Articles | Volume 12, issue 17
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-12-5211-2015
© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-12-5211-2015
© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Controls on terrestrial carbon feedbacks by productivity versus turnover in the CMIP5 Earth System Models
Earth Sciences Division, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, California, USA
J. Q. Chambers
Earth Sciences Division, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, California, USA
K. Georgiou
Earth Sciences Division, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, California, USA
R. Knox
Earth Sciences Division, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, California, USA
R. Negron-Juarez
Earth Sciences Division, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, California, USA
W. J. Riley
Earth Sciences Division, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, California, USA
V. K. Arora
Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis, Victoria, Canada
V. Brovkin
Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany
P. Friedlingstein
College of Engineering, Mathematics and Physical Sciences, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK
C. D. Jones
Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, UK
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86 citations as recorded by crossref.
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- Greater stem growth, woody allocation, and aboveground biomass in Paleotropical forests than in Neotropical forests P. Taylor et al. 10.1002/ecy.2589
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80 citations as recorded by crossref.
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- Assessing and predicting soil carbon density in China using CMIP5 earth system models L. Qiu et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.149247
- Impact of priming on global soil carbon stocks B. Guenet et al. 10.1111/gcb.14069
- Soil heterotrophic respiration in response to rising temperature and moisture along an altitudinal gradient in a subtropical forest ecosystem, Southwest China M. Zeeshan et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.151643
- Decadal biomass increment in early secondary succession woody ecosystems is increased by CO2 enrichment A. Walker et al. 10.1038/s41467-019-08348-1
- Vegetation demographics in Earth System Models: A review of progress and priorities R. Fisher et al. 10.1111/gcb.13910
- Earth System Models Are Not Capturing Present‐Day Tropical Forest Carbon Dynamics A. Koch et al. 10.1029/2020EF001874
- Changes in Biomass Turnover Times in Tropical Forests and Their Environmental Drivers From 2001 to 2012 J. Wang et al. 10.1029/2020EF001655
- Carbon Cycle Response to Temperature Overshoot Beyond 2°C: An Analysis of CMIP6 Models I. Melnikova et al. 10.1029/2020EF001967
- The quasi-equilibrium framework revisited: analyzing long-term CO<sub>2</sub> enrichment responses in plant–soil models M. Jiang et al. 10.5194/gmd-12-2069-2019
- A spatial emergent constraint on the sensitivity of soil carbon turnover to global warming R. Varney et al. 10.1038/s41467-020-19208-8
- Inconsistent strategies to spin up models in CMIP5: implications for ocean biogeochemical model performance assessment R. Séférian et al. 10.5194/gmd-9-1827-2016
- Forest responses to simulated elevated CO2 under alternate hypotheses of size‐ and age‐dependent mortality J. Needham et al. 10.1111/gcb.15254
- Identification of linear response functions from arbitrary perturbation experiments in the presence of noise – Part 2: Application to the land carbon cycle in the MPI Earth System Model G. Torres Mendonça et al. 10.5194/npg-28-533-2021
- Quantifying global soil carbon losses in response to warming T. Crowther et al. 10.1038/nature20150
- The large influence of climate model bias on terrestrial carbon cycle simulations A. Ahlström et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/12/1/014004
- Nutrient Limitations Lead to a Reduced Magnitude of Disequilibrium in the Global Terrestrial Carbon Cycle N. Wei et al. 10.1029/2021JG006764
- Increased Global Land Carbon Sink Due to Aerosol‐Induced Cooling Y. Zhang et al. 10.1029/2018GB006051
- Data‐driven estimates of global litter production imply slower vegetation carbon turnover Y. He et al. 10.1111/gcb.15515
- CO2 fertilization contributed more than half of the observed forest biomass increase in northern extra‐tropical land Y. He et al. 10.1111/gcb.16806
- Patterns and mechanisms of spatial variation in tropical forest productivity, woody residence time, and biomass H. Muller‐Landau et al. 10.1111/nph.17084
- Time Scales of the Global Carbon Cycle Response to External Forcing K. Savina et al. 10.1134/S1028334X23602304
- Continental-scale consequences of tree die-offs in North America: identifying where forest loss matters most A. Swann et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/aaba0f
- Competition alters predicted forest carbon cycle responses to nitrogen availability and elevated CO<sub>2</sub>: simulations using an explicitly competitive, game-theoretic vegetation demographic model E. Weng et al. 10.5194/bg-16-4577-2019
- Process-oriented analysis of dominant sources of uncertainty in the land carbon sink M. O’Sullivan et al. 10.1038/s41467-022-32416-8
- The carbon sink due to shrub growth on Arctic tundra: a case study in a carbon-poor soil in eastern Canada M. Gagnon et al. 10.1088/2515-7620/ab3cdd
- Accelerated terrestrial ecosystem carbon turnover and its drivers D. Wu et al. 10.1111/gcb.15224
- Evaluation of soil carbon simulation in CMIP6 Earth system models R. Varney et al. 10.5194/bg-19-4671-2022
- Benchmarking and parameter sensitivity of physiological and vegetation dynamics using the Functionally Assembled Terrestrial Ecosystem Simulator (FATES) at Barro Colorado Island, Panama C. Koven et al. 10.5194/bg-17-3017-2020
- Data-mining analysis of the global distribution of soil carbon in observational databases and Earth system models S. Hashimoto et al. 10.5194/gmd-10-1321-2017
- Soil carbon-concentration and carbon-climate feedbacks in CMIP6 Earth system models R. Varney et al. 10.5194/bg-21-2759-2024
- Soils and topography control natural disturbance rates and thereby forest structure in a lowland tropical landscape K. Cushman et al. 10.1111/ele.13978
- Observation‐based global soil heterotrophic respiration indicates underestimated turnover and sequestration of soil carbon by terrestrial ecosystem models Y. He et al. 10.1111/gcb.16286
- Evaluation of climate‐related carbon turnover processes in global vegetation models for boreal and temperate forests M. Thurner et al. 10.1111/gcb.13660
- Underestimated ecosystem carbon turnover time and sequestration under the steady state assumption: A perspective from long‐term data assimilation R. Ge et al. 10.1111/gcb.14547
- Tipping point in North American Arctic-Boreal carbon sink persists in new generation Earth system models despite reduced uncertainty R. Braghiere et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/acb226
- A Large Committed Long‐Term Sink of Carbon due to Vegetation Dynamics T. Pugh et al. 10.1029/2018EF000935
- Arctic Soil Governs Whether Climate Change Drives Global Losses or Gains in Soil Carbon W. Wieder et al. 10.1029/2019GL085543
- Uncertainty propagation in a global biogeochemical model driven by leaf area data C. Bian & J. Xia 10.3389/fevo.2023.1105832
- Microbial responses to warming enhance soil carbon loss following translocation across a tropical forest elevation gradient A. Nottingham et al. 10.1111/ele.13379
- Parameter uncertainty dominates C-cycle forecast errors over most of Brazil for the 21st century T. Smallman et al. 10.5194/esd-12-1191-2021
- The Global Land Carbon Cycle Simulated With ISBA‐CTRIP: Improvements Over the Last Decade C. Delire et al. 10.1029/2019MS001886
- Evaluation of CMIP5 Earth System Models for the Spatial Patterns of Biomass and Soil Carbon Turnover Times and Their Linkage with Climate D. Wu et al. 10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0380.1
- Soil carbon sequestration simulated in CMIP6-LUMIP models: implications for climatic mitigation A. Ito et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/abc912
- The compact Earth system model OSCAR v2.2: description and first results T. Gasser et al. 10.5194/gmd-10-271-2017
- Carbon cycle confidence and uncertainty: Exploring variation among soil biogeochemical models W. Wieder et al. 10.1111/gcb.13979
- Climate Sensitivities of Carbon Turnover Times in Soil and Vegetation: Understanding Their Effects on Forest Carbon Sequestration R. Ge et al. 10.1029/2020JG005880
- Pervasive decreases in living vegetation carbon turnover time across forest climate zones K. Yu et al. 10.1073/pnas.1821387116
- Hydrologic resilience and Amazon productivity A. Ahlström et al. 10.1038/s41467-017-00306-z
- The Effects of Carbon Dioxide Removal on the Carbon Cycle D. Keller et al. 10.1007/s40641-018-0104-3
- Ectomycorrhizal access to organic nitrogen mediates CO2 fertilization response in a dominant temperate tree P. Pellitier et al. 10.1038/s41467-021-25652-x
- Large‐scale variation in boreal and temperate forest carbon turnover rate related to climate M. Thurner et al. 10.1002/2016GL068794
- Predicted Land Carbon Dynamics Are Strongly Dependent on the Numerical Coupling of Nitrogen Mobilizing and Immobilizing Processes: A Demonstration with the E3SM Land Model J. Tang & W. Riley 10.1175/EI-D-17-0023.1
- Where Has All the Carbon Gone? A. Denning 10.1146/annurev-earth-032320-092010
- Robust projections of increasing land carbon storage in boreal and temperate forests under future climate change scenarios N. Wei & J. Xia 10.1016/j.oneear.2023.11.013
- A review of the major drivers of the terrestrial carbon uptake: model-based assessments, consensus, and uncertainties T. Tharammal et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ab3012
- Assimilation of Global Satellite Leaf Area Estimates Reduces Modeled Global Carbon Uptake and Energy Loss by Terrestrial Ecosystems A. Fox et al. 10.1029/2022JG006830
- Accelerating rates of Arctic carbon cycling revealed by long-term atmospheric CO 2 measurements S. Jeong et al. 10.1126/sciadv.aao1167
- 20th century changes in carbon isotopes and water-use efficiency: tree-ring-based evaluation of the CLM4.5 and LPX-Bern models K. Keller et al. 10.5194/bg-14-2641-2017
- Evaluating the effect of alternative carbon allocation schemes in a land surface model (CLM4.5) on carbon fluxes, pools, and turnover in temperate forests F. Montané et al. 10.5194/gmd-10-3499-2017
- Carbon–concentration and carbon–climate feedbacks in CMIP6 models and their comparison to CMIP5 models V. Arora et al. 10.5194/bg-17-4173-2020
- Can models adequately reflect how long-term nitrogen enrichment alters the forest soil carbon cycle? B. Eastman et al. 10.5194/bg-21-201-2024
- Comparison of forest above‐ground biomass from dynamic global vegetation models with spatially explicit remotely sensed observation‐based estimates H. Yang et al. 10.1111/gcb.15117
- Timescale dependence of airborne fraction and underlying climate–carbon-cycle feedbacks for weak perturbations in CMIP5 models G. Torres Mendonça et al. 10.5194/bg-21-1923-2024
- Soil and vegetation carbon turnover times from tropical to boreal forests J. Wang et al. 10.1111/1365-2435.12914
- Greater stem growth, woody allocation, and aboveground biomass in Paleotropical forests than in Neotropical forests P. Taylor et al. 10.1002/ecy.2589
- Biogeographic pattern of living vegetation carbon turnover time in mature forests across continents K. Yu et al. 10.1111/geb.13736
- Reference carbon cycle dataset for typical Chinese forests via colocated observations and data assimilation H. He et al. 10.1038/s41597-021-00826-w
- Global carbon cycle response to external forcing K. Savina et al. 10.31857/S2686739724010186
- Soil erosion is unlikely to drive a future carbon sink in Europe E. Lugato et al. 10.1126/sciadv.aau3523
- Simulated responses of soil carbon to climate change in CMIP6 Earth system models: the role of false priming R. Varney et al. 10.5194/bg-20-3767-2023
- Reducing Uncertainties of Future Global Soil Carbon Responses to Climate and Land Use Change With Emergent Constraints W. Xu et al. 10.1029/2020GB006589
- Country-level land carbon sink and its causing components by the middle of the twenty-first century L. Jiang et al. 10.1186/s13717-021-00328-y
- Application of MaxEnt Model in Biomass Estimation: An Example of Spruce Forest in the Tianshan Mountains of the Central-Western Part of Xinjiang, China X. Ding et al. 10.3390/f14050953
- Long-term temporal patterns in ecosystem carbon flux components and overall balance in a heathland ecosystem Q. Li et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.162658
- Earth System Model Evaluation Tool (ESMValTool) v2.0 – an extended set of large-scale diagnostics for quasi-operational and comprehensive evaluation of Earth system models in CMIP V. Eyring et al. 10.5194/gmd-13-3383-2020
- Methodological uncertainty in estimating carbon turnover times of soil fractions W. Feng et al. 10.1016/j.soilbio.2016.06.003
- Higher climatological temperature sensitivity of soil carbon in cold than warm climates C. Koven et al. 10.1038/nclimate3421
- Tree crown damage and its effects on forest carbon cycling in a tropical forest J. Needham et al. 10.1111/gcb.16318
- Input-driven versus turnover-driven controls of simulated changes in soil carbon due to land-use change S. Nyawira et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/aa7ca9
6 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Explicitly representing soil microbial processes in Earth system models W. Wieder et al. 10.1002/2015GB005188
- Approaching the potential of model-data comparisons of global land carbon storage Z. Wu et al. 10.1038/s41598-019-38976-y
- Tracking changes in soil organic carbon across the heterogeneous agricultural landscape of the Lower Fraser Valley of British Columbia S. Paul et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.138994
- Parametric Sensitivity of Vegetation Dynamics in the TRIFFID Model and the Associated Uncertainty in Projected Climate Change Impacts on Western U.S. Forests L. Hawkins et al. 10.1029/2018MS001577
- Assessment of model estimates of land-atmosphere CO<sub>2</sub> exchange across Northern Eurasia M. Rawlins et al. 10.5194/bg-12-4385-2015
- Toward improved model structures for analyzing priming: potential pitfalls of using bulk turnover time K. Georgiou et al. 10.1111/gcb.13039
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Latest update: 13 Dec 2024
Short summary
Terrestrial carbon feedbacks are a large uncertainty in climate change. We separate modeled feedback responses into those governed by changed carbon inputs (productivity) and changed outputs (turnover). The disaggregated responses show that both are important in controlling inter-model uncertainty. Interactions between productivity and turnover are also important, and research must focus on these interactions for more accurate projections of carbon cycle feedbacks.
Terrestrial carbon feedbacks are a large uncertainty in climate change. We separate modeled...
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