Articles | Volume 18, issue 8
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-18-2711-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-18-2711-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
30 Apr 2021
Research article |
| 30 Apr 2021
| 30 Apr 2021
Ocean carbon uptake under aggressive emission mitigation
Sean M. Ridge
Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences and Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia University, New York City, NY, United States
Galen A. McKinley
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences and Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia University, New York City, NY, United States
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Cited
24 citations as recorded by crossref.
- The role of vegetation carbon sequestration in offsetting energy carbon emissions in the Yangtze River Basin, China W. Yang & J. Pan 10.1007/s10668-023-03572-8
- Carbon Cycle–Climate Feedbacks in the Post-Paris World D. Schimel & D. Carroll 10.1146/annurev-earth-031621-081700
- Competitive dissolution of mixed carbonate solids under simulated ocean acidification H. Guiney & A. Mucci 10.1016/j.gca.2024.09.014
- Alternate Histories: Synthetic Large Ensembles of Sea‐Air CO2 Flux H. Olivarez et al. 10.1029/2021GB007174
- Observed Regional Fluxes to Constrain Modeled Estimates of the Ocean Carbon Sink A. Fay & G. McKinley 10.1029/2021GL095325
- Where Has All the Carbon Gone? A. Denning 10.1146/annurev-earth-032320-092010
- Variability in the Global Ocean Carbon Sink From 1959 to 2020 by Correcting Models With Observations V. Bennington et al. 10.1029/2022GL098632
- Modern air-sea flux distributions reduce uncertainty in the future ocean carbon sink G. McKinley et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/acc195
- The interplay of freshwater inputs and catchment geology in regulating seawater chemistry in Irish coastal areas M. Guerra & G. Mancinelli 10.1016/j.ecss.2024.108623
- Drivers of decadal trends in the ocean carbon sink in the past, present, and future in Earth system models J. Terhaar 10.5194/bg-21-3903-2024
- How Well Do We Understand the Land‐Ocean‐Atmosphere Carbon Cycle? D. Crisp et al. 10.1029/2021RG000736
- The Climate in Climate Economics D. Folini et al. 10.1093/restud/rdae011
- Modulation of regional carbon uptake by AMOC and alkalinity changes in the subpolar North Atlantic under a warming climate Q. Zhang et al. 10.3389/fmars.2024.1304193
- Development of an autonomous on-site dissolved inorganic carbon analyzer using conductometric detection S. Bhattacharya et al. 10.1016/j.aca.2024.342610
- Time-varying changes and uncertainties in the CMIP6 ocean carbon sink from global to local scale P. Gooya et al. 10.5194/esd-14-383-2023
- The climate in climate economics D. Folini et al. 10.2139/ssrn.3885021
- Trends and variability in the ocean carbon sink N. Gruber et al. 10.1038/s43017-022-00381-x
- Societal shifts due to COVID-19 reveal large-scale complexities and feedbacks between atmospheric chemistry and climate change J. Laughner et al. 10.1073/pnas.2109481118
- Research on carbon emission differences decomposition and spatial heterogeneity pattern of China’s eight economic regions Y. Zhang et al. 10.1007/s11356-021-17935-z
- Magnitude, Trends, and Variability of the Global Ocean Carbon Sink From 1985 to 2018 T. DeVries et al. 10.1029/2023GB007780
- Uncovering the world’s largest carbon sink—a profile of ocean carbon sinks research Q. Wang et al. 10.1007/s11356-024-32161-z
- On the Detection of COVID‐Driven Changes in Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide N. Lovenduski et al. 10.1029/2021GL095396
- Decadal Trends in the Oceanic Storage of Anthropogenic Carbon From 1994 to 2014 J. Müller et al. 10.1029/2023AV000875
- Improved Quantification of Ocean Carbon Uptake by Using Machine Learning to Merge Global Models and pCO2 Data L. Gloege et al. 10.1029/2021MS002620
23 citations as recorded by crossref.
- The role of vegetation carbon sequestration in offsetting energy carbon emissions in the Yangtze River Basin, China W. Yang & J. Pan 10.1007/s10668-023-03572-8
- Carbon Cycle–Climate Feedbacks in the Post-Paris World D. Schimel & D. Carroll 10.1146/annurev-earth-031621-081700
- Competitive dissolution of mixed carbonate solids under simulated ocean acidification H. Guiney & A. Mucci 10.1016/j.gca.2024.09.014
- Alternate Histories: Synthetic Large Ensembles of Sea‐Air CO2 Flux H. Olivarez et al. 10.1029/2021GB007174
- Observed Regional Fluxes to Constrain Modeled Estimates of the Ocean Carbon Sink A. Fay & G. McKinley 10.1029/2021GL095325
- Where Has All the Carbon Gone? A. Denning 10.1146/annurev-earth-032320-092010
- Variability in the Global Ocean Carbon Sink From 1959 to 2020 by Correcting Models With Observations V. Bennington et al. 10.1029/2022GL098632
- Modern air-sea flux distributions reduce uncertainty in the future ocean carbon sink G. McKinley et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/acc195
- The interplay of freshwater inputs and catchment geology in regulating seawater chemistry in Irish coastal areas M. Guerra & G. Mancinelli 10.1016/j.ecss.2024.108623
- Drivers of decadal trends in the ocean carbon sink in the past, present, and future in Earth system models J. Terhaar 10.5194/bg-21-3903-2024
- How Well Do We Understand the Land‐Ocean‐Atmosphere Carbon Cycle? D. Crisp et al. 10.1029/2021RG000736
- The Climate in Climate Economics D. Folini et al. 10.1093/restud/rdae011
- Modulation of regional carbon uptake by AMOC and alkalinity changes in the subpolar North Atlantic under a warming climate Q. Zhang et al. 10.3389/fmars.2024.1304193
- Development of an autonomous on-site dissolved inorganic carbon analyzer using conductometric detection S. Bhattacharya et al. 10.1016/j.aca.2024.342610
- Time-varying changes and uncertainties in the CMIP6 ocean carbon sink from global to local scale P. Gooya et al. 10.5194/esd-14-383-2023
- The climate in climate economics D. Folini et al. 10.2139/ssrn.3885021
- Trends and variability in the ocean carbon sink N. Gruber et al. 10.1038/s43017-022-00381-x
- Societal shifts due to COVID-19 reveal large-scale complexities and feedbacks between atmospheric chemistry and climate change J. Laughner et al. 10.1073/pnas.2109481118
- Research on carbon emission differences decomposition and spatial heterogeneity pattern of China’s eight economic regions Y. Zhang et al. 10.1007/s11356-021-17935-z
- Magnitude, Trends, and Variability of the Global Ocean Carbon Sink From 1985 to 2018 T. DeVries et al. 10.1029/2023GB007780
- Uncovering the world’s largest carbon sink—a profile of ocean carbon sinks research Q. Wang et al. 10.1007/s11356-024-32161-z
- On the Detection of COVID‐Driven Changes in Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide N. Lovenduski et al. 10.1029/2021GL095396
- Decadal Trends in the Oceanic Storage of Anthropogenic Carbon From 1994 to 2014 J. Müller et al. 10.1029/2023AV000875
1 citations as recorded by crossref.
Latest update: 22 Feb 2025
Short summary
Approximately 40 % of the CO2 emissions from fossil fuel combustion and cement production have been absorbed by the ocean. The goal of the UNFCCC Paris Agreement is to reduce humanity's emissions so as to limit global warming to no more than 2 °C, and ideally less than 1.5 °C. If we achieve this level of mitigation, the ocean's uptake of carbon will be strongly reduced. Excess carbon trapped in the near-surface ocean will begin to mix back to the surface and will limit additional uptake.
Approximately 40 % of the CO2 emissions from fossil fuel combustion and cement production have...
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