Articles | Volume 11, issue 23
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-11-6939-2014
© Author(s) 2014. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-11-6939-2014
© Author(s) 2014. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Research article
| 
11 Dec 2014
Research article |
| 11 Dec 2014
Continental-scale impacts of intra-seasonal rainfall variability on simulated ecosystem responses in Africa
K. Guan
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, USA
Department of Environmental Earth System Science, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94025, USA
S. P. Good
Department of Geology and Geophysics, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT 84112, USA
K. K. Caylor
Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, USA
H. Sato
Graduate School of Environmental Studies, Nagoya University, D2-1(510) Furo-cho, Chikusa-ku, Nagoya, Aichi 464-8601, Japan
E. F. Wood
Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, USA
H. Li
Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Rutgers University, Piscataway, NJ 08854, USA
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Cited
32 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Divergent effects of intensified precipitation on primary production in global drylands H. Zhao et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.164736
- Plant responses to changing rainfall frequency and intensity A. Feldman et al. 10.1038/s43017-024-00534-0
- Grass and tree cover responses to intra-seasonal rainfall variability vary along a rainfall gradient in African tropical grassy biomes D. D’Onofrio et al. 10.1038/s41598-019-38933-9
- Centennial Annual Rainfall Pattern Changes Show an Increasing Trend with Higher Variation over Northern Australia J. He et al. 10.1175/JHM-D-21-0116.1
- Simulated sensitivity of African terrestrial ecosystem photosynthesis to rainfall frequency, intensity, and rainy season length K. Guan et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/aa9f30
- Impact of temporal precipitation variability on ecosystem productivity J. Liu et al. 10.1002/wat2.1481
- Importance of timing: Vulnerability of semi-arid rangeland systems to increased variability in temporal distribution of rainfall events as predicted by future climate change P. Fust & E. Schlecht 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2022.109961
- The role of extreme rain events in driving tree growth across a continental‐scale climatic range in Australia A. O'Donnell et al. 10.1111/ecog.05671
- Climate change and variability impacts on grazing herds: Insights from a system dynamics approach for semi‐arid Australian rangelands C. Godde et al. 10.1111/gcb.14669
- Distinct response of gross primary productivity in five terrestrial biomes to precipitation variability F. Ritter et al. 10.1038/s43247-020-00034-1
- Global rangeland production systems and livelihoods at threat under climate change and variability C. Godde et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ab7395
- What aspects of future rainfall changes matter for crop yields in West Africa? K. Guan et al. 10.1002/2015GL063877
- How competitive is drought deciduousness in tropical forests? A combined eco-hydrological and eco-evolutionary approach G. Vico et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/aa6f1b
- Effects of rainfall regime during the growing season on the annual plant communities in semiarid sandy land, northeast China X. Yue et al. 10.1016/j.gecco.2023.e02456
- Tree cover shows strong sensitivity to precipitation variability across the global tropics X. Xu et al. 10.1111/geb.12707
- Intra-seasonal risk of agriculturally-relevant weather extremes in West African Sudan Savanna D. Boansi et al. 10.1007/s00704-018-2384-x
- Beyond MAP: A guide to dimensions of rainfall variability for tropical ecology N. Schwartz et al. 10.1111/btp.12830
- Projection of the Precipitation Extremes in Thailand Under Climate Change Scenario RCP8.5 T. Amnuaylojaroen 10.3389/fenvs.2021.657810
- Isotopic records of climate seasonality in equid teeth S. Blumenthal et al. 10.1016/j.gca.2019.06.037
- Insensitivity of Ecosystem Productivity to Predicted Changes in Fine‐Scale Rainfall Variability Y. Moustakis et al. 10.1029/2021JG006735
- Impacts of the seasonal distribution of rainfall on vegetation productivity across the Sahel W. Zhang et al. 10.5194/bg-15-319-2018
- Spatiotemporal Trend Analysis of Precipitation Extremes in Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam During 1980–2017 N. Quan et al. 10.1007/s13753-020-00311-9
- Multi-decadal spatial and temporal changes of extreme precipitation patterns in northern China (Jing-Jin-Ji district, 1960–2013) C. Mei et al. 10.1016/j.quaint.2018.03.008
- Contrasting responses of vegetation productivity to intraseasonal rainfall in Earth system models B. Harris et al. 10.5194/esd-15-1019-2024
- Assessing climate adaptation options and uncertainties for cereal systems in West Africa K. Guan et al. 10.1016/j.agrformet.2016.07.021
- Long-term spatial-temporal trends and variability of rainfall over Eastern and Southern Africa F. Muthoni et al. 10.1007/s00704-018-2712-1
- Impacts of climate change on the livestock food supply chain; a review of the evidence C. Godde et al. 10.1016/j.gfs.2020.100488
- Long-term trends and variability of total and extreme precipitation in Thailand A. Limsakul & P. Singhruck 10.1016/j.atmosres.2015.10.015
- Climate mediates the biodiversity–ecosystem stability relationship globally P. García-Palacios et al. 10.1073/pnas.1800425115
- Precipitation Intensification Increases Shrub Dominance in Arid, Not Mesic, Ecosystems M. Holdrege et al. 10.1007/s10021-022-00778-1
- Untangling the environmental drivers of gross primary productivity in African rangelands G. Lomax et al. 10.1038/s43247-024-01664-5
- Global Patterns of the Contributions of Storm Frequency, Intensity, and Seasonality to Interannual Variability of Precipitation S. Good et al. 10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00653.1
31 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Divergent effects of intensified precipitation on primary production in global drylands H. Zhao et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.164736
- Plant responses to changing rainfall frequency and intensity A. Feldman et al. 10.1038/s43017-024-00534-0
- Grass and tree cover responses to intra-seasonal rainfall variability vary along a rainfall gradient in African tropical grassy biomes D. D’Onofrio et al. 10.1038/s41598-019-38933-9
- Centennial Annual Rainfall Pattern Changes Show an Increasing Trend with Higher Variation over Northern Australia J. He et al. 10.1175/JHM-D-21-0116.1
- Simulated sensitivity of African terrestrial ecosystem photosynthesis to rainfall frequency, intensity, and rainy season length K. Guan et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/aa9f30
- Impact of temporal precipitation variability on ecosystem productivity J. Liu et al. 10.1002/wat2.1481
- Importance of timing: Vulnerability of semi-arid rangeland systems to increased variability in temporal distribution of rainfall events as predicted by future climate change P. Fust & E. Schlecht 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2022.109961
- The role of extreme rain events in driving tree growth across a continental‐scale climatic range in Australia A. O'Donnell et al. 10.1111/ecog.05671
- Climate change and variability impacts on grazing herds: Insights from a system dynamics approach for semi‐arid Australian rangelands C. Godde et al. 10.1111/gcb.14669
- Distinct response of gross primary productivity in five terrestrial biomes to precipitation variability F. Ritter et al. 10.1038/s43247-020-00034-1
- Global rangeland production systems and livelihoods at threat under climate change and variability C. Godde et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ab7395
- What aspects of future rainfall changes matter for crop yields in West Africa? K. Guan et al. 10.1002/2015GL063877
- How competitive is drought deciduousness in tropical forests? A combined eco-hydrological and eco-evolutionary approach G. Vico et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/aa6f1b
- Effects of rainfall regime during the growing season on the annual plant communities in semiarid sandy land, northeast China X. Yue et al. 10.1016/j.gecco.2023.e02456
- Tree cover shows strong sensitivity to precipitation variability across the global tropics X. Xu et al. 10.1111/geb.12707
- Intra-seasonal risk of agriculturally-relevant weather extremes in West African Sudan Savanna D. Boansi et al. 10.1007/s00704-018-2384-x
- Beyond MAP: A guide to dimensions of rainfall variability for tropical ecology N. Schwartz et al. 10.1111/btp.12830
- Projection of the Precipitation Extremes in Thailand Under Climate Change Scenario RCP8.5 T. Amnuaylojaroen 10.3389/fenvs.2021.657810
- Isotopic records of climate seasonality in equid teeth S. Blumenthal et al. 10.1016/j.gca.2019.06.037
- Insensitivity of Ecosystem Productivity to Predicted Changes in Fine‐Scale Rainfall Variability Y. Moustakis et al. 10.1029/2021JG006735
- Impacts of the seasonal distribution of rainfall on vegetation productivity across the Sahel W. Zhang et al. 10.5194/bg-15-319-2018
- Spatiotemporal Trend Analysis of Precipitation Extremes in Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam During 1980–2017 N. Quan et al. 10.1007/s13753-020-00311-9
- Multi-decadal spatial and temporal changes of extreme precipitation patterns in northern China (Jing-Jin-Ji district, 1960–2013) C. Mei et al. 10.1016/j.quaint.2018.03.008
- Contrasting responses of vegetation productivity to intraseasonal rainfall in Earth system models B. Harris et al. 10.5194/esd-15-1019-2024
- Assessing climate adaptation options and uncertainties for cereal systems in West Africa K. Guan et al. 10.1016/j.agrformet.2016.07.021
- Long-term spatial-temporal trends and variability of rainfall over Eastern and Southern Africa F. Muthoni et al. 10.1007/s00704-018-2712-1
- Impacts of climate change on the livestock food supply chain; a review of the evidence C. Godde et al. 10.1016/j.gfs.2020.100488
- Long-term trends and variability of total and extreme precipitation in Thailand A. Limsakul & P. Singhruck 10.1016/j.atmosres.2015.10.015
- Climate mediates the biodiversity–ecosystem stability relationship globally P. García-Palacios et al. 10.1073/pnas.1800425115
- Precipitation Intensification Increases Shrub Dominance in Arid, Not Mesic, Ecosystems M. Holdrege et al. 10.1007/s10021-022-00778-1
- Untangling the environmental drivers of gross primary productivity in African rangelands G. Lomax et al. 10.1038/s43247-024-01664-5
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Latest update: 15 Nov 2024
Short summary
Climate change is expected to modify the way that rainfall arrives, namely the frequency and intensity of rainfall events and rainy season length. Yet, the quantification of the impact of these possible rainfall changes across large biomes is lacking. Our study fills this gap by developing a new modeling framework, applying it to continental Africa. We show that African ecosystems are highly sensitive to these rainfall variabilities, with esp. large sensitivity to changes in rainy season length.
Climate change is expected to modify the way that rainfall arrives, namely the frequency and...
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