Technical note: Low meteorological influence found in 2019 Amazonia fires

Kelley, Douglas I.; Burton, Chantelle; Huntingford, Chris; Brown, Megan A. J.; Whitley, Rhys; Dong, Ning

doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-18-787-2021

Articles | Volume 18, issue 3

https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-18-787-2021

© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-18-787-2021

© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Articles | Volume 18, issue 3

Technical note

|

04 Feb 2021

Technical note |

| 04 Feb 2021

Technical note: Low meteorological influence found in 2019 Amazonia fires

Douglas I. Kelley, Chantelle Burton, Chris Huntingford, Megan A. J. Brown, Rhys Whitley, and Ning Dong

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Final revised paper (published on 04 Feb 2021)
Supplement to the final revised paper
Preprint (discussion started on 11 May 2020)
Supplement to the preprint

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment

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- Supplement

RC1: 'Review Kelley et al', Anonymous Referee #1, 11 Jun 2020
- AC1: 'Responses to Anonymous Referee #1', D. I. Kelley, 07 Oct 2020
- AC3: 'Details of model changes', D. I. Kelley, 08 Oct 2020
RC2: 'Editor's Review of Kelly et al.', Sönke Zaehle, 21 Aug 2020
- AC2: 'Reponse to Sönke Zaehle', D. I. Kelley, 08 Oct 2020
- AC3: 'Details of model changes', D. I. Kelley, 08 Oct 2020

Peer-review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision

ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (19 Oct 2020) by Sönke Zaehle

AR by D. I. Kelley on behalf of the Authors (25 Oct 2020) Author's response Manuscript

ED: Publish as is (24 Nov 2020) by Sönke Zaehle

AR by D. I. Kelley on behalf of the Authors (01 Dec 2020) Author's response

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Short summary

Initial evidence suggests human ignitions or landscape changes caused most Amazon fires during August 2019. However, confirmation is needed that meteorological conditions did not have a substantial role. Assessing the influence of historical weather on burning in an uncertainty framework, we find that 2019 meteorological conditions alone should have resulted in much less fire than observed. We conclude socio-economic factors likely had a strong role in the high recorded 2019 fire activity.