Articles | Volume 18, issue 10
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-18-3123-2021
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-18-3123-2021
Research article
 | 
25 May 2021
Research article |  | 25 May 2021

Sensitivity of 21st-century projected ocean new production changes to idealized biogeochemical model structure

Genevieve Jay Brett, Daniel B. Whitt, Matthew C. Long, Frank Bryan, Kate Feloy, and Kelvin J. Richards

Related authors

Competition between chaotic advection and diffusion: stirring and mixing in a 3-D eddy model
Genevieve Jay Brett, Larry Pratt, Irina Rypina, and Peng Wang
Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 26, 37–60, https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-26-37-2019,https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-26-37-2019, 2019
Short summary

Related subject area

Earth System Science/Response to Global Change: Climate Change
Ocean alkalinity enhancement approaches and the predictability of runaway precipitation processes: results of an experimental study to determine critical alkalinity ranges for safe and sustainable application scenarios
Niels Suitner, Giulia Faucher, Carl Lim, Julieta Schneider, Charly A. Moras, Ulf Riebesell, and Jens Hartmann
Biogeosciences, 21, 4587–4604, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-4587-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-4587-2024, 2024
Short summary
Variations of polyphenols and carbohydrates of Emiliania huxleyi grown under simulated ocean acidification conditions
Milagros Rico, Paula Santiago-Díaz, Guillermo Samperio-Ramos, Melchor González-Dávila, and Juana Magdalena Santana-Casiano
Biogeosciences, 21, 4381–4394, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-4381-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-4381-2024, 2024
Short summary
Global and regional hydrological impacts of global forest expansion
James A. King, James Weber, Peter Lawrence, Stephanie Roe, Abigail L. S. Swann, and Maria Val Martin
Biogeosciences, 21, 3883–3902, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-3883-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-3883-2024, 2024
Short summary
The biological and preformed carbon pumps in perpetually slower and warmer oceans
Benoît Pasquier, Mark Holzer, and Matthew A. Chamberlain
Biogeosciences, 21, 3373–3400, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-3373-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-3373-2024, 2024
Short summary
The Southern Ocean as the climate's freight train – driving ongoing global warming under zero-emission scenarios with ACCESS-ESM1.5
Matthew A. Chamberlain, Tilo Ziehn, and Rachel M. Law
Biogeosciences, 21, 3053–3073, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-3053-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-3053-2024, 2024
Short summary

Cited articles

Alexander, M. A., Scott, J. D., Friedland, K. D., Mills, K. E., Nye, J. A., Pershing, A. J., and Thomas, A. C.: Projected sea surface temperatures over the 21st century: Changes in the mean, variability and extremes for large marine ecosystem regions of Northern Oceans, Elem. Sci. Anth., 6, https://doi.org/10.1525/elementa.191, 2018. a
Anugerahanti, P., Roy, S., and Haines, K.: Perturbed biology and physics signatures in a 1-D ocean biogeochemical model ensemble, Front. Mar. Sci., 7, https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2020.00549, 2020. a
Behrenfeld, M. J. and Boss, E. S.: Resurrecting the ecological underpinnings of ocean plankton blooms, Annu. Rev. Mar. Sci., 6, 167–194, 2014. a
Bopp, L., Resplandy, L., Orr, J. C., Doney, S. C., Dunne, J. P., Gehlen, M., Halloran, P., Heinze, C., Ilyina, T., Séférian, R., Tjiputra, J., and Vichi, M.: Multiple stressors of ocean ecosystems in the 21st century: projections with CMIP5 models, Biogeosciences, 10, 6225–6245, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-10-6225-2013, 2013. a
Boyce, D. G., Lewis, M. R., and Worm, B.: Global phytoplankton decline over the past century, Nature, 466, 591–596, 2010. a
Download
Short summary
We quantify one form of uncertainty in modeled 21st-century changes in phytoplankton growth. The supply of nutrients from deep to surface waters decreases in the warmer future ocean, but the effect on phytoplankton growth also depends on changes in available light, how much light and nutrient the plankton need, and how fast they can grow. These phytoplankton properties can be summarized as a biological timescale: when it is short, future growth decreases twice as much as when it is long.
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint