Articles | Volume 16, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-16-117-2019
© Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Special issue:
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-16-117-2019
© Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Global atmospheric CO2 inverse models converging on neutral tropical land exchange, but disagreeing on fossil fuel and atmospheric growth rate
Atmospheric Chemistry Observations & Modeling Laboratory (ACOM), National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, USA
Britton B. Stephens
Earth Observing Laboratory (EOL), National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO,
USA
Sourish Basu
Earth System Research Laboratory, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration,
Boulder, CO, USA
Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, University of Colorado, Boulder,
CO, USA
Frédéric Chevallier
Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, Institut Pierre-Simon Laplace, CEA-CNRS-UVSQ, Gif sur Yvette, 91191 CEDEX, France
Feng Deng
Department of Physics, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada
Eric A. Kort
Climate and Space Sciences and Engineering, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA
Prabir K. Patra
RGGC/IACE/ACMPT, Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology (JAMSTEC), Yokohama 236 0001, Japan
Wouter Peters
Meteorology and Air Quality, Wageningen University, Wageningen, the Netherlands
Christian Rödenbeck
Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry, 07745 Jena, Germany
Tazu Saeki
Center for Global Environmental Research, National Institute for Environmental Studies, Tsukuba, Japan
David Schimel
Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA, USA
Ingrid Van der Laan-Luijkx
Meteorology and Air Quality, Wageningen University, Wageningen, the Netherlands
Steven Wofsy
School of Engineering and Applied Science and Department of Earth and Planetary
Sciences, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA, USA
Division of Geological and Planetary Sciences, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA, USA
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Short summary
We have compared global carbon budgets calculated from numerical inverse models and CO2 observations, and evaluated how these systems reproduce vertical gradients in atmospheric CO2 from aircraft measurements. We found that available models have converged on near-neutral tropical total fluxes for several decades, implying consistent sinks in intact tropical forests, and that assumed fossil fuel emissions and predicted atmospheric growth rates are now the dominant axes of disagreement.
We have compared global carbon budgets calculated from numerical inverse models and CO2...
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