Articles | Volume 18, issue 13
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-18-4005-2021
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-18-4005-2021
Research article
 | 
06 Jul 2021
Research article |  | 06 Jul 2021

Assessing climate change impacts on live fuel moisture and wildfire risk using a hydrodynamic vegetation model

Wu Ma, Lu Zhai, Alexandria Pivovaroff, Jacquelyn Shuman, Polly Buotte, Junyan Ding, Bradley Christoffersen, Ryan Knox, Max Moritz, Rosie A. Fisher, Charles D. Koven, Lara Kueppers, and Chonggang Xu

Related authors

Capturing functional strategies and compositional dynamics in vegetation demographic models
Polly C. Buotte, Charles D. Koven, Chonggang Xu, Jacquelyn K. Shuman, Michael L. Goulden, Samuel Levis, Jessica Katz, Junyan Ding, Wu Ma, Zachary Robbins, and Lara M. Kueppers
Biogeosciences, 18, 4473–4490, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-18-4473-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-18-4473-2021, 2021
Short summary

Related subject area

Earth System Science/Response to Global Change: Climate Change
Disentangling future effects of climate change and forest disturbance on vegetation composition and land surface properties of the boreal forest
Lucia S. Layritz, Konstantin Gregor, Andreas Krause, Stefan Kruse, Benjamin F. Meyer, Thomas A. M. Pugh, and Anja Rammig
Biogeosciences, 22, 3635–3660, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-22-3635-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-22-3635-2025, 2025
Short summary
Simulating vertical phytoplankton dynamics in a stratified ocean using a two-layered ecosystem model
Qi Zheng, Johannes J. Viljoen, Xuerong Sun, Žarko Kovač, Shubha Sathyendranath, and Robert J. W. Brewin
Biogeosciences, 22, 3253–3278, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-22-3253-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-22-3253-2025, 2025
Short summary
Assessing the lifetime of anthropogenic CO2 and its sensitivity to different carbon cycle processes
Christine Kaufhold, Matteo Willeit, Bo Liu, and Andrey Ganopolski
Biogeosciences, 22, 2767–2801, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-22-2767-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-22-2767-2025, 2025
Short summary
Foliar nutrient uptake from dust sustains plant nutrition
Anton Lokshin, Daniel Palchan, Elnatan Golan, Ran Erel, Daniele Andronico, and Avner Gross
Biogeosciences, 22, 2653–2666, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-22-2653-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-22-2653-2025, 2025
Short summary
The effectiveness of agricultural carbon dioxide removal using the University of Victoria Earth System Climate Model
Rebecca Chloe Evans and H. Damon Matthews
Biogeosciences, 22, 1969–1984, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-22-1969-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-22-1969-2025, 2025
Short summary

Cited articles

Abatzoglou, J. T.: Development of gridded surface meteorological data for ecological applications and modelling, Int. J. Climatol., 33, 121–131, https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.3413, 2013. 
Abatzoglou, J. T. and Brown, T. J.: A comparison of statistical downscaling methods suited for wildfire applications, Int. J. Climatol., 32, 772–780, https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.2312, 2012. 
Agee, J. K., Wright, C. S., Williamson, N., and Huff, M. H.: Foliar moisture content of Pacific Northwest vegetation and its relation to wildland fire behavior, For. Ecol. Manag., 167, 57–66, https://doi.org/10.1016/S0378-1127(01)00690-9, 2002. 
Aguado, I., Chuvieco, E., Boren, R., and Nieto, H.: Estimation of dead fuel moisture content from meteorological data in Mediterranean areas. Applications in fire danger assessment, Int. J. Wildland Fire, 16, 390–397, https://doi.org/10.1071/WF06136, 2007. 
Anderson, S. A. and Anderson, W. R.: Ignition and fire spread thresholds in gorse (Ulex europaeus), Int. J. Wildland Fire, 19, 589–598, https://doi.org/10.1071/WF09008, 2010. 
Download
Short summary
We use a hydrodynamic demographic vegetation model to estimate live fuel moisture dynamics of chaparral shrubs, a dominant vegetation type in fire-prone southern California. Our results suggest that multivariate climate change could cause a significant net reduction in live fuel moisture and thus exacerbate future wildfire danger in chaparral shrub systems.
Share
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint