The European forest carbon budget under future climate conditions and current management practices

Pilli, Roberto; Alkama, Ramdane; Cescatti, Alessandro; Kurz, Werner A.; Grassi, Giacomo

doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-19-3263-2022

Articles | Volume 19, issue 13

https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-19-3263-2022

© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-19-3263-2022

© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Articles | Volume 19, issue 13

Research article

|

13 Jul 2022

Research article |

| 13 Jul 2022

The European forest carbon budget under future climate conditions and current management practices

Roberto Pilli, Ramdane Alkama, Alessandro Cescatti, Werner A. Kurz, and Giacomo Grassi

Supplement

https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-19-3263-2022-supplement

Data sets

The EU Archive Index Database customised for the Carbon Budget Model (CBM-CFS3) Roberto Pilli, Stephen Kull, Viorel Blujdea, and Giacomo Grassi https://data.jrc.ec.europa.eu/dataset/jrc-cbm-eu-aidb

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Short summary

To become carbon neutral by 2050, the European Union (EU27) forest C sink should increase to −450 Mt CO₂ yr^-1. Our study highlights that under current management practices (i.e. excluding any policy scenario) the forest C sink of the EU27 member states and the UK may decrease to about −250 Mt CO_2eq yr^-1 in 2050. The expected impacts of future climate change, however, add a considerable uncertainty, potentially nearly doubling or halving the sink associated with forest management.