Articles | Volume 17, issue 5
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-17-1213-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-17-1213-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
04 Mar 2020
Research article |
| 04 Mar 2020
| 04 Mar 2020
Fire hazard modulation by long-term dynamics in land cover and dominant forest type in eastern and central Europe
Angelica Feurdean
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Senckenberg Biodiversity and Climate Research Centre (BiK-F),
Senckenberganlage 25, 60325 Frankfurt am Main, Germany
Institute of Physical Geography, Goethe University,
Altenhöferallee 1, 60438 Frankfurt am Main, Germany
Department of Geology, Babeş-Bolyai University, Kogălniceanu
1, 400084 Cluj-Napoca, Romania
Boris Vannière
CNRS Chrono-environnement UMR 6249 and MSHE USR 3124, Université
Bourgogne Franche-Comté, 25000 Besançon, France
Walter Finsinger
ISEM, Univ Montpellier, CNRS, EPHE, IRD, Montpellier, France
Dan Warren
Senckenberg Biodiversity and Climate Research Centre (BiK-F),
Senckenberganlage 25, 60325 Frankfurt am Main, Germany
Simon C. Connor
CNRS Chrono-environnement UMR 6249 and MSHE USR 3124, Université
Bourgogne Franche-Comté, 25000 Besançon, France
Matthew Forrest
Senckenberg Biodiversity and Climate Research Centre (BiK-F),
Senckenberganlage 25, 60325 Frankfurt am Main, Germany
Johan Liakka
Nansen Environmental and Remote Sensing Center, Bjerknes Centre for
Climate Research, Thormøhlensgate 47, 5006 Bergen, Norway
Andrei Panait
Department of Geology, Babeş-Bolyai University, Kogălniceanu
1, 400084 Cluj-Napoca, Romania
Christian Werner
Senckenberg Biodiversity and Climate Research Centre (BiK-F),
Senckenberganlage 25, 60325 Frankfurt am Main, Germany
Institute of Meteorology and
Climate Research, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Kreuzeckbahnstr. 19, 82467 Garmisch-Partenkirchen, Germany
Maja Andrič
Institute of Archaeology, ZRC SAZU, Novi trg 2, 1000, Ljubljana,
Slovenia
Premysl Bobek
Laboratory of Paleoecology, Institute of Botany of the Czech Academy
of Sciences, Lidická 25/27, 602 00 Brno, Czech Republic
Vachel A. Carter
Department of Botany, Faculty of Science, Charles University,
Benátská 2, 128 01 Prague, Czech Republic
Basil Davis
Institute of Earth Surface Dynamics, University of Lausanne, 1015
Lausanne, Switzerland
Andrei-Cosmin Diaconu
Department of Geology, Babeş-Bolyai University, Kogălniceanu
1, 400084 Cluj-Napoca, Romania
Elisabeth Dietze
Organic
Geochemistry, GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, Telegrafenberg, 14473 Potsdam, Germany
Polar Terrestrial Environmental Systems Group, Alfred Wegener Institute, Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research Potsdam, Telegrafenberg, 14473 Potsdam, Germany
Ingo Feeser
Institute of Pre- and Protohistoric Archaeology, University of Kiel,
Johanna-Mestorf-Straße 2–6, 24118 Kiel, Germany
Gabriela Florescu
Department of Geology, Babeş-Bolyai University, Kogălniceanu
1, 400084 Cluj-Napoca, Romania
Department of Botany, Faculty of Science, Charles University,
Benátská 2, 128 01 Prague, Czech Republic
Mariusz Gałka
Department of Geobotany and Plant Ecology, Faculty of Biology and
Environmental Protection, University of Lodz, Banacha 12/16, 90-237 Lodz, Poland
Thomas Giesecke
Department of Physical Geography, Faculty of Geosciences, Utrecht University, P.O. Box 80115, 3508 TC, Utrecht, the Netherlands
Susanne Jahns
Heritage Management and Archaeological Museum of the State of
Brandenburg, Wünsdorfer Platz 4–5, 15806 Zossen, Germany
Eva Jamrichová
Laboratory of Paleoecology, Institute of Botany of the Czech Academy
of Sciences, Lidická 25/27, 602 00 Brno, Czech Republic
Katarzyna Kajukało
Laboratory for Climate Change Ecology, Adam Mickiewicz
University, Krygowskiego 10, 61-680 Poznań, Poland
Institute of Plant Sciences, University of Bern, Altenbergrain 21, 3013 Bern, Switzerland
Jed Kaplan
Institute of Geography, Augsburg University, Alter Postweg 118,
86159 Augsburg, Germany
Monika Karpińska-Kołaczek
Laboratory for Climate Change Ecology, Adam Mickiewicz
University, Krygowskiego 10, 61-680 Poznań, Poland
Piotr Kołaczek
Laboratory for Climate Change Ecology, Adam Mickiewicz
University, Krygowskiego 10, 61-680 Poznań, Poland
Petr Kuneš
Department of Botany, Faculty of Science, Charles University,
Benátská 2, 128 01 Prague, Czech Republic
Dimitry Kupriyanov
Faculty of Geography, Lomonosov Moscow State University,
Leninskie gory 1, 119991 Moscow, Russia
Mariusz Lamentowicz
Laboratory for Climate Change Ecology, Adam Mickiewicz
University, Krygowskiego 10, 61-680 Poznań, Poland
Carsten Lemmen
Institute of Coastal Research,
Helmholtz-Zentrum Geesthacht, 21502 Geesthacht, Germany
Enikö K. Magyari
Research Group for Paleontology, Department of Environmental and Landscape Geography, Eötvös Loránd University,
Pázmány Péter stny. 1/C, 1117 Budapest, Hungary
Katarzyna Marcisz
Laboratory for Climate Change Ecology, Adam Mickiewicz
University, Krygowskiego 10, 61-680 Poznań, Poland
Elena Marinova
Laboratory for Archaeobotany, State Office for Cultural Heritage Baden-Württemberg Referat
84.1, Fischersteig 9, 78343
Gaienhofen-Hemmenhofen, Germany
Aidin Niamir
Senckenberg Biodiversity and Climate Research Centre (BiK-F),
Senckenberganlage 25, 60325 Frankfurt am Main, Germany
Elena Novenko
Faculty of Geography, Lomonosov Moscow State University,
Leninskie gory 1, 119991 Moscow, Russia
Department of Quaternary Research, Institute of Geography, Russian
Academy of Sciences, Staromonetny Lane 29, 119017 Moscow, Russia
Milena Obremska
Institute of Geological Sciences, Polish Academy of Sciences, Twarda
51/55, 00-818 Warsaw, Poland
Anna Pędziszewska
Laboratory of Palaeoecology and Archaeobotany, Department of Plant
Ecology, Faculty of Biology, University of Gdańsk, ul. Wita Stwosza 59,
80-308 Gdańsk, Poland
Mirjam Pfeiffer
Senckenberg Biodiversity and Climate Research Centre (BiK-F),
Senckenberganlage 25, 60325 Frankfurt am Main, Germany
Anneli Poska
Department of Geology, Tallinn University of Technology, Ehitajate
tee 5, 19086 Tallinn, Estonia
Department of Physical Geography and Ecosystem Science, Lund
University, Sölvegatan 12, 22362 Lund, Sweden
Manfred Rösch
Institut für Ur- und Frühgeschichte und Vorderasiatische
Archäologie, Universiät Heidelberg, Sandgasse 7, 69117 Heidelberg, Germany
Michal Słowiński
Past Landscape Dynamics Laboratory, Institute of
Geography and Spatial Organization, Polish Academy of Sciences, Twarda
51/55, 00-818 Warsaw, Poland
Miglė Stančikaitė
Institute of Geology and Geography, Nature Research Centre,
Akademijos Str. 2, Vilnius 08412, Lithuania
Marta Szal
Department of Paleobotany, Institute of Biology, University of Białystok, Ciołkowskiego 1J, 15-245 Białystok, Poland
Joanna Święta-Musznicka
Laboratory of Palaeoecology and Archaeobotany, Department of Plant
Ecology, Faculty of Biology, University of Gdańsk, ul. Wita Stwosza 59,
80-308 Gdańsk, Poland
Ioan Tanţău
Department of Geology, Babeş-Bolyai University, Kogălniceanu
1, 400084 Cluj-Napoca, Romania
Martin Theuerkauf
Institute of Botany and Landscape Ecology, University of Greifswald,
Soldmannstraße 15, 17489 Greifswald, Germany
Spassimir Tonkov
Laboratory of Palynology, Faculty of Biology, Sofia University St.
Kliment Ohridski, Dragan Tsankov 8, 1164 Sofia, Bulgaria
Orsolya Valkó
MTA-ÖK Lendület Seed Ecology Research Group, Institute of Ecology and Botany, Centre for Ecological Research, Alkotmány str. 2–4, 2163 Vácrátót, Hungary
Jüri Vassiljev
Department of Geology, Tallinn University of Technology, Ehitajate
tee 5, 19086 Tallinn, Estonia
Siim Veski
Department of Geology, Tallinn University of Technology, Ehitajate
tee 5, 19086 Tallinn, Estonia
Ildiko Vincze
Research Group for Paleontology, Department of Environmental and Landscape Geography, Eötvös Loránd University,
Pázmány Péter stny. 1/C, 1117 Budapest, Hungary
Agnieszka Wacnik
W. Szafer Institute of Botany, Polish Academy of Sciences, Lubicz 46,
31-512 Kraków, Poland
Julian Wiethold
Laboratoire archéobotaniques, Direction Grand Est, Institut national de recherches archéologiques preventives (Inrap), 12 rue de
Méric, 57063 Metz, France
Thomas Hickler
Senckenberg Biodiversity and Climate Research Centre (BiK-F),
Senckenberganlage 25, 60325 Frankfurt am Main, Germany
Data sets
CEE-GCD-2020_Feurdean_et_al_2020 Central East European Database https://www.paleofire.org/index.php?p=exportceed
Model code and software
CEE-GCD-2020_Feurdean_et_al_2020 Central East European Database https://www.paleofire.org/index.php?p=exportceed
Short summary
Our study covers the full Holocene (the past 11 500 years) climate variability and vegetation composition and provides a test on how vegetation and climate interact to determine fire hazard. An important implication of this test is that percentage of tree cover can be used as a predictor of the probability of fire occurrence. Biomass burned is highest at ~ 45 % tree cover in temperate forests and at ~ 60–65 % tree cover in needleleaf-dominated forests.
Our study covers the full Holocene (the past 11 500 years) climate variability and vegetation...
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