Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-2021-31
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-2021-31

  12 Feb 2021

12 Feb 2021

Review status: this preprint is currently under review for the journal BG.

Retracing Hypoxia in Eckernförde Bight (Baltic Sea)

Heiner Dietze and Ulrike Löptien Heiner Dietze and Ulrike Löptien
  • Institut für Geowissenschaften, CAU Kiel, Ludewig-Meyn-Str. 10, 24118 Kiel, Germany

Abstract. In recent years, upwelling events of low-oxygenated deep water have been repeatedly observed in Eckernförde Bight (EB) situated in the Baltic Sea, Germany. Many of these events were related to massive fish-kill incidents – with negative consequences for commercial fisheries and tourism. The aim of this study is to dissect underlying mechanisms and to explore the potential of existing monitoring programs to predict these events. Our main tool is an ultra-high spatially resolved general ocean circulation model which drives an elementary representation of the biogeochemical dynamics of dissolved oxygen (dubbed MOMBE and EckO2, respectively). In addition, we integrate artificial clocks that measure the residence time of the water in EB along with timescales of (surface) ventilation. We present an ensemble of hind cast model simulations, covering the period from 2000 up to 2018, designed to cover a range of poorly known model parameters for vertical background mixing (diffusivity) and local oxygen consumption within EB. Our results indicate that the dynamics of low (hypoxic) oxygen concentrations in bottom waters deep inside EB is, to first order, determined by the following antagonistic processes: (1) the inflow of low-oxygenated water from the Kiel Bight (KB) – especially from July to October and (2) the local ventilation of bottom waters by local (within EB) subduction and vertical mixing. Biogeochemical processes that consume oxygen locally, are apparently of minor importance for the development of hypoxic events. Reverse reasoning suggests that subduction and mixing processes in EB contribute, under certain environmental conditions, to the ventilation of the KB by exporting recently-ventilated waters enriched in oxygen. A detailed analysis of the 2017 fish-kill incident highlights the interplay between westerly winds importing hypoxia from KB and ventilating easterly winds which subduct oxygenated water. Finally, we explore the capabilities of – comparably computationally cheap – feed-forward artificial neuronal networks to forecast hypoxia deep in EB based on data at a monitoring site at the entrance of EB.

Heiner Dietze and Ulrike Löptien

Status: open (until 01 Apr 2021)

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse

Heiner Dietze and Ulrike Löptien

Video supplement

Frühwarnsystem Upwelling (FRAM) Heiner Dietze and Ulrike Löptien https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.4271941

Heiner Dietze and Ulrike Löptien

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Short summary
In recent years fish-kill events caused by oxygen deficit have been reported in Eckernförde Bight (Baltic Sea). This study sets out to understand the processes causing respective oxyxgen deficits by combining high resolution coupled ocean-circulation biogeochemical modelling, monitoring data and artificial intelligence.
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