Articles | Volume 13, issue 22
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-13-6229-2016
© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-13-6229-2016
© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Research article
| 
18 Nov 2016
Research article |
| 18 Nov 2016
Potential Arctic tundra vegetation shifts in response to changing temperature, precipitation and permafrost thaw
Henk-Jan van der Kolk
Plant Ecology and Nature Conservation Group, Wageningen University
& Research, Wageningen, the Netherlands
Monique M. P. D. Heijmans
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Plant Ecology and Nature Conservation Group, Wageningen University
& Research, Wageningen, the Netherlands
Jacobus van Huissteden
Earth and Climate Cluster, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the
Netherlands
Jeroen W. M. Pullens
Plant Ecology and Nature Conservation Group, Wageningen University
& Research, Wageningen, the Netherlands
Sustainable Ecosystems and Bioresources Department, Research and
Innovation Centre, Fondazione Edmund Mach, San Michele all'Adige,
Italy
Hydromet, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering and
Environmental Research Institute, University College Cork, Cork, Ireland
Frank Berendse
Plant Ecology and Nature Conservation Group, Wageningen University
& Research, Wageningen, the Netherlands
Viewed
Total article views: 4,547 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 21 Mar 2016)
| HTML | XML | Total | Supplement | BibTeX | EndNote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2,287 | 2,140 | 120 | 4,547 | 456 | 105 | 146 |
- HTML: 2,287
- PDF: 2,140
- XML: 120
- Total: 4,547
- Supplement: 456
- BibTeX: 105
- EndNote: 146
Total article views: 4,139 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 18 Nov 2016)
| HTML | XML | Total | Supplement | BibTeX | EndNote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2,066 | 1,957 | 116 | 4,139 | 290 | 103 | 143 |
- HTML: 2,066
- PDF: 1,957
- XML: 116
- Total: 4,139
- Supplement: 290
- BibTeX: 103
- EndNote: 143
Total article views: 408 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 21 Mar 2016)
| HTML | XML | Total | Supplement | BibTeX | EndNote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 221 | 183 | 4 | 408 | 166 | 2 | 3 |
- HTML: 221
- PDF: 183
- XML: 4
- Total: 408
- Supplement: 166
- BibTeX: 2
- EndNote: 3
Cited
42 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Volatile organic compound emissions from subarctic mosses and lichens I. Ryde et al. 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2022.119357
- Observed and predicted effects of climate change on Arctic caribou and reindeer C. Mallory & M. Boyce 10.1139/er-2017-0032
- Change Drivers and Impacts in Arctic Wetland Landscapes—Literature Review and Gap Analysis S. Seifollahi-Aghmiuni et al. 10.3390/w11040722
- Positive response of tree productivity to warming is reversed by increased tree density at the Arctic tundra–taiga ecotone X. Walker et al. 10.1139/cjfr-2020-0466
- Drivers of soil nitrogen availability and carbon exchange processes in a High Arctic wetland J. Hung et al. 10.1139/as-2022-0048
- Rapid Ecosystem Change at the Southern Limit of the Canadian Arctic, Torngat Mountains National Park E. Davis et al. 10.3390/rs13112085
- Extremely wet summer events enhance permafrost thaw for multiple years in Siberian tundra R. Magnússon et al. 10.1038/s41467-022-29248-x
- Multivariate Relationships between Snowmelt and Plant Distributions in the High Arctic Tundra J. Park et al. 10.1007/s12374-017-0361-z
- Inferring Permafrost Active Layer Thermal Properties From Numerical Model Optimization J. de Bruin et al. 10.1029/2021GL093306
- Impacts of spatially inconsistent permafrost degradation on streamflow in the Lena River Basin Z. Xue et al. 10.1007/s11431-023-2757-2
- Shrubification along Pipeline Corridors in Permafrost Regions X. Jin et al. 10.3390/f13071093
- Nitrogen transport in a tundra landscape: the effects of early and late growing season lateral N inputs on arctic soil and plant N pools and N2O fluxes L. Rasmussen et al. 10.1007/s10533-021-00855-y
- Mineral element recycling in topsoil following permafrost degradation and a vegetation shift in sub-Arctic tundra M. Villani et al. 10.1016/j.geoderma.2022.115915
- High resolution mapping shows differences in soil carbon and nitrogen stocks in areas of varying landscape history in Canadian lowland tundra J. Wagner et al. 10.1016/j.geoderma.2023.116652
- Changing sub-Arctic tundra vegetation upon permafrost degradation: impact on foliar mineral element cycling E. Mauclet et al. 10.5194/bg-19-2333-2022
- Strong shrub expansion in tundra-taiga, tree infilling in taiga and stable tundra in central Chukotka (north-eastern Siberia) between 2000 and 2017 I. Shevtsova et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ab9059
- Disproportionate microbial responses to decadal drainage on a Siberian floodplain M. Kwon et al. 10.1111/gcb.15785
- Drivers of heterogeneity in tundra vegetation productivity on the Yamal Peninsula, Siberia, Russia M. Tassone et al. 10.1088/2752-664X/ad220f
- Impacts of climate-induced permafrost degradation on vegetation: A review X. Jin et al. 10.1016/j.accre.2020.07.002
- Quantifying evapotranspiration from dominant Arctic vegetation types using lysimeters J. Clark et al. 10.1002/eco.2484
- Developing a new testate amoeba hydrological transfer function for permafrost peatlands of NW Siberia A. Halaś et al. 10.1016/j.quascirev.2023.108067
- Patterns of Arctic Tundra Greenness Based on Spatially Downscaled Solar-Induced Fluorescence D. Fu et al. 10.3390/rs11121460
- A Scientometric Review of Research Status on Unfrozen Soil Water S. Feng et al. 10.3390/w13050708
- Remote Sensing-Based Statistical Approach for Defining Drained Lake Basins in a Continuous Permafrost Region, North Slope of Alaska H. Bergstedt et al. 10.3390/rs13132539
- Whole-genome sequencing of 13 Arctic plants and draft genomes of Oxyria digyna and Cochlearia groenlandica J. Kim et al. 10.1038/s41597-024-03569-6
- Selective uptake of organic and inorganic nitrogen by Betula platyphylla seedlings from different provenances H. Wu et al. 10.1007/s11056-022-09949-3
- Multi-year data-model evaluation reveals the importance of nutrient availability over climate in arctic ecosystem C dynamics E. López-Blanco et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ab865b
- Shrub expansion and alpine plant community change: 40-year record from Niwot Ridge, Colorado K. Scharnagl et al. 10.1080/17550874.2019.1641757
- Investigating ten years of warming and enhanced snow depth on nutrient availability and greenhouse gas fluxes in a High Arctic ecosystem J. Hung et al. 10.1080/15230430.2023.2178428
- Quantifying exchangeable base cations in permafrost: a reserve of nutrients about to thaw E. Mauclet et al. 10.5194/essd-15-3891-2023
- Increased rainfall stimulates permafrost thaw across a variety of Interior Alaskan boreal ecosystems T. Douglas et al. 10.1038/s41612-020-0130-4
- Negative feedback processes following drainage slow down permafrost degradation M. Göckede et al. 10.1111/gcb.14744
- Tundra vegetation change and impacts on permafrost M. Heijmans et al. 10.1038/s43017-021-00233-0
- The specific molecular signature of dissolved organic matter extracted from different arctic plant species persists after biodegradation A. Allain et al. 10.1016/j.soilbio.2024.109393
- Sustainable Strategies to Current Conditions and Climate Change at U.S. Military Bases and Other Nations in the Arctic Region: A 20-Year Comparative Review V. Kaushal & A. Kashyap 10.3390/cli12110177
- Tracing changes in base cation sources for Arctic tundra vegetation upon permafrost thaw E. Mauclet et al. 10.1016/j.geoderma.2022.116277
- Climate drivers of Arctic tundra variability and change using an indicators framework U. Bhatt et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/abe676
- Small-scale hydrological patterns in a Siberian permafrost ecosystem affected by drainage S. Raab et al. 10.5194/bg-21-2571-2024
- Simulating Increased Permafrost Peatland Plant Productivity in Response to Belowground Fertilisation Using the JULES Land Surface Model R. Vitali et al. 10.3390/nitrogen3020018
- Inventory and Connectivity Assessment of Wetlands in Northern Landscapes with a Depression-Based DEM Method E. Stengård et al. 10.3390/w12123355
- Plant Traits are Key Determinants in Buffering the Meteorological Sensitivity of Net Carbon Exchanges of Arctic Tundra E. López‐Blanco et al. 10.1029/2018JG004386
- The NUCOMBog R package for simulating vegetation, water, carbon and nitrogen dynamics in peatlands J. Pullens et al. 10.1016/j.ecoinf.2017.05.001
41 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Volatile organic compound emissions from subarctic mosses and lichens I. Ryde et al. 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2022.119357
- Observed and predicted effects of climate change on Arctic caribou and reindeer C. Mallory & M. Boyce 10.1139/er-2017-0032
- Change Drivers and Impacts in Arctic Wetland Landscapes—Literature Review and Gap Analysis S. Seifollahi-Aghmiuni et al. 10.3390/w11040722
- Positive response of tree productivity to warming is reversed by increased tree density at the Arctic tundra–taiga ecotone X. Walker et al. 10.1139/cjfr-2020-0466
- Drivers of soil nitrogen availability and carbon exchange processes in a High Arctic wetland J. Hung et al. 10.1139/as-2022-0048
- Rapid Ecosystem Change at the Southern Limit of the Canadian Arctic, Torngat Mountains National Park E. Davis et al. 10.3390/rs13112085
- Extremely wet summer events enhance permafrost thaw for multiple years in Siberian tundra R. Magnússon et al. 10.1038/s41467-022-29248-x
- Multivariate Relationships between Snowmelt and Plant Distributions in the High Arctic Tundra J. Park et al. 10.1007/s12374-017-0361-z
- Inferring Permafrost Active Layer Thermal Properties From Numerical Model Optimization J. de Bruin et al. 10.1029/2021GL093306
- Impacts of spatially inconsistent permafrost degradation on streamflow in the Lena River Basin Z. Xue et al. 10.1007/s11431-023-2757-2
- Shrubification along Pipeline Corridors in Permafrost Regions X. Jin et al. 10.3390/f13071093
- Nitrogen transport in a tundra landscape: the effects of early and late growing season lateral N inputs on arctic soil and plant N pools and N2O fluxes L. Rasmussen et al. 10.1007/s10533-021-00855-y
- Mineral element recycling in topsoil following permafrost degradation and a vegetation shift in sub-Arctic tundra M. Villani et al. 10.1016/j.geoderma.2022.115915
- High resolution mapping shows differences in soil carbon and nitrogen stocks in areas of varying landscape history in Canadian lowland tundra J. Wagner et al. 10.1016/j.geoderma.2023.116652
- Changing sub-Arctic tundra vegetation upon permafrost degradation: impact on foliar mineral element cycling E. Mauclet et al. 10.5194/bg-19-2333-2022
- Strong shrub expansion in tundra-taiga, tree infilling in taiga and stable tundra in central Chukotka (north-eastern Siberia) between 2000 and 2017 I. Shevtsova et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ab9059
- Disproportionate microbial responses to decadal drainage on a Siberian floodplain M. Kwon et al. 10.1111/gcb.15785
- Drivers of heterogeneity in tundra vegetation productivity on the Yamal Peninsula, Siberia, Russia M. Tassone et al. 10.1088/2752-664X/ad220f
- Impacts of climate-induced permafrost degradation on vegetation: A review X. Jin et al. 10.1016/j.accre.2020.07.002
- Quantifying evapotranspiration from dominant Arctic vegetation types using lysimeters J. Clark et al. 10.1002/eco.2484
- Developing a new testate amoeba hydrological transfer function for permafrost peatlands of NW Siberia A. Halaś et al. 10.1016/j.quascirev.2023.108067
- Patterns of Arctic Tundra Greenness Based on Spatially Downscaled Solar-Induced Fluorescence D. Fu et al. 10.3390/rs11121460
- A Scientometric Review of Research Status on Unfrozen Soil Water S. Feng et al. 10.3390/w13050708
- Remote Sensing-Based Statistical Approach for Defining Drained Lake Basins in a Continuous Permafrost Region, North Slope of Alaska H. Bergstedt et al. 10.3390/rs13132539
- Whole-genome sequencing of 13 Arctic plants and draft genomes of Oxyria digyna and Cochlearia groenlandica J. Kim et al. 10.1038/s41597-024-03569-6
- Selective uptake of organic and inorganic nitrogen by Betula platyphylla seedlings from different provenances H. Wu et al. 10.1007/s11056-022-09949-3
- Multi-year data-model evaluation reveals the importance of nutrient availability over climate in arctic ecosystem C dynamics E. López-Blanco et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ab865b
- Shrub expansion and alpine plant community change: 40-year record from Niwot Ridge, Colorado K. Scharnagl et al. 10.1080/17550874.2019.1641757
- Investigating ten years of warming and enhanced snow depth on nutrient availability and greenhouse gas fluxes in a High Arctic ecosystem J. Hung et al. 10.1080/15230430.2023.2178428
- Quantifying exchangeable base cations in permafrost: a reserve of nutrients about to thaw E. Mauclet et al. 10.5194/essd-15-3891-2023
- Increased rainfall stimulates permafrost thaw across a variety of Interior Alaskan boreal ecosystems T. Douglas et al. 10.1038/s41612-020-0130-4
- Negative feedback processes following drainage slow down permafrost degradation M. Göckede et al. 10.1111/gcb.14744
- Tundra vegetation change and impacts on permafrost M. Heijmans et al. 10.1038/s43017-021-00233-0
- The specific molecular signature of dissolved organic matter extracted from different arctic plant species persists after biodegradation A. Allain et al. 10.1016/j.soilbio.2024.109393
- Sustainable Strategies to Current Conditions and Climate Change at U.S. Military Bases and Other Nations in the Arctic Region: A 20-Year Comparative Review V. Kaushal & A. Kashyap 10.3390/cli12110177
- Tracing changes in base cation sources for Arctic tundra vegetation upon permafrost thaw E. Mauclet et al. 10.1016/j.geoderma.2022.116277
- Climate drivers of Arctic tundra variability and change using an indicators framework U. Bhatt et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/abe676
- Small-scale hydrological patterns in a Siberian permafrost ecosystem affected by drainage S. Raab et al. 10.5194/bg-21-2571-2024
- Simulating Increased Permafrost Peatland Plant Productivity in Response to Belowground Fertilisation Using the JULES Land Surface Model R. Vitali et al. 10.3390/nitrogen3020018
- Inventory and Connectivity Assessment of Wetlands in Northern Landscapes with a Depression-Based DEM Method E. Stengård et al. 10.3390/w12123355
- Plant Traits are Key Determinants in Buffering the Meteorological Sensitivity of Net Carbon Exchanges of Arctic Tundra E. López‐Blanco et al. 10.1029/2018JG004386
1 citations as recorded by crossref.
Latest update: 20 Nov 2024
Short summary
Changes in tundra vegetation structure may amplify Arctic climate warming. Our simulations with a new tundra vegetation model suggest that precipitation increases favour grass abundance, whereas warming favours shrub dominance. However, abrupt permafrost thaw initiating wetland formation leads to grass dominance. Our simulations show that a wetter tundra, due to increased precipitation or abrupt permafrost thaw, could result in local shrub decline instead of the widely expected shrub expansion.
Changes in tundra vegetation structure may amplify Arctic climate warming. Our simulations with...
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint