Articles | Volume 12, issue 19
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-12-5715-2015
© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-12-5715-2015
© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Research article
| 
08 Oct 2015
Research article |
| 08 Oct 2015
A latitudinally banded phytoplankton response to 21st century climate change in the Southern Ocean across the CMIP5 model suite
School of Oceanography, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, USA
Department of Earth and Environmental Science, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA
A. Cabré
Department of Earth and Environmental Science, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA
I. Marinov
Department of Earth and Environmental Science, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA
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Cited
37 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Impact of climate change on the primary production and related biogeochemical cycles in the coastal and sea ice zone of the Southern Ocean S. Kim & K. Kim 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.141678
- Annual nitrate drawdown observed by SOCCOM profiling floats and the relationship to annual net community production K. Johnson et al. 10.1002/2017JC012839
- Interrelated influence of iron, light, and CO2 on carbon fixation in a Southern Ocean diatom Y. Ye et al. 10.1002/lno.12360
- Southern Ocean Iron Limitation of Primary Production between Past Knowledge and Future Projections E. Bazzani et al. 10.3390/jmse11020272
- Circumpolar projections of Antarctic krill growth potential D. Veytia et al. 10.1038/s41558-020-0758-4
- Sea Ice Dynamics Drive Benthic Microbial Communities in McMurdo Sound, Antarctica A. Currie et al. 10.3389/fmicb.2021.745915
- Climate change impacts on net primary production (NPP) and export production (EP) regulated by increasing stratification and phytoplankton community structure in the CMIP5 models W. Fu et al. 10.5194/bg-13-5151-2016
- Finding the Fingerprint of Anthropogenic Climate Change in Marine Phytoplankton Abundance G. Elsworth et al. 10.1007/s40641-020-00156-w
- The Variable and Changing Southern Ocean Silicate Front: Insights From the CESM Large Ensemble N. Freeman et al. 10.1029/2017GB005816
- The marine carbonate system along the northern Antarctic Peninsula: current knowledge and future perspectives I. ORSELLI et al. 10.1590/0001-3765202220210825
- Cloud‐Nucleating Particles Over the Southern Ocean in a Changing Climate C. Twohy et al. 10.1029/2020EF001673
- Natural variability of Southern Ocean convection as a driver of observed climate trends L. Zhang et al. 10.1038/s41558-018-0350-3
- Changing Biogeochemistry of the Southern Ocean and Its Ecosystem Implications S. Henley et al. 10.3389/fmars.2020.00581
- The seasonal cycle of <i>p</i>CO<sub>2</sub> and CO<sub>2</sub> fluxes in the Southern Ocean: diagnosing anomalies in CMIP5 Earth system models N. Mongwe et al. 10.5194/bg-15-2851-2018
- The Fate of Carbon and Nutrients Exported Out of the Southern Ocean J. Hauck et al. 10.1029/2018GB005977
- Different iron storage strategies among bloom-forming diatoms R. Lampe et al. 10.1073/pnas.1805243115
- Twenty‐first‐century climate change impacts on marine animal biomass and ecosystem structure across ocean basins A. Bryndum‐Buchholz et al. 10.1111/gcb.14512
- CMIP5 model analysis of future changes in ocean net primary production focusing on differences among individual oceans and models Y. Nakamura & A. Oka 10.1007/s10872-019-00513-w
- Ocean acidification reduces the growth of two Southern Ocean phytoplankton S. Andrew et al. 10.3354/meps13923
- Reversal of Increasing Tropical Ocean Hypoxia Trends With Sustained Climate Warming W. Fu et al. 10.1002/2017GB005788
- Sensitivity of 21st Century Ocean Carbon Export Flux Projections to the Choice of Export Depth Horizon H. Palevsky & S. Doney 10.1029/2020GB006790
- Persistent Uncertainties in Ocean Net Primary Production Climate Change Projections at Regional Scales Raise Challenges for Assessing Impacts on Ecosystem Services A. Tagliabue et al. 10.3389/fclim.2021.738224
- Pelagic ciliate (Ciliophora) communities in the Southern Ocean: Bioindicator to water mass, habitat suitability classification and potential response to global warming C. Wang et al. 10.1016/j.pocean.2023.103081
- Nonmonotonic Response of Primary Production and Export to Changes in Mixed‐Layer Depth in the Southern Ocean J. Llort et al. 10.1029/2018GL081788
- Diazotrophy as a key driver of the response of marine net primary productivity to climate change L. Bopp et al. 10.5194/bg-19-4267-2022
- Global Drivers on Southern Ocean Ecosystems: Changing Physical Environments and Anthropogenic Pressures in an Earth System S. Morley et al. 10.3389/fmars.2020.547188
- Sensitivity of the Relationship Between Antarctic Ice Shelves and Iron Supply to Projected Changes in the Atmospheric Forcing M. Dinniman et al. 10.1029/2022JC019210
- The interactive effects of stratospheric ozone depletion, UV radiation, and climate change on aquatic ecosystems C. Williamson et al. 10.1039/c8pp90062k
- The interplay between regeneration and scavenging fluxes drives ocean iron cycling A. Tagliabue et al. 10.1038/s41467-019-12775-5
- Global Connectivity of Southern Ocean Ecosystems E. Murphy et al. 10.3389/fevo.2021.624451
- Physiology and iron modulate diverse responses of diatoms to a warming Southern Ocean P. Boyd 10.1038/s41558-018-0389-1
- Major Contribution of Reduced Upper Ocean Oxygen Mixing to Global Ocean Deoxygenation in an Earth System Model D. Couespel et al. 10.1029/2019GL084162
- Evidence for the Impact of Climate Change on Primary Producers in the Southern Ocean M. Pinkerton et al. 10.3389/fevo.2021.592027
- Imputation of Ocean-color Product in Polynya Region of Antarctica for Primary Productivity Estimates J. Park et al. 10.22761/GD.2023.0002
- Projected decreases in future marine export production: the role of the carbon flux through the upper ocean ecosystem C. Laufkötter et al. 10.5194/bg-13-4023-2016
- Diagnosing CO2 emission-induced feedbacks between the Southern Ocean carbon cycle and the climate system: A multiple Earth System Model analysis using a water mass tracking approach T. Roy et al. 10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0889.1
- Southern Ocean Phytoplankton in a Changing Climate S. Deppeler & A. Davidson 10.3389/fmars.2017.00040
37 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Impact of climate change on the primary production and related biogeochemical cycles in the coastal and sea ice zone of the Southern Ocean S. Kim & K. Kim 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.141678
- Annual nitrate drawdown observed by SOCCOM profiling floats and the relationship to annual net community production K. Johnson et al. 10.1002/2017JC012839
- Interrelated influence of iron, light, and CO2 on carbon fixation in a Southern Ocean diatom Y. Ye et al. 10.1002/lno.12360
- Southern Ocean Iron Limitation of Primary Production between Past Knowledge and Future Projections E. Bazzani et al. 10.3390/jmse11020272
- Circumpolar projections of Antarctic krill growth potential D. Veytia et al. 10.1038/s41558-020-0758-4
- Sea Ice Dynamics Drive Benthic Microbial Communities in McMurdo Sound, Antarctica A. Currie et al. 10.3389/fmicb.2021.745915
- Climate change impacts on net primary production (NPP) and export production (EP) regulated by increasing stratification and phytoplankton community structure in the CMIP5 models W. Fu et al. 10.5194/bg-13-5151-2016
- Finding the Fingerprint of Anthropogenic Climate Change in Marine Phytoplankton Abundance G. Elsworth et al. 10.1007/s40641-020-00156-w
- The Variable and Changing Southern Ocean Silicate Front: Insights From the CESM Large Ensemble N. Freeman et al. 10.1029/2017GB005816
- The marine carbonate system along the northern Antarctic Peninsula: current knowledge and future perspectives I. ORSELLI et al. 10.1590/0001-3765202220210825
- Cloud‐Nucleating Particles Over the Southern Ocean in a Changing Climate C. Twohy et al. 10.1029/2020EF001673
- Natural variability of Southern Ocean convection as a driver of observed climate trends L. Zhang et al. 10.1038/s41558-018-0350-3
- Changing Biogeochemistry of the Southern Ocean and Its Ecosystem Implications S. Henley et al. 10.3389/fmars.2020.00581
- The seasonal cycle of <i>p</i>CO<sub>2</sub> and CO<sub>2</sub> fluxes in the Southern Ocean: diagnosing anomalies in CMIP5 Earth system models N. Mongwe et al. 10.5194/bg-15-2851-2018
- The Fate of Carbon and Nutrients Exported Out of the Southern Ocean J. Hauck et al. 10.1029/2018GB005977
- Different iron storage strategies among bloom-forming diatoms R. Lampe et al. 10.1073/pnas.1805243115
- Twenty‐first‐century climate change impacts on marine animal biomass and ecosystem structure across ocean basins A. Bryndum‐Buchholz et al. 10.1111/gcb.14512
- CMIP5 model analysis of future changes in ocean net primary production focusing on differences among individual oceans and models Y. Nakamura & A. Oka 10.1007/s10872-019-00513-w
- Ocean acidification reduces the growth of two Southern Ocean phytoplankton S. Andrew et al. 10.3354/meps13923
- Reversal of Increasing Tropical Ocean Hypoxia Trends With Sustained Climate Warming W. Fu et al. 10.1002/2017GB005788
- Sensitivity of 21st Century Ocean Carbon Export Flux Projections to the Choice of Export Depth Horizon H. Palevsky & S. Doney 10.1029/2020GB006790
- Persistent Uncertainties in Ocean Net Primary Production Climate Change Projections at Regional Scales Raise Challenges for Assessing Impacts on Ecosystem Services A. Tagliabue et al. 10.3389/fclim.2021.738224
- Pelagic ciliate (Ciliophora) communities in the Southern Ocean: Bioindicator to water mass, habitat suitability classification and potential response to global warming C. Wang et al. 10.1016/j.pocean.2023.103081
- Nonmonotonic Response of Primary Production and Export to Changes in Mixed‐Layer Depth in the Southern Ocean J. Llort et al. 10.1029/2018GL081788
- Diazotrophy as a key driver of the response of marine net primary productivity to climate change L. Bopp et al. 10.5194/bg-19-4267-2022
- Global Drivers on Southern Ocean Ecosystems: Changing Physical Environments and Anthropogenic Pressures in an Earth System S. Morley et al. 10.3389/fmars.2020.547188
- Sensitivity of the Relationship Between Antarctic Ice Shelves and Iron Supply to Projected Changes in the Atmospheric Forcing M. Dinniman et al. 10.1029/2022JC019210
- The interactive effects of stratospheric ozone depletion, UV radiation, and climate change on aquatic ecosystems C. Williamson et al. 10.1039/c8pp90062k
- The interplay between regeneration and scavenging fluxes drives ocean iron cycling A. Tagliabue et al. 10.1038/s41467-019-12775-5
- Global Connectivity of Southern Ocean Ecosystems E. Murphy et al. 10.3389/fevo.2021.624451
- Physiology and iron modulate diverse responses of diatoms to a warming Southern Ocean P. Boyd 10.1038/s41558-018-0389-1
- Major Contribution of Reduced Upper Ocean Oxygen Mixing to Global Ocean Deoxygenation in an Earth System Model D. Couespel et al. 10.1029/2019GL084162
- Evidence for the Impact of Climate Change on Primary Producers in the Southern Ocean M. Pinkerton et al. 10.3389/fevo.2021.592027
- Imputation of Ocean-color Product in Polynya Region of Antarctica for Primary Productivity Estimates J. Park et al. 10.22761/GD.2023.0002
- Projected decreases in future marine export production: the role of the carbon flux through the upper ocean ecosystem C. Laufkötter et al. 10.5194/bg-13-4023-2016
- Diagnosing CO2 emission-induced feedbacks between the Southern Ocean carbon cycle and the climate system: A multiple Earth System Model analysis using a water mass tracking approach T. Roy et al. 10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0889.1
- Southern Ocean Phytoplankton in a Changing Climate S. Deppeler & A. Davidson 10.3389/fmars.2017.00040
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Latest update: 03 Oct 2023
Short summary
Using the latest earth system models, we find that shifts in nutrient and light availability with future climate warming drive latitudinally banded changes in Southern Ocean phytoplankton distributions, which have the potential to significantly alter nutrient cycling as well as higher trophic level productivity throughout the global ocean. Spatial patterns in the modelled mechanisms driving these predicted phytoplankton trends qualitatively agree with recent observations.
Using the latest earth system models, we find that shifts in nutrient and light availability...
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