Articles | Volume 18, issue 13
Biogeosciences, 18, 4005–4020, 2021
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-18-4005-2021
Biogeosciences, 18, 4005–4020, 2021
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-18-4005-2021

Research article 06 Jul 2021

Research article | 06 Jul 2021

Assessing climate change impacts on live fuel moisture and wildfire risk using a hydrodynamic vegetation model

Wu Ma et al.

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Cited articles

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Abatzoglou, J. T. and Brown, T. J.: A comparison of statistical downscaling methods suited for wildfire applications, Int. J. Climatol., 32, 772–780, https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.2312, 2012. 
Agee, J. K., Wright, C. S., Williamson, N., and Huff, M. H.: Foliar moisture content of Pacific Northwest vegetation and its relation to wildland fire behavior, For. Ecol. Manag., 167, 57–66, https://doi.org/10.1016/S0378-1127(01)00690-9, 2002. 
Aguado, I., Chuvieco, E., Boren, R., and Nieto, H.: Estimation of dead fuel moisture content from meteorological data in Mediterranean areas. Applications in fire danger assessment, Int. J. Wildland Fire, 16, 390–397, https://doi.org/10.1071/WF06136, 2007. 
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We use a hydrodynamic demographic vegetation model to estimate live fuel moisture dynamics of chaparral shrubs, a dominant vegetation type in fire-prone southern California. Our results suggest that multivariate climate change could cause a significant net reduction in live fuel moisture and thus exacerbate future wildfire danger in chaparral shrub systems.
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