Articles | Volume 23, issue 3
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-23-1089-2026
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-23-1089-2026
Research article
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05 Feb 2026
Research article | Highlight paper |  | 05 Feb 2026

Northward shift of boreal tree cover confirmed by satellite record

Min Feng, Joseph O. Sexton, Panshi Wang, Paul M. Montesano, Leonardo Calle, Nuno Carvalhais, Benjamin Poulter, Matthew J. Macander, Michael A. Wulder, Margaret Wooten, William Wagner, Akiko Elders, Saurabh Channan, and Christopher S. R. Neigh

Data sets

Boreal tree cover dataset Min Feng https://doi.org/10.3334/ORNLDAAC/2012

Video abstract

Northward shift of boreal tree cover confirmed by satellite record Christopher Burns, Joseph O. Sexton, Min Feng, and Christopher S.R. Neigh https://nasa-ext.app.box.com/s/zp3qyzdgsi0xfqrcnctph5117f0s3sy1

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Co-editor-in-chief
Rapid changes to the climate of the boreal zone have resulted in large-scale 'greening' and range shifts. Feng and others explain these changes at a global scale and with unprecedented spatial and temporal resolution, demonstrating a change in boreal forest demography toward younger stands, an increase in areal extent of boreal forests, and a northward gain that outpaced losses on it southern fringe. These ongoing changes further emphasize the importance of boreal forests to earth system processes and the work in the present manuscript presents a path forward for detailed studies of large-scale land cover changes.
Short summary
Analysis of 36 years of satellite tree cover data provide the first comprehensive confirmation of the northward advance of the boreal forest. Boreal tree cover expanded by 0.84 million km² (12%) from 1985 to 2020 and shifted northward by 0.43°. Gains outpaced losses across most latitudes, confirming a biome-wide poleward shift. Young forests now comprise 15% of the area of the world’s largest forest biome, storing 1–6 Pg C and potentially sequestering an additional 2–4 Pg C as they mature.
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