Articles | Volume 22, issue 19
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-22-5309-2025
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-22-5309-2025
Research article
 | 
07 Oct 2025
Research article |  | 07 Oct 2025

Future forests: estimating biogenic emissions from net-zero aligned afforestation pathways in the UK

Hazel Mooney, Stephen Arnold, Ben Silver, Piers M. Forster, and Catherine E. Scott

Related authors

Complementary aerosol mass spectrometry elucidates sources of wintertime submicron particle pollution in Fairbanks, Alaska, during ALPACA 2022
Amna Ijaz, Brice Temime-Roussel, Benjamin Chazeau, Sarah Albertin, Stephen R. Arnold, Brice Barret, Slimane Bekki, Natalie Brett, Meeta Cesler-Maloney, Elsa Dieudonne, Kayane K. Dingilian, Javier G. Fochesatto, Jingqiu Mao, Allison Moon, Joel Savarino, William Simpson, Rodney J. Weber, Kathy S. Law, and Barbara D'Anna
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 25, 11789–11811, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-11789-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-11789-2025, 2025
Short summary
Understanding drivers and biases of simulated CO emissions by the INFERNO fire model over South America
Maria P. Veláquez-García, Richard J. Pope, Steven T. Turnock, Chetan Deva, David P. Moore, Guilherme Mataveli, Steve R. Arnold, Ruth M. Doherty, and Martyn P. Chiperffield
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3579,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3579, 2025
This preprint is open for discussion and under review for Biogeosciences (BG).
Short summary
Indicators of Global Climate Change 2024: annual update of key indicators of the state of the climate system and human influence
Piers M. Forster, Chris Smith, Tristram Walsh, William F. Lamb, Robin Lamboll, Christophe Cassou, Mathias Hauser, Zeke Hausfather, June-Yi Lee, Matthew D. Palmer, Karina von Schuckmann, Aimée B. A. Slangen, Sophie Szopa, Blair Trewin, Jeongeun Yun, Nathan P. Gillett, Stuart Jenkins, H. Damon Matthews, Krishnan Raghavan, Aurélien Ribes, Joeri Rogelj, Debbie Rosen, Xuebin Zhang, Myles Allen, Lara Aleluia Reis, Robbie M. Andrew, Richard A. Betts, Alex Borger, Jiddu A. Broersma, Samantha N. Burgess, Lijing Cheng, Pierre Friedlingstein, Catia M. Domingues, Marco Gambarini, Thomas Gasser, Johannes Gütschow, Masayoshi Ishii, Christopher Kadow, John Kennedy, Rachel E. Killick, Paul B. Krummel, Aurélien Liné, Didier P. Monselesan, Colin Morice, Jens Mühle, Vaishali Naik, Glen P. Peters, Anna Pirani, Julia Pongratz, Jan C. Minx, Matthew Rigby, Robert Rohde, Abhishek Savita, Sonia I. Seneviratne, Peter Thorne, Christopher Wells, Luke M. Western, Guido R. van der Werf, Susan E. Wijffels, Valérie Masson-Delmotte, and Panmao Zhai
Earth Syst. Sci. Data, 17, 2641–2680, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-17-2641-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-17-2641-2025, 2025
Short summary
Aerosol dry deposition fluxes on snow during the ALPACA campaign in Fairbanks, Alaska
Antonio Donateo, Gianluca Pappaccogli, Federico Scoto, Maurizio Busetto, Francesca Lucia Lovisco, Natalie Brett, Douglas Keller, Brice Barret, Elsa Dieudonné, Roman Pohorsky, Andrea Baccarini, Slimane Bekki, Jean-Christophe Raut, Julia Schmale, Kathy S. Law, Steve R. Arnold, Gilberto Javier Fochesatto, William R. Simpson, and Stefano Decesari
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-1366,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-1366, 2025
Short summary
HTAP3 Fires: towards a multi-model, multi-pollutant study of fire impacts
Cynthia H. Whaley, Tim Butler, Jose A. Adame, Rupal Ambulkar, Steve R. Arnold, Rebecca R. Buchholz, Benjamin Gaubert, Douglas S. Hamilton, Min Huang, Hayley Hung, Johannes W. Kaiser, Jacek W. Kaminski, Christoph Knote, Gerbrand Koren, Jean-Luc Kouassi, Meiyun Lin, Tianjia Liu, Jianmin Ma, Kasemsan Manomaiphiboon, Elisa Bergas Masso, Jessica L. McCarty, Mariano Mertens, Mark Parrington, Helene Peiro, Pallavi Saxena, Saurabh Sonwani, Vanisa Surapipith, Damaris Y. T. Tan, Wenfu Tang, Veerachai Tanpipat, Kostas Tsigaridis, Christine Wiedinmyer, Oliver Wild, Yuanyu Xie, and Paquita Zuidema
Geosci. Model Dev., 18, 3265–3309, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-3265-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-3265-2025, 2025
Short summary

Cited articles

Atkinson, R.: Gas-phase tropospheric chemistry of organic compounds: A review, Atmospheric Environ. Part Gen. Top., 24, 1–41, https://doi.org/10.1016/0960-1686(90)90438-S, 1990. 
Bao, H., Kondo, A., Kaga, A., Tada, M., Sakaguti, K., Inoue, Y., Shimoda, Y., Narumi, D., and Machimura, T.: Biogenic volatile organic compound emission potential of forests and paddy fields in the Kinki region of Japan, Environ. Res., 106, 156–169, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envres.2007.09.009, 2008. 
Bolund, P. and Hunhammar, S.: Ecosystem services in urban areas, Ecol. Econ., 29, 293–301, https://doi.org/10.1016/S0921-8009(99)00013-0, 1999. 
Byron, J., Kreuzwieser, J., Purser, G., van Haren, J., Ladd, S. N., Meredith, L. K., Werner, C., and Williams, J.: Chiral monoterpenes reveal forest emission mechanisms and drought responses, Nature, 609, 307–312, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-022-05020-5, 2022. 
Chameides, W. L., Lindsay, R. W., Richardson, J., and Kiang, C. S.: The Role of Biogenic Hydrocarbons in Urban Photochemical Smog: Atlanta as a Case Study, Science, 241, 1473–1475, https://doi.org/10.1126/science.3420404, 1988. 
Download
Short summary
We simulate the potential changes in natural emissions of volatile gases from the land surface in the UK following afforestation from present-day woodland cover of 13 % to 19 % by 2050. We estimate present-day annual UK emissions of isoprene at 39 kt yr−1 and total monoterpenes at 46 kt yr−1, but emissions from afforested experiments show between a 3 % decrease and 123 % increase in emissions, explained by the variation in emissions activity between and within needleleaf and broadleaf trees.
Share
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint