Articles | Volume 22, issue 14
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-22-3503-2025
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-22-3503-2025
Research article
 | Highlight paper
 | 
23 Jul 2025
Research article | Highlight paper |  | 23 Jul 2025

Occupancy history influences extinction risk of fossil marine microplankton groups

Isaiah E. Smith, Ádám T. Kocsis, and Wolfgang Kiessling

Related authors

Not all biodiversity rich spots are climate refugia
Ádám T. Kocsis, Qianshuo Zhao, Mark J. Costello, and Wolfgang Kiessling
Biogeosciences, 18, 6567–6578, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-18-6567-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-18-6567-2021, 2021
Short summary
History and development of ABCDEFG: a data standard for geosciences
Mareike Petersen, Falko Glöckler, Wolfgang Kiessling, Markus Döring, David Fichtmüller, Lertsutham Laphakorn, Brian Baltruschat, and Jana Hoffmann
Foss. Rec., 21, 47–53, https://doi.org/10.5194/fr-21-47-2018,https://doi.org/10.5194/fr-21-47-2018, 2018
Short summary

Related subject area

Biodiversity and Ecosystem Function: Paleo
External and internal drivers behind the formation, vegetation succession, and carbon balance of a subarctic fen margin
Teemu Juselius-Rajamäki, Sanna Piilo, Susanna Salminen-Paatero, Emilia Tuomaala, Tarmo Virtanen, Atte Korhola, Anna Autio, Hannu Marttila, Pertti Ala-Aho, Annalea Lohila, and Minna Väliranta
Biogeosciences, 22, 3047–3071, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-22-3047-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-22-3047-2025, 2025
Short summary
Palaeoecology of ungulates in northern Iberia during the Late Pleistocene through isotopic analysis of teeth
Mónica Fernández-García, Sarah Pederzani, Kate Britton, Lucía Agudo-Pérez, Andrea Cicero, Jeanne Marie Geiling, Joan Daura, Montserrat Sanz, and Ana B. Marín-Arroyo
Biogeosciences, 21, 4413–4437, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-4413-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-4413-2024, 2024
Short summary
Reply to Head's comment on “The Volyn biota (Ukraine) – indications of 1.5 Gyr old eukaryotes in 3D preservation, a spotlight on the `boring billion' ” by Franz et al. (2023)
Gerhard Franz, Vladimir Khomenko, Peter Lyckberg, Vsevolod Chournousenko, and Ulrich Struck
Biogeosciences, 21, 4119–4131, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-4119-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-4119-2024, 2024
Short summary
Comment on “The Volyn biota (Ukraine) – indications of 1.5 Gyr old eukaryotes in 3D preservation, a spotlight on the `boring billion' ” by Franz et al. (2023)
Martin J. Head, James B. Riding, Jennifer M. K. O'Keefe, Julius Jeiter, and Julia Gravendyck
Biogeosciences, 21, 1773–1783, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-1773-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-1773-2024, 2024
Short summary
Rates of palaeoecological change can inform ecosystem restoration
Walter Finsinger, Christian Bigler, Christoph Schwörer, and Willy Tinner
Biogeosciences, 21, 1629–1638, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-1629-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-1629-2024, 2024
Short summary

Cited articles

Alroy, J.: Dynamics of origination and extinction in the marine fossil record, P. Natl. Acad. Sci.-Biol., 105, 11536–11542, https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0802597105, 2008. 
Benton, M. J.: Mass extinction among non-marine tetrapods, Nature, 316, 811–814, https://doi.org/10.1038/316811a0, 1985. 
Boltovskoy, D.: The sedimentary record of pelagic biogeography, Prog. Oceanogr., 34, 135–160, https://doi.org/10.1016/0079-6611(94)90006-X, 1994. 
Boyden, J. A., Müller, R. D., Gurnis, M., Torsvik, T. H., Clark, J. A., Turner, M., Ivey-Law, H., Watson, R. J., and Cannon, J. S.: Next-generation plate-tectonic reconstructions using GPlates, in: Geoinformatics: Cyberinfrastructure for the Solid Earth Sciences, edited by: Baru, C. and Keller, G. R., Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 95–114, ISBN 978-0-521-89715-0, 2011. 
Chaabane, S., de Garidel-Thoron, T., Meilland, J., Sulpis, O., Chalk, T. B., Brummer, G. J. A., Mortyn, P. G., Giraud, X., Howa, H., Casajus, N., Kuroyanagi, A., Beaugrand, G., and Schiebel, R.: Migrating is not enough for modern planktonic foraminifera in a changing ocean, Nature, 636, 390–396, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-024-08191-5, 2024. 
Download
Co-editor-in-chief
This contribution uses occurrences of four major marine microplankton groups from a large paleontological database to test the hypothesis that changes in geographic range of a species predict extinction. The authors demonstrated that changes in geographic range are a dominant predictor of extinction risk in marine plankton. This result highlights the vulnerability of different plankton groups to extinction and shows the importance of paleontological observations for predicting extinction patterns in modern species.
Short summary
We examine how change in a species' geographic range size over time influences that species' extinction risk. We analyze instantaneous range size and range size change and how these terms relate to extinction risk in marine microplankton. We find that both the instantaneous range size and the change in range size are informative predictors of extinction. Using predictive models, we also assess extinction probability in four extant groups.
Share
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint