Articles | Volume 14, issue 18
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-14-4355-2017
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-14-4355-2017
Research article
 | 
28 Sep 2017
Research article |  | 28 Sep 2017

The influence of El Niño–Southern Oscillation regimes on eastern African vegetation and its future implications under the RCP8.5 warming scenario

Istem Fer, Britta Tietjen, Florian Jeltsch, and Christian Wolff

Related authors

What if extreme droughts occur more frequently? Mechanisms and limits of forest adaptation in pine monocultures and mixed forests in Berlin–Brandenburg, Germany
Jamir Priesner, Boris Sakschewski, Maik Billing, Werner von Bloh, Sebastian Fiedler, Sarah Bereswill, Kirsten Thonicke, and Britta Tietjen
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3309–3331, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3309-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3309-2025, 2025
Short summary
A trait-based model to describe plant community dynamics in managed grasslands (GrasslandTraitSim.jl v1.0.0)
Felix Nößler, Thibault Moulin, Oksana Buzhdygan, Britta Tietjen, and Felix May
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3798,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3798, 2024
Short summary
Connecting competitor, stress-tolerator and ruderal (CSR) theory and Lund Potsdam Jena managed Land 5 (LPJmL 5) to assess the role of environmental conditions, management and functional diversity for grassland ecosystem functions
Stephen Björn Wirth, Arne Poyda, Friedhelm Taube, Britta Tietjen, Christoph Müller, Kirsten Thonicke, Anja Linstädter, Kai Behn, Sibyll Schaphoff, Werner von Bloh, and Susanne Rolinski
Biogeosciences, 21, 381–410, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-381-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-381-2024, 2024
Short summary

Cited articles

Abdi, A. M., Vrieling, A., Yengoh, G. T., Anyamba, A., Seaquist, J. W., Ummenhofer, C. C., and Ardö, J.: The El Niño – La Niña cycle and recent trends in supply and demand of net primary productivity in African drylands, Climatic Change, 138, 111–125, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-016-1730-1, 2016.
Ahlström, A., Schurgers, G., Arneth, A., and Smith, B.: Robustness and uncertainty in terrestrial ecosystem carbon response to CMIP5 climate change projections, Environ. Res. Lett., 7, 044008, https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/7/4/044008, 2012.
Anyah, R. O. and Semazzi, F. H. M.: Variability of East African rainfall based on multiyear RegCM3 simulations, Int. J. Climatol., 27, 357–371, https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.1401, 2007.
Appelhans, T. and Nauss, T.: Spatial patterns of sea surface temperature influences on East African precipitation as revealed by empirical orthogonal teleconnections, Front. Earth Sci., 4, 3, https://doi.org/10.3389/feart.2016.00003, 2016.
Download
Short summary
El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) has been identified as one of the main drivers for the interannual variability in eastern African rainfall. But we know little about its direct impact on vegetation and how it might change in the future. In this study, we quantified this relationship and predict its future under certain climate change scenarios. Results suggest that we need to consider an increase in future ENSO intensity to cover the full range of potential changes in vegetation responses.
Share
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint