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Volume 12, issue 6
Biogeosciences, 12, 1813–1831, 2015
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-12-1813-2015
© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Special issue: Climate extremes and biogeochemical cycles in the terrestrial...

Biogeosciences, 12, 1813–1831, 2015
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-12-1813-2015
© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Research article 19 Mar 2015

Research article | 19 Mar 2015

A probabilistic risk assessment for the vulnerability of the European carbon cycle to weather extremes: the ecosystem perspective

S. Rolinski et al.

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Bedia, J., Herrera, S., Gutiérrez, J. M., Zavala, G., Urbieta, I. R., and Moreno, J. M.: Sensitivity of fire weather index to different reanalysis products in the Iberian Peninsula, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 12, 699–708, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-12-699-2012, 2012.
Beer, C., Weber, U., Tomelleri, E., Carvalhais, N., Mahecha, M., and Reichstein, M.: Harmonized European long-term climate data for assessing the effect of changing temporal variability on land-atmosphere CO2 fluxes, J. Climate, 27, 4815–4834, 2014.
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Extreme weather events can but do not have to cause extreme ecosystem response. Here, we focus on hazardous ecosystem behaviour and identify coinciding weather conditions. We use a simple probabilistic risk assessment and apply it to terrestrial ecosystems, defining a hazard as negative net biome productivity. In Europe, ecosystems are vulnerable to drought in the Mediterranean and temperate region, whereas vulnerability in Scandinavia is not caused by water shortages.
Extreme weather events can but do not have to cause extreme ecosystem response. Here, we focus...
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