Potential predictability of marine ecosystem drivers

Frölicher, Thomas L.; Ramseyer, Luca; Raible, Christoph C.; Rodgers, Keith B.; Dunne, John

doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-17-2061-2020

Articles | Volume 17, issue 7

https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-17-2061-2020

© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-17-2061-2020

© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Articles | Volume 17, issue 7

Research article

|

16 Apr 2020

Research article |

| 16 Apr 2020

Potential predictability of marine ecosystem drivers

Thomas L. Frölicher, Luca Ramseyer, Christoph C. Raible, Keith B. Rodgers, and John Dunne

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Final revised paper (published on 16 Apr 2020)
Preprint (discussion started on 08 Jan 2020)

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment

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- Supplement

RC1: 'Review comments', Anonymous Referee #1, 31 Jan 2020
- AC1: 'Response to reviewers', Thomas Frölicher, 10 Mar 2020
RC2: 'Review of "Potential predictability of marine ecosystem drivers"', M. Baird, 01 Mar 2020
- AC2: 'Response to reviewers', Thomas Frölicher, 10 Mar 2020

Peer-review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision

ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (18 Mar 2020) by Ciavatta Stefano

AR by Thomas Frölicher on behalf of the Authors (20 Mar 2020) Author's response Manuscript

ED: Publish as is (23 Mar 2020) by Ciavatta Stefano

AR by Thomas Frölicher on behalf of the Authors (23 Mar 2020)

Short summary

Climate variations can have profound impacts on marine ecosystems. Here we show that on global scales marine ecosystem drivers such as temperature, pH, O₂ and NPP are potentially predictable 3 (at the surface) and more than 10 years (subsurface) in advance. However, there are distinct regional differences in the potential predictability of these drivers. Our study suggests that physical–biogeochemical forecast systems have considerable potential for use in marine resource management.