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Volume 14, issue 18
Biogeosciences, 14, 4355–4374, 2017
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-14-4355-2017
© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Biogeosciences, 14, 4355–4374, 2017
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-14-4355-2017
© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Research article 28 Sep 2017

Research article | 28 Sep 2017

The influence of El Niño–Southern Oscillation regimes on eastern African vegetation and its future implications under the RCP8.5 warming scenario

Istem Fer et al.

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Cited articles

Abdi, A. M., Vrieling, A., Yengoh, G. T., Anyamba, A., Seaquist, J. W., Ummenhofer, C. C., and Ardö, J.: The El Niño – La Niña cycle and recent trends in supply and demand of net primary productivity in African drylands, Climatic Change, 138, 111–125, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-016-1730-1, 2016.
Ahlström, A., Schurgers, G., Arneth, A., and Smith, B.: Robustness and uncertainty in terrestrial ecosystem carbon response to CMIP5 climate change projections, Environ. Res. Lett., 7, 044008, https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/7/4/044008, 2012.
Anyah, R. O. and Semazzi, F. H. M.: Variability of East African rainfall based on multiyear RegCM3 simulations, Int. J. Climatol., 27, 357–371, https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.1401, 2007.
Appelhans, T. and Nauss, T.: Spatial patterns of sea surface temperature influences on East African precipitation as revealed by empirical orthogonal teleconnections, Front. Earth Sci., 4, 3, https://doi.org/10.3389/feart.2016.00003, 2016.
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El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) has been identified as one of the main drivers for the interannual variability in eastern African rainfall. But we know little about its direct impact on vegetation and how it might change in the future. In this study, we quantified this relationship and predict its future under certain climate change scenarios. Results suggest that we need to consider an increase in future ENSO intensity to cover the full range of potential changes in vegetation responses.
El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) has been identified as one of the main drivers for the...
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