Articles | Volume 18, issue 1 
            
                
                    
            
            
            https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-18-207-2021
                    © Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under 
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
                the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-18-207-2021
                    © Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under 
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
                the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Fire and vegetation dynamics in northwest Siberia during the last 60 years based on high-resolution remote sensing
Oleg Sizov
                                            Institute of Oil and Gas Problems, Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia
                                        
                                    Ekaterina Ezhova
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
                                            
                                    
                                            Institute for Atmospheric and Earth System Research (INAR)/Physics, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland
                                        
                                    Petr Tsymbarovich
                                            Department of Physical Geography and Environmental Management Problems, Institute of Geography, Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia
                                        
                                    Andrey Soromotin
                                            Research Institute of Ecology and Natural Resource Management, Tyumen State University, Tyumen, Russia
                                        
                                    Nikolay Prihod'ko
                                            Research Institute of Ecology and Natural Resource Management, Tyumen State University, Tyumen, Russia
                                        
                                    Tuukka Petäjä
                                            Institute for Atmospheric and Earth System Research (INAR)/Physics, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland
                                        
                                    
                                            Research Institute of Ecology and Natural Resource Management, Tyumen State University, Tyumen, Russia
                                        
                                    Sergej Zilitinkevich
                                            Institute for Atmospheric and Earth System Research (INAR)/Physics, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland
                                        
                                    
                                            Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki, Finland
                                        
                                    Markku Kulmala
                                            Institute for Atmospheric and Earth System Research (INAR)/Physics, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland
                                        
                                    
                                            Research Institute of Ecology and Natural Resource Management, Tyumen State University, Tyumen, Russia
                                        
                                    Jaana Bäck
                                            Institute for Atmospheric and Earth System Research (INAR)/Forest Sciences, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland
                                        
                                    Kajar Köster
                                            Institute for Atmospheric and Earth System Research (INAR)/Forest Sciences, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland
                                        
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                            Cited
23 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Regional Spatiotemporal Patterns of Fire in the Eurasian Subarctic Based on Satellite Imagery Y. Zhou et al. 10.3390/rs14246200
 - Wildfire-smoke-precipitation interactions in Siberia: Insights from a regional model study I. Konovalov et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.175518
 - Climate change, fire return intervals and the growing risk of permanent forest loss in boreal Eurasia A. Burrell et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.154885
 - The impact of climatic factors on tick-related hospital visits and borreliosis incidence rates in European Russia P. Georgiades et al. 10.1371/journal.pone.0269846
 - Diversity and Ecological Features of Dynamic States of Psammophylous Grass Vegetation in the Southern Nechernozemye of Russia Y. Semenishchenkov & V. Kupreev 10.1134/S1995425525700374
 - Characterization of global fire activity and its spatiotemporal patterns for different land cover types from 2001 to 2020 X. Yang et al. 10.1016/j.envres.2023.115746
 - Reviews and syntheses: Arctic fire regimes and emissions in the 21st century J. McCarty et al. 10.5194/bg-18-5053-2021
 - Climatic Factors Influencing the Anthrax Outbreak of 2016 in Siberia, Russia E. Ezhova et al. 10.1007/s10393-021-01549-5
 - Lightning-Ignited Wildfires beyond the Polar Circle V. Kharuk et al. 10.3390/atmos14060957
 - Impacts of wildfire on soil microbiome in Boreal environments K. Köster et al. 10.1016/j.coesh.2021.100258
 - Wildfire Dynamics along a North-Central Siberian Latitudinal Transect Assessed Using Landsat Imagery Y. Dvornikov et al. 10.3390/rs14030790
 - Wildfire effects on mercury fate in soils of North-Western Siberia E. Filimonenko et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.175572
 - Revealing Physical Mechanisms of Spatial Pattern Formation and Switching in Ecosystems via Nonequilibrium Landscape and Flux J. Su et al. 10.1002/advs.202501776
 - A global behavioural model of human fire use and management: WHAM! v1.0 O. Perkins et al. 10.5194/gmd-17-3993-2024
 - Siberian Ecosystems as Drivers of Cryospheric Climate Feedbacks in the Terrestrial Arctic M. Loranty et al. 10.3389/fclim.2021.730943
 - Observations of the urban boundary layer in a cold climate city M. Varentsov et al. 10.1016/j.uclim.2022.101351
 - Wildfires in the Siberian Arctic V. Kharuk et al. 10.3390/fire5040106
 - Siberian taiga and tundra fire regimes from 2001–2020 A. Talucci et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ac3f07
 - Contrasting trends of carbon emission from savanna and boreal forest fires during 1999–2022 Y. Liu & A. Ding 10.1002/met.2177
 - Experimental assessment of tundra fire impact on element export and storage in permafrost peatlands D. Kuzmina et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.158701
 - Simulating dynamic fire regime and vegetation change in a warming Siberia N. Williams et al. 10.1186/s42408-023-00188-1
 - Combining community observations and remote sensing to examine the effects of roads on wildfires in the East Siberian boreal forest V. Kuklina et al. 10.1139/as-2021-0042
 - Experience in application and adaptation of the land degradation neutrality concept in the Russian Federation G. Kust et al. 10.1002/ldr.4484
 
21 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Regional Spatiotemporal Patterns of Fire in the Eurasian Subarctic Based on Satellite Imagery Y. Zhou et al. 10.3390/rs14246200
 - Wildfire-smoke-precipitation interactions in Siberia: Insights from a regional model study I. Konovalov et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.175518
 - Climate change, fire return intervals and the growing risk of permanent forest loss in boreal Eurasia A. Burrell et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.154885
 - The impact of climatic factors on tick-related hospital visits and borreliosis incidence rates in European Russia P. Georgiades et al. 10.1371/journal.pone.0269846
 - Diversity and Ecological Features of Dynamic States of Psammophylous Grass Vegetation in the Southern Nechernozemye of Russia Y. Semenishchenkov & V. Kupreev 10.1134/S1995425525700374
 - Characterization of global fire activity and its spatiotemporal patterns for different land cover types from 2001 to 2020 X. Yang et al. 10.1016/j.envres.2023.115746
 - Reviews and syntheses: Arctic fire regimes and emissions in the 21st century J. McCarty et al. 10.5194/bg-18-5053-2021
 - Climatic Factors Influencing the Anthrax Outbreak of 2016 in Siberia, Russia E. Ezhova et al. 10.1007/s10393-021-01549-5
 - Lightning-Ignited Wildfires beyond the Polar Circle V. Kharuk et al. 10.3390/atmos14060957
 - Impacts of wildfire on soil microbiome in Boreal environments K. Köster et al. 10.1016/j.coesh.2021.100258
 - Wildfire Dynamics along a North-Central Siberian Latitudinal Transect Assessed Using Landsat Imagery Y. Dvornikov et al. 10.3390/rs14030790
 - Wildfire effects on mercury fate in soils of North-Western Siberia E. Filimonenko et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.175572
 - Revealing Physical Mechanisms of Spatial Pattern Formation and Switching in Ecosystems via Nonequilibrium Landscape and Flux J. Su et al. 10.1002/advs.202501776
 - A global behavioural model of human fire use and management: WHAM! v1.0 O. Perkins et al. 10.5194/gmd-17-3993-2024
 - Siberian Ecosystems as Drivers of Cryospheric Climate Feedbacks in the Terrestrial Arctic M. Loranty et al. 10.3389/fclim.2021.730943
 - Observations of the urban boundary layer in a cold climate city M. Varentsov et al. 10.1016/j.uclim.2022.101351
 - Wildfires in the Siberian Arctic V. Kharuk et al. 10.3390/fire5040106
 - Siberian taiga and tundra fire regimes from 2001–2020 A. Talucci et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ac3f07
 - Contrasting trends of carbon emission from savanna and boreal forest fires during 1999–2022 Y. Liu & A. Ding 10.1002/met.2177
 - Experimental assessment of tundra fire impact on element export and storage in permafrost peatlands D. Kuzmina et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.158701
 - Simulating dynamic fire regime and vegetation change in a warming Siberia N. Williams et al. 10.1186/s42408-023-00188-1
 
2 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Combining community observations and remote sensing to examine the effects of roads on wildfires in the East Siberian boreal forest V. Kuklina et al. 10.1139/as-2021-0042
 - Experience in application and adaptation of the land degradation neutrality concept in the Russian Federation G. Kust et al. 10.1002/ldr.4484
 
Latest update: 03 Nov 2025
Short summary
                    In changing climate, tundra is expected to turn into shrubs and trees, diminishing reindeer pasture and increasing risks of tick-borne diseases. However, this transition may require a disturbance. Fires in Siberia are increasingly widespread. We studied wildfire dynamics and tundra–forest transition over 60 years in northwest Siberia near the Arctic Circle. Based on satellite data analysis, we found that transition occurs in 40 %–85 % of burned tundra compared to 5 %–15 % in non-disturbed areas.
                    In changing climate, tundra is expected to turn into shrubs and trees, diminishing reindeer...
                    
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