Articles | Volume 11, issue 22
Biogeosciences, 11, 6357–6375, 2014

Special issue: Climate extremes and biogeochemical cycles in the terrestrial...

Biogeosciences, 11, 6357–6375, 2014

Research article 26 Nov 2014

Research article | 26 Nov 2014

Impact of droughts on the carbon cycle in European vegetation: a probabilistic risk analysis using six vegetation models

M. Van Oijen et al.


Interactive discussion

Status: closed
Status: closed
AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment
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Peer-review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision
AR by Marcel van Oijen on behalf of the Authors (25 Sep 2014)  Author's response    Manuscript
ED: Publish as is (23 Oct 2014) by Kaiyu Guan
Short summary
We use a new risk analysis method, and six vegetation models, to analyse how climate change may alter drought risks in European ecosystems. The conclusions are (1) drought will pose increasing risks to productivity in the Mediterranean area; (2) this is because severe droughts will become more frequent, not because ecosystems will become more vulnerable; (3) future C sequestration will be at risk because carbon gain in primary productivity will be more affected than carbon loss in respiration.
Final-revised paper