Articles | Volume 18, issue 10
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-18-3123-2021
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-18-3123-2021
Research article
 | 
25 May 2021
Research article |  | 25 May 2021

Sensitivity of 21st-century projected ocean new production changes to idealized biogeochemical model structure

Genevieve Jay Brett, Daniel B. Whitt, Matthew C. Long, Frank Bryan, Kate Feloy, and Kelvin J. Richards

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Latest update: 18 Mar 2024
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Short summary
We quantify one form of uncertainty in modeled 21st-century changes in phytoplankton growth. The supply of nutrients from deep to surface waters decreases in the warmer future ocean, but the effect on phytoplankton growth also depends on changes in available light, how much light and nutrient the plankton need, and how fast they can grow. These phytoplankton properties can be summarized as a biological timescale: when it is short, future growth decreases twice as much as when it is long.
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