Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-2023-129
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-2023-129
07 Sep 2023
 | 07 Sep 2023
Status: a revised version of this preprint is currently under review for the journal BG.

Evolution of oxygen and stratification in the North Pacific Ocean in CMIP6 Earth System Models

Lyuba Novi, Annalisa Bracco, Takamitsu Ito, and Yohei Takano

Abstract. This study examines the linkages between the upper ocean (0–200 m) oxygen (O2) content and stratification in the North Pacific Ocean in four Earth system models (ESMs), an ocean hindcast simulation, and ocean reanalysis data. Trend and variability of oceanic O2 content are driven by the imbalance between physical supply and biological demand. The physical supply is primarily controlled by ocean ventilation, which is responsible for the transport of O2-rich surface waters into subsurface. To quantify the ocean ventilation, Isopycnic Potential Vorticity (IPV) is used as a dynamical proxy in this study. IPV is a quasi-conservative tracer proportional to density stratification, which can be interpreted as a proxy for ocean ventilation and can be evaluated from temperature and salinity measurements alone. The predictability potential of the IPV field is evaluated through its information entropy. Results highlight a strong O2-IPV connection and somewhat higher (than in rest of the basin) predictability potential for IPV in the tropical Pacific, in the area strongly affected by the El Niño Southern Oscillation. This pattern of higher predictability and strong anticorrelation between O2 and stratification is robust across multiple models and datasets. In contrast, the variability of IPV at mid-latitudes has low predictability potential and its center of action differs from that of O2. In addition, the locations of extreme events or hotspots may or may not differ among the two fields, with a strong model dependency, which persists in future projections. These results, on one hand, suggest the possibility to monitor ocean O2 through few observational sites co-located with some of the more abundant IPV measurements in the tropical Pacific, and, on the other, question the robustness of the IPV-O2 relationship in the extra-tropics. The proposed framework helps characterizing and interpreting O2 variability in relation to physical variability and may be especially useful in the analysis of new observationally-based data products derived from the BGC-ARGO float array in combination with the traditional but far more abundant ARGO data.

Lyuba Novi, Annalisa Bracco, Takamitsu Ito, and Yohei Takano

Status: final response (author comments only)

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on bg-2023-129', Anonymous Referee #1, 16 Oct 2023
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Lyuba Novi, 24 Dec 2023
  • RC2: 'Comment on bg-2023-129', Anonymous Referee #2, 06 Nov 2023
    • AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Lyuba Novi, 24 Dec 2023
    • AC3: 'Reply on RC2', Lyuba Novi, 24 Dec 2023
  • RC3: 'Comment on bg-2023-129', Pearse Buchanan, 15 Nov 2023
    • AC4: 'Reply on RC3', Lyuba Novi, 24 Dec 2023
    • AC5: 'Reply on RC3', Lyuba Novi, 24 Dec 2023
Lyuba Novi, Annalisa Bracco, Takamitsu Ito, and Yohei Takano
Lyuba Novi, Annalisa Bracco, Takamitsu Ito, and Yohei Takano

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Short summary
We explored the relationship between oxygen and stratification in the North Pacific Ocean, using a combination of data mining and machine learning. We used isopycnic potential vorticity (IPV) as an indicator to quantify ocean ventilation and we analyzed its predictability, a strong O2-IPV connection and predictability for IPV in the tropical Pacific. This open new routes to monitor ocean O2 through few observational sites co-located with more abundant IPV measurements in the tropical Pacific.
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