Articles | Volume 18, issue 3
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-18-787-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-18-787-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Technical note: Low meteorological influence found in 2019 Amazonia fires
Douglas I. Kelley
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology, Wallingford, Oxfordshire, OX10 8BB, UK
Chantelle Burton
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Met Office Hadley Centre, Fitzroy Road, Exeter, EX1 3PB, UK
Chris Huntingford
UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology, Wallingford, Oxfordshire, OX10 8BB, UK
Megan A. J. Brown
UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology, Wallingford, Oxfordshire, OX10 8BB, UK
DISCnet Centre for Doctoral Training, School of Physical Sciences, The Open University, Walton Hall, Milton Keynes, MK7 6AA, UK
Rhys Whitley
Natural Perils Pricing, Commercial and Consumer Portfolio and Product, Suncorp Group, Sydney, Australia
Ning Dong
Department of Biological Sciences, Macquarie University, North Ryde, NSW 2109, Australia
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Cited
20 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Satellite remote sensing of active fires: History and current status, applications and future requirements M. Wooster et al. 10.1016/j.rse.2021.112694
- Achieving Brazil's Deforestation Target Will Reduce Fire and Deliver Air Quality and Public Health Benefits E. Butt et al. 10.1029/2022EF003048
- Perceptions about massive environmental impacts: a Brazilian study case F. MACHADO et al. 10.1590/0001-3765202320220335
- South American fires and their impacts on ecosystems increase with continued emissions C. Burton et al. 10.1002/cli2.8
- Improving the south America wildfires smoke estimates: Integration of polar-orbiting and geostationary satellite fire products in the Brazilian biomass burning emission model (3BEM) G. Pereira et al. 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2022.118954
- Missing Climate Feedbacks in Fire Models: Limitations and Uncertainties in Fuel Loadings and the Role of Decomposition in Fine Fuel Accumulation E. Hanan et al. 10.1029/2021MS002818
- From lowland plains to the Altiplano: The impacts of regional transport of wildfire smoke on the air quality of Bolivian cities E. Mollinedo et al. 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2023.120137
- Social and historical dimensions of wildfire research and the consideration given to practical knowledge: a systematic review J. Sousa et al. 10.1007/s11069-022-05460-2
- State of Wildfires 2023–2024 M. Jones et al. 10.5194/essd-16-3601-2024
- Characterizing Spatial Patterns of Amazon Rainforest Wildfires and Driving Factors by Using Remote Sensing and GIS Geospatial Technologies C. Ma et al. 10.3390/geosciences12060237
- Quantifying the environmental limits to fire spread in grassy ecosystems A. Cardoso et al. 10.1073/pnas.2110364119
- Global burned area increasingly explained by climate change C. Burton et al. 10.1038/s41558-024-02140-w
- Niche-dependent forest and savanna fragmentation in Tropical South America during the Last Glacial Maximum D. Kelley et al. 10.1038/s44185-024-00056-4
- Relationship between Biomass Burning Emissions and Deforestation in Amazonia over the Last Two Decades G. Mataveli et al. 10.3390/f12091217
- Global and Regional Trends and Drivers of Fire Under Climate Change M. Jones et al. 10.1029/2020RG000726
- MODIS Vegetation Continuous Fields tree cover needs calibrating in tropical savannas R. Adzhar et al. 10.5194/bg-19-1377-2022
- Building a machine learning surrogate model for wildfire activities within a global Earth system model Q. Zhu et al. 10.5194/gmd-15-1899-2022
- Water deficit and storm disturbances co-regulate Amazon rainforest seasonality X. Lian et al. 10.1126/sciadv.adk5861
- Analysis of how the spatial and temporal patterns of fire and their bioclimatic and anthropogenic drivers vary across the Amazon rainforest in El Niño and non-El Niño years M. Singh & X. Zhu 10.7717/peerj.12029
- Assessment of the Characteristics of Recent Major Wildfires in the USA, Australia and Brazil in 2018–2019 Using Multi-Source Satellite Products M. Kganyago & L. Shikwambana 10.3390/rs12111803
19 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Satellite remote sensing of active fires: History and current status, applications and future requirements M. Wooster et al. 10.1016/j.rse.2021.112694
- Achieving Brazil's Deforestation Target Will Reduce Fire and Deliver Air Quality and Public Health Benefits E. Butt et al. 10.1029/2022EF003048
- Perceptions about massive environmental impacts: a Brazilian study case F. MACHADO et al. 10.1590/0001-3765202320220335
- South American fires and their impacts on ecosystems increase with continued emissions C. Burton et al. 10.1002/cli2.8
- Improving the south America wildfires smoke estimates: Integration of polar-orbiting and geostationary satellite fire products in the Brazilian biomass burning emission model (3BEM) G. Pereira et al. 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2022.118954
- Missing Climate Feedbacks in Fire Models: Limitations and Uncertainties in Fuel Loadings and the Role of Decomposition in Fine Fuel Accumulation E. Hanan et al. 10.1029/2021MS002818
- From lowland plains to the Altiplano: The impacts of regional transport of wildfire smoke on the air quality of Bolivian cities E. Mollinedo et al. 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2023.120137
- Social and historical dimensions of wildfire research and the consideration given to practical knowledge: a systematic review J. Sousa et al. 10.1007/s11069-022-05460-2
- State of Wildfires 2023–2024 M. Jones et al. 10.5194/essd-16-3601-2024
- Characterizing Spatial Patterns of Amazon Rainforest Wildfires and Driving Factors by Using Remote Sensing and GIS Geospatial Technologies C. Ma et al. 10.3390/geosciences12060237
- Quantifying the environmental limits to fire spread in grassy ecosystems A. Cardoso et al. 10.1073/pnas.2110364119
- Global burned area increasingly explained by climate change C. Burton et al. 10.1038/s41558-024-02140-w
- Niche-dependent forest and savanna fragmentation in Tropical South America during the Last Glacial Maximum D. Kelley et al. 10.1038/s44185-024-00056-4
- Relationship between Biomass Burning Emissions and Deforestation in Amazonia over the Last Two Decades G. Mataveli et al. 10.3390/f12091217
- Global and Regional Trends and Drivers of Fire Under Climate Change M. Jones et al. 10.1029/2020RG000726
- MODIS Vegetation Continuous Fields tree cover needs calibrating in tropical savannas R. Adzhar et al. 10.5194/bg-19-1377-2022
- Building a machine learning surrogate model for wildfire activities within a global Earth system model Q. Zhu et al. 10.5194/gmd-15-1899-2022
- Water deficit and storm disturbances co-regulate Amazon rainforest seasonality X. Lian et al. 10.1126/sciadv.adk5861
- Analysis of how the spatial and temporal patterns of fire and their bioclimatic and anthropogenic drivers vary across the Amazon rainforest in El Niño and non-El Niño years M. Singh & X. Zhu 10.7717/peerj.12029
Latest update: 22 Nov 2024
Short summary
Initial evidence suggests human ignitions or landscape changes caused most Amazon fires during August 2019. However, confirmation is needed that meteorological conditions did not have a substantial role. Assessing the influence of historical weather on burning in an uncertainty framework, we find that 2019 meteorological conditions alone should have resulted in much less fire than observed. We conclude socio-economic factors likely had a strong role in the high recorded 2019 fire activity.
Initial evidence suggests human ignitions or landscape changes caused most Amazon fires during...
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