Articles | Volume 22, issue 21
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-22-6651-2025
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-22-6651-2025
Research article
 | 
10 Nov 2025
Research article |  | 10 Nov 2025

Fire activity in the northern Arctic tundra now exceeds late Holocene levels, driven by increasing dryness and shrub expansion

Angelica Feurdean, Randy Fulweber, Andrei-Cosmin Diaconu, Graeme T. Swindles, and Mariusz Gałka

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Cited articles

Adolf, C., Wunderle, S., Colombaroli, D., Weber, H., Gobet, E., Heiri, O., van Leeuwen, J. F. N., Bigler, C., Connor, S. E., Gałka, M., La Mantia, T., and Tinner, W.: The sedimentary and remote sensing reflection of biomass burning in Europe, Glob. Ecol. Biogeogr., 27, 199–212, https://doi.org/10.1111/geb.12682, 2018. 
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Barhoumi, C., Peyron, O., Joannin, S., Subetto, D., Kryshen, A., Drobyshev, I., Girardin, M. P., Brossier, B., Paradis, L., Pastor, T., and Alleaume, S.: Gradually increasing forest fire activity during the Holocene in the northern Ural region (Komi Republic, Russia), Holocene, 29, 906–920, https://doi.org/10.1177/0959683619865593, 2019. 
Blarquez, O., Vannière, B., Marlon, J. R., Daniau, A.-L., Power, M. J., Brewer, S., and Bartlein, P. J.: Paleofire – An R package to analyse sedimentary charcoal records from the Global Charcoal Database to reconstruct past biomass burning, Comput. Geosci., 72, 255–261, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cageo.2014.07.020, 2014. 
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We found low fire activity in northern Arctic Alaska from ~1000 BCE to 500 CE, and a marked increase post-1950 CE, when it exceeded any levels observed in the preceding millennia. Deepening of water tables and peatland drying associated with permafrost thaw have facilitated woody encroachment, leading to enhanced fire activity. This study highlights that moisture–vegetation–fire feedbacks significantly influence tundra fire regimes, with implications for ongoing Arctic greening and warming.
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