Articles | Volume 23, issue 8
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-23-2621-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Improving coastal ocean pH estimates through assimilation of glider observations and hybrid statistical methods
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- Final revised paper (published on 20 Apr 2026)
- Preprint (discussion started on 08 Aug 2025)
Interactive discussion
Status: closed
Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor
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RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-3560', Anonymous Referee #1, 25 Nov 2025
- AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Jann Paul Mattern, 21 Feb 2026
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RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-3560', Anonymous Referee #2, 01 Feb 2026
- AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Jann Paul Mattern, 21 Feb 2026
Peer review completion
AR – Author's response | RR – Referee report | ED – Editor decision | EF – Editorial file upload
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (28 Feb 2026) by Jack Middelburg
AR by Jann Paul Mattern on behalf of the Authors (11 Mar 2026)
Author's response
Author's tracked changes
Manuscript
ED: Publish subject to technical corrections (24 Mar 2026) by Jack Middelburg
AR by Jann Paul Mattern on behalf of the Authors (30 Mar 2026)
Manuscript
This manuscript presents a rigorous and timely assessment of how glider-based carbonate-system observations can improve coastal pH estimates through 4D-Var assimilation in ROMS–NEMUCSC. The integration of pH and alkalinity with physical and chlorophyll data, combined with a thorough evaluation of ESPER-based hybrid estimates, makes this contribution relevant for coastal carbon monitoring and DA system design.
Overall, the study is technically strong, clearly motivated, and generally well executed. The comparison between full biogeochemical DA and hybrid statistical–dynamical methods is valuable and will interest both modeling and observational communities. The manuscript is publishable after major revisions aimed at sharpening key messages and clarifying methodological choices.
Major comments
1. The manuscript is rich in experiments, but the core scientific conclusions could be distilled more explicitly. The three main findings (limited impact of physical DA on pH, strong improvement from pH+alkalinity DA, and competitive performance of hybrid ESPER approaches) should be highlighted earlier and revisited more succinctly in the Discussion.
2. The necessity to assimilate estimated, not measured, alkalinity (Section 2.6) is a central limitation. The discussion acknowledges this but remains somewhat cautious. The authors should explicitly quantify the sensitivity of the pH increments to TA uncertainty and clarify in which coastal regimes the ESPER TA is reliable, and where it may fail (river plumes, OM-rich waters, denitrification).
3. Some cross-validation experiments show deterioration of pH downstream of the lines, attributed to advection of increments. This is important for future glider network design. A brief dynamical explanation (e.g., density structure, mesoscale features along Line 67) would strengthen the argument.
4. The result that hybrid ESPER estimates outperform the full BGC model (when carbonate variables are not assimilated) is striking. The implications deserve more emphasis: under which conditions does a hybrid approach suffice operationally? Is the benefit solely from improved T–S via physical DA, or also from limitations in the NEMUCSC carbon module?
5. The study shows an expected improvement when O2 is assimilated, but the weak coupling between pH and O2 increments reflects structural constraints of the DA system. It would be beneficial to comment on whether variable-covariance specification (currently set to zero) is a limiting assumption for future biogeochemical DA.
6. The manuscript relies exclusively on ESPER for alkalinity and DIC estimation, but does not justify this choice. This is important because CANYON-B/CONTENT is widely used in the community, specifically trained for glider-type variables, and often performs better in coastal and upwelling systems due to its inclusion of oxygen and sometimes nitrate as predictors. The authors should briefly explain why ESPER was selected, and whether alternative empirical regressions (e.g., CANYON-B, LIAR, multi-sensor neural networks) were evaluated. A short comparison or rationale would strengthen confidence in the robustness of the hybrid approach. At minimum, please clarify: what variables ESPER requires in this implementation, whether CANYON-B was unsuitable due to predictor availability or training domain, whether differences between algorithms could alter the conclusions on hybrid performance.
Minor comments
-Figures 4 and 5 are informative but visually dense; consider simplifying color scales or moving supplementary diagnostics to the Appendix.
-State the glider pH sensor accuracy explicitly when first introduced (currently only in Table 3).
-Clarify whether ESPER was re-trained or used as published.
-The manuscript is long; some methodological descriptions (e.g., NEMUCSC structure) could be tightened.