Articles | Volume 21, issue 5
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-1093-2024
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-1093-2024
Research article
 | 
05 Mar 2024
Research article |  | 05 Mar 2024

Kilometre-scale simulations over Fennoscandia reveal a large loss of tundra due to climate warming

Fredrik Lagergren, Robert G. Björk, Camilla Andersson, Danijel Belušić, Mats P. Björkman, Erik Kjellström, Petter Lind, David Lindstedt, Tinja Olenius, Håkan Pleijel, Gunhild Rosqvist, and Paul A. Miller

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Short summary
The Fennoscandian boreal and mountain regions harbour a wide range of ecosystems sensitive to climate change. A new, highly resolved high-emission climate scenario enabled modelling of the vegetation development in this region at high resolution for the 21st century. The results show dramatic south to north and low- to high-altitude shifts of vegetation zones, especially for the open tundra environments, which will have large implications for nature conservation, reindeer husbandry and forestry.
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