Biogeosciences
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Articles | Volume 14, issue 18
Articles | Volume 14, issue 18
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-14-4355-2017
© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-14-4355-2017
© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Articles | Volume 14, issue 18
Research article
 | 
28 Sep 2017
Research article |  | 28 Sep 2017

The influence of El Niño–Southern Oscillation regimes on eastern African vegetation and its future implications under the RCP8.5 warming scenario

Istem Fer, Britta Tietjen, Florian Jeltsch, and Christian Wolff

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Short summary
El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) has been identified as one of the main drivers for the interannual variability in eastern African rainfall. But we know little about its direct impact on vegetation and how it might change in the future. In this study, we quantified this relationship and predict its future under certain climate change scenarios. Results suggest that we need to consider an increase in future ENSO intensity to cover the full range of potential changes in vegetation responses.
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