Articles | Volume 18, issue 12
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-18-3657-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-18-3657-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| Highlight paper
| 
18 Jun 2021
Research article | Highlight paper |
| 18 Jun 2021
| 18 Jun 2021
Committed and projected future changes in global peatlands – continued transient model simulations since the Last Glacial Maximum
Jurek Müller
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Climate and Environmental Physics, Physics Institute, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland
Oeschger Centre for Climate Change Research, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland
Fortunat Joos
Climate and Environmental Physics, Physics Institute, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland
Oeschger Centre for Climate Change Research, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland
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Cited
19 citations as recorded by crossref.
- The key role of forest disturbance in reconciling estimates of the northern carbon sink M. O’Sullivan et al. 10.1038/s43247-024-01827-4
- Impact of climate change-induced alterations in peatland vegetation phenology and composition on carbon balance M. Antala et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.154294
- Committed and projected future changes in global peatlands – continued transient model simulations since the Last Glacial Maximum J. Müller & F. Joos 10.5194/bg-18-3657-2021
- Modeling Pan‐Arctic Peatland Carbon Dynamics Under Alternative Warming Scenarios N. Chaudhary et al. 10.1029/2021GL095276
- Six Decades of Changes in Pool Characteristics on a Concentric-Patterned Raised Bog D. Colson et al. 10.1007/s10021-023-00889-3
- Evaluation of the impact of freezing technique on pore-structure characteristics of highly decomposed peat using X-ray micro-computed tomography H. Al Majou et al. 10.31545/intagr/152057
- Modeling Carbon Accumulation and Permafrost Dynamics of Northern Peatlands Since the Holocene B. Zhao et al. 10.1029/2022JG007009
- Peatlands and their carbon dynamics in northern high latitudes from 1990 to 2300: a process-based biogeochemistry model analysis B. Zhao & Q. Zhuang 10.5194/bg-20-251-2023
- Using Holocene paleo-fire records to estimate carbon stock vulnerabilities in Hudson Bay Lowlands peatlands M. Davies et al. 10.1139/facets-2022-0162
- Country-level estimates of gross and net carbon fluxes from land use, land-use change and forestry W. Obermeier et al. 10.5194/essd-16-605-2024
- Rapid shift in greenhouse forcing of emerging arctic peatlands T. Christensen et al. 10.1038/s41598-023-29859-4
- Tropical Peatland Hydrology Simulated With a Global Land Surface Model S. Apers et al. 10.1029/2021MS002784
- Global Carbon Budget 2022 P. Friedlingstein et al. 10.5194/essd-14-4811-2022
- A strong mitigation scenario maintains climate neutrality of northern peatlands C. Qiu et al. 10.1016/j.oneear.2021.12.008
- Imminent loss of climate space for permafrost peatlands in Europe and Western Siberia R. Fewster et al. 10.1038/s41558-022-01296-7
- Mires and Peatlands: Carbon, Greenhouse Gases, and Climate Change A. Sirin 10.1134/S2079086422080096
- The Zero Emissions Commitment and climate stabilization S. Palazzo Corner et al. 10.3389/fsci.2023.1170744
- Climate change will reduce North American inland wetland areas and disrupt their seasonal regimes D. Xu et al. 10.1038/s41467-024-45286-z
- Warming-induced vegetation growth cancels out soil carbon-climate feedback in the northern Asian permafrost region in the 21st century J. Liu et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ac7eda
19 citations as recorded by crossref.
- The key role of forest disturbance in reconciling estimates of the northern carbon sink M. O’Sullivan et al. 10.1038/s43247-024-01827-4
- Impact of climate change-induced alterations in peatland vegetation phenology and composition on carbon balance M. Antala et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.154294
- Committed and projected future changes in global peatlands – continued transient model simulations since the Last Glacial Maximum J. Müller & F. Joos 10.5194/bg-18-3657-2021
- Modeling Pan‐Arctic Peatland Carbon Dynamics Under Alternative Warming Scenarios N. Chaudhary et al. 10.1029/2021GL095276
- Six Decades of Changes in Pool Characteristics on a Concentric-Patterned Raised Bog D. Colson et al. 10.1007/s10021-023-00889-3
- Evaluation of the impact of freezing technique on pore-structure characteristics of highly decomposed peat using X-ray micro-computed tomography H. Al Majou et al. 10.31545/intagr/152057
- Modeling Carbon Accumulation and Permafrost Dynamics of Northern Peatlands Since the Holocene B. Zhao et al. 10.1029/2022JG007009
- Peatlands and their carbon dynamics in northern high latitudes from 1990 to 2300: a process-based biogeochemistry model analysis B. Zhao & Q. Zhuang 10.5194/bg-20-251-2023
- Using Holocene paleo-fire records to estimate carbon stock vulnerabilities in Hudson Bay Lowlands peatlands M. Davies et al. 10.1139/facets-2022-0162
- Country-level estimates of gross and net carbon fluxes from land use, land-use change and forestry W. Obermeier et al. 10.5194/essd-16-605-2024
- Rapid shift in greenhouse forcing of emerging arctic peatlands T. Christensen et al. 10.1038/s41598-023-29859-4
- Tropical Peatland Hydrology Simulated With a Global Land Surface Model S. Apers et al. 10.1029/2021MS002784
- Global Carbon Budget 2022 P. Friedlingstein et al. 10.5194/essd-14-4811-2022
- A strong mitigation scenario maintains climate neutrality of northern peatlands C. Qiu et al. 10.1016/j.oneear.2021.12.008
- Imminent loss of climate space for permafrost peatlands in Europe and Western Siberia R. Fewster et al. 10.1038/s41558-022-01296-7
- Mires and Peatlands: Carbon, Greenhouse Gases, and Climate Change A. Sirin 10.1134/S2079086422080096
- The Zero Emissions Commitment and climate stabilization S. Palazzo Corner et al. 10.3389/fsci.2023.1170744
- Climate change will reduce North American inland wetland areas and disrupt their seasonal regimes D. Xu et al. 10.1038/s41467-024-45286-z
- Warming-induced vegetation growth cancels out soil carbon-climate feedback in the northern Asian permafrost region in the 21st century J. Liu et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ac7eda
Latest update: 23 Nov 2024
Short summary
We present long-term projections of global peatland area and carbon with a continuous transient history since the Last Glacial Maximum. Our novel results show that large parts of today’s northern peatlands are at risk from past and future climate change, with larger emissions clearly connected to larger risks. The study includes comparisons between different emission and land-use scenarios, driver attribution through factorial simulations, and assessments of uncertainty from climate forcing.
We present long-term projections of global peatland area and carbon with a continuous transient...
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