Biogeosciences
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Articles | Volume 23, issue 7
Articles | Volume 23, issue 7
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-23-2583-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-23-2583-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 23, issue 7
Research article
 | 
17 Apr 2026
Research article |  | 17 Apr 2026

Warmer growing seasons improve cereal yields in Northern Europe only with increasing precipitation

Faranak Tootoonchi, Göran Bergkvist, and Giulia Vico

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Short summary
In Northern Europe, current temperatures limit the time available for soil preparation and crop growth. Warming may extend the growing season and improve growing conditions, but higher temperatures also increase evapotranspiration and raises the risk of water stress. We evaluated the role of various climatic conditions on crop yield fluctuations in Sweden over 1965–2020 and found that unless Sweden receives more rain in the growing season, crop yields will likely decrease with warming climates.
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