Articles | Volume 13, issue 4
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-13-1071-2016
© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-13-1071-2016
© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Research article
| 
23 Feb 2016
Research article |
| 23 Feb 2016
Transient Earth system responses to cumulative carbon dioxide emissions: linearities, uncertainties, and probabilities in an observation-constrained model ensemble
M. Steinacher
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Climate and Environmental Physics, Physics Institute, University of Bern, 3012 Bern, Switzerland
Oeschger Centre for Climate Change Research, University of Bern, 3012 Bern, Switzerland
Climate and Environmental Physics, Physics Institute, University of Bern, 3012 Bern, Switzerland
Oeschger Centre for Climate Change Research, University of Bern, 3012 Bern, Switzerland
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- Limitations of the TCRE: Transient Climate Response to Cumulative Emissions J. Munshi https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3000932
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- Past warming trend constrains future warming in CMIP6 models K. Tokarska et al. https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.aaz9549
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38 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Large benefits to marine fisheries of meeting the 1.5°C global warming target W. Cheung et al. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aag2331
- Marine N2O Emissions From Nitrification and Denitrification Constrained by Modern Observations and Projected in Multimillennial Global Warming Simulations G. Battaglia & F. Joos https://doi.org/10.1002/2017GB005671
- A Bayesian ensemble data assimilation to constrain model parameters and land-use carbon emissions S. Lienert & F. Joos https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-15-2909-2018
- The oceanic origin of path-independent carbon budgets A. MacDougall https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-017-10557-x
- Estimating and tracking the remaining carbon budget for stringent climate targets J. Rogelj et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-019-1368-z
- Limitations of the TCRE: Transient Climate Response to Cumulative Emissions J. Munshi https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3000932
- Spatio-Temporal Variability in CO2 Fluxes in the Atlantic Sector of the Southern Ocean G. de Carvalho et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos16030319
- Focus on cumulative emissions, global carbon budgets and the implications for climate mitigation targets H. Matthews et al. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aa98c9
- Earth system responses to carbon dioxide removal as exemplified by ocean alkalinity enhancement: tradeoffs and lags A. Jeltsch-Thömmes et al. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ad4401
- The role of prior assumptions in carbon budget calculations B. Sanderson https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-563-2020
- Mapping the safe operating space of marine ecosystems under contrasting emission pathways T. Bourgeois et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-22-5435-2025
- Effects of ocean acidification on acid-base physiology, skeleton properties, and metal contamination in two echinoderms from vent sites in Deception Island, Antarctica S. Di Giglio et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.142669
- Past warming trend constrains future warming in CMIP6 models K. Tokarska et al. https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.aaz9549
- Carbon system state determines warming potential of emissions A. Winkler et al. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0306128
- Correlation of Regional Warming with Global Emissions J. Munshi https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3033001
- Linking cumulative carbon emissions to observable climate impacts C. Nzotungicimpaye & H. Matthews https://doi.org/10.1088/2752-5295/ad3fda
- Bayesian inference and predictive performance of soil respiration models in the presence of model discrepancy A. Elshall et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-12-2009-2019
- Implications of the Paris agreement for the ocean A. Magnan et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate3038
- Emit now, mitigate later? Earth system reversibility under overshoots of different magnitudes and durations J. Schwinger et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1641-2022
- The realized warming fraction: a multi-model sensitivity study P. Pfister & T. Stocker https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aaebae
- A probabilistic assessment of calcium carbonate export and dissolution in the modern ocean G. Battaglia et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-13-2823-2016
- Increase of the transient climate response to cumulative carbon emissions with decreasing CO2 concentration scenarios K. Tachiiri et al. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab57d3
- Robustness of CMIP6 Historical Global Mean Temperature Simulations: Trends, Long‐Term Persistence, Autocorrelation, and Distributional Shape S. Papalexiou et al. https://doi.org/10.1029/2020EF001667
- Spatially Resolved Temperature Response Functions to CO2 Emissions L. Freese et al. https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL108788
- Quantifying the probability distribution function of the transient climate response to cumulative CO2 emissions L. Spafford & A. MacDougall https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab6d7b
- The Bern Simple Climate Model (BernSCM) v1.0: an extensible and fully documented open-source re-implementation of the Bern reduced-form model for global carbon cycle–climate simulations K. Strassmann & F. Joos https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-11-1887-2018
- Beyond equilibrium climate sensitivity R. Knutti et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo3017
- Hazards of decreasing marine oxygen: the near-term and millennial-scale benefits of meeting the Paris climate targets G. Battaglia & F. Joos https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-797-2018
- Partitioning climate projection uncertainty with multiple large ensembles and CMIP5/6 F. Lehner et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-491-2020
- Reviews and syntheses: parameter identification in marine planktonic ecosystem modelling M. Schartau et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-14-1647-2017
- AERA-MIP: emission pathways, remaining budgets, and carbon cycle dynamics compatible with 1.5 and 2 °C global warming stabilization Y. Silvy et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1591-2024
- Ocean acidification in emission-driven temperature stabilization scenarios: the role of TCRE and non-CO2 greenhouse gases J. Terhaar et al. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/acaf91
- Assessing the remaining carbon budget through the lens of policy-driven acidification and temperature targets S. Avrutin et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-023-03587-0
- Hysteresis of the Earth system under positive and negative CO2 emissions A. Jeltsch-Thömmes et al. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abc4af
- A strong mitigation scenario maintains climate neutrality of northern peatlands C. Qiu et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.oneear.2021.12.008
- State‐Dependence of the Climate Sensitivity in Earth System Models of Intermediate Complexity P. Pfister & T. Stocker https://doi.org/10.1002/2017GL075457
- The Zero Emissions Commitment Model Intercomparison Project (ZECMIP) contribution to C4MIP: quantifying committed climate changes following zero carbon emissions C. Jones et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-12-4375-2019
- Predicting the contribution of climate change on North Atlantic underwater sound propagation L. Possenti et al. https://doi.org/10.7717/peerj.16208
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