Articles | Volume 12, issue 15
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-12-4693-2015
© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-12-4693-2015
© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Probing the past 30-year phenology trend of US deciduous forests
School of Forestry and Environmental Studies, Yale University, 195 Prospect Street, New Haven, CT 06511, USA
School of Forestry and Environmental Studies, Yale University, 195 Prospect Street, New Haven, CT 06511, USA
T. F. Keenan
Department of Biological Sciences, Macquarie University, Sydney, New South Wales 2109, Australia
X. Zhang
Geospatial Sciences Center of Excellence, South Dakota State University, Brookings, SD 57007, USA
C. S. Vogel
The University of Michigan Biological Station, Pellston, MI 49769, USA
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Short summary
We performed model inter-comparison and selected the best model capturing the spatial and temporal variations of observations to predict trends of forest phenology over the past 3 decades. Our results show that phenological trends, which are dominantly driven by temperature changes, are not uniform over the contiguous USA, with a significant spring advance in the east, an autumn delay in the northeast and west, but no evidence of change elsewhere.
We performed model inter-comparison and selected the best model capturing the spatial and...
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