Articles | Volume 13, issue 11
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-13-3359-2016
© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-13-3359-2016
© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
The status and challenge of global fire modelling
Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Institute of Meteorology and
Climate research, Atmospheric Environmental Research, 82467
Garmisch-Partenkirchen, Germany
Almut Arneth
Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Institute of Meteorology and
Climate research, Atmospheric Environmental Research, 82467
Garmisch-Partenkirchen, Germany
Sandy P. Harrison
School of Archaeology, Geography and Environmental Sciences
(SAGES), University of Reading, Reading, UK
School of Biological Sciences, Macquarie University, North Ryde,
NSW 2109, Australia
Douglas I. Kelley
School of Archaeology, Geography and Environmental Sciences
(SAGES), University of Reading, Reading, UK
School of Biological Sciences, Macquarie University, North Ryde,
NSW 2109, Australia
I. Colin Prentice
School of Biological Sciences, Macquarie University, North Ryde,
NSW 2109, Australia
AXA Chair of Biosphere and Climate Impacts, Grand Challenges in
Ecosystem and the Environment, Department of Life Sciences and Grantham
Institute, Climate Change and the Environment, Imperial College London,
Silwood Park Campus, Buckhurst Road, Ascot SL5 7PY, UK
Sam S. Rabin
Department of Ecology & Evolutionary Biology, Princeton
University, Princeton, NJ, USA
Sally Archibald
School of Animal, Plant and Environmental Sciences, University of
the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg 2050, South Africa
Natural Resources and the Environment, CSIR, P.O. Box 395, Pretoria,
0001, South Africa
Florent Mouillot
UMR5175 CEFE, CNRS/Université de Montpellier/Université
Paul-Valéry Montpellier/EPHE/IRD, 1919 route de Mende, 34293 Montpellier
CEDEX 5, France
Steve R. Arnold
Institute for Climate and Atmospheric Science, School of Earth &
Environment, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK
Paulo Artaxo
Institute of Physics, University of São Paulo, Rua do Matão,
Travessa R, 187, CEP05508-090, São Paulo, S.P., Brazil
Dominique Bachelet
Biological and Ecological Engineering, Oregon State University,
Corvallis, OR 97331, USA
Conservation Biology Institute, 136 SW Washington Ave., Suite 202,
Corvallis, OR 97333, USA
Philippe Ciais
Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, LSCE/IPSL,
CEA-CNRS-UVSQ, Université Paris-Saclay, 91198 Gif-sur-Yvette, France
Matthew Forrest
Senckenberg Biodiversity and Climate Research Institute (BiK-F),
Senckenberganlage 25, 60325 Frankfurt am Main, Germany
Pierre Friedlingstein
College of Engineering Mathematics and Physical Sciences, University
of Exeter, Exeter, UK
Thomas Hickler
Senckenberg Biodiversity and Climate Research Institute (BiK-F),
Senckenberganlage 25, 60325 Frankfurt am Main, Germany
Institute of Physical Geography, Goethe University,
Altenhöferallee 1, 60438 Frankfurt am Main, Germany
Jed O. Kaplan
Institute of Earth Surface Dynamics, University of Lausanne, 1015
Lausanne, Switzerland
Silvia Kloster
Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Bundesstraße 53, 20164
Hamburg, Germany
Wolfgang Knorr
Department of Physical Geography and Ecosystem Science, Lund
University, 22362 Lund, Sweden
Gitta Lasslop
Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Bundesstraße 53, 20164
Hamburg, Germany
International Center for Climate and Environmental Sciences,
Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing,
China
Stephane Mangeon
Department of Physics, Imperial College London, London, UK
Joe R. Melton
Climate Research Division, Environment Canada, Victoria, BC, V8W
2Y2, Canada
Andrea Meyn
Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Atmosphere and Climate Programme,
76344 Eggenstein-Leopoldshafen, Germany
Stephen Sitch
College of Life and Environmental Sciences, University of Exeter,
Exeter EX4 4RJ, UK
Allan Spessa
Department of Environment, Earth and Ecosystems, Open University,
Milton Keynes, UK
Department Atmospheric Chemistry, Max Planck Institute for
Chemistry, Mainz, Germany
Guido R. van der Werf
Faculty of Earth and Life Sciences, VU University Amsterdam, De
Boelelaan 1085, 1081HV, Amsterdam, the Netherlands
Apostolos Voulgarakis
Department of Physics, Imperial College London, London, UK
Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, LSCE/IPSL,
CEA-CNRS-UVSQ, Université Paris-Saclay, 91198 Gif-sur-Yvette, France
Data sets
EM-DAT: International Disaster Database D. Guha-Sapir, R. Below, and P. Hoyois http://www.emdat.be
Short summary
Our ability to predict the magnitude and geographic pattern of past and future fire impacts rests on our ability to model fire regimes. A large variety of models exist, and it is unclear which type of model or degree of complexity is required to model fire adequately at regional to global scales. In this paper we summarize the current state of the art in fire-regime modelling and model evaluation, and outline what lessons may be learned from the Fire Model Intercomparison Project – FireMIP.
Our ability to predict the magnitude and geographic pattern of past and future fire impacts...
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