</mml:mtext><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, (3) halved a priori uncertainty range for
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M189" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">γ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>NEE-</mml:mtext><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, (4) using ocean CO<inline-formula><mml:math id="M190" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> fluxes from the PlankTOM5
ocean biogeochemical process model <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx10" id="paren.34"/> instead of the
fluxes based on <inline-formula><mml:math id="M191" display="inline"><mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>CO<inline-formula><mml:math id="M192" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> measurements, (5) taking the gridded monthly land
temperature field from Berkeley Earth (<uri>www.BerkeleyEarth.org</uri>, last
access: 29 November 2017) instead of the GISS data set, and (6) using
ERA-Interim meteorological fields <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx15" id="paren.35"/> to drive the atmospheric
transport model rather than NCEP meteorological fields.</p>

<?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><table-wrap id="Ch1.T3" specific-use="star"><caption><p id="d1e3977">Eddy covariance sites used for comparison. For vegetation type
abbreviations, see Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F3"/> (caption).</p></caption><oasis:table frame="topbot"><oasis:tgroup cols="5">
     <oasis:colspec colnum="1" colname="col1" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="2" colname="col2" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="3" colname="col3" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="4" colname="col4" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="5" colname="col5" align="left"/>
     <oasis:thead>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">FLUXNET-ID</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Data period</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Latitude (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M193" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>)</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">Longitude (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M194" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>)</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">Vegetation type</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:thead>
     <oasis:tbody>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">AU-How</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">2001–2014</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M195" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>12.4943</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">131.1523</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">WSA</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">AU-Tum</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">2001–2014</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M196" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>35.6566</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">148.1517</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">EBF</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">BE-Bra</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">1996–2014</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">51.3092</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">4.5206</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">MF</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">BE-Vie</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">1996–2014</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">50.3051</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">5.9981</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">MF</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">CA-Man</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">1994–2008</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">55.8796</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M197" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>98.4808</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">ENF</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">CH-Dav</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">1997–2014</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">46.8153</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">9.8559</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">ENF</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">DE-Hai</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">2000–2012</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">51.0792</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">10.4530</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">DBF</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">DE-Tha</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">1996–2014</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">50.9624</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">13.5652</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">ENF</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">DK-Sor</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">1996–2014</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">55.4859</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">11.6446</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">DBF</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">DK-ZaH</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">2000–2014</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">74.4732</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M198" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>20.5503</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">GRA</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">FI-Hyy</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">1996–2014</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">61.8474</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">24.2948</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">ENF</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">FI-Sod</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">2001–2014</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">67.3619</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">26.6378</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">ENF</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">FR-LBr</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">1996–2008</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">44.7171</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M199" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>0.7693</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">ENF</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">FR-Pue</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">2000–2014</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">43.7414</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">3.5958</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">EBF</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">GF-Guy</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">2004–2014</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">5.2788</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M200" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>52.9249</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">EBF</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">IT-Col</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">1996–2014</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">41.8494</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">13.5881</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">DBF</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">IT-Cpz</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">1997–2009</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">41.7052</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">12.3761</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">EBF</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">IT-Lav</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">2003–2014</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">45.9562</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">11.2813</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">ENF</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">IT-Ren</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">1998–2013</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">46.5869</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">11.4337</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">ENF</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">IT-SRo</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">1999–2012</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">43.7279</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">10.2844</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">ENF</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">NL-Loo</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">1996–2013</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">52.1666</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">5.7436</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">ENF</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">RU-Cok</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">2003–2014</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">70.8291</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">147.4943</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">OSH</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">RU-Fyo</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">1998–2014</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">56.4615</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">32.9221</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">ENF</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">US-Ha1</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">1991–2012</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">42.5378</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M201" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>72.1715</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">DBF</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">US-Los</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">2000–2014</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">46.0827</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M202" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>89.9792</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">WET</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">US-Me2</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">2002–2014</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">44.4523</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M203" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>121.5574</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">ENF</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">US-MMS</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">1999–2014</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">39.3232</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M204" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>86.4131</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">DBF</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">US-NR1</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">1998–2014</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">40.0329</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M205" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>105.5464</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">ENF</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">US-PFa</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">1995–2014</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">45.9459</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M206" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>90.2723</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">MF</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">US-Syv</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">2001–2014</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">46.2420</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M207" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>89.3477</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">MF</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">US-Ton</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">2001–2014</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">38.4316</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M208" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>120.9660</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">WSA</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">US-UMB</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">2000–2014</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">45.5598</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M209" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>84.7138</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">DBF</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">US-Var</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">2000–2014</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">38.4133</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M210" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>120.9507</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">GRA</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">US-WCr</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">1999–2014</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">45.8059</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M211" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>90.0799</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">DBF</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">ZA-Kru</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">2000–2010</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M212" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>25.0197</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">31.4969</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">SAV</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:tbody>
   </oasis:tgroup></oasis:table></table-wrap>

      <p id="d1e4783">Eight additional sensitivity cases have been run to demonstrate coherent
information in the atmospheric data. The set<?pagebreak page2485?> of 89 stations used in the base
case was divided into eight mutually exclusive parts (Table <xref ref-type="table" rid="Ch1.T1"/>). In
each of the sensitivity cases, one of these parts was omitted, leaving sets
of 73 to 82 remaining stations. With this construction, all eight runs still
have global data coverage, but every station is absent in one of the runs. If
the results depended on any particular station without being backed up by
other stations, then the run omitting this station would show a substantial
difference from the base run.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F1" specific-use="star"><caption><p id="d1e4791">Inter-annual climate sensitivity <inline-formula><mml:math id="M213" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">γ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>NEE-</mml:mtext><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in
(gC m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M214" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> yr<inline-formula><mml:math id="M215" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>) K<inline-formula><mml:math id="M216" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> shown as Hovmöller diagrams:
longitudinal averages of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M217" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">γ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>NEE-</mml:mtext><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> are plotted as colour
over latitude (vertical) and month of the year (horizontal). The stippling
indicates robustness: crosses mark values with absolute deviations
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M218" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>≤</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">40</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (gC m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M219" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> yr<inline-formula><mml:math id="M220" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>) K<inline-formula><mml:math id="M221" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> (one colour level) of all
sensitivity cases from the base case.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=426.791339pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://bg.copernicus.org/articles/15/2481/2018/bg-15-2481-2018-f01.png"/>

        </fig>

      <p id="d1e4911">The range of results from this ensemble of sensitivity cases will be shown as
an uncertainty range around the base case.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS4">
  <title>Comparison to eddy covariance data</title>
      <p id="d1e4920">For comparison of the estimated sensitivities <inline-formula><mml:math id="M222" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">γ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>NEE-</mml:mtext><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>
against independent information, we also calculate NEE–<inline-formula><mml:math id="M223" display="inline"><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> relationships
from eddy covariance (EC) measurements. We use NEE and co-measured air
temperature records from the FLUXNET2015 data set
(<uri>https://fluxnet.fluxdata.org</uri>, last access: 25 October 2017). EC sites
(Table <xref ref-type="table" rid="Ch1.T3"/>) have been chosen based on having long records (at
least 12 years; two sites with 11 years were also included to have more
ecosystem types represented). Crop sites have not been included because their
flux variability may strongly depend on crop rotation.</p>
      <p id="d1e4949">We start from the half-hourly or hourly data sets (variables NEE_CUT_REF
and TA_F_MDS, respectively). Records classified as “measured” (QC
flag <inline-formula><mml:math id="M224" display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 0) or “good quality gap-fill” (QC flag <inline-formula><mml:math id="M225" display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 1) in both variables
are averaged over each month. Months with data coverage of 90 % or less
are discarded from the statistical analysis.</p>
      <?pagebreak page2486?><p id="d1e4966">For each EC site and each month of the year, all available monthly CO<inline-formula><mml:math id="M226" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>
flux values from the different years were regressed against the corresponding
monthly air temperature values using ordinary least squares regression. This
yields sensitivities as regression slopes
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M227" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>g</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>NEE-</mml:mtext><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">EC</mml:mi></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">NEE</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">EC</mml:mi></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M228" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M229" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:msup><mml:mi>T</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">EC</mml:mi></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. We also calculated the confidence interval of the slope for
the confidence level <inline-formula><mml:math id="M230" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">90</mml:mn><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">%</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, reflecting the uncertainty of
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M231" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>g</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>NEE-</mml:mtext><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">EC</mml:mi></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> given the scatter of the monthly values
around a linear relationship.</p>
      <p id="d1e5050">The sensitivities <inline-formula><mml:math id="M232" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">γ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>NEE-</mml:mtext><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> from the inversion and
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M233" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>g</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>NEE-</mml:mtext><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">EC</mml:mi></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> from the explicit linear regression are not
fully comparable mathematically because (i) the time period (and to some
extent the frequency filtering) are different, and (ii) the explicit linear
regression of the total NEE is not only influenced by the year-to-year
variations but also by the ratio of NEE trend and temperature trend, while
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M234" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">γ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>NEE-</mml:mtext><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> has deliberately been made insensitive to the
trend (Sect. <xref ref-type="sec" rid="Ch1.S2.SS2"/>). Therefore, we also calculated
sensitivities <inline-formula><mml:math id="M235" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>g</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>NEE-</mml:mtext><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Inv</mml:mi></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> from the total monthly mean
non-fossil CO<inline-formula><mml:math id="M236" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> flux (i.e. including regression and residual terms of
Eq. <xref ref-type="disp-formula" rid="Ch1.E2"/>) and the employed temperature field of the
inversions in the same way and subsampled at the same months as for the EC
data. A perfect match between <inline-formula><mml:math id="M237" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>g</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>NEE-</mml:mtext><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">EC</mml:mi></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M238" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>g</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>NEE-</mml:mtext><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Inv</mml:mi></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> cannot be expected nevertheless because
(iii) sensitivities from the inversion even at its smallest resolved scale –
the pixel scale – represent a mixture of ecosystem types in unknown
proportions, while the EC data represent a specific ecosystem type, (iv) NEE
from the inversion includes the effects of disturbances such as fire, which
are absent from the EC data, and (v) there may be local trends in the
ecosystem behaviour observed by the EC data due to ageing or slow species
shifts, which average out on the larger spatial scales seen by the
atmospheric inversion.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3">
  <title>Results</title>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS1">
  <?xmltex \opttitle{How does the inter-annual climate sensitivity ${\gamma}_{{\text{NEE-}T}}$ vary
in space and by season?}?><title>How does the inter-annual climate sensitivity <inline-formula><mml:math id="M239" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">γ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>NEE-</mml:mtext><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> vary
in space and by season?</title>
      <p id="d1e5186">As a starting point, we present the results of the NEE–<inline-formula><mml:math id="M240" display="inline"><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> inversion in
terms of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M241" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">γ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>NEE-</mml:mtext><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, which is the local regression coefficient
between inter-annual variations in NEE and temperature, resolved seasonally
(Sect. <xref ref-type="sec" rid="Ch1.S2.SS2"/>). As <inline-formula><mml:math id="M242" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">γ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>NEE-</mml:mtext><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> not only
reflects direct temperature responses but also responses to other
environmental variables that co-vary with temperature (such as water
availability, incoming solar radiation), we refer to it as inter-annual
climate sensitivity.</p>
      <p id="d1e5226">Figure <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F1"/> presents the seasonal and spatial patterns of the
inter-annual climate sensitivity as Hovmöller diagrams showing
longitudinally averaged <inline-formula><mml:math id="M243" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">γ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>NEE-</mml:mtext><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> with dependence on
latitude and month of the year. The longitudinal average is taken separately
over North and South America (left panel), Europe and Africa (middle panel),
and Asia and Australia (right panel). This representation summarizes the
essential variations of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M244" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">γ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>NEE-</mml:mtext><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, as it is found to be
relatively uniform across longitude within the individual continents (not
shown).</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F2" specific-use="star"><caption><p id="d1e5261"><bold>(a, b, c)</bold> Inter-annual anomalies of NEE integrated over all
land <bold>(a)</bold>, northern extratropical land <bold>(b)</bold>, and tropical
plus southern land <bold>(c)</bold> as estimated by the standard inversion
(Sect. <xref ref-type="sec" rid="Ch1.S2.SS1"/>, black) and different runs of the NEE–<inline-formula><mml:math id="M245" display="inline"><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>
inversion (Sect. <xref ref-type="sec" rid="Ch1.S2.SS2"/>, orange). The grey band
comprises the results of the sensitivity cases. <bold>(d, e, f)</bold> Taylor
diagrams quantifying the agreement between the NEE–<inline-formula><mml:math id="M246" display="inline"><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> inversions and the
standard inversion. Due to the construction of the Taylor diagram
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx51" id="paren.36"/>, the horizontal position of a point gives the relative
fraction of the reference signal present in the test time series, while the
vertical distance of this point from the horizontal axis gives the relative
amplitude (temporal standard deviation) of any additional signal components
uncorrelated with the reference signal.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=327.206693pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://bg.copernicus.org/articles/15/2481/2018/bg-15-2481-2018-f02.pdf"/>

        </fig>

      <p id="d1e5307">In essentially all <italic>northern extratropical land</italic> areas (north of about
35<inline-formula><mml:math id="M247" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> N), we estimate negative <inline-formula><mml:math id="M248" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">γ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>NEE-</mml:mtext><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in spring
(and to a lesser extent autumn), which is consistent with photosynthesis
being temperature limited such that higher-than-normal temperatures lead to
more negative NEE (i.e. larger-than-normal CO<inline-formula><mml:math id="M249" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> uptake) and vice versa.
Warmer conditions tend to coincide with higher incoming solar radiation in
May<?pagebreak page2487?> and/or June in the northern extratropics (according to a correlation
analysis of CRUNCEPv7 data, not shown), which would tend to amplify the
direct temperature effect. In summer when photosynthesis is no longer limited
by temperature, we find positive <inline-formula><mml:math id="M250" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">γ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>NEE-</mml:mtext><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> values. Such
positive <inline-formula><mml:math id="M251" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">γ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>NEE-</mml:mtext><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is consistent with enhanced respiration
in warmer summers, but also with the fact that warmer-than-normal periods are
often also drier, leading to reduced photosynthetic uptake or enhanced fire
activity. In winter, NEE is not found to respond much to inter-annual climate
variations. The interpretation of the seasonality of
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M252" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">γ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>NEE-</mml:mtext><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is confirmed by its latitude dependence:
consistent with the later spring and shorter summer in the higher northern
latitudes, the period of negative <inline-formula><mml:math id="M253" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">γ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>NEE-</mml:mtext><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> starts later
there, and the period of positive <inline-formula><mml:math id="M254" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">γ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>NEE-</mml:mtext><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is shorter.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F3" specific-use="star"><caption><p id="d1e5418">Comparison between the inter-annual climate sensitivities calculated
from the inversion and from eddy covariance (EC) data for various sites with
longer EC records. Black dots give the sensitivities
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M255" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>g</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>NEE-</mml:mtext><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">EC</mml:mi></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> calculated by the linear regression of
monthly EC CO<inline-formula><mml:math id="M256" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> flux data (FLUXNET2015 data set) against monthly air
temperature co-measured at the flux towers (months with data in only 6 years
or less are discarded). The error bars around the dots comprise the
confidence intervals of the regression slopes (at the 90 % confidence
level); if the confidence interval is above
300 (gC m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M257" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> yr<inline-formula><mml:math id="M258" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>) K<inline-formula><mml:math id="M259" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> (i.e. larger than the typical
seasonal range), the corresponding dot is hollow. Orange and grey lines give
the sensitivities <inline-formula><mml:math id="M260" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">γ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>NEE-</mml:mtext><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> taken directly from various
NEE–<inline-formula><mml:math id="M261" display="inline"><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> inversions (base and sensitivity cases as in
Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F2"/>) at the respective pixels enclosing the EC site
locations. To allow for a more direct comparison between NEE–<inline-formula><mml:math id="M262" display="inline"><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> inversion
results and EC data, sensitivities for the inversion (base case) have also
been calculated by linear regression from the total monthly mean non-fossil
CO<inline-formula><mml:math id="M263" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> flux and the temperature field employed in the inversions in the same
way and subsampled at the same months as for the EC data; these
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M264" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>g</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>NEE-</mml:mtext><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Inv</mml:mi></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> values are shown as orange dots. Panels
are roughly ordered by latitude and land cover type (DBF: deciduous broadleaf
forest, EBF: evergreen broadleaf forest, ENF: evergreen needleleaf forest,
GRA: grassland, MF: mixed forest, OSH: open shrubland, SAV: savanna, WET:
permanent wetland, WSA: woody savanna). See Table <xref ref-type="table" rid="Ch1.T3"/> for EC site
locations.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=497.923228pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://bg.copernicus.org/articles/15/2481/2018/bg-15-2481-2018-f03.pdf"/>

        </fig>

      <p id="d1e5547">In the <italic>tropics</italic>, we find stronger and less systematic variations in
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M265" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">γ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>NEE-</mml:mtext><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. However, as indicated by the missing stippling, we
also find larger disagreement between our sensitivity cases designed to
embrace plausible ranges for the essential inputs and parameters in the
algorithm (Sect. <xref ref-type="sec" rid="Ch1.S2.SS3"/>). This reveals that the seasonal
variations in <inline-formula><mml:math id="M266" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">γ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>NEE-</mml:mtext><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> are of limited robustness here.
Nevertheless, a clear feature in the tropics is the dominance of positive
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M267" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">γ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>NEE-</mml:mtext><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> values.</p>
      <p id="d1e5597">In <italic>southern extratropical America and Africa</italic>, the seasonal pattern has similarities with the northern
extratropical pattern shifted by 6 months. The pattern in <italic>Australia</italic>
is difficult to interpret, but also not very robust. Larger errors in the
southern extratropics may conceivably arise because the much smaller land
area involves a much smaller number of degrees of freedom available to
satisfy the data constraints (remember that the oceanic flux cannot be
adjusted in this inversion, while the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M268" display="inline"><mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula><inline-formula><mml:math id="M269" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">CO</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>-based ocean prior flux
is actually less well constrained in the southern extratropics due to the
much smaller density of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M270" display="inline"><mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>CO<inline-formula><mml:math id="M271" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> data).</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS2">
  <?xmltex \opttitle{How much inter-annual variability of NEE can be reproduced
by the seasonally resolved linear regression to $T$?}?><title>How much inter-annual variability of NEE can be reproduced
by the seasonally resolved linear regression to <inline-formula><mml:math id="M272" display="inline"><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>?</title>
      <?pagebreak page2488?><p id="d1e5653">The assumed linear relationship between NEE anomalies and air temperature
anomalies around their respective seasonal cycles represents a strong
abstraction of the complex underlying physiological and ecosystem processes.
Nevertheless, the inter-annual variations of global total NEE estimated by the
NEE–<inline-formula><mml:math id="M273" display="inline"><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> inversion are very similar to those estimated by the standard inversion
(Fig. 2a). The agreement is confirmed by high
correlation (Fig. 2d). For interpretation, we
note that variations in the global total CO<inline-formula><mml:math id="M274" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> flux are very well
constrained from atmospheric CO<inline-formula><mml:math id="M275" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> observations at timescales longer than
the atmospheric mixing time (about 4 years) <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx7" id="paren.37"/>.
Variations on the year-to-year scale are already tightly constrained
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx41" id="paren.38"/>. We thus use the global CO<inline-formula><mml:math id="M276" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> flux from the
standard inversion with explicit inter-annual degrees of freedom as a
benchmark. Since the ocean flux is identical in both the standard and NEE–<inline-formula><mml:math id="M277" display="inline"><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>
inversion runs, the high level of agreement in Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F2"/>
(panels a and d) means that the spatially and seasonally resolved linear NEE–<inline-formula><mml:math id="M278" display="inline"><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>
regression already provides a good approximation of global inter-annual NEE
variations.</p>
      <p id="d1e5713">Almost the same level of agreement is also found for a split of the global
NEE into a northern extratropical and a tropical plus southern extratropical
contribution (Fig. 2b, c and e, f). Due to the
faster atmospheric mixing within the extratropical hemispheres compared to
the mixing across latitudes, these two NEE contributions are expected to be
relatively well constrained by atmospheric data independently of each other.
The linear approximation of the NEE–<inline-formula><mml:math id="M279" display="inline"><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> inversion is able to distinguish
extratropical and tropical behaviour.</p>
      <?pagebreak page2489?><p id="d1e5723">For a further split into smaller regions, in particular along longitude,
inter-annual NEE variations from standard and NEE–<inline-formula><mml:math id="M280" display="inline"><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> inversions stay similar,
but deviations get larger (not shown). This could indicate that the limits of
the linear NEE–<inline-formula><mml:math id="M281" display="inline"><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> relationship start to kick in at these scales. However,
the NEE variations can no longer be expected to be well constrained from the
atmospheric data at the regional scale. Thus, the discrepancy can
also be caused by the standard inversion, while the NEE–<inline-formula><mml:math id="M282" display="inline"><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> inversion could
be the more realistic one by profiting from the pixel-scale information added
through the temperature field, as discussed in Sect. <xref ref-type="sec" rid="Ch1.S4.SS1"/>.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS3">
  <?xmltex \opttitle{Are the estimated patterns of ${\gamma}_{{\text{NEE-}T}}$
compatible with ecosystem-scale eddy covariance data?}?><title>Are the estimated patterns of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M283" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">γ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>NEE-</mml:mtext><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>
compatible with ecosystem-scale eddy covariance data?</title>
      <p id="d1e5770">Figure <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F3"/> compares inter-annual climate sensitivities (ordinate)
calculated by the NEE–<inline-formula><mml:math id="M284" display="inline"><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> inversion with those calculated independently from
eddy covariance (EC) data for each month of the year (abscissa). Each panel
represents an EC site roughly arranged by ecosystem types and latitudes. The
orange line with the surrounding grey band gives the sensitivities
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M285" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">γ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>NEE-</mml:mtext><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> from the various NEE–<inline-formula><mml:math id="M286" display="inline"><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> inversion runs as in
Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F2"/> taken at the respective pixels enclosing the EC
sites. The black dots are the sensitivities <inline-formula><mml:math id="M287" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>g</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>NEE-</mml:mtext><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">EC</mml:mi></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> calculated by the explicit linear regression of monthly EC flux records
against the co-measured monthly air temperature
(Sect. <xref ref-type="sec" rid="Ch1.S2.SS4"/>).</p>
      <p id="d1e5824">To allow for a fairer comparison between inversion results and EC data,
additional colour dots give sensitivities <inline-formula><mml:math id="M288" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>g</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>NEE-</mml:mtext><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Inv</mml:mi></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>
calculated from the NEE–<inline-formula><mml:math id="M289" display="inline"><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> inversion results in the same way and subsampled
at the same months as for the EC data (Sect. <xref ref-type="sec" rid="Ch1.S2.SS4"/>). At most
EC sites, the sensitivities calculated by the inversion itself
(<inline-formula><mml:math id="M290" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">γ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>NEE-</mml:mtext><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, orange lines) or by explicit regression
afterwards (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M291" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>g</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>NEE-</mml:mtext><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Inv</mml:mi></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, orange dots) mostly agree
within the confidence interval of the regression. This shows that the
comparison of inversion and EC sensitivities
is meaningful despite their differences in meaning and calculation
(in particular, the trend influence (issue ii in Sect. <xref ref-type="sec" rid="Ch1.S2.SS4"/>)
on <inline-formula><mml:math id="M292" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>g</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>NEE-</mml:mtext><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Inv</mml:mi></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> turns out to be relatively small
because the explicit regressions are only done over the limited time period
spanned by the EC records).</p>
      <p id="d1e5901">Despite their completely independent sources of information and their
remaining incompatibilities (Sect. <xref ref-type="sec" rid="Ch1.S2.SS4"/>), the sensitivities
from the EC data and the atmospheric NEE–<inline-formula><mml:math id="M293" display="inline"><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> inversion have a similar order
of magnitude and similar seasonal patterns for a majority of EC sites
(Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F3"/>). For most sites and months, the sensitivities agree within
their confidence intervals. The level of agreement roughly depends on
ecosystem type and latitude.
<list list-type="bullet"><list-item>
      <p id="d1e5917">Generally good consistency is found in high northern latitudes (line 1 of
panels in Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F3"/>) and at evergreen needleleaf forest (ENF) sites
in temperate northern latitudes (line 2 and rightmost part of line 3).</p></list-item><list-item>
      <p id="d1e5923">At mixed forest (MF) and deciduous broadleaf forest (DBF) sites in temperate
northern latitudes (left part of line 3 and line 4), consistency is mostly
good as well, though some months in spring or summer have more negative
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M294" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>g</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>NEE-</mml:mtext><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Inv</mml:mi></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> sensitivities from EC data (e.g. DE-Hai,
DK-Sor, BE-Bra). However, the behaviour of DBF ecosystems is not an important
contribution to larger-scale NEE variability because DBF ecosystems only
cover 11 to 25 % of the area around the sites shown.</p></list-item><list-item>
      <p id="d1e5943">Generally good consistency within the confidence interval is also found at
sites of various other ecosystem types in temperate northern latitudes (line
5).</p></list-item><list-item>
      <p id="d1e5947">At the tropical and southern extratropical sites (last line), the comparison
does not yield conclusive information, because the confidence intervals of
the regression are much larger than the seasonal variations of both inversion
and EC results. We can only state that the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M295" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>g</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>NEE-</mml:mtext><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Inv</mml:mi></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>
and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M296" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>g</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>NEE-</mml:mtext><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">EC</mml:mi></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> sensitivities do not contradict each
other statistically. Some qualitative consistency is found at the Australian
EBF site, even though the dominant vegetation round the site is shrubland
(about 45 %).</p></list-item></list>
Though this comparison partly remains inconclusive (as the confidence
intervals at tropical and Southern Hemispheric sites are large, as
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M297" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>g</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>NEE-</mml:mtext><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Inv</mml:mi></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M298" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>g</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>NEE-</mml:mtext><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">EC</mml:mi></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> are
not actually fully comparable (Sect. <xref ref-type="sec" rid="Ch1.S2.SS4"/>),
and as by far not all areas and dominating ecosystem types are
represented), it does support the results of the NEE–<inline-formula><mml:math id="M299" display="inline"><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> inversion, at least
in the northern extratropics.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S4">
  <title>Discussion</title>
<sec id="Ch1.S4.SS1">
  <title>NEE variations in the northern extratropics</title>
      <p id="d1e6038">Given that we found robust seasonal patterns of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M300" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">γ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>NEE-</mml:mtext><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> which can be interpreted in terms of the fundamental physiological processes
(Sect. <xref ref-type="sec" rid="Ch1.S3.SS1"/>), that these patterns are compatible with
inferences from independent ecosystem-scale eddy covariance (EC) measurements
(Sect. <xref ref-type="sec" rid="Ch1.S3.SS3"/>), and that the corresponding inter-annual NEE
variations are compatible with the atmospheric constraint on the most
reliable large scales (Sect. <xref ref-type="sec" rid="Ch1.S3.SS2"/>), we conclude that the
linear dependence of NEE anomalies on air temperature anomalies (as climate
proxy) represents a meaningful approximative empirical description of the
northern extratropical biosphere. The compatibility of the NEE–<inline-formula><mml:math id="M301" display="inline"><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>
relationships inferred from large-scale atmospheric constraints and the
ecosystem-scale EC constraints of dominating vegetation types suggests that
the regional or continental NEE variations are to a substantial degree due to
local variations linked to local climate anomalies; otherwise the NEE–<inline-formula><mml:math id="M302" display="inline"><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>
inversion could not have worked. Given that, we expect the NEE–<inline-formula><mml:math id="M303" display="inline"><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> inversion
to provide more realistic inter-annual NEE variations on regional scales than
the standard inversion, which smoothly interpolates NEE on scales smaller than
station-to-station differences (compare to the last paragraph of
Sect. <xref ref-type="sec" rid="Ch1.S3.SS2"/>).</p>
      <p id="d1e6085">Note that as EC data measure fluxes on small spatial scales (a few hundreds of metres),
the EC flux variations themselves cannot directly be compared to the
inversion results representing NEE over (sub)continental scales and
integrating over many ecosystem types and climate regimes. In<?pagebreak page2490?> contrast to the
fluxes, however, derived relationships (such as the NEE–<inline-formula><mml:math id="M304" display="inline"><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> relationships
considered here) may well be able to bridge this scale gap.</p>
      <p id="d1e6095">Besides the inter-annual variations, the NEE–<inline-formula><mml:math id="M305" display="inline"><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> inversion also reproduces
the small negative trend in NEE through its residual term
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M306" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">NEE</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Trend</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">adj</mml:mi></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in Eq. (<xref ref-type="disp-formula" rid="Ch1.E2"/>)
(Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F2"/>). Likewise, it reproduces the northern
extratropical increase in seasonal cycle amplitude through its residual term
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M307" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">NEE</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">SCTrend</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">adj</mml:mi></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (not shown).</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S4.SS2">
  <title>NEE variations in the tropics</title>
      <p id="d1e6151">In contrast to the northern extratropics, we did not find conclusive seasonal
patterns of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M308" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">γ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>NEE-</mml:mtext><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in the tropics
(Sect. <xref ref-type="sec" rid="Ch1.S3.SS1"/>). However, despite the substantial
uncertainty range of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M309" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">γ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>NEE-</mml:mtext><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F1"/>),
the sensitivity cases reproduce almost identical inter-annual NEE variations
in the tropics (see the narrow grey band around the NEE–<inline-formula><mml:math id="M310" display="inline"><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> estimate in
Fig. 2c). This underlines the fact that pan-tropical NEE variations are
actually well constrained from the atmospheric data, while the seasonal
differences in <inline-formula><mml:math id="M311" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">γ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>NEE-</mml:mtext><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> arise to compensate for the set-up
differences among the sensitivity cases. As shown below
(Sect. <xref ref-type="sec" rid="Ch1.S4.SS3"/>), all the seasonally different
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M312" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">γ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>NEE-</mml:mtext><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> estimates correspond to a similar effective
sensitivity (having a positive value) on yearly timescales. Due to this, the
NEE–<inline-formula><mml:math id="M313" display="inline"><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> inversion is found to possess predictive skill on the timescale of
the El Niño–Southern Oscillation <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx50" id="paren.39"/>.</p>
      <p id="d1e6234">The positive effective <inline-formula><mml:math id="M314" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">γ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>NEE-</mml:mtext><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in the tropics
(Sect. <xref ref-type="sec" rid="Ch1.S3.SS1"/>) is consistent with the strong positive
correlation of atmospheric CO<inline-formula><mml:math id="M315" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> growth with large-scale tropical annual
temperature <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx54" id="paren.40"/>. This is unlikely to arise from a direct
temperature effect, however, because process studies
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx34 bib1.bibx9 bib1.bibx1" id="paren.41"><named-content content-type="pre">e.g.</named-content></xref> point to water availability
rather than temperature as the dominant control on the ecosystem scale. This
is also confirmed by the large confidence intervals of the NEE–<inline-formula><mml:math id="M316" display="inline"><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>
regression of the EC data from the only tropical site available here (GF-Guy,
leftmost on last line of Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F3"/>). A strong correlation with
temperature can still arise statistically due to the strong link of
temperature and precipitation anomalies over larger spatial scales
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx8" id="paren.42"/>. Moreover, the vapour pressure deficit (VPD) controlling
photosynthesis responds particularly
strongly to temperature variations in the warm tropical
climate due to the non-linearity of the VPD(T) dependence
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx36" id="paren.43"/>. Further, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M317" display="inline"><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> is spatially coherent over much larger
areas in the tropics, while variability in water availability is local and
averages out over larger spatial scales <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx26" id="paren.44"/>. Nevertheless, a
direct temperature effect in the tropics was found by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx11" id="text.45"/>, at
least for a component flux of NEE (wood production) in 12-year plot data.</p><?xmltex \hack{\newpage}?>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S4.SS3">
  <title>An extended benchmark for process models</title>
      <p id="d1e6307">Data-based empirical relationships between inter-annual NEE variations and
air temperature variations have been proposed in the literature as benchmarks
to evaluate biogeochemical process models. For example, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx14" id="text.46"/>
calculated an effective global climate sensitivity of
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M318" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">5.1</mml:mn><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.9</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> PgC yr<inline-formula><mml:math id="M319" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> K<inline-formula><mml:math id="M320" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> over 1960–2010 by regressing the
annual CO<inline-formula><mml:math id="M321" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> growth rate observed at the station Mauna Loa (Hawaii) (taken
as a proxy for the global total CO<inline-formula><mml:math id="M322" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> flux) against
30<inline-formula><mml:math id="M323" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> N–30<inline-formula><mml:math id="M324" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> S (both land and ocean) averaged air temperature
(after detrending both time series by subtracting an 11-year running mean).
In a similar way (using the average atmospheric growth rate from a varying
set of background sites, a slightly different time series treatment, and
24<inline-formula><mml:math id="M325" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> N–24<inline-formula><mml:math id="M326" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> S land temperature), <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx54" id="text.47"/> obtained a
value of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M327" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3.5</mml:mn><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.6</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> PgC yr<inline-formula><mml:math id="M328" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> K<inline-formula><mml:math id="M329" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> over 1959–2011.
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx55" id="text.48"/> regressed the mean Mauna Loa and South Pole CO<inline-formula><mml:math id="M330" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> growth
rates against 23<inline-formula><mml:math id="M331" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> N–23<inline-formula><mml:math id="M332" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> S vegetated land temperature over
moving 20-year windows and reported effective global climate sensitivities
between <inline-formula><mml:math id="M333" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3.4</mml:mn><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.4</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> PgC yr<inline-formula><mml:math id="M334" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> K<inline-formula><mml:math id="M335" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> (during 1960–1979) and
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M336" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">5.4</mml:mn><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.4</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> PgC yr<inline-formula><mml:math id="M337" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> K<inline-formula><mml:math id="M338" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> (during 1992–2011).</p>
      <p id="d1e6548">The inversion results presented here allow us to extend these benchmarks in
two ways. As a first extension, we can evaluate to what extent the
inter-annual variations in local or averaged atmospheric CO<inline-formula><mml:math id="M339" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> growth rates
are indeed equivalent to the inter-annual variations in the global total
CO<inline-formula><mml:math id="M340" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> flux (as implicitly assumed in the above-mentioned studies) and to
what extent the global total CO<inline-formula><mml:math id="M341" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> flux is indeed representative of global
terrestrial NEE or, even more specifically, tropical NEE. This can be
evaluated here because all these time series (spatially explicit CO<inline-formula><mml:math id="M342" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>
fluxes with all their contributions, as well as the corresponding atmospheric
CO<inline-formula><mml:math id="M343" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> variations at the measurement stations) are available within the
inversion calculation. To ensure a mutually consistent treatment of these
time series, we used running yearly averages (January through December,
February through next January, etc.) of the flux time series and running
yearly differences (next January minus January, next February minus February,
etc., multiplied by 2.12 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M344" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PgC</mml:mi><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ppm</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx7" id="altparen.49"/>) of
the atmospheric CO<inline-formula><mml:math id="M345" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> time series. All these inter-annual time series were
then regressed over 1985–2016 against annual tropical land temperature
(25<inline-formula><mml:math id="M346" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> N–25<inline-formula><mml:math id="M347" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> S) derived from the same temperature field
without decadal variations as used in the NEE–<inline-formula><mml:math id="M348" display="inline"><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> inversion. The resulting
effective climate sensitivities are shown in Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F4"/>.
The sensitivities of the total CO<inline-formula><mml:math id="M349" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> flux (solid bars in the middle)
calculated from the standard inversion (black) or from the NEE–<inline-formula><mml:math id="M350" display="inline"><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> inversion
(orange) are similar to each other and fall in between the values by
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx14" id="text.50"/> and <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx54" id="text.51"/>. Part of the discrepancies between these
results can be attributed to the different time periods and the different
time series treatments (in particular, to the extent to which decadal
variability has been removed). Figure <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F4"/>, however,
reveals another reason for the<?pagebreak page2491?> discrepancies: the sensitivity of the Mauna
Loa growth rate (middle hashed blue bar) is larger than that of the global
flux (solid bars). This cannot be due to a deficiency in the inversions to
fit Mauna Loa's variability because the modelled Mauna Loa sensitivities
(hashed bars next to the middle blue bar) agree well with the observed ones.
Thus, a sensitivity calculated from the Mauna Loa growth rate <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx14" id="paren.52"><named-content content-type="pre">as
in</named-content></xref> somewhat overestimates the sensitivity of the global flux. The
Mauna Loa sensitivity is still much closer to that of the global CO<inline-formula><mml:math id="M351" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> flux
than sensitivities calculated from most other stations: southern
extratropical stations like the South Pole <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx55" id="paren.53"><named-content content-type="pre">or the mean of Mauna Loa and
the South Pole as in</named-content></xref> lead to a substantial underestimation (it is unclear why the
sensitivity reported by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx55" id="text.54"/> for the recent 1992–2011 period is
nevertheless even higher than our Mauna Loa value), while northern
extratropical stations like Point Barrow lead to an even stronger
overestimation than Mauna Loa. This suggests that using a varying mixture of
stations <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx54" id="paren.55"><named-content content-type="pre">as in</named-content></xref> can induce further errors, in particular
when possible changes in sensitivity are considered. We note that the
atmospheric inversions benefit from using multiple station records because
the transport model links the atmospheric CO<inline-formula><mml:math id="M352" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> signals to their different
areas of origin rather than the instantaneous link of the atmospheric signals
to the global flux as in the direct use of station records.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F4"><caption><p id="d1e6717">Effective large-scale inter-annual climate sensitivities
(PgC yr<inline-formula><mml:math id="M353" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> K<inline-formula><mml:math id="M354" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>) calculated from the standard inversion (black),
from the NEE–<inline-formula><mml:math id="M355" display="inline"><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> inversion (orange), or from observed atmospheric CO<inline-formula><mml:math id="M356" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>
(blue). The sensitivities refer to inter-annual variations in the CO<inline-formula><mml:math id="M357" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>
growth rate at three selected atmospheric stations (Point Barrow, Alaska (BRW),
Mauna Loa, Hawaii (MLO), and the South Pole (SPO), diagonally hashed), in the
global total CO<inline-formula><mml:math id="M358" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> exchange (solid bars), in the global terrestrial NEE
(horizontally hashed), or in tropical NEE (25<inline-formula><mml:math id="M359" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> N–90<inline-formula><mml:math id="M360" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> S,
vertically hashed), all regressed against inter-annual variations in air
temperature averaged across tropical land (25<inline-formula><mml:math id="M361" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> N–25<inline-formula><mml:math id="M362" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> S)
over 1985–2016. The red line surrounded by grey shading denotes the result
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M363" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">5.1</mml:mn><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.9</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> PgC yr<inline-formula><mml:math id="M364" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> K<inline-formula><mml:math id="M365" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx14" id="text.56"/>, even though
it is calculated in a slightly different way.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=162.180709pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://bg.copernicus.org/articles/15/2481/2018/bg-15-2481-2018-f04.pdf"/>

        </fig>

      <p id="d1e6861">Care is also needed in the interpretation of the estimated effective sensitivities:
the sensitivity of the total CO<inline-formula><mml:math id="M366" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> flux (solid bars) underestimates
that of global NEE only (horizontally hashed bars)
because the ocean flux
is substantially anti-correlated with NEE on the inter-annual timescale.
The sensitivity of tropical-only NEE (vertically hashed bars)
is smaller than that of global NEE,
though the reduction is less than according to the ratio of land area,
confirming the dominance of tropical NEE variations.</p>
      <p id="d1e6874">As a second extension of process model benchmarking, the data-based estimates
of the spatially and seasonally resolved <inline-formula><mml:math id="M367" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">γ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>NEE-</mml:mtext><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> from the
NEE–<inline-formula><mml:math id="M368" display="inline"><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> inversion can directly be employed as target values by regressing
the NEE simulated by the terrestrial biosphere or Earth system model against
the model temperature for individual small regions and seasons across the
years 1985–2016 and comparing these model-derived local and season-specific
sensitivities to the data-based values presented here (using the ensemble of
sensitivity cases as a measure of uncertainty in <inline-formula><mml:math id="M369" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">γ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>NEE-</mml:mtext><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>).
Importantly, before regressing, the model NEE and temperature fields need to
be deseasonalized, detrended, and filtered in the same way as done for
the observed temperature in the
NEE–<inline-formula><mml:math id="M370" display="inline"><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> inversion (Sect. <xref ref-type="sec" rid="Ch1.S2.SS2"/>) because the numerical
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M371" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">γ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>NEE-</mml:mtext><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> values are somewhat specific to the chosen
filtering, in particular to the exact way to remove decadal variations (as is
also the case for the effective global climate sensitivity targets by
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx14" id="altparen.57"/>, and <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx54 bib1.bibx55" id="altparen.58"/>). For the northern
extratropics, where <inline-formula><mml:math id="M372" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">γ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>NEE-</mml:mtext><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is quite robustly constrained
and shows distinct spatial and seasonal patterns
(Sect. <xref ref-type="sec" rid="Ch1.S3.SS1"/>), this offers a much more detailed
benchmark of the process representation in the models than the existing
single-valued effective climate sensitivity of the global CO<inline-formula><mml:math id="M373" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> growth rate.
For the tropics, unfortunately <inline-formula><mml:math id="M374" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">γ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>NEE-</mml:mtext><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is not constrained
well enough to do that, but due to the fact that pan-tropical NEE variations
are nevertheless quite robust (Sect. <xref ref-type="sec" rid="Ch1.S4.SS2"/>), the
effective climate sensitivity of tropical NEE from
Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F4"/> (4.2 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M375" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PgC</mml:mi><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">yr</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup><mml:mspace width="0.125em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">K</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> with a range
across the sensitivity cases of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M376" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3.8</mml:mn><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">…</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">4.4</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M377" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PgC</mml:mi><mml:mspace width="0.125em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">yr</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">K</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>)
may be used as a specifically tropical target instead.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S4.SS4">
  <title>Could the results be improved by using a multivariate regression
against further climatic variables?</title>
      <p id="d1e7056">We also tested the algorithm with precipitation (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M378" display="inline"><mml:mi>P</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>) or solar radiation as
explanatory variables, individually or in multivariate combinations (not
shown). While, for example, an NEE–<inline-formula><mml:math id="M379" display="inline"><mml:mi>P</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> inversion had almost as good an
explanatory power as the NEE–<inline-formula><mml:math id="M380" display="inline"><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> inversion, a multivariate NEE–<inline-formula><mml:math id="M381" display="inline"><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>–<inline-formula><mml:math id="M382" display="inline"><mml:mi>P</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>
inversion did not explain much more NEE variations than the univariate
NEE–<inline-formula><mml:math id="M383" display="inline"><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> inversion did already. This confirms the strong background
correlations of air temperature with the other climate variables on
inter-annual timescales. It also means that a multivariate regression would
– despite a mathematically<?pagebreak page2492?> unique partitioning into contributions of the
individual explanatory variables – likely not yield a uniquely interpretable
attribution of NEE variability to different causes.</p>
      <p id="d1e7102">Given that, a univariate NEE–<inline-formula><mml:math id="M384" display="inline"><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> inversion seems advantageous because <inline-formula><mml:math id="M385" display="inline"><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>
likely has data sets best constrained by observations. As a regression is
confined to the variability present in the explanatory variables, using less
well-observed or even modelled variables (as would be the case for
precipitation or cloud cover) involves the risk of contamination.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S5" sec-type="conclusions">
  <title>Conclusions and outlook</title>
      <p id="d1e7126">The response of net ecosystem exchange (NEE) to climate anomalies has been
estimated by linear regression against anomalies in air temperature (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M386" display="inline"><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>)
within an atmospheric inversion based on a set of long-term atmospheric
CO<inline-formula><mml:math id="M387" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> observations. The resulting spatially and seasonally resolved
regression coefficients <inline-formula><mml:math id="M388" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">γ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>NEE-</mml:mtext><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> are interpreted as an
inter-annual climate sensitivity comprising the direct temperature response
as well as responses to co-varying anomalies in other environmental
conditions (e.g. moisture, radiation)
(Sect. <xref ref-type="sec" rid="Ch1.S4.SS4"/>).</p>
      <p id="d1e7161"><list list-type="bullet">
          <list-item>

      <p id="d1e7166">The inferred inter-annual climate sensitivity <inline-formula><mml:math id="M389" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">γ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>NEE-</mml:mtext><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> shows distinct and interpretable patterns along latitude and season. In
particular, we find negative <inline-formula><mml:math id="M390" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">γ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>NEE-</mml:mtext><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> during spring and
autumn (consistent with a temperature-limited photosynthesis) and positive
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M391" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">γ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>NEE-</mml:mtext><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> during summer (consistent with a water-limited
photosynthesis) in all northern extratropical ecosystems
(Sect. <xref ref-type="sec" rid="Ch1.S3.SS1"/>).</p>
          </list-item>
          <list-item>

      <p id="d1e7216">Despite the complexity of the underlying plant and ecosystem processes, the
spatially and seasonally resolved linear regression of NEE against
temperature anomalies (taken as climate proxy) fitted to atmospheric CO<inline-formula><mml:math id="M392" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>
data can reproduce a large fraction of inter-annual
variations in the NEE, at least in the northern
extratropics. This conclusion is based on the agreement of the inferred NEE
variations with a time-explicit atmospheric inversion at well-constrained
large spatial scales (Sect. <xref ref-type="sec" rid="Ch1.S3.SS2"/>) and the consistency of
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M393" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">γ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>NEE-</mml:mtext><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> with independent calculations from eddy covariance
data at small spatial scales (Sect. <xref ref-type="sec" rid="Ch1.S3.SS3"/>). Among the
reasons for this potentially surprising finding is that the regression is
only applied to the inter-annual anomalies of NEE around its mean seasonal
cycle (rather than to the full range of seasonal temperature variations) and
that the different behaviours in different seasons have been accounted for.</p>
          </list-item>
        </list></p>
      <p id="d1e7248"><?xmltex \hack{\newpage}?>The results of the NEE–<inline-formula><mml:math id="M394" display="inline"><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> inversion can be applied to benchmark process
models of the land biosphere or Earth system models: the spatially and
seasonally resolved inter-annual climate sensitivity
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M395" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">γ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>NEE-</mml:mtext><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> can be calculated from the model output (using
detrended NEE over the period 1985–2016 for consistency) and compared to
the values presented here; this allows for a more detailed benchmark for the
northern extratropical ecosystem processes than existing effective global
sensitivities. Further, as its adjustable degrees of freedom are identically
applied every year, the regression offers a way to bridge temporal gaps in
the atmospheric CO<inline-formula><mml:math id="M396" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> records; it transfers information from the recent
data-rich years into the more data-sparse past. Similarly, the NEE–<inline-formula><mml:math id="M397" display="inline"><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>
regression allows us to forecast the CO<inline-formula><mml:math id="M398" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> flux for some years if forecasted
air temperatures (and extrapolations of fossil fuel emissions and the ocean
exchange) are available. As another application, the regression may help to
uncover smaller decadal trends in the atmospheric CO<inline-formula><mml:math id="M399" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> signal by separating
them from the larger inter-annual responses of NEE. By extending the
calculation to the full period of atmospheric CO<inline-formula><mml:math id="M400" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> measurements (since the
late 1950s; see <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx50" id="altparen.59"/>), we can investigate possible
decadal changes in the inter-annual climate sensitivity
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M401" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">γ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>NEE-</mml:mtext><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>.</p>
</sec>

      
      </body>
    <back><notes notes-type="dataavailability">

      <p id="d1e7338">The inversion results are available for use in
collaborative projects from the Jena CarboScope website at
<uri>http://www.BGC-Jena.mpg.de/CarboScope/</uri>
(<uri>http://dx.doi.org/10.17871/CarboScope-s85oc_v4.1s</uri>,
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx46" id="altparen.60"/>;
<uri>http://dx.doi.org/10.17871/CarboScope-s04XocNEET_v4.1s</uri>,
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx47" id="altparen.61"/>).</p>
  </notes><?xmltex \hack{\clearpage}?><app-group>

<?pagebreak page2493?><app id="App1.Ch1.S1">
  <?xmltex \opttitle{More specification details of\hack{\break} the inversion algorithm}?><title>More specification details of<?xmltex \hack{\break}?> the inversion algorithm</title>
      <p id="d1e7368">This Appendix first reviews the base set-up and implementation of the Jena
CarboScope atmospheric CO<inline-formula><mml:math id="M402" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> inversion in its current version 4.1, from
which the particular runs used in this study are derived
(Sect. <xref ref-type="sec" rid="App1.Ch1.S1.SS1"/>). Section <xref ref-type="sec" rid="App1.Ch1.S1.SS2"/> gives
differences of the run s85oc_v4.1s used as standard inversion here. The
further differences of the NEE–<inline-formula><mml:math id="M403" display="inline"><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> inversion s85ocNEET_v4.1s have already
been described in Sect. <xref ref-type="sec" rid="Ch1.S2.SS2"/>.</p>
      <p id="d1e7393">For more details, formulas, or deeper explanations, the reader is referred to
the technical report of <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx45" id="text.62"/>.</p>
<sec id="App1.Ch1.S1.SS1">
  <?xmltex \opttitle{The Jena CarboScope atmospheric\hack{\break} CO${}_{2}$ inversion v4.1}?><title>The Jena CarboScope atmospheric<?xmltex \hack{\break}?> CO<inline-formula><mml:math id="M404" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> inversion v4.1</title>
      <p id="d1e7416">The Jena CarboScope CO<inline-formula><mml:math id="M405" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> inversion is a linear Bayesian atmospheric
inversion estimating land–atmosphere and ocean–atmosphere CO<inline-formula><mml:math id="M406" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> fluxes
from long-term atmospheric CO<inline-formula><mml:math id="M407" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> mole fraction measurements
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx45" id="paren.63"/>. As the Jena CarboScope is particularly focused on
inter-annual variations, flux estimates are only used over time periods
homogeneously covered by all data records to avoid spurious jumps (or changes
in the amplitude of variations) that can result from changes in the station
set over time. To deal with the fact that many of today's measurement
stations came into operation at various points in time during the last
decades, the Jena CarboScope provides several runs, either over longer
periods (the longest one currently being 1976–2016) with only a few stations
or runs with more stations (currently up to 59) but correspondingly shorter
periods. Despite these different “periods of validity”, however, all base
runs are carried out over 1955–2017, which includes time for spin-up and
spin-down to minimize “edge effects”. The Jena CarboScope inversion is
regularly updated, mostly yearly to include the latest year of measurements.
These updates may also involve some changes in the station sets according to
data availability, as well as changes in the inversion set-up and
implementation details. All results are available for use in collaborative
projects from the Jena CarboScope website at
<uri>http://www.BGC-Jena.mpg.de/CarboScope/</uri>.</p>
      <p id="d1e7452">The following provides some specification details for the current version
4.1 of the CarboScope inversion, also pointing out changes with respect to
the previous version 3.8.</p>
<sec id="App1.Ch1.S1.SS1.SSS1">
  <title>Grid resolution</title>
      <p id="d1e7460">The CO<inline-formula><mml:math id="M408" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> fluxes have a daily time resolution and are represented on the
grid of the transport model (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M409" display="inline"><mml:mo>≈</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 4<inline-formula><mml:math id="M410" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M411" display="inline"><mml:mo>×</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 5<inline-formula><mml:math id="M412" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>, see
below).</p>
</sec>
<sec id="App1.Ch1.S1.SS1.SSS2">
  <title>Prior information</title>
      <p id="d1e7510">Bayesian prior information is used to regularize the otherwise
underdetermined estimation. However, none of the basic CarboScope inversion
runs involve any information from terrestrial and oceanic carbon cycle
models in order to transparently base the results on atmospheric information
and thus to allow for an independent comparison to process models or to empirical
models like the NEE–<inline-formula><mml:math id="M413" display="inline"><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> inversion.</p>
      <p id="d1e7520">The a priori probability distribution of the fluxes is not directly
implemented through a covariance matrix, but indirectly through a statistical
“flux model” that expresses the spatio-temporal CO<inline-formula><mml:math id="M414" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> flux field as a
linear function of a vector of independent adjustable dimensionless
parameters with zero mean and unit variance. This makes it easy to specify,
e.g. timescale-dependent statistical properties, or to simultaneously
specify temporal and spatial a priori correlations.</p>
      <p id="d1e7532">The prior flux of all <italic>land NEE components</italic> is zero. This means that
the “error” in this prior is identical to the land CO<inline-formula><mml:math id="M415" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> flux itself;
i.e. the a priori probability density describes the expected statistical
properties of NEE. Its a priori uncertainties are proportional to the
fraction of vegetated land area in each pixel taken as the sum of “crop”,
“dbf”, “dnf”, “ebf”, “enf”, “grass”, and “shrub” fractions from
<?xmltex \hack{\mbox\bgroup}?>SYNMAP<?xmltex \hack{\egroup}?> <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx25" id="paren.64"/>. The results of the v4.1 inversions on larger
spatial scales are still quite similar to v3.8 (which still used
spatial patterns of a priori uncertainty derived from model output),
confirming that the variability was not driven by these spatial patterns. The
largest difference of v4.1 results to previous versions is a smaller
amplitude of inter-annual variations in the tropical land fluxes.</p>
      <p id="d1e7554">NEE adjustments are split into the temporal mean, a large-scale mean
seasonality, and (inter-annual) variations. The large-scale mean seasonality
has a priori correlations of about 3825 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M416" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">km</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> longitudinally,
1275 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M417" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">km</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> latitudinally, and about 4 weeks in time. The correlation
lengths of the other two flux contributions are about 1600 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M418" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">km</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>
longitudinally and about 800 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M419" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">km</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> latitudinally and in the
“variations” part 2 weeks in time. For practical reasons, the temporal
variations in all adjustable terms are implemented as Fourier series. The
temporal correlations can then simply be implemented by downweighting the a
priori uncertainties of the Fourier modes with higher frequencies according
to the spectrum corresponding to the desired autocorrelation function. The
split into long-term, seasonal, and non-seasonal contributions can be
implemented by simply activating only the corresponding
part of the Fourier series. Note that not only the “mean seasonality” part
but also the “variations” part contains seasonal Fourier terms to allow
seasonal variability to also be adjusted on the smaller spatial scales.</p>
      <?pagebreak page2494?><p id="d1e7586"><italic>Ocean fluxes</italic> are implemented analogously to land NEE, with a priori
uncertainties proportional to the ocean fraction and slightly longer
a priori spatial correlations (about 1912 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M420" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">km</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> longitudinally and about
956 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M421" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">km</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> latitudinally). In contrast to land NEE, however, the mean
spatial flux pattern and its mean seasonal cycle are not adjusted, but
prescribed to the mean seasonal cycle of the flux estimates oc_v1.4
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx49" id="paren.65"><named-content content-type="pre">update of</named-content></xref> based on an interpolation of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M422" display="inline"><mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>CO<inline-formula><mml:math id="M423" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>
data from the SOCATv4 database <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx4" id="paren.66"/>. Only the (inter-annual)
ocean flux variability can be adjusted by the inversion in the basic v4.1
runs (see the difference in the present “standard inversion” in
Sect. <xref ref-type="sec" rid="App1.Ch1.S1.SS2"/> below).</p>
      <p id="d1e7632">The <italic>fossil fuel emission</italic> prior is taken from monthly values of CDIAC
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx2" id="paren.67"/>. The years after 2013 have been extrapolated by global
scaling factors based on the ratios in the emission totals from
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx31" id="text.68"><named-content content-type="post">update for year 2016</named-content></xref>. There are no inverse adjustments
to fossil fuel emissions.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="App1.Ch1.S1.SS1.SSS3">
  <title>Data treatment</title>
      <p id="d1e7653">The CarboScope inversion uses the individual data points in the atmospheric
CO<inline-formula><mml:math id="M424" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> records (flask pair values or hourly averages). In order
to prevent the in situ records with hourly data from dominating the result, a
“data density weighting” has been implemented. It artificially increases
the model–data mismatch uncertainty of data points from dense records in such
a way that weekly periods of data always have the same impact on the results.</p>
      <p id="d1e7665">The individual CO<inline-formula><mml:math id="M425" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> data points are <italic>screened for outliers</italic> by a
“<inline-formula><mml:math id="M426" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">σ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> criterion” (newly introduced in CarboScope version v4.1): a
pre-run of the inversion is done using the base CarboScope set-up and a
large set of stations potentially used in later runs. Then, the CO<inline-formula><mml:math id="M427" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> mole
fraction residuals between a forward run from the posterior fluxes and the
data are considered. For each station, data points are removed if their
residual is larger than 2 standard deviations across all residuals of that
station. This procedure is similar to the outlier flagging done routinely by
many atmospheric data providers. By doing it within the inversion, the
deficiencies of the transport model in reproducing small-scale circulation are
taken into account to some extent. The procedure can also be understood as an
approximate way to implement a non-Gaussian probability density for the
model–data mismatch: as residuals larger than <inline-formula><mml:math id="M428" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">σ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> are very unlikely in
the Gaussian distribution, an inversion assuming Gaussian model–data
mismatches will respond strongly to “outliers” to reduce these mismatches;
in contrast, the “<inline-formula><mml:math id="M429" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">σ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> screening” effectively assigns an infinitely
large uncertainty to these data points. The results mostly stay similar after
this screening, but some flux anomalies get removed. In most cases, these
anomalies were unrobust in that they were dampened much faster than other
anomalies when increasing the strength of the prior constraint (parameter
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M430" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">μ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> in <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx45" id="altparen.69"/>). For example, many of the spikes in the
CO<inline-formula><mml:math id="M431" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> record of station KEY and their effect on the CO<inline-formula><mml:math id="M432" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> flux estimates
for northern temperate America are removed by the screening. We interpret
these spikes as the influence of local fossil fuel emissions, which would be
mistaken by the inversion as regional signals. This interpretation is
supported by the fact that more and more of these spikes occur in the more
recent decades. The introduction of the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M433" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">σ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> screening made it possible
to re-add further stations with pronounced spikes, such as station TAP.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="App1.Ch1.S1.SS1.SSS4">
  <title>Further implementation details</title>
      <p id="d1e7764"><italic>Atmospheric tracer transport</italic> in the global CarboScope inversions is
simulated by the TM3 model <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx24" id="paren.70"/> (resolution
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M434" display="inline"><mml:mo>≈</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 4<inline-formula><mml:math id="M435" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M436" display="inline"><mml:mo>×</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 5<inline-formula><mml:math id="M437" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M438" display="inline"><mml:mo>×</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 19 layers) driven by
meteorological fields from the NCEP reanalysis <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx27" id="paren.71"/>. Since
CarboScope v4.1, NCEP has been used again (rather than ERA-Interim) as only NCEP is currently
available before 1980.</p>
      <p id="d1e7815">The <italic>cost function minimization</italic> uses the conjugate gradient
algorithm enhanced by a re-orthonormalization after each iteration to avoid
the usual degradation of the convergence rate. The re-orthonormalization
requires storing the state vectors and gradients of all iterations
performed, which opens the additional possibility of also recalculating the
solution for tighter prior constraints without the need to run the
iterative minimization again. It also accumulates information about the
a posteriori covariance matrix, though the actual calculation of matrix
elements generally needs further dedicated iterations.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="App1.Ch1.S1.SS2">
  <?xmltex \opttitle{The standard inversion s85oc\_v4.1s}?><title>The standard inversion s85oc_v4.1s</title>
      <p id="d1e7829">In comparison to the basic v4.1 runs (Sect. <xref ref-type="sec" rid="App1.Ch1.S1.SS1"/>),
the particular run s85oc_v4.1s involves three specifics or differences.</p>
      <p id="d1e7834">The station set s85v21 is used, comprising the 23 stations marked with <inline-formula><mml:math id="M439" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>*</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>
in Table <xref ref-type="table" rid="Ch1.T1"/>.</p>
      <p id="d1e7848">The calculation is done over the shorter period 1980–2017 (indicated by the
appended “s” in the version tag).</p>
      <p id="d1e7851">The entire <italic>ocean flux</italic> (including inter-annual variations) is fixed to
the CarboScope estimates oc_v1.5 <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx49" id="paren.72"><named-content content-type="pre">update of</named-content></xref> based
on an interpolation of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M440" display="inline"><mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>CO<inline-formula><mml:math id="M441" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> data from the SOCATv5 database
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx4" id="paren.73"/>. Fixed ocean fluxes are used here because atmospheric
inversions are known to have limited capability to correctly assign signals
to land or ocean <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx41" id="paren.74"/>. While this error is relatively
small for the land fluxes, it means a large relative error for the ocean
fluxes because the ocean variability is much smaller than the land
variability. The <inline-formula><mml:math id="M442" display="inline"><mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>CO<inline-formula><mml:math id="M443" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> data offer a much closer constraint on ocean
CO<inline-formula><mml:math id="M444" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> fluxes in well-observed regions (northern extratropics, tropical
Pacific) and constrain at least some features (seasonality, decadal trends)
in most ocean areas. (For the NEE–<inline-formula><mml:math id="M445" display="inline"><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> inversion, fixed ocean fluxes are
particularly beneficial because they avoid the need for time-dependent degrees
of freedom.)</p><?xmltex \hack{\clearpage}?>
</sec>
</app>
  </app-group><notes notes-type="competinginterests">

      <p id="d1e7923">The authors declare that they have no conflict of
interest.</p>
  </notes><notes notes-type="sistatement">

      <p id="d1e7929">This article is part of the special issue “The 10th
International Carbon Dioxide Conference (ICDC10) and the 19th WMO/IAEA
Meeting on Carbon Dioxide, other Greenhouse Gases and Related Measurement
Techniques (GGMT-2017) (AMT/ACP/BG/CP/ESD inter-journal SI)”. It is a result
of the 10th International Carbon Dioxide Conference, Interlaken, Switzerland,
21–25 August 2017.</p>
  </notes><ack><title>Acknowledgements</title><p id="d1e7935">This study would not be possible without the sustained work of many
colleagues involved in the measurement and distribution of atmospheric CO<inline-formula><mml:math id="M446" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>
data; we would like to thank them all for their support. We are grateful to
Luiz Aragão, Pierre Gentine, Martin Jung, Eric Kort, and
Markus Reichstein for inspiring discussions. We would like to thank the staff
of the DKRZ supercomputing centre for their great support, in particular
Hendryk Bockelmann for optimizing the inversion and TM3 codes. We gratefully
acknowledge that this work uses eddy covariance data acquired and shared by
the FLUXNET community, including these networks: AmeriFlux, AfriFlux,
AsiaFlux, CarboAfrica, CarboEuropeIP, CarboItaly, CarboMont, ChinaFlux,
Fluxnet-Canada, GreenGrass, ICOS, KoFlux, LBA, NECC, OzFlux-TERN,
TCOS-Siberia, and USCCC. The FLUXNET eddy covariance data processing and
harmonization was carried out by the European Fluxes Database Cluster, the
AmeriFlux Management Project, and the Fluxdata project of FLUXNET with the
support of the CDIAC and ICOS Ecosystem Thematic Center and the OzFlux,
ChinaFlux, and AsiaFlux offices. This project was supported in part by the US
NSF and the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) under grants
1304270 and NNX17AE74G.<?xmltex \hack{\newline}?><?xmltex \hack{\newline}?> The article processing
charges for this open-access <?xmltex \hack{\newline}?> publication were covered by the
Max Planck Society.<?xmltex \hack{\newline}?><?xmltex \hack{\newline}?>Edited by: Christoph
Heinze<?xmltex \hack{\newline}?> Reviewed by: two anonymous referees</p></ack><ref-list>
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<abstract-html><p>The response of the terrestrial net ecosystem exchange (NEE) of CO<sub>2</sub> to
climate variations and trends may crucially determine the future climate
trajectory. Here we directly quantify this response on inter-annual
timescales by building a linear regression of inter-annual NEE anomalies
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<q>inter-annual climate sensitivity</q>. We find distinct seasonal patterns of
this sensitivity in the northern extratropics that are consistent with the
expected seasonal responses of photosynthesis, respiration, and fire. Within
uncertainties, these sensitivity patterns are consistent with independent
inferences from eddy covariance data. On large spatial scales, northern
extratropical and tropical inter-annual NEE variations inferred from the NEE–<i>T</i>
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explicit inter-annual degrees of freedom. The results of this study offer a
way to benchmark ecosystem process models in more detail than existing
effective global climate sensitivities. The results can also be used to
gap-fill or extrapolate observational records or to separate inter-annual
variations from longer-term trends.</p></abstract-html>
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