Articles | Volume 20, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-20-451-2023
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-20-451-2023
Research article
 | 
31 Jan 2023
Research article |  | 31 Jan 2023

Bioclimatic change as a function of global warming from CMIP6 climate projections

Morgan Sparey, Peter Cox, and Mark S. Williamson

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Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on bg-2022-74', Anonymous Referee #1, 22 Apr 2022
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Morgan Sparey, 06 Jul 2022
  • RC2: 'Comment on bg-2022-74', Anonymous Referee #2, 13 May 2022
    • AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Morgan Sparey, 06 Jul 2022

Peer review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (12 Jul 2022) by Martin De Kauwe
AR by Morgan Sparey on behalf of the Authors (26 Sep 2022)  Author's response    Author's tracked changes    Manuscript
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (26 Sep 2022) by Martin De Kauwe
RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (11 Oct 2022)
RR by Anonymous Referee #3 (02 Nov 2022)
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (14 Nov 2022) by Martin De Kauwe
AR by Morgan Sparey on behalf of the Authors (22 Dec 2022)  Author's response    Author's tracked changes    Manuscript
ED: Publish subject to technical corrections (04 Jan 2023) by Martin De Kauwe
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Short summary
Accurate climate models are vital for mitigating climate change; however, projections often disagree. Using Köppen–Geiger bioclimate classifications we show that CMIP6 climate models agree well on the fraction of global land surface that will change classification per degree of global warming. We find that 13 % of land will change climate per degree of warming from 1 to 3 K; thus, stabilising warming at 1.5 rather than 2 K would save over 7.5 million square kilometres from bioclimatic change.
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