Articles | Volume 21, issue 5
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-1093-2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-1093-2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Kilometre-scale simulations over Fennoscandia reveal a large loss of tundra due to climate warming
Fredrik Lagergren
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Department of Physical Geography and Ecosystem Science, Lund University, Lund, 223 62, Sweden
Robert G. Björk
Department of Earth Sciences, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, 405 30, Sweden
Gothenburg Global Biodiversity Centre, Gothenburg, 405 30, Sweden
Camilla Andersson
Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute, Norrköping, 601 76, Sweden
Danijel Belušić
Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute, Norrköping, 601 76, Sweden
Department of Geophysics, Faculty of Science, University of Zagreb, Zagreb, 10 000, Croatia
Mats P. Björkman
Department of Earth Sciences, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, 405 30, Sweden
Gothenburg Global Biodiversity Centre, Gothenburg, 405 30, Sweden
now at: Department of Biological and Environmental Sciences, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, 405 30, Sweden
Erik Kjellström
Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute, Norrköping, 601 76, Sweden
Petter Lind
Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute, Norrköping, 601 76, Sweden
David Lindstedt
Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute, Norrköping, 601 76, Sweden
Tinja Olenius
Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute, Norrköping, 601 76, Sweden
Håkan Pleijel
Department of Biological and Environmental Sciences, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, 405 30, Sweden
Gunhild Rosqvist
Department of Physical Geography, Stockholm University, Stockholm, 106 91, Sweden
Paul A. Miller
Department of Physical Geography and Ecosystem Science, Lund University, Lund, 223 62, Sweden
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Cited
5 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Long-term reanalysis, future scenarios and impacts of nitrogen deposition on northern European ecosystems including the Baltic Sea and the Scandinavian Mountains C. Andersson et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2025.179083
- A 40-Year Time Series of Land Surface Emissivity Derived from AVHRR Sensors: A Fennoscandian Perspective M. Barben et al. 10.3390/rs16193686
- Soil nutrient content dominates short-term vegetation changes in alpine tundra of Changbai Mountains S. Xing et al. 10.3389/fmicb.2024.1422529
- Climate Change‐Induced Landscape Alterations Increase Nutrient Sequestration and Cause Severe Oligotrophication of Subarctic Lakes W. Goedkoop et al. 10.1111/gcb.70314
- A novel spatiotemporal analysis of snow cover pattern over Finland based on ERA5-land reanalysis R. Faal et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.134264
5 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Long-term reanalysis, future scenarios and impacts of nitrogen deposition on northern European ecosystems including the Baltic Sea and the Scandinavian Mountains C. Andersson et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2025.179083
- A 40-Year Time Series of Land Surface Emissivity Derived from AVHRR Sensors: A Fennoscandian Perspective M. Barben et al. 10.3390/rs16193686
- Soil nutrient content dominates short-term vegetation changes in alpine tundra of Changbai Mountains S. Xing et al. 10.3389/fmicb.2024.1422529
- Climate Change‐Induced Landscape Alterations Increase Nutrient Sequestration and Cause Severe Oligotrophication of Subarctic Lakes W. Goedkoop et al. 10.1111/gcb.70314
- A novel spatiotemporal analysis of snow cover pattern over Finland based on ERA5-land reanalysis R. Faal et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.134264
Latest update: 09 Oct 2025
Short summary
The Fennoscandian boreal and mountain regions harbour a wide range of ecosystems sensitive to climate change. A new, highly resolved high-emission climate scenario enabled modelling of the vegetation development in this region at high resolution for the 21st century. The results show dramatic south to north and low- to high-altitude shifts of vegetation zones, especially for the open tundra environments, which will have large implications for nature conservation, reindeer husbandry and forestry.
The Fennoscandian boreal and mountain regions harbour a wide range of ecosystems sensitive to...
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