Biogeosciences
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Articles | Volume 18, issue 12
Articles | Volume 18, issue 12
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-18-3657-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-18-3657-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 18, issue 12
Research article
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18 Jun 2021
Research article | Highlight paper |  | 18 Jun 2021

Committed and projected future changes in global peatlands – continued transient model simulations since the Last Glacial Maximum

Jurek Müller and Fortunat Joos

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Short summary
We present long-term projections of global peatland area and carbon with a continuous transient history since the Last Glacial Maximum. Our novel results show that large parts of today’s northern peatlands are at risk from past and future climate change, with larger emissions clearly connected to larger risks. The study includes comparisons between different emission and land-use scenarios, driver attribution through factorial simulations, and assessments of uncertainty from climate forcing.
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