Articles | Volume 12, issue 6
Biogeosciences, 12, 1813–1831, 2015
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-12-1813-2015

Special issue: Climate extremes and biogeochemical cycles in the terrestrial...

Biogeosciences, 12, 1813–1831, 2015
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-12-1813-2015

Research article 19 Mar 2015

Research article | 19 Mar 2015

A probabilistic risk assessment for the vulnerability of the European carbon cycle to weather extremes: the ecosystem perspective

S. Rolinski et al.

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Short summary
Extreme weather events can but do not have to cause extreme ecosystem response. Here, we focus on hazardous ecosystem behaviour and identify coinciding weather conditions. We use a simple probabilistic risk assessment and apply it to terrestrial ecosystems, defining a hazard as negative net biome productivity. In Europe, ecosystems are vulnerable to drought in the Mediterranean and temperate region, whereas vulnerability in Scandinavia is not caused by water shortages.
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