Biogeosciences
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Articles | Volume 23, issue 17
Articles | Volume 23, issue 17
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-23-6073-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-23-6073-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 23, issue 17
Research article
 | 
04 Sep 2026
Research article |  | 04 Sep 2026

Beyond wind-induced upwelling: diverse drivers of future productivity in eastern boundary upwelling systems

Erica Cioffi, Laurent Bopp, and Lester Kwiatkowski

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Short summary
Eastern Boundary Upwelling Systems disproportionately contribute to global productivity and fisheries. Using CMIP6 Earth System Models, we assess response of phytoplankton productivity to climate change in these regions and to what extent it is explained by changes in wind-driven upwelling. While this process drives productivity decline across 25% of upwelling systems area, wind curl, geostrophic transport, stratification and subsurface nutrients changes are needed to explain response elsewhere.
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