Understanding and simulating cropland and non-cropland burning in Europe using the BASE (Burnt Area Simulator for Europe) model
Matthew Forrest,Jessica Hetzer,Maik Billing,Simon P. K. Bowring,Eric Kosczor,Luke Oberhagemann,Oliver Perkins,Dan Warren,Fátima Arrogante-Funes,Kirsten Thonicke,and Thomas Hickler
Senckenberg Biodiversity and Climate Research Centre (SBiK-F), Senckenberg – Leibniz Institution for Biodiversity and Earth System Research, Frankfurt, Germany
Senckenberg Biodiversity and Climate Research Centre (SBiK-F), Senckenberg – Leibniz Institution for Biodiversity and Earth System Research, Frankfurt, Germany
Earth System Analysis, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Member of the Leibniz Association, Potsdam, Germany
Thomas Hickler
Senckenberg Biodiversity and Climate Research Centre (SBiK-F), Senckenberg – Leibniz Institution for Biodiversity and Earth System Research, Frankfurt, Germany
Department of Physical Geography, Johann Wolfgang Goethe University of Frankfurt, Frankfurt, Germany
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Climate change is causing an increase in extreme wildfires in Europe, but drivers of fire are not well understood, especially across different land cover types. We used statistical models with satellite data, climate data, and socioeconomic data to determine what affects burning in cropland and non-cropland areas of Europe. We found different drivers of burning in cropland burning vs. non-cropland to the point that some variables, e.g. population density, had the complete opposite effects.
Climate change is causing an increase in extreme wildfires in Europe, but drivers of fire are...