Articles | Volume 19, issue 13
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-19-3263-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-19-3263-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
13 Jul 2022
Research article |
| 13 Jul 2022
| 13 Jul 2022
The European forest carbon budget under future climate conditions and current management practices
Roberto Pilli
independent researcher: Padua, Italy
Ramdane Alkama
Joint Research Centre (JRC), European Commission, Via E. Fermi 2749, 21027 Ispra (VA), Italy
Alessandro Cescatti
Joint Research Centre (JRC), European Commission, Via E. Fermi 2749, 21027 Ispra (VA), Italy
Werner A. Kurz
Canadian Forest Service, Natural Resources Canada, Victoria, BC, V8Z 1M5, Canada
Giacomo Grassi
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Joint Research Centre (JRC), European Commission, Via E. Fermi 2749, 21027 Ispra (VA), Italy
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18 citations as recorded by crossref.
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- Impact of Land-Use Changes on Climate Change Mitigation Goals: The Case of Lithuania R. Dagiliūtė & V. Kazanavičiūtė 10.3390/land13020131
- Exploring the Potential of Roadside Plantation for Carbon Sequestration Using Simulation in Southern Quebec, Canada N. Srour et al. 10.3390/f15020264
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- Modeling climate-smart forest management and wood use for climate mitigation potential in Maryland and Pennsylvania C. Papa et al. 10.3389/ffgc.2023.1259010
- Identifying compound weather drivers of forest biomass loss with generative deep learning M. Anand et al. 10.1017/eds.2024.2
- Middle-aged forests in the Eastern U.S. have significant climate mitigation potential R. Birdsey et al. 10.1016/j.foreco.2023.121373
- Machine learning-based prediction and assessment of recent dynamics of forest net primary productivity in Romania R. Prăvălie et al. 10.1016/j.jenvman.2023.117513
- The role of forests in the EU climate policy: are we on the right track? A. Korosuo et al. 10.1186/s13021-023-00234-0
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- The consolidated European synthesis of CO2 emissions and removals for the European Union and United Kingdom: 1990–2020 M. McGrath et al. 10.5194/essd-15-4295-2023
- Growth and drought reaction of European hornbeam, European white elm, field maple and wild service tree J. Schmucker et al. 10.1007/s00468-023-02441-1
- A new paradigm for sustainable forest management: closeR to nature forest management R. Motta & J. Larsen 10.3832/efor4124-019
17 citations as recorded by crossref.
- A review on the production and application of tall oil with a focus on sustainable fuels J. Churchill et al. 10.1016/j.rser.2023.114098
- Temperature extremes of 2022 reduced carbon uptake by forests in Europe A. van der Woude et al. 10.1038/s41467-023-41851-0
- The effects of geomorphology, soil and climate on the trajectory of aboveground biomass accumulation of beech (Fagus sylvatica L.) at the southern range margin F. Latterini et al. 10.1016/j.catena.2023.107787
- Impact of Land-Use Changes on Climate Change Mitigation Goals: The Case of Lithuania R. Dagiliūtė & V. Kazanavičiūtė 10.3390/land13020131
- Exploring the Potential of Roadside Plantation for Carbon Sequestration Using Simulation in Southern Quebec, Canada N. Srour et al. 10.3390/f15020264
- Forest carbon stock development following extreme drought-induced dieback of coniferous stands in Central Europe: a CBM-CFS3 model application E. Cienciala & J. Melichar 10.1186/s13021-023-00246-w
- Climate change adaptation and mitigation strategies for production forests: Trade-offs, synergies, and uncertainties in biodiversity and ecosystem services delivery in Northern Europe A. Felton et al. 10.1007/s13280-023-01909-1
- Global pattern of forest disturbances and its shift under climate change J. Altman et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.170117
- Impacts of Cross-Sectoral Climate Policy on Forest Carbon Sinks and Their Spatial Spillover: Evidence from Chinese Provincial Panel Data H. Zhu et al. 10.3390/ijerph192114334
- Modeling climate-smart forest management and wood use for climate mitigation potential in Maryland and Pennsylvania C. Papa et al. 10.3389/ffgc.2023.1259010
- Identifying compound weather drivers of forest biomass loss with generative deep learning M. Anand et al. 10.1017/eds.2024.2
- Middle-aged forests in the Eastern U.S. have significant climate mitigation potential R. Birdsey et al. 10.1016/j.foreco.2023.121373
- Machine learning-based prediction and assessment of recent dynamics of forest net primary productivity in Romania R. Prăvălie et al. 10.1016/j.jenvman.2023.117513
- The role of forests in the EU climate policy: are we on the right track? A. Korosuo et al. 10.1186/s13021-023-00234-0
- Harmonised statistics and maps of forest biomass and increment in Europe V. Avitabile et al. 10.1038/s41597-023-02868-8
- The consolidated European synthesis of CO2 emissions and removals for the European Union and United Kingdom: 1990–2020 M. McGrath et al. 10.5194/essd-15-4295-2023
- Growth and drought reaction of European hornbeam, European white elm, field maple and wild service tree J. Schmucker et al. 10.1007/s00468-023-02441-1
1 citations as recorded by crossref.
Latest update: 15 Apr 2024
Short summary
To become carbon neutral by 2050, the European Union (EU27) forest C sink should increase to −450 Mt CO2 yr-1. Our study highlights that under current management practices (i.e. excluding any policy scenario) the forest C sink of the EU27 member states and the UK may decrease to about −250 Mt CO2eq yr-1 in 2050. The expected impacts of future climate change, however, add a considerable uncertainty, potentially nearly doubling or halving the sink associated with forest management.
To become carbon neutral by 2050, the European Union (EU27) forest C sink should increase to...
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