Articles | Volume 12, issue 5
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-12-1317-2015
© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-12-1317-2015
© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Research article
| 
03 Mar 2015
Research article |
| 03 Mar 2015
Climate and land use change impacts on global terrestrial ecosystems and river flows in the HadGEM2-ES Earth system model using the representative concentration pathways
R. A. Betts
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Met Office Hadley Centre, FitzRoy Road, Exeter, EX1 3PB, UK
College of Life and Environmental Sciences, University of Exeter, Hatherley Laboratories, Prince of Wales Road, Exeter, EX4 4PS, UK
N. Golding
Met Office Hadley Centre, FitzRoy Road, Exeter, EX1 3PB, UK
P. Gonzalez
Natural Resource Stewardship and Science, US National Park Service, Washington, DC 20005-5905, USA
J. Gornall
Met Office Hadley Centre, FitzRoy Road, Exeter, EX1 3PB, UK
R. Kahana
Met Office Hadley Centre, FitzRoy Road, Exeter, EX1 3PB, UK
G. Kay
Met Office Hadley Centre, FitzRoy Road, Exeter, EX1 3PB, UK
L. Mitchell
Met Office Hadley Centre, FitzRoy Road, Exeter, EX1 3PB, UK
A. Wiltshire
Met Office Hadley Centre, FitzRoy Road, Exeter, EX1 3PB, UK
Viewed
Total article views: 10,707 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 02 Apr 2013)
| HTML | XML | Total | BibTeX | EndNote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5,260 | 4,854 | 593 | 10,707 | 461 | 389 |
- HTML: 5,260
- PDF: 4,854
- XML: 593
- Total: 10,707
- BibTeX: 461
- EndNote: 389
Total article views: 8,136 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 03 Mar 2015)
| HTML | XML | Total | BibTeX | EndNote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3,959 | 3,635 | 542 | 8,136 | 449 | 383 |
- HTML: 3,959
- PDF: 3,635
- XML: 542
- Total: 8,136
- BibTeX: 449
- EndNote: 383
Total article views: 2,571 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 02 Apr 2013)
| HTML | XML | Total | BibTeX | EndNote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1,301 | 1,219 | 51 | 2,571 | 12 | 6 |
- HTML: 1,301
- PDF: 1,219
- XML: 51
- Total: 2,571
- BibTeX: 12
- EndNote: 6
Cited
42 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Predicting distribution of major forest tree species to potential impacts of climate change in the central Himalayan region A. Chakraborty et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecoleng.2016.10.006
- Skillful seasonal prediction of key carbon cycle components: NPP and fire risk P. Bett et al. https://doi.org/10.1088/2515-7620/ab8b29
- Land use and land cover dynamics: Implications for thermal stress and energy demands O. Adeyeri et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2023.113274
- Anthropogenic Land Use and Land Cover Changes—A Review on Its Environmental Consequences and Climate Change P. Roy et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12524-022-01569-w
- Pasture intensification is insufficient to relieve pressure on conservation priority areas in open agricultural markets U. Kreidenweis et al. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.14272
- Functional integrity of freshwater forested wetlands, hydrologic alteration, and climate change B. Middleton & N. Souter https://doi.org/10.1002/ehs2.1200
- How much CO2 at 1.5 °C and 2 °C? R. Betts & D. McNeall https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0199-5
- Comparing optimal and empirical stomatal conductance models for application in Earth system models P. Franks et al. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.14445
- Non-linear interactions between $$\hbox {CO}_2$$ CO 2 radiative and physiological effects on Amazonian evapotranspiration in an Earth system model K. Halladay & P. Good https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-016-3449-0
- Implications of 2 °C global warming in European summer tourism M. Grillakis et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cliser.2016.01.002
- Assessment of climate change and its impact on hydrological regimes and biomass yield of a tropical river basin U. Mandal et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2021.107646
- Global Climate Responses to Land Use and Land Cover Changes Over the Past Two Millennia M. Yan et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos8040064
- Climate Change and Its Impacts on Water Resources in the Bandama Basin, Côte D’ivoire G. Soro et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology4010018
- Challenges for drought assessment in the Mediterranean region under future climate scenarios Y. Tramblay et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.earscirev.2020.103348
- Climate Change and Increased Irrigation Demands: What Is Left for Hydropower Generation? Results from Two Semi-Arid Basins T. Bakken et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/en9030191
- Increasing human dominance of tropical forests S. Lewis et al. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aaa9932
- Remote land use impacts on river flows through atmospheric teleconnections L. Wang-Erlandsson et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-4311-2018
- From past to future: impact of climate change on range shifts and genetic diversity patterns of circumboreal plants A. Wróblewska & P. Mirski https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-017-1208-3
- Will Fire Danger Be Reduced by Using Solar Radiation Management to Limit Global Warming to 1.5 °C Compared to 2.0 °C? C. Burton et al. https://doi.org/10.1002/2018GL077848
- From statistics to grids: A two-level model to simulate crop pattern dynamics X. Tian et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/S2095-3119(21)63713-9
- Representation of fire, land-use change and vegetation dynamics in the Joint UK Land Environment Simulator vn4.9 (JULES) C. Burton et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-12-179-2019
- The response of wildfire regimes to Last Glacial Maximum carbon dioxide and climate O. Haas et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-20-3981-2023
- Environmental flows and its satisfaction degree forecasting in the Yellow River Y. Hua & B. Cui https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2017.02.017
- Human activities affect the future suitability of alien urban landscape species in China under climate change W. Mou et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2025.124899
- Future fire weather projections show the importance of mitigation and adaptation for dynamic fire management I. Taylor et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-4257-2026
- Effects of vegetation shift from needleleaf to broadleaf species on forest soil CO2 emission J. Lee et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.158907
- Introduction to the Special Issue on Soil Hydrology E. Varouchakis & E. Taguas https://doi.org/10.1097/SS.0000000000000169
- Caddisfly (Insecta: Trichoptera) diversity in the Ozarks and tallgrass prairie transitional zone, Arkansas and Missouri, USA D. Bowles https://doi.org/10.1080/11956860.2020.1772611
- South American fires and their impacts on ecosystems increase with continued emissions C. Burton et al. https://doi.org/10.1002/cli2.8
- The tropical forest carbon cycle and climate change E. Mitchard https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-018-0300-2
- Forest Fire History in Amazonia Inferred From Intensive Soil Charcoal Sampling and Radiocarbon Dating T. Feldpausch et al. https://doi.org/10.3389/ffgc.2022.815438
- SWAT-MODSIM-PSO optimization of multi-crop planning in the Karkheh River Basin, Iran, under the impacts of climate change M. Fereidoon & M. Koch https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.02.234
- Effects of climate and land‐use change scenarios on fire probability during the 21st century in the Brazilian Amazon M. Fonseca et al. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.14709
- Vulnerability of agro-ecological zones in India under the earth system climate model scenarios R. Shukla et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11027-015-9677-5
- High-end climate change impact on European runoff and low flows – exploring the effects of forcing biases L. Papadimitriou et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-20-1785-2016
- Impact of dynamic vegetation phenology on the simulated pan-Arctic land surface state B. Teufel et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4142-2
- Impact of Climate Change on Wine Tourism: An Approach through Social Media Data V. Sottini et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/su13137489
- Projected global ground-level ozone impacts on vegetation under different emission and climate scenarios P. Sicard et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-17-12177-2017
- JULES-crop: a parametrisation of crops in the Joint UK Land Environment Simulator T. Osborne et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-8-1139-2015
- Management-induced changes in soil organic carbon on global croplands K. Karstens et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-19-5125-2022
- Changes in climate extremes, fresh water availability and vulnerability to food insecurity projected at 1.5°C and 2°C global warming with a higher-resolution global climate model R. Betts et al. https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2016.0452
- Soil quality change 50 years after forestland conversion to tea farming A. Gholoubi et al. https://doi.org/10.1071/SR18007
42 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Predicting distribution of major forest tree species to potential impacts of climate change in the central Himalayan region A. Chakraborty et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecoleng.2016.10.006
- Skillful seasonal prediction of key carbon cycle components: NPP and fire risk P. Bett et al. https://doi.org/10.1088/2515-7620/ab8b29
- Land use and land cover dynamics: Implications for thermal stress and energy demands O. Adeyeri et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2023.113274
- Anthropogenic Land Use and Land Cover Changes—A Review on Its Environmental Consequences and Climate Change P. Roy et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12524-022-01569-w
- Pasture intensification is insufficient to relieve pressure on conservation priority areas in open agricultural markets U. Kreidenweis et al. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.14272
- Functional integrity of freshwater forested wetlands, hydrologic alteration, and climate change B. Middleton & N. Souter https://doi.org/10.1002/ehs2.1200
- How much CO2 at 1.5 °C and 2 °C? R. Betts & D. McNeall https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0199-5
- Comparing optimal and empirical stomatal conductance models for application in Earth system models P. Franks et al. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.14445
- Non-linear interactions between $$\hbox {CO}_2$$ CO 2 radiative and physiological effects on Amazonian evapotranspiration in an Earth system model K. Halladay & P. Good https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-016-3449-0
- Implications of 2 °C global warming in European summer tourism M. Grillakis et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cliser.2016.01.002
- Assessment of climate change and its impact on hydrological regimes and biomass yield of a tropical river basin U. Mandal et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2021.107646
- Global Climate Responses to Land Use and Land Cover Changes Over the Past Two Millennia M. Yan et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos8040064
- Climate Change and Its Impacts on Water Resources in the Bandama Basin, Côte D’ivoire G. Soro et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology4010018
- Challenges for drought assessment in the Mediterranean region under future climate scenarios Y. Tramblay et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.earscirev.2020.103348
- Climate Change and Increased Irrigation Demands: What Is Left for Hydropower Generation? Results from Two Semi-Arid Basins T. Bakken et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/en9030191
- Increasing human dominance of tropical forests S. Lewis et al. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aaa9932
- Remote land use impacts on river flows through atmospheric teleconnections L. Wang-Erlandsson et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-4311-2018
- From past to future: impact of climate change on range shifts and genetic diversity patterns of circumboreal plants A. Wróblewska & P. Mirski https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-017-1208-3
- Will Fire Danger Be Reduced by Using Solar Radiation Management to Limit Global Warming to 1.5 °C Compared to 2.0 °C? C. Burton et al. https://doi.org/10.1002/2018GL077848
- From statistics to grids: A two-level model to simulate crop pattern dynamics X. Tian et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/S2095-3119(21)63713-9
- Representation of fire, land-use change and vegetation dynamics in the Joint UK Land Environment Simulator vn4.9 (JULES) C. Burton et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-12-179-2019
- The response of wildfire regimes to Last Glacial Maximum carbon dioxide and climate O. Haas et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-20-3981-2023
- Environmental flows and its satisfaction degree forecasting in the Yellow River Y. Hua & B. Cui https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2017.02.017
- Human activities affect the future suitability of alien urban landscape species in China under climate change W. Mou et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2025.124899
- Future fire weather projections show the importance of mitigation and adaptation for dynamic fire management I. Taylor et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-4257-2026
- Effects of vegetation shift from needleleaf to broadleaf species on forest soil CO2 emission J. Lee et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.158907
- Introduction to the Special Issue on Soil Hydrology E. Varouchakis & E. Taguas https://doi.org/10.1097/SS.0000000000000169
- Caddisfly (Insecta: Trichoptera) diversity in the Ozarks and tallgrass prairie transitional zone, Arkansas and Missouri, USA D. Bowles https://doi.org/10.1080/11956860.2020.1772611
- South American fires and their impacts on ecosystems increase with continued emissions C. Burton et al. https://doi.org/10.1002/cli2.8
- The tropical forest carbon cycle and climate change E. Mitchard https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-018-0300-2
- Forest Fire History in Amazonia Inferred From Intensive Soil Charcoal Sampling and Radiocarbon Dating T. Feldpausch et al. https://doi.org/10.3389/ffgc.2022.815438
- SWAT-MODSIM-PSO optimization of multi-crop planning in the Karkheh River Basin, Iran, under the impacts of climate change M. Fereidoon & M. Koch https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.02.234
- Effects of climate and land‐use change scenarios on fire probability during the 21st century in the Brazilian Amazon M. Fonseca et al. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.14709
- Vulnerability of agro-ecological zones in India under the earth system climate model scenarios R. Shukla et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11027-015-9677-5
- High-end climate change impact on European runoff and low flows – exploring the effects of forcing biases L. Papadimitriou et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-20-1785-2016
- Impact of dynamic vegetation phenology on the simulated pan-Arctic land surface state B. Teufel et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4142-2
- Impact of Climate Change on Wine Tourism: An Approach through Social Media Data V. Sottini et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/su13137489
- Projected global ground-level ozone impacts on vegetation under different emission and climate scenarios P. Sicard et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-17-12177-2017
- JULES-crop: a parametrisation of crops in the Joint UK Land Environment Simulator T. Osborne et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-8-1139-2015
- Management-induced changes in soil organic carbon on global croplands K. Karstens et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-19-5125-2022
- Changes in climate extremes, fresh water availability and vulnerability to food insecurity projected at 1.5°C and 2°C global warming with a higher-resolution global climate model R. Betts et al. https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2016.0452
- Soil quality change 50 years after forestland conversion to tea farming A. Gholoubi et al. https://doi.org/10.1071/SR18007
Saved (final revised paper)
Latest update: 24 Sep 2026
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint