Articles | Volume 13, issue 17
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-13-4877-2016
© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-13-4877-2016
© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Research article
| 
06 Sep 2016
Research article |
| 06 Sep 2016
Re-evaluating the 1940s CO2 plateau
Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, LSCE/IPSL, CEA-CNRS-UVSQ, Université Paris-Saclay, 91191 Gif-sur-Yvette, France
Philippe Ciais
Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, LSCE/IPSL, CEA-CNRS-UVSQ, Université Paris-Saclay, 91191 Gif-sur-Yvette, France
Jonathan Barichivich
Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, LSCE/IPSL, CEA-CNRS-UVSQ, Université Paris-Saclay, 91191 Gif-sur-Yvette, France
Instituto de Geografía, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Valparaíso, Valparaíso, Chile
Laurent Bopp
Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, LSCE/IPSL, CEA-CNRS-UVSQ, Université Paris-Saclay, 91191 Gif-sur-Yvette, France
Victor Brovkin
Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Bundesstraße 53, 20146 Hamburg, Germany
Thomas Gasser
Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, LSCE/IPSL, CEA-CNRS-UVSQ, Université Paris-Saclay, 91191 Gif-sur-Yvette, France
Shushi Peng
Sino-French Institute for Earth System Science, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China
Julia Pongratz
Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Bundesstraße 53, 20146 Hamburg, Germany
Nicolas Viovy
Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, LSCE/IPSL, CEA-CNRS-UVSQ, Université Paris-Saclay, 91191 Gif-sur-Yvette, France
Cathy M. Trudinger
CSIRO Oceans and Atmosphere, Aspendale, Victoria, Australia
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Cited
17 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Isotopic measurements of carbon dioxide: the role of measurement science and standards J. Meija 10.1007/s00216-023-05000-2
- Comparison of uncertainties in land-use change fluxes from bookkeeping model parameterisation A. Bastos et al. 10.5194/esd-12-745-2021
- The evolution of large-scale variations in globally averaged atmospheric CO2 concentrations since 1830 H. iz 10.1080/27669645.2022.2058688
- The compact Earth system model OSCAR v2.2: description and first results T. Gasser et al. 10.5194/gmd-10-271-2017
- Historical CO<sub>2</sub> emissions from land use and land cover change and their uncertainty T. Gasser et al. 10.5194/bg-17-4075-2020
- Dynamics of soil organic carbon in the steppes of Russia and Kazakhstan under past and future climate and land use S. Rolinski et al. 10.1007/s10113-021-01799-7
- CMIP6 simulations with the compact Earth system model OSCAR v3.1 Y. Quilcaille et al. 10.5194/gmd-16-1129-2023
- Surprising stability of recent global carbon cycling enables improved fossil fuel emission verification B. Birner et al. 10.1038/s41558-023-01761-x
- Changes to Carbon Isotopes in Atmospheric CO2 Over the Industrial Era and Into the Future H. Graven et al. 10.1029/2019GB006170
- Influence of high-latitude warming and land-use changes in the early 20th century northern Eurasian CO 2 sink A. Bastos et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/aac4d3
- Insights from Time Series of Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide and Related Tracers R. Keeling & H. Graven 10.1146/annurev-environ-012220-125406
- Revised records of atmospheric trace gases CO<sub>2</sub>, CH<sub>4</sub>, N<sub>2</sub>O, and <i>δ</i><sup>13</sup>C-CO<sub>2</sub> over the last 2000 years from Law Dome, Antarctica M. Rubino et al. 10.5194/essd-11-473-2019
- Diminishing CO2-driven gains in water-use efficiency of global forests M. Adams et al. 10.1038/s41558-020-0747-7
- Historical greenhouse gas concentrations for climate modelling (CMIP6) M. Meinshausen et al. 10.5194/gmd-10-2057-2017
- Compatible Fossil Fuel CO2 Emissions in the CMIP6 Earth System Models’ Historical and Shared Socioeconomic Pathway Experiments of the Twenty-First Century S. Liddicoat et al. 10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0991.1
- Evaluating the carbon inventory, carbon fluxes and carbon cycles for a long-term sustainable world P. Tomkins & T. Müller 10.1039/C9GC00528E
- FOCI-MOPS v1 – integration of marine biogeochemistry within the Flexible Ocean and Climate Infrastructure version 1 (FOCI 1) Earth system model C. Chien et al. 10.5194/gmd-15-5987-2022
17 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Isotopic measurements of carbon dioxide: the role of measurement science and standards J. Meija 10.1007/s00216-023-05000-2
- Comparison of uncertainties in land-use change fluxes from bookkeeping model parameterisation A. Bastos et al. 10.5194/esd-12-745-2021
- The evolution of large-scale variations in globally averaged atmospheric CO2 concentrations since 1830 H. iz 10.1080/27669645.2022.2058688
- The compact Earth system model OSCAR v2.2: description and first results T. Gasser et al. 10.5194/gmd-10-271-2017
- Historical CO<sub>2</sub> emissions from land use and land cover change and their uncertainty T. Gasser et al. 10.5194/bg-17-4075-2020
- Dynamics of soil organic carbon in the steppes of Russia and Kazakhstan under past and future climate and land use S. Rolinski et al. 10.1007/s10113-021-01799-7
- CMIP6 simulations with the compact Earth system model OSCAR v3.1 Y. Quilcaille et al. 10.5194/gmd-16-1129-2023
- Surprising stability of recent global carbon cycling enables improved fossil fuel emission verification B. Birner et al. 10.1038/s41558-023-01761-x
- Changes to Carbon Isotopes in Atmospheric CO2 Over the Industrial Era and Into the Future H. Graven et al. 10.1029/2019GB006170
- Influence of high-latitude warming and land-use changes in the early 20th century northern Eurasian CO 2 sink A. Bastos et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/aac4d3
- Insights from Time Series of Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide and Related Tracers R. Keeling & H. Graven 10.1146/annurev-environ-012220-125406
- Revised records of atmospheric trace gases CO<sub>2</sub>, CH<sub>4</sub>, N<sub>2</sub>O, and <i>δ</i><sup>13</sup>C-CO<sub>2</sub> over the last 2000 years from Law Dome, Antarctica M. Rubino et al. 10.5194/essd-11-473-2019
- Diminishing CO2-driven gains in water-use efficiency of global forests M. Adams et al. 10.1038/s41558-020-0747-7
- Historical greenhouse gas concentrations for climate modelling (CMIP6) M. Meinshausen et al. 10.5194/gmd-10-2057-2017
- Compatible Fossil Fuel CO2 Emissions in the CMIP6 Earth System Models’ Historical and Shared Socioeconomic Pathway Experiments of the Twenty-First Century S. Liddicoat et al. 10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0991.1
- Evaluating the carbon inventory, carbon fluxes and carbon cycles for a long-term sustainable world P. Tomkins & T. Müller 10.1039/C9GC00528E
- FOCI-MOPS v1 – integration of marine biogeochemistry within the Flexible Ocean and Climate Infrastructure version 1 (FOCI 1) Earth system model C. Chien et al. 10.5194/gmd-15-5987-2022
Discussed (final revised paper)
Discussed (preprint)
Latest update: 18 Apr 2024
Short summary
The ice-core record shows a stabilisation of atmospheric CO2 in the 1940s, despite continued emissions from fossil fuel burning and land-use change (LUC). We use up-to-date reconstructions of the CO2 sources and sinks over the 20th century to evaluate whether these capture the CO2 plateau and to test the previously proposed hypothesis. Both strong terrestrial sink, possibly due to LUC not fully accounted for in the records, and enhanced oceanic uptake are necessary to explain this stall.
The ice-core record shows a stabilisation of atmospheric CO2 in the 1940s, despite continued...
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Final-revised paper
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