Articles | Volume 18, issue 17
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-18-4985-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-18-4985-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Slowdown of the greening trend in natural vegetation with further rise in atmospheric CO2
Alexander J. Winkler
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Bundesstrasse 53, 20146 Hamburg, Germany
International Max Planck Research School on Earth System Modelling, Bundesstrasse 53, 20146 Hamburg, Germany
Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry, 07745 Jena, Germany
Ranga B. Myneni
Department of Earth and Environment, Boston University, Boston, MA 02215, USA
Alexis Hannart
Ouranos, Montréal, Quebec, H2L 1K1, Canada
Stephen Sitch
College of Life and Environmental Sciences, University of Exeter, Exeter, EX4 4RJ, UK
Vanessa Haverd
CSIRO Oceans and Atmosphere, Canberra, 2601, Australia
deceased, 19 January 2021
Danica Lombardozzi
Climate and Global Dynamics Laboratory, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO 80302, USA
Vivek K. Arora
Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis, Environment and Climate Change Canada, University of Victoria, Victoria, British Columbia, V8W 2Y2, Canada
Julia Pongratz
Department of Geography, Ludwig Maximilian University of Munich, Luisenstr. 37, 80333 Munich, Germany
Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Bundesstrasse 53, 20146 Hamburg, Germany
Julia E. M. S. Nabel
Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Bundesstrasse 53, 20146 Hamburg, Germany
Daniel S. Goll
Lehrstuhl fur Physische Geographie mit Schwerpunkt Klimaforschung, Universität Augsburg, 86159 Augsburg, Germany
Etsushi Kato
Institute of Applied Energy (IAE), Minato, Tokyo, 105-0003, Japan
Hanqin Tian
International Center for Climate and Global Change Research, School of Forestry and Wildlife Sciences, Auburn University, 602 Duncan Drive, Auburn, AL 36849, USA
Almut Arneth
Institute of Meteorology and Climate Research Atmospheric Environmental Research, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, 82467 Garmisch-Partenkirchen, Germany
Pierre Friedlingstein
College of Engineering, Mathematics and Physical Sciences, University of Exeter, Exeter, EX4 4QF, UK
Atul K. Jain
Department of Atmospheric Sciences, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL 61801, USA
Sönke Zaehle
Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry, 07745 Jena, Germany
Victor Brovkin
Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Bundesstrasse 53, 20146 Hamburg, Germany
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Latest update: 13 Dec 2024
Short summary
Satellite observations since the early 1980s show that Earth's greening trend is slowing down and that browning clusters have been emerging, especially in the last 2 decades. A collection of model simulations in conjunction with causal theory points at climatic changes as a key driver of vegetation changes in natural ecosystems. Most models underestimate the observed vegetation browning, especially in tropical rainforests, which could be due to an excessive CO2 fertilization effect in models.
Satellite observations since the early 1980s show that Earth's greening trend is slowing down...
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