Biogeosciences
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Articles | Volume 21, issue 17
Articles | Volume 21, issue 17
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-3903-2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-3903-2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 21, issue 17
Research article
 | 
04 Sep 2024
Research article |  | 04 Sep 2024

Drivers of decadal trends in the ocean carbon sink in the past, present, and future in Earth system models

Jens Terhaar

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Latest update: 30 Oct 2025
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Short summary
Despite the ocean’s importance in the carbon cycle and hence the climate, observing the ocean carbon sink remains challenging. Here, I use an ensemble of 12 models to understand drivers of decadal trends of the past, present, and future ocean carbon sink. I show that 80 % of the decadal trends in the multi-model mean ocean carbon sink can be explained by changes in decadal trends in atmospheric CO2. The remaining 20 % are due to internal climate variability and ocean heat uptake.
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