Articles | Volume 22, issue 14
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-22-3635-2025
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-22-3635-2025
Research article
 | 
29 Jul 2025
Research article |  | 29 Jul 2025

Disentangling future effects of climate change and forest disturbance on vegetation composition and land surface properties of the boreal forest

Lucia S. Layritz, Konstantin Gregor, Andreas Krause, Stefan Kruse, Benjamin F. Meyer, Thomas A. M. Pugh, and Anja Rammig

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Short summary
Disturbances, such as fire, can change which vegetation grows in a forest, affecting water and carbon flows and, thus, the climate. Disturbances are expected to increase with climate change, but it is uncertain by how much. Using a simulation model, we studied how future climate, disturbances, and their combined effect impact northern (high-latitude) forest ecosystems. Our findings highlight the importance of considering these factors and the need to better understand how disturbances will change in the future.
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