Articles | Volume 22, issue 14
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-22-3547-2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-22-3547-2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Uncertainties in carbon emissions from land use and land cover change in Indonesia
Ida Bagus Mandhara Brasika
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Faculty of Environment, Science and Economics, University of Exeter, Exeter, United Kingdom
Department of Marine Science, Faculty of Marine Science and Fisheries, University of Udayana, Bali, Indonesia
Pierre Friedlingstein
Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Faculty of Environment, Science and Economics, University of Exeter, Exeter, United Kingdom
Laboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique, Institut Pierre-Simon Laplace, CNRS, École Normale Supérieure, Université PSL, Sorbonne Université, École Polytechnique, Paris, France
Stephen Sitch
Department of Geography, Faculty of Environment, Science and Economics, University of Exeter, Exeter, United Kingdom
Michael O'Sullivan
Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Faculty of Environment, Science and Economics, University of Exeter, Exeter, United Kingdom
Maria Carolina Duran-Rojas
Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Faculty of Environment, Science and Economics, University of Exeter, Exeter, United Kingdom
Thais Michele Rosan
Department of Geography, Faculty of Environment, Science and Economics, University of Exeter, Exeter, United Kingdom
Kees Klein Goldewijk
Department IMEW, Faculty of Geosciences, Copernicus Institute of Sustainable Development, Utrecht University, Utrecht, the Netherlands
Julia Pongratz
Department of Geography, Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München, Munich, Germany
Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany
Clemens Schwingshackl
Department of Geography, Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München, Munich, Germany
Louise P. Chini
Department of Geographical Sciences, University of Maryland, College Park, MD, USA
George C. Hurtt
Department of Geographical Sciences, University of Maryland, College Park, MD, USA
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Cited
7 citations as recorded by crossref.
- The processes, patterns, and functional differentiation of land-use system evolution in China G. Zhou & H. Long https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landusepol.2026.107983
- Land-use optimization for food security, bioenergy and forest conservation in Indonesia C. Squire et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41893-026-01923-7
- Beyond the forest: terrestrial snails as bioindicators of Afromontane deforestation and land-use change P. Sun et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2026.114981
- Land-use change effects on soil organic carbon stocks and potential CO2-equivalent emissions in the Ecuadorian Andes D. Damián-Carrión et al. https://doi.org/10.3389/sjss.2026.17377
- Green Purchase Behavior in Indonesia: Examining the Role of Knowledge, Trust and Marketing P. Vironika & M. Maulida https://doi.org/10.3390/challe16030041
- Transition-Based Forest Carbon Accounting in a Tropical Forest Using Sentinel-2 Remote Sensing and GIS T. Khaing et al. https://doi.org/10.59324/ejeba.2026.3(2).02
- Differences and uncertainties in land-use CO2 flux estimates W. Obermeier et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43017-025-00730-6
7 citations as recorded by crossref.
- The processes, patterns, and functional differentiation of land-use system evolution in China G. Zhou & H. Long https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landusepol.2026.107983
- Land-use optimization for food security, bioenergy and forest conservation in Indonesia C. Squire et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41893-026-01923-7
- Beyond the forest: terrestrial snails as bioindicators of Afromontane deforestation and land-use change P. Sun et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2026.114981
- Land-use change effects on soil organic carbon stocks and potential CO2-equivalent emissions in the Ecuadorian Andes D. Damián-Carrión et al. https://doi.org/10.3389/sjss.2026.17377
- Green Purchase Behavior in Indonesia: Examining the Role of Knowledge, Trust and Marketing P. Vironika & M. Maulida https://doi.org/10.3390/challe16030041
- Transition-Based Forest Carbon Accounting in a Tropical Forest Using Sentinel-2 Remote Sensing and GIS T. Khaing et al. https://doi.org/10.59324/ejeba.2026.3(2).02
- Differences and uncertainties in land-use CO2 flux estimates W. Obermeier et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43017-025-00730-6
Saved (final revised paper)
Latest update: 09 Oct 2026
Short summary
Indonesia is the world's third-highest carbon emitter from land use change. However, there are uncertainties in the carbon emissions of Indonesia. Our best estimate of carbon emissions from land use change in Indonesia is 0.12 ± 0.02 PgC/yr with a steady trend. Despite many uncertainties created by drivers, models, and products, we also found robust agreements between these models and products. All agree that Indonesian carbon emissions from LULCC (land use and land cover change) have had no decreasing trend for the last 2 decades.
Indonesia is the world's third-highest carbon emitter from land use change. However, there are...
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