Articles | Volume 17, issue 22
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-17-5615-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-17-5615-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Global climate response to idealized deforestation in CMIP6 models
The Land in the Earth System, Max Planck Institute for Meteorology,
Hamburg, Germany
Victor Brovkin
The Land in the Earth System, Max Planck Institute for Meteorology,
Hamburg, Germany
Center for Earth System Research and Sustainability, Universität
Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany
Julia Pongratz
The Land in the Earth System, Max Planck Institute for Meteorology,
Hamburg, Germany
Department of Geography, LMU, Munich, Germany
David M. Lawrence
Climate and Global Dynamics Laboratory, National Center for
Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, USA
Peter Lawrence
Climate and Global Dynamics Laboratory, National Center for
Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, USA
Nicolas Vuichard
Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement,
Gif-Sur-Yvette, France
Philippe Peylin
Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement,
Gif-Sur-Yvette, France
Spencer Liddicoat
Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, UK
Tomohiro Hajima
Research Institute for Global Change, Japan Agency for Marine-Earth
Science and Technology, Yokohama, Japan
Yanwu Zhang
Beijing Climate Center, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing,
China
Matthias Rocher
CNRS, Université de Toulouse, Météo-France, Toulouse,
France
Christine Delire
CNRS, Université de Toulouse, Météo-France, Toulouse,
France
Roland Séférian
CNRS, Université de Toulouse, Météo-France, Toulouse,
France
Vivek K. Arora
Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis, Environment and
Climate Change Canada, Victoria, BC, Canada
Lars Nieradzik
Department for Physical Geography and Ecosystem Science, Lund
University, Lund, Sweden
Peter Anthoni
Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Institute of Meteorology and
Climate Research/Atmospheric Environmental Research, Garmisch-Partenkirchen,
Germany
Wim Thiery
Department of Hydrology and Hydraulic
Engineering, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Brussels, Belgium
Marysa M. Laguë
Department of Earth and Planetary
Science, University of California, Berkeley, CA, USA
Deborah Lawrence
Environmental Sciences, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA,
USA
Min-Hui Lo
Department of Atmospheric Sciences, National Taiwan
University, Taipei, Taiwan
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65 citations as recorded by crossref.
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- Observed and simulated local climate responses to tropical deforestation C. Smith et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/acf0da
- The biogeophysical effects of idealized land cover and land management changes in Earth system models S. De Hertog et al. 10.5194/esd-14-629-2023
- Land Use Effects on Climate: Current State, Recent Progress, and Emerging Topics J. Pongratz et al. 10.1007/s40641-021-00178-y
- A possible deforestation-induced synoptic-scale circulation that delays the rainy season onset in Amazonia L. Commar et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/acc95f
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- Turbulent flow across a clearing-forest transition: a large eddy simulation study L. dos Reis Pinheiro et al. 10.1007/s40430-024-04834-w
- The Role of Irrigation Expansion on Historical Climate Change: Insights From CMIP6 A. Al‐Yaari et al. 10.1029/2022EF002859
63 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Local and Non‐Local Biophysical Impacts of Deforestation on Global Temperature During Boreal Summer: CMIP6‐LUMIP Multimodel Analysis S. Liu et al. 10.1029/2022JD038229
- The Biophysical Impacts of Deforestation on Precipitation: Results from the CMIP6 Model Intercomparison X. Luo et al. 10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0689.1
- Deforestation Drives Desiccation in Global Monsoon Region Y. Liang et al. 10.1029/2022EF002863
- Local temperature responses to actual land cover changes present significant latitudinal variability and asymmetry X. Liu et al. 10.1016/j.scib.2023.09.046
- A conceptual model for a generalized canopy parametrization for atmospheric models G. Cheng & K. Schlünzen 10.1002/qj.4420
- Revisiting the land use conflicts between forests and solar farms through energy efficiency P. Zhang et al. 10.1016/j.jclepro.2023.139958
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- Impacts of anthropogenic land use and land cover change on climate extremes based on CMIP6-LUMIP experiments: part II. Future period M. Zhang et al. 10.1007/s00382-023-07090-1
- Contrasting Responses of Surface Heat Fluxes to Tropical Deforestation H. Chen & M. Lo 10.1029/2022JD038118
- Call for caution regarding the efficacy of large-scale afforestation and its hydrological effects H. Douville et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.175299
- CM2Mc-LPJmL v1.0: biophysical coupling of a process-based dynamic vegetation model with managed land to a general circulation model M. Drüke et al. 10.5194/gmd-14-4117-2021
- Investigating the impact of tropical deforestation on Indian monsoon hydro-climate: a novel study using a regional climate model A. Lodh & S. Haldar 10.1007/s11069-024-06615-z
- An Evaluation of CMIP6 Models in Representing the Biophysical Effects of Deforestation With Satellite‐Based Observations X. Luo et al. 10.1029/2022JD038198
- A comparison of the climate and carbon cycle effects of carbon removal by afforestation and an equivalent reduction in fossil fuel emissions K. Jayakrishnan & G. Bala 10.5194/bg-20-1863-2023
- Future increases in Amazonia water stress from CO2 physiology and deforestation Y. Li et al. 10.1038/s44221-023-00128-y
- Soil carbon sequestration simulated in CMIP6-LUMIP models: implications for climatic mitigation A. Ito et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/abc912
- Changes in Land Cover and Management Affect Heat Stress and Labor Capacity A. Orlov et al. 10.1029/2022EF002909
- Effects of cumulus and radiation parameterization on summer surface air temperature over eastern China Z. Gao et al. 10.1007/s00382-022-06601-w
- The Climate Response to Emissions Reductions Due to COVID‐19: Initial Results From CovidMIP C. Jones et al. 10.1029/2020GL091883
- Effects on early monsoon rainfall in West Africa due to recent deforestation in a convection-permitting ensemble J. Crook et al. 10.5194/wcd-4-229-2023
- Environmental impacts of the billion tree Tsunami project in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa on the dynamics of Agro-Meteorological Droughts K. Rahman et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.132205
- Mid-Holocene European climate revisited: New high-resolution regional climate model simulations using pollen-based land-cover G. Strandberg et al. 10.1016/j.quascirev.2022.107431
- Decreased cloud cover partially offsets the cooling effects of surface albedo change due to deforestation H. Luo et al. 10.1038/s41467-024-51783-y
- Non‐Radiative Effect of Land Use/Land Cover Differences on Land Surface Temperature Simulated by Noah‐MP Land Surface Model Over East Asia G. Zhang et al. 10.1029/2022JD037722
- Temperature overshoot responses to ambitious forestation in an Earth System Model Y. Moustakis et al. 10.1038/s41467-024-52508-x
- Deforestation-induced climate change reduces carbon storage in remaining tropical forests Y. Li et al. 10.1038/s41467-022-29601-0
- Relative benefits of allocating land to bioenergy crops and forests vary by region I. Melnikova et al. 10.1038/s43247-023-00866-7
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- Climate change driven by LUCC reduced NPP in the Yellow River Basin, China W. Wang et al. 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2024.104586
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- Effects of Increased Drought in Amazon Forests Under Climate Change: Separating the Roles of Canopy Responses and Soil Moisture H. Wey et al. 10.1029/2021JG006525
- The biogeophysical effects of idealized land cover and land management changes in Earth system models S. De Hertog et al. 10.5194/esd-13-1305-2022
- Chemistry-albedo feedbacks offset up to a third of forestation’s CO 2 removal benefits J. Weber et al. 10.1126/science.adg6196
- Quantifying the impacts of land cover change on gross primary productivity globally A. Krause et al. 10.1038/s41598-022-23120-0
- CO2 fertilization enhances vegetation productivity and reduces ecological drought in India N. Dubey & S. Ghosh 10.1088/1748-9326/acd5e7
- Mato Grosso’s rainy season: past, present, and future trends justify immediate action L. Commar et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ad8588
- Estimated climate impact of replacing agriculture as the primary food production system A. MacDougall et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ac3aa5
- A drier than expected future, supported by near-surface relative humidity observations H. Douville & K. Willett 10.1126/sciadv.ade6253
- The Climate Response to Global Forest Area Changes under Different Warming Scenarios in China Y. Huang et al. 10.1007/s00376-022-2230-z
- A global dataset on subgrid land surface climate (2015–2100) from the Community Earth System Model K. Zhang et al. 10.1002/gdj3.153
- Assessing hydroclimate response to land use/cover change using coupled atmospheric-hydrological models C. Chen et al. 10.1186/s40562-023-00310-w
- Deforestation-induced runoff changes dominated by forest-climate feedbacks S. Ma et al. 10.1126/sciadv.adp3964
- Amazon deforestation causes strong regional warming E. Butt et al. 10.1073/pnas.2309123120
- Theoretical and paleoclimatic evidence for abrupt transitions in the Earth system N. Boers et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ac8944
- The Unseen Effects of Deforestation: Biophysical Effects on Climate D. Lawrence et al. 10.3389/ffgc.2022.756115
- Uncertainties too large to predict tipping times of major Earth system components from historical data M. Ben-Yami et al. 10.1126/sciadv.adl4841
- Anthropogenic emissions and land use/cover change contributions to extreme temperature changes over China W. Xu et al. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2023.106845
- Limited Mitigation Potential of Forestation Under a High Emissions Scenario: Results From Multi‐Model and Single Model Ensembles T. Loughran et al. 10.1029/2023JG007605
- Land use change impacts on climate extremes over the historical period M. Zhang et al. 10.1007/s00382-024-07375-z
- The EC-Earth3 Earth system model for the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 6 R. Döscher et al. 10.5194/gmd-15-2973-2022
- Global forestation and deforestation affect remote climate via adjusted atmosphere and ocean circulation R. Portmann et al. 10.1038/s41467-022-33279-9
- Important non-local effects of deforestation on cloud cover changes in CMIP6 models W. Hua et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/acf232
- Assessing Model Predictions of Carbon Dynamics in Global Drylands D. Fawcett et al. 10.3389/fenvs.2022.790200
- Effects of idealized land cover and land management changes on the atmospheric water cycle S. De Hertog et al. 10.5194/esd-15-265-2024
- TIMBER v0.1: a conceptual framework for emulating temperature responses to tree cover change S. Nath et al. 10.5194/gmd-16-4283-2023
- Evaluation of coupled regional climate models in representing the local biophysical effects of afforestation over continental China J. Ge et al. 10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0462.1
- Observed and simulated local climate responses to tropical deforestation C. Smith et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/acf0da
- The biogeophysical effects of idealized land cover and land management changes in Earth system models S. De Hertog et al. 10.5194/esd-14-629-2023
- Land Use Effects on Climate: Current State, Recent Progress, and Emerging Topics J. Pongratz et al. 10.1007/s40641-021-00178-y
- A possible deforestation-induced synoptic-scale circulation that delays the rainy season onset in Amazonia L. Commar et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/acc95f
- Spatiotemporal inequality in land water availability amplified by global tree restoration B. Zan et al. 10.1038/s44221-024-00296-5
- Contrasting climate and carbon-cycle consequences of fossil-fuel use versus deforestation disturbance K. Jayakrishnan et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ac69fd
- Is land use producing robust signals in future projections from Earth system models, all else being equal? C. Tebaldi et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ace3da
Latest update: 23 Nov 2024
Short summary
We find a biogeophysically induced global cooling with strong carbon losses in a 20 million square kilometre idealized deforestation experiment performed by nine CMIP6 Earth system models. It takes many decades for the temperature signal to emerge, with non-local effects playing an important role. Despite a consistent experimental setup, models diverge substantially in their climate responses. This study offers unprecedented insights for understanding land use change effects in CMIP6 models.
We find a biogeophysically induced global cooling with strong carbon losses in a 20 million...
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