Articles | Volume 12, issue 11
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-12-3301-2015
© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-12-3301-2015
© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Emergence of multiple ocean ecosystem drivers in a large ensemble suite with an Earth system model
Program in Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Princeton University, Princeton, USA
J. Lin
Dept. of Computer Science, Princeton University, Princeton, USA
T. L. Frölicher
Environmental Physics, Institute of Biogeochemistry and for Pollutant Dynamics, ETH Zürich, Switzerland
Viewed
Total article views: 8,837 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 21 Dec 2014)
HTML | XML | Total | BibTeX | EndNote | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6,343 | 2,136 | 358 | 8,837 | 226 | 247 |
- HTML: 6,343
- PDF: 2,136
- XML: 358
- Total: 8,837
- BibTeX: 226
- EndNote: 247
Total article views: 7,800 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 03 Jun 2015)
HTML | XML | Total | BibTeX | EndNote | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5,670 | 1,785 | 345 | 7,800 | 214 | 233 |
- HTML: 5,670
- PDF: 1,785
- XML: 345
- Total: 7,800
- BibTeX: 214
- EndNote: 233
Total article views: 1,037 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 21 Dec 2014)
HTML | XML | Total | BibTeX | EndNote | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
673 | 351 | 13 | 1,037 | 12 | 14 |
- HTML: 673
- PDF: 351
- XML: 13
- Total: 1,037
- BibTeX: 12
- EndNote: 14
Cited
134 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Large-ensemble Monte Carlo: a researcher’s guide to better climate trend uncertainties Z. Glaser et al. 10.1088/2752-5295/ad69b6
- Climate model large ensembles as test beds for applied compound event research F. Lehner 10.1016/j.isci.2024.111113
- Alternate History: A Synthetic Ensemble of Ocean Chlorophyll Concentrations G. Elsworth et al. 10.1029/2020GB006924
- Emerging Global Ocean Deoxygenation Across the 21st Century H. Gong et al. 10.1029/2021GL095370
- Pattern Recognition Methods to Separate Forced Responses from Internal Variability in Climate Model Ensembles and Observations R. Wills et al. 10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0855.1
- Response of seasonal phase locking of Indian Ocean Dipole to global warming X. Zheng et al. 10.1007/s00382-021-05834-5
- The importance of adding unbiased Argo observations to the ocean carbon observing system T. Heimdal & G. McKinley 10.1038/s41598-024-70617-x
- Arctic amplification, and its seasonal migration, over a wide range of abrupt CO2 forcing Y. Liang et al. 10.1038/s41612-022-00228-8
- Persistent Discrepancies between Observed and Modeled Trends in the Tropical Pacific Ocean R. Seager et al. 10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0648.1
- Advancing research on compound weather and climate events via large ensemble model simulations E. Bevacqua et al. 10.1038/s41467-023-37847-5
- Quantifying Errors in Observationally Based Estimates of Ocean Carbon Sink Variability L. Gloege et al. 10.1029/2020GB006788
- Importance of wind and meltwater for observed chemical and physical changes in the Southern Ocean B. Bronselaer et al. 10.1038/s41561-019-0502-8
- The long-term trend of Bohai Sea ice in different emission scenarios D. Guo et al. 10.1007/s13131-021-1703-8
- The Evolving Role of External Forcing in North Atlantic SST Variability over the Last Millennium J. Klavans et al. 10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0338.1
- Coupling of Surface Ocean Heat and Carbon Perturbations over the Subtropical Cells under Twenty-First Century Climate Change K. Rodgers et al. 10.1175/JCLI-D-19-1022.1
- Inherent uncertainty disguises attribution of reduced atmospheric CO2 growth to CO2 emission reductions for up to a decade A. Spring et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/abc443
- The Max Planck Institute Grand Ensemble: Enabling the Exploration of Climate System Variability N. Maher et al. 10.1029/2019MS001639
- Extremes become routine in an emerging new Arctic L. Landrum & M. Holland 10.1038/s41558-020-0892-z
- Differences in recent and future trends in the Arabian Sea oxygen minimum zone: processes and uncertainties Z. Lachkar et al. 10.3389/fmars.2023.1122043
- Managing living marine resources in a dynamic environment: The role of seasonal to decadal climate forecasts D. Tommasi et al. 10.1016/j.pocean.2016.12.011
- Ocean dinitrogen fixation and its potential effects on ocean primary production in Earth system model simulations of anthropogenic warming O. Riche et al. 10.1525/elementa.277
- Human-induced changes to the global ocean water masses and their time of emergence Y. Silvy et al. 10.1038/s41558-020-0878-x
- Time of Detection as a Metric for Prioritizing Between Climate Observation Quality, Frequency, and Duration B. Carter et al. 10.1029/2018GL080773
- What goes in must come out: the oceanic outgassing of anthropogenic carbon D. Couespel & J. Tjiputra 10.1088/1748-9326/ad16e0
- Interannual and decadal variability of Arctic summer sea ice associated with atmospheric teleconnection patterns during 1850-2017 Q. Cai et al. 10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0330.1
- Broad Consistency Between Observed and Simulated Trends in Sea Surface Temperature Patterns D. Olonscheck et al. 10.1029/2019GL086773
- Contrasting Impact of Future CO2 Emission Scenarios on the Extent of CaCO3 Mineral Undersaturation in the Humboldt Current System A. Franco et al. 10.1002/2018JC013857
- On the Relationship between Regional Ocean Heat Content and Sea Surface Height J. Fasullo & P. Gent 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0920.1
- Time of Emergence of Surface Ocean Carbon Dioxide Trends in the North American Coastal Margins in Support of Ocean Acidification Observing System Design D. Turk et al. 10.3389/fmars.2019.00091
- Butterfly effect and a self-modulating El Niño response to global warming W. Cai et al. 10.1038/s41586-020-2641-x
- Extreme and compound ocean events are key drivers of projected low pelagic fish biomass N. Le Grix et al. 10.1111/gcb.16968
- Future changes in the frequency of extreme droughts over China based on two large ensemble simulations W. Li et al. 10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0656.1
- Climate change, tropical fisheries and prospects for sustainable development V. Lam et al. 10.1038/s43017-020-0071-9
- Quantifying the Role of Seasonality in the Marine Carbon Cycle Feedback: An ESM2M Case Study A. Fassbender et al. 10.1029/2021GB007018
- Using Multiple Large Ensembles to Elucidate the Discrepancy Between the 1979–2019 Modeled and Observed Antarctic Sea Ice Trends R. Chemke & L. Polvani 10.1029/2020GL088339
- When can ocean acidification impacts be detected from decadal alkalinity measurements? B. Carter et al. 10.1002/2015GB005308
- Contribution of climatic changes in mean and variability to monthly temperature and precipitation extremes K. van der Wiel & R. Bintanja 10.1038/s43247-020-00077-4
- Quantifying the role of internal variability in the temperature we expect to observe in the coming decades N. Maher et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ab7d02
- Environmental records from coral skeletons: A decade of novel insights and innovation D. Thompson 10.1002/wcc.745
- Contrasting futures for ocean and society from different anthropogenic CO 2 emissions scenarios J. Gattuso et al. 10.1126/science.aac4722
- El Niño–Like Physical and Biogeochemical Ocean Response to Tropical Eruptions Y. Eddebbar et al. 10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0458.1
- Partitioning climate projection uncertainty with multiple large ensembles and CMIP5/6 F. Lehner et al. 10.5194/esd-11-491-2020
- Attribution of the Australian bushfire risk to anthropogenic climate change G. van Oldenborgh et al. 10.5194/nhess-21-941-2021
- Modulation of ENSO teleconnections over North America by the Pacific decadal oscillation N. Maher et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ac9327
- Identifying the Externally Forced Atlantic Multidecadal Variability Signal Through Florida Rainfall J. Klavans et al. 10.1029/2020GL088361
- Time-varying changes and uncertainties in the CMIP6 ocean carbon sink from global to local scale P. Gooya et al. 10.5194/esd-14-383-2023
- Inconsistent strategies to spin up models in CMIP5: implications for ocean biogeochemical model performance assessment R. Séférian et al. 10.5194/gmd-9-1827-2016
- The signature of internal variability in the terrestrial carbon cycle G. Bonan et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/abd6a9
- How large does a large ensemble need to be? S. Milinski et al. 10.5194/esd-11-885-2020
- Large ensemble climate model simulations: introduction, overview, and future prospects for utilising multiple types of large ensemble N. Maher et al. 10.5194/esd-12-401-2021
- Compound marine heatwaves and ocean acidity extremes F. Burger et al. 10.1038/s41467-022-32120-7
- Piecewise Evolutionary Spectra: A Practical Approach to Understanding Projected Changes in Spectral Relationships Between Circulation Modes and Regional Climate Under Global Warming D. Putrasahan & J. von Storch 10.1029/2021GL093898
- Is deoxygenation detectable before warming in the thermocline? A. Hameau et al. 10.5194/bg-17-1877-2020
- Arctic Winter Temperature Variations Correlated With ENSO Are Dependent on Coincidental Sea Ice Changes M. McCrystall & J. Screen 10.1029/2020GL091519
- Are Simulated and Observed Twentieth Century Tropical Pacific Sea Surface Temperature Trends Significant Relative to Internal Variability? S. Coats & K. Karnauskas 10.1002/2017GL074622
- Estimating Changes in Temperature Distributions in a Large Ensemble of Climate Simulations Using Quantile Regression M. Haugen et al. 10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0782.1
- Mechanisms and Early Detections of Multidecadal Oxygen Changes in the Interior Subpolar North Atlantic J. Tjiputra et al. 10.1029/2018GL077096
- Rapid increase in the risk of heat-related mortality S. Lüthi et al. 10.1038/s41467-023-40599-x
- The New Max Planck Institute Grand Ensemble With CMIP6 Forcing and High‐Frequency Model Output D. Olonscheck et al. 10.1029/2023MS003790
- Projected late 21st century changes to the regional impacts of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation S. Perry et al. 10.1007/s00382-019-05006-6
- Refining projected multidecadal hydroclimate uncertainty in East-Central Europe using CMIP5 and single-model large ensemble simulations D. Topál et al. 10.1007/s00704-020-03361-7
- NAO predictability from external forcing in the late 20th century J. Klavans et al. 10.1038/s41612-021-00177-8
- Climatic controls on metabolic constraints in the ocean P. Mongwe et al. 10.5194/bg-21-3477-2024
- Early detection of anthropogenic climate change signals in the ocean interior J. Tjiputra et al. 10.1038/s41598-023-30159-0
- Connecting the SST Pattern Problem and the Hot Model Problem M. Rugenstein et al. 10.1029/2023GL105488
- Future marine ecosystem drivers, biodiversity, and fisheries maximum catch potential in Pacific Island countries and territories under climate change R. Asch et al. 10.1016/j.marpol.2017.08.015
- Potential predictability of marine ecosystem drivers T. Frölicher et al. 10.5194/bg-17-2061-2020
- Changes in precipitation variability across time scales in multiple global climate model large ensembles R. Wood et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ac10dd
- Large benefits to marine fisheries of meeting the 1.5°C global warming target W. Cheung et al. 10.1126/science.aag2331
- Trophic level decoupling drives future changes in phytoplankton bloom phenology R. Yamaguchi et al. 10.1038/s41558-022-01353-1
- Exploiting large ensembles for a better yet simpler climate model evaluation L. Suarez-Gutierrez et al. 10.1007/s00382-021-05821-w
- Linking observed changes in pelagic catches to temperature and oxygen in the Eastern Tropical Pacific T. Clarke et al. 10.1111/faf.12694
- Using present-day observations to detect when anthropogenic change forces surface ocean carbonate chemistry outside preindustrial bounds A. Sutton et al. 10.5194/bg-13-5065-2016
- More accurate quantification of model-to-model agreement in externally forced climatic responses over the coming century N. Maher et al. 10.1038/s41467-020-20635-w
- Large-scale emergence of regional changes in year-to-year temperature variability by the end of the 21st century D. Olonscheck et al. 10.1038/s41467-021-27515-x
- Internal Climate Variability in the Present Climate and the Change in ENSO Amplitude in Future Climate Simulations S. Hyun et al. 10.3389/fclim.2022.932978
- Mechanisms of Low‐Frequency Oxygen Variability in the North Pacific T. Ito et al. 10.1029/2018GB005987
- The Value of Initial Condition Large Ensembles to Robust Adaptation Decision‐Making J. Mankin et al. 10.1029/2020EF001610
- Comparison of Climate Model Large Ensembles With Observations in the Arctic Using Simple Neural Networks Z. Labe & E. Barnes 10.1029/2022EA002348
- Finding the Fingerprint of Anthropogenic Climate Change in Marine Phytoplankton Abundance G. Elsworth et al. 10.1007/s40641-020-00156-w
- Sources of Uncertainty in Multimodel Large Ensemble Projections of the Winter North Atlantic Oscillation C. McKenna & A. Maycock 10.1029/2021GL093258
- Spatiotemporal upscaling of sparse air-sea pCO2 data via physics-informed transfer learning S. Kim et al. 10.1038/s41597-024-03959-w
- Assessment of South America summer rainfall climatology and trends in a set of global climate models large ensembles L. Díaz et al. 10.1002/joc.6643
- Insights from Earth system model initial-condition large ensembles and future prospects C. Deser et al. 10.1038/s41558-020-0731-2
- Quantifying the Impact of Climate Change on Marine Diazotrophy: Insights From Earth System Models L. Wrightson & A. Tagliabue 10.3389/fmars.2020.00635
- Timescales for detection of trends in the ocean carbon sink G. McKinley et al. 10.1038/nature16958
- Emergence of anthropogenic signals in the ocean carbon cycle S. Schlunegger et al. 10.1038/s41558-019-0553-2
- The Super-large Ensemble Experiments of CAS FGOALS-g3 P. Lin et al. 10.1007/s00376-022-1439-1
- Prospects for Detecting Accelerated Global Warming M. Richardson 10.1029/2021GL095782
- Defining the Internal Component of Atlantic Multidecadal Variability in a Changing Climate C. Deser & A. Phillips 10.1029/2021GL095023
- Precipitation variability increases in a warmer climate A. Pendergrass et al. 10.1038/s41598-017-17966-y
- Sources of uncertainties in 21st century projections of potential ocean ecosystem stressors T. Frölicher et al. 10.1002/2015GB005338
- Time of Emergence and Large Ensemble Intercomparison for Ocean Biogeochemical Trends S. Schlunegger et al. 10.1029/2019GB006453
- Robust Anthropogenic Signal Identified in the Seasonal Cycle of Tropospheric Temperature B. Santer et al. 10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0766.1
- Dynamically downscaled projections of ocean acidification for the Bering Sea D. Pilcher et al. 10.1016/j.dsr2.2022.105055
- Precipitation trends determine future occurrences of compound hot–dry events E. Bevacqua et al. 10.1038/s41558-022-01309-5
- Altimeter-era emergence of the patterns of forced sea-level rise in climate models and implications for the future J. Fasullo & R. Nerem 10.1073/pnas.1813233115
- Contrasting Phase Changes of Precipitation Annual Cycle Between Land and Ocean Under Global Warming F. Song et al. 10.1029/2020GL090327
- Inter-model robustness of the forced change of the ENSO-Indian Summer Monsoon Teleconnection S. Aneesh & T. Bódai 10.1038/s41612-023-00541-w
- Modeled Interannual Variability of Arctic Sea Ice Cover is within Observational Uncertainty C. Wyburn-Powell et al. 10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0958.1
- Quantifying stochastic uncertainty in detection time of human-caused climate signals B. Santer et al. 10.1073/pnas.1904586116
- Change in future climate due to Antarctic meltwater B. Bronselaer et al. 10.1038/s41586-018-0712-z
- Indo-Pacific Climate Modes in Warming Climate: Consensus and Uncertainty Across Model Projections X. Zheng 10.1007/s40641-019-00152-9
- Roles of External Forcing and Internal Variability in Precipitation Changes of a Sub‐Region of the U.S. Mid‐Atlantic During 1979–2019 L. Dong & L. Leung 10.1029/2022JD037493
- Seasonal Variability of the Surface Ocean Carbon Cycle: A Synthesis K. Rodgers et al. 10.1029/2023GB007798
- Partitioning uncertainty in projections of Arctic sea ice D. Bonan et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/abe0ec
- Large increases of multi-year droughts in north-western Europe in a warmer climate K. van der Wiel et al. 10.1007/s00382-022-06373-3
- Modeled Effect of Coastal Biogeochemical Processes, Climate Variability, and Ocean Acidification on Aragonite Saturation State in the Bering Sea D. Pilcher et al. 10.3389/fmars.2018.00508
- The influence of ENSO on Arctic sea ice in large ensembles and observations R. Clancy et al. 10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0958.1
- Current and Future Decadal Trends in the Oceanic Carbon Uptake Are Dominated by Internal Variability H. Li & T. Ilyina 10.1002/2017GL075370
- Ensemble Spread Behavior in Coupled Climate Models: Insights From the Energy Exascale Earth System Model Version 1 Large Ensemble S. Stevenson et al. 10.1029/2023MS003653
- Robust Inter‐Hemispheric Asymmetry in the Response to Symmetric Volcanic Forcing in Model Large Ensembles A. Pauling et al. 10.1029/2021GL092558
- Widespread Geographical Disparities in Phytoplankton Ecology Research in the Face of Climate Change: A Review R. Adhiambo et al. 10.3390/w15244288
- Ocean (de)oxygenation from the Last Glacial Maximum to the twenty-first century: insights from Earth System models L. Bopp et al. 10.1098/rsta.2016.0323
- Exploiting SMILEs and the CMIP5 Archive to Understand Arctic Climate Change Seasonality and Uncertainty Y. Wu et al. 10.1029/2022GL100745
- Climate, ecosystems, and planetary futures: The challenge to predict life in Earth system models G. Bonan & S. Doney 10.1126/science.aam8328
- Assessment of time of emergence of anthropogenic deoxygenation and warming: insights from a CESM simulation from 850 to 2100 CE A. Hameau et al. 10.5194/bg-16-1755-2019
- Rapid emergence of climate change in environmental drivers of marine ecosystems S. Henson et al. 10.1038/ncomms14682
- Assessing improvements in global ocean pCO2 machine learning reconstructions with Southern Ocean autonomous sampling T. Heimdal et al. 10.5194/bg-21-2159-2024
- Internal variability in European summer temperatures at 1.5 °C and 2 °C of global warming L. Suarez-Gutierrez et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/aaba58
- The Emergence and Transient Nature of Arctic Amplification in Coupled Climate Models M. Holland & L. Landrum 10.3389/feart.2021.719024
- Origin, importance, and predictive limits of internal climate variability F. Lehner & C. Deser 10.1088/2752-5295/accf30
- The recent state and variability of the carbonate system of the Canadian Arctic Archipelago and adjacent basins in the context of ocean acidification A. Beaupré-Laperrière et al. 10.5194/bg-17-3923-2020
- Four Decades of Trends and Drivers of Global Surface Ocean Acidification D. Ma et al. 10.1029/2023GB007765
- ENSO‐Driven Variability of Denitrification and Suboxia in the Eastern Tropical Pacific Ocean S. Yang et al. 10.1002/2016GB005596
- The Role of the North Atlantic Oscillation for Projections of Winter Mean Precipitation in Europe C. McKenna & A. Maycock 10.1029/2022GL099083
- Systematic Climate Model Biases in the Large‐Scale Patterns of Recent Sea‐Surface Temperature and Sea‐Level Pressure Change R. Wills et al. 10.1029/2022GL100011
- Internal Variability Dominates Over Externally Forced Ocean Circulation Changes Seen Through CFCs J. Lester et al. 10.1029/2020GL087585
- Widespread changes in surface temperature persistence under climate change J. Li & D. Thompson 10.1038/s41586-021-03943-z
- Vulnerability of flatfish and their fisheries to climate change W. Cheung & M. Oyinlola 10.1016/j.seares.2018.06.006
- Structural uncertainty in projecting global fisheries catches under climate change W. Cheung et al. 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2015.12.018
- Marine heatwaves exacerbate climate change impacts for fisheries in the northeast Pacific W. Cheung & T. Frölicher 10.1038/s41598-020-63650-z
- Building confidence in projections of the responses of living marine resources to climate change W. Cheung et al. 10.1093/icesjms/fsv250
- ENSO's Changing Influence on Temperature, Precipitation, and Wildfire in a Warming Climate J. Fasullo et al. 10.1029/2018GL079022
129 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Large-ensemble Monte Carlo: a researcher’s guide to better climate trend uncertainties Z. Glaser et al. 10.1088/2752-5295/ad69b6
- Climate model large ensembles as test beds for applied compound event research F. Lehner 10.1016/j.isci.2024.111113
- Alternate History: A Synthetic Ensemble of Ocean Chlorophyll Concentrations G. Elsworth et al. 10.1029/2020GB006924
- Emerging Global Ocean Deoxygenation Across the 21st Century H. Gong et al. 10.1029/2021GL095370
- Pattern Recognition Methods to Separate Forced Responses from Internal Variability in Climate Model Ensembles and Observations R. Wills et al. 10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0855.1
- Response of seasonal phase locking of Indian Ocean Dipole to global warming X. Zheng et al. 10.1007/s00382-021-05834-5
- The importance of adding unbiased Argo observations to the ocean carbon observing system T. Heimdal & G. McKinley 10.1038/s41598-024-70617-x
- Arctic amplification, and its seasonal migration, over a wide range of abrupt CO2 forcing Y. Liang et al. 10.1038/s41612-022-00228-8
- Persistent Discrepancies between Observed and Modeled Trends in the Tropical Pacific Ocean R. Seager et al. 10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0648.1
- Advancing research on compound weather and climate events via large ensemble model simulations E. Bevacqua et al. 10.1038/s41467-023-37847-5
- Quantifying Errors in Observationally Based Estimates of Ocean Carbon Sink Variability L. Gloege et al. 10.1029/2020GB006788
- Importance of wind and meltwater for observed chemical and physical changes in the Southern Ocean B. Bronselaer et al. 10.1038/s41561-019-0502-8
- The long-term trend of Bohai Sea ice in different emission scenarios D. Guo et al. 10.1007/s13131-021-1703-8
- The Evolving Role of External Forcing in North Atlantic SST Variability over the Last Millennium J. Klavans et al. 10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0338.1
- Coupling of Surface Ocean Heat and Carbon Perturbations over the Subtropical Cells under Twenty-First Century Climate Change K. Rodgers et al. 10.1175/JCLI-D-19-1022.1
- Inherent uncertainty disguises attribution of reduced atmospheric CO2 growth to CO2 emission reductions for up to a decade A. Spring et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/abc443
- The Max Planck Institute Grand Ensemble: Enabling the Exploration of Climate System Variability N. Maher et al. 10.1029/2019MS001639
- Extremes become routine in an emerging new Arctic L. Landrum & M. Holland 10.1038/s41558-020-0892-z
- Differences in recent and future trends in the Arabian Sea oxygen minimum zone: processes and uncertainties Z. Lachkar et al. 10.3389/fmars.2023.1122043
- Managing living marine resources in a dynamic environment: The role of seasonal to decadal climate forecasts D. Tommasi et al. 10.1016/j.pocean.2016.12.011
- Ocean dinitrogen fixation and its potential effects on ocean primary production in Earth system model simulations of anthropogenic warming O. Riche et al. 10.1525/elementa.277
- Human-induced changes to the global ocean water masses and their time of emergence Y. Silvy et al. 10.1038/s41558-020-0878-x
- Time of Detection as a Metric for Prioritizing Between Climate Observation Quality, Frequency, and Duration B. Carter et al. 10.1029/2018GL080773
- What goes in must come out: the oceanic outgassing of anthropogenic carbon D. Couespel & J. Tjiputra 10.1088/1748-9326/ad16e0
- Interannual and decadal variability of Arctic summer sea ice associated with atmospheric teleconnection patterns during 1850-2017 Q. Cai et al. 10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0330.1
- Broad Consistency Between Observed and Simulated Trends in Sea Surface Temperature Patterns D. Olonscheck et al. 10.1029/2019GL086773
- Contrasting Impact of Future CO2 Emission Scenarios on the Extent of CaCO3 Mineral Undersaturation in the Humboldt Current System A. Franco et al. 10.1002/2018JC013857
- On the Relationship between Regional Ocean Heat Content and Sea Surface Height J. Fasullo & P. Gent 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0920.1
- Time of Emergence of Surface Ocean Carbon Dioxide Trends in the North American Coastal Margins in Support of Ocean Acidification Observing System Design D. Turk et al. 10.3389/fmars.2019.00091
- Butterfly effect and a self-modulating El Niño response to global warming W. Cai et al. 10.1038/s41586-020-2641-x
- Extreme and compound ocean events are key drivers of projected low pelagic fish biomass N. Le Grix et al. 10.1111/gcb.16968
- Future changes in the frequency of extreme droughts over China based on two large ensemble simulations W. Li et al. 10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0656.1
- Climate change, tropical fisheries and prospects for sustainable development V. Lam et al. 10.1038/s43017-020-0071-9
- Quantifying the Role of Seasonality in the Marine Carbon Cycle Feedback: An ESM2M Case Study A. Fassbender et al. 10.1029/2021GB007018
- Using Multiple Large Ensembles to Elucidate the Discrepancy Between the 1979–2019 Modeled and Observed Antarctic Sea Ice Trends R. Chemke & L. Polvani 10.1029/2020GL088339
- When can ocean acidification impacts be detected from decadal alkalinity measurements? B. Carter et al. 10.1002/2015GB005308
- Contribution of climatic changes in mean and variability to monthly temperature and precipitation extremes K. van der Wiel & R. Bintanja 10.1038/s43247-020-00077-4
- Quantifying the role of internal variability in the temperature we expect to observe in the coming decades N. Maher et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ab7d02
- Environmental records from coral skeletons: A decade of novel insights and innovation D. Thompson 10.1002/wcc.745
- Contrasting futures for ocean and society from different anthropogenic CO 2 emissions scenarios J. Gattuso et al. 10.1126/science.aac4722
- El Niño–Like Physical and Biogeochemical Ocean Response to Tropical Eruptions Y. Eddebbar et al. 10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0458.1
- Partitioning climate projection uncertainty with multiple large ensembles and CMIP5/6 F. Lehner et al. 10.5194/esd-11-491-2020
- Attribution of the Australian bushfire risk to anthropogenic climate change G. van Oldenborgh et al. 10.5194/nhess-21-941-2021
- Modulation of ENSO teleconnections over North America by the Pacific decadal oscillation N. Maher et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ac9327
- Identifying the Externally Forced Atlantic Multidecadal Variability Signal Through Florida Rainfall J. Klavans et al. 10.1029/2020GL088361
- Time-varying changes and uncertainties in the CMIP6 ocean carbon sink from global to local scale P. Gooya et al. 10.5194/esd-14-383-2023
- Inconsistent strategies to spin up models in CMIP5: implications for ocean biogeochemical model performance assessment R. Séférian et al. 10.5194/gmd-9-1827-2016
- The signature of internal variability in the terrestrial carbon cycle G. Bonan et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/abd6a9
- How large does a large ensemble need to be? S. Milinski et al. 10.5194/esd-11-885-2020
- Large ensemble climate model simulations: introduction, overview, and future prospects for utilising multiple types of large ensemble N. Maher et al. 10.5194/esd-12-401-2021
- Compound marine heatwaves and ocean acidity extremes F. Burger et al. 10.1038/s41467-022-32120-7
- Piecewise Evolutionary Spectra: A Practical Approach to Understanding Projected Changes in Spectral Relationships Between Circulation Modes and Regional Climate Under Global Warming D. Putrasahan & J. von Storch 10.1029/2021GL093898
- Is deoxygenation detectable before warming in the thermocline? A. Hameau et al. 10.5194/bg-17-1877-2020
- Arctic Winter Temperature Variations Correlated With ENSO Are Dependent on Coincidental Sea Ice Changes M. McCrystall & J. Screen 10.1029/2020GL091519
- Are Simulated and Observed Twentieth Century Tropical Pacific Sea Surface Temperature Trends Significant Relative to Internal Variability? S. Coats & K. Karnauskas 10.1002/2017GL074622
- Estimating Changes in Temperature Distributions in a Large Ensemble of Climate Simulations Using Quantile Regression M. Haugen et al. 10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0782.1
- Mechanisms and Early Detections of Multidecadal Oxygen Changes in the Interior Subpolar North Atlantic J. Tjiputra et al. 10.1029/2018GL077096
- Rapid increase in the risk of heat-related mortality S. Lüthi et al. 10.1038/s41467-023-40599-x
- The New Max Planck Institute Grand Ensemble With CMIP6 Forcing and High‐Frequency Model Output D. Olonscheck et al. 10.1029/2023MS003790
- Projected late 21st century changes to the regional impacts of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation S. Perry et al. 10.1007/s00382-019-05006-6
- Refining projected multidecadal hydroclimate uncertainty in East-Central Europe using CMIP5 and single-model large ensemble simulations D. Topál et al. 10.1007/s00704-020-03361-7
- NAO predictability from external forcing in the late 20th century J. Klavans et al. 10.1038/s41612-021-00177-8
- Climatic controls on metabolic constraints in the ocean P. Mongwe et al. 10.5194/bg-21-3477-2024
- Early detection of anthropogenic climate change signals in the ocean interior J. Tjiputra et al. 10.1038/s41598-023-30159-0
- Connecting the SST Pattern Problem and the Hot Model Problem M. Rugenstein et al. 10.1029/2023GL105488
- Future marine ecosystem drivers, biodiversity, and fisheries maximum catch potential in Pacific Island countries and territories under climate change R. Asch et al. 10.1016/j.marpol.2017.08.015
- Potential predictability of marine ecosystem drivers T. Frölicher et al. 10.5194/bg-17-2061-2020
- Changes in precipitation variability across time scales in multiple global climate model large ensembles R. Wood et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ac10dd
- Large benefits to marine fisheries of meeting the 1.5°C global warming target W. Cheung et al. 10.1126/science.aag2331
- Trophic level decoupling drives future changes in phytoplankton bloom phenology R. Yamaguchi et al. 10.1038/s41558-022-01353-1
- Exploiting large ensembles for a better yet simpler climate model evaluation L. Suarez-Gutierrez et al. 10.1007/s00382-021-05821-w
- Linking observed changes in pelagic catches to temperature and oxygen in the Eastern Tropical Pacific T. Clarke et al. 10.1111/faf.12694
- Using present-day observations to detect when anthropogenic change forces surface ocean carbonate chemistry outside preindustrial bounds A. Sutton et al. 10.5194/bg-13-5065-2016
- More accurate quantification of model-to-model agreement in externally forced climatic responses over the coming century N. Maher et al. 10.1038/s41467-020-20635-w
- Large-scale emergence of regional changes in year-to-year temperature variability by the end of the 21st century D. Olonscheck et al. 10.1038/s41467-021-27515-x
- Internal Climate Variability in the Present Climate and the Change in ENSO Amplitude in Future Climate Simulations S. Hyun et al. 10.3389/fclim.2022.932978
- Mechanisms of Low‐Frequency Oxygen Variability in the North Pacific T. Ito et al. 10.1029/2018GB005987
- The Value of Initial Condition Large Ensembles to Robust Adaptation Decision‐Making J. Mankin et al. 10.1029/2020EF001610
- Comparison of Climate Model Large Ensembles With Observations in the Arctic Using Simple Neural Networks Z. Labe & E. Barnes 10.1029/2022EA002348
- Finding the Fingerprint of Anthropogenic Climate Change in Marine Phytoplankton Abundance G. Elsworth et al. 10.1007/s40641-020-00156-w
- Sources of Uncertainty in Multimodel Large Ensemble Projections of the Winter North Atlantic Oscillation C. McKenna & A. Maycock 10.1029/2021GL093258
- Spatiotemporal upscaling of sparse air-sea pCO2 data via physics-informed transfer learning S. Kim et al. 10.1038/s41597-024-03959-w
- Assessment of South America summer rainfall climatology and trends in a set of global climate models large ensembles L. Díaz et al. 10.1002/joc.6643
- Insights from Earth system model initial-condition large ensembles and future prospects C. Deser et al. 10.1038/s41558-020-0731-2
- Quantifying the Impact of Climate Change on Marine Diazotrophy: Insights From Earth System Models L. Wrightson & A. Tagliabue 10.3389/fmars.2020.00635
- Timescales for detection of trends in the ocean carbon sink G. McKinley et al. 10.1038/nature16958
- Emergence of anthropogenic signals in the ocean carbon cycle S. Schlunegger et al. 10.1038/s41558-019-0553-2
- The Super-large Ensemble Experiments of CAS FGOALS-g3 P. Lin et al. 10.1007/s00376-022-1439-1
- Prospects for Detecting Accelerated Global Warming M. Richardson 10.1029/2021GL095782
- Defining the Internal Component of Atlantic Multidecadal Variability in a Changing Climate C. Deser & A. Phillips 10.1029/2021GL095023
- Precipitation variability increases in a warmer climate A. Pendergrass et al. 10.1038/s41598-017-17966-y
- Sources of uncertainties in 21st century projections of potential ocean ecosystem stressors T. Frölicher et al. 10.1002/2015GB005338
- Time of Emergence and Large Ensemble Intercomparison for Ocean Biogeochemical Trends S. Schlunegger et al. 10.1029/2019GB006453
- Robust Anthropogenic Signal Identified in the Seasonal Cycle of Tropospheric Temperature B. Santer et al. 10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0766.1
- Dynamically downscaled projections of ocean acidification for the Bering Sea D. Pilcher et al. 10.1016/j.dsr2.2022.105055
- Precipitation trends determine future occurrences of compound hot–dry events E. Bevacqua et al. 10.1038/s41558-022-01309-5
- Altimeter-era emergence of the patterns of forced sea-level rise in climate models and implications for the future J. Fasullo & R. Nerem 10.1073/pnas.1813233115
- Contrasting Phase Changes of Precipitation Annual Cycle Between Land and Ocean Under Global Warming F. Song et al. 10.1029/2020GL090327
- Inter-model robustness of the forced change of the ENSO-Indian Summer Monsoon Teleconnection S. Aneesh & T. Bódai 10.1038/s41612-023-00541-w
- Modeled Interannual Variability of Arctic Sea Ice Cover is within Observational Uncertainty C. Wyburn-Powell et al. 10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0958.1
- Quantifying stochastic uncertainty in detection time of human-caused climate signals B. Santer et al. 10.1073/pnas.1904586116
- Change in future climate due to Antarctic meltwater B. Bronselaer et al. 10.1038/s41586-018-0712-z
- Indo-Pacific Climate Modes in Warming Climate: Consensus and Uncertainty Across Model Projections X. Zheng 10.1007/s40641-019-00152-9
- Roles of External Forcing and Internal Variability in Precipitation Changes of a Sub‐Region of the U.S. Mid‐Atlantic During 1979–2019 L. Dong & L. Leung 10.1029/2022JD037493
- Seasonal Variability of the Surface Ocean Carbon Cycle: A Synthesis K. Rodgers et al. 10.1029/2023GB007798
- Partitioning uncertainty in projections of Arctic sea ice D. Bonan et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/abe0ec
- Large increases of multi-year droughts in north-western Europe in a warmer climate K. van der Wiel et al. 10.1007/s00382-022-06373-3
- Modeled Effect of Coastal Biogeochemical Processes, Climate Variability, and Ocean Acidification on Aragonite Saturation State in the Bering Sea D. Pilcher et al. 10.3389/fmars.2018.00508
- The influence of ENSO on Arctic sea ice in large ensembles and observations R. Clancy et al. 10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0958.1
- Current and Future Decadal Trends in the Oceanic Carbon Uptake Are Dominated by Internal Variability H. Li & T. Ilyina 10.1002/2017GL075370
- Ensemble Spread Behavior in Coupled Climate Models: Insights From the Energy Exascale Earth System Model Version 1 Large Ensemble S. Stevenson et al. 10.1029/2023MS003653
- Robust Inter‐Hemispheric Asymmetry in the Response to Symmetric Volcanic Forcing in Model Large Ensembles A. Pauling et al. 10.1029/2021GL092558
- Widespread Geographical Disparities in Phytoplankton Ecology Research in the Face of Climate Change: A Review R. Adhiambo et al. 10.3390/w15244288
- Ocean (de)oxygenation from the Last Glacial Maximum to the twenty-first century: insights from Earth System models L. Bopp et al. 10.1098/rsta.2016.0323
- Exploiting SMILEs and the CMIP5 Archive to Understand Arctic Climate Change Seasonality and Uncertainty Y. Wu et al. 10.1029/2022GL100745
- Climate, ecosystems, and planetary futures: The challenge to predict life in Earth system models G. Bonan & S. Doney 10.1126/science.aam8328
- Assessment of time of emergence of anthropogenic deoxygenation and warming: insights from a CESM simulation from 850 to 2100 CE A. Hameau et al. 10.5194/bg-16-1755-2019
- Rapid emergence of climate change in environmental drivers of marine ecosystems S. Henson et al. 10.1038/ncomms14682
- Assessing improvements in global ocean pCO2 machine learning reconstructions with Southern Ocean autonomous sampling T. Heimdal et al. 10.5194/bg-21-2159-2024
- Internal variability in European summer temperatures at 1.5 °C and 2 °C of global warming L. Suarez-Gutierrez et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/aaba58
- The Emergence and Transient Nature of Arctic Amplification in Coupled Climate Models M. Holland & L. Landrum 10.3389/feart.2021.719024
- Origin, importance, and predictive limits of internal climate variability F. Lehner & C. Deser 10.1088/2752-5295/accf30
- The recent state and variability of the carbonate system of the Canadian Arctic Archipelago and adjacent basins in the context of ocean acidification A. Beaupré-Laperrière et al. 10.5194/bg-17-3923-2020
- Four Decades of Trends and Drivers of Global Surface Ocean Acidification D. Ma et al. 10.1029/2023GB007765
- ENSO‐Driven Variability of Denitrification and Suboxia in the Eastern Tropical Pacific Ocean S. Yang et al. 10.1002/2016GB005596
- The Role of the North Atlantic Oscillation for Projections of Winter Mean Precipitation in Europe C. McKenna & A. Maycock 10.1029/2022GL099083
- Systematic Climate Model Biases in the Large‐Scale Patterns of Recent Sea‐Surface Temperature and Sea‐Level Pressure Change R. Wills et al. 10.1029/2022GL100011
- Internal Variability Dominates Over Externally Forced Ocean Circulation Changes Seen Through CFCs J. Lester et al. 10.1029/2020GL087585
- Widespread changes in surface temperature persistence under climate change J. Li & D. Thompson 10.1038/s41586-021-03943-z
5 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Vulnerability of flatfish and their fisheries to climate change W. Cheung & M. Oyinlola 10.1016/j.seares.2018.06.006
- Structural uncertainty in projecting global fisheries catches under climate change W. Cheung et al. 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2015.12.018
- Marine heatwaves exacerbate climate change impacts for fisheries in the northeast Pacific W. Cheung & T. Frölicher 10.1038/s41598-020-63650-z
- Building confidence in projections of the responses of living marine resources to climate change W. Cheung et al. 10.1093/icesjms/fsv250
- ENSO's Changing Influence on Temperature, Precipitation, and Wildfire in a Warming Climate J. Fasullo et al. 10.1029/2018GL079022
Saved (final revised paper)
Saved (preprint)
Latest update: 23 Nov 2024
Short summary
A large initial-condition ensemble suite of simulations with an Earth system model is applied to evaluate emergence characteristics of four ocean ecosystem drivers under climate change. The drivers considered are warming, acidification, deoxygenation, and perturbations to biological productivity. The spatial and temporal hierarchies of the emergence of these drivers are considered, using concepts of both time of emergence (ToE) and confidence intervals.
A large initial-condition ensemble suite of simulations with an Earth system model is applied to...
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint