Biogeosciences
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Articles | Volume 23, issue 13
Articles | Volume 23, issue 13
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-23-4735-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-23-4735-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 23, issue 13
Research article
 | 
09 Jul 2026
Research article |  | 09 Jul 2026

Heterogeneous future Arctic Ocean primary productivity changes projected in CMIP6

Léna Champiot-Bayard, Lester Kwiatkowski, and Martin Vancoppenolle

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Latest update: 29 Jul 2026
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Short summary
To investigate the future of primary production, we analyzed outputs from several climate models. Changes vary greatly from one region to another: some areas show large increases, while others experience little change or even declines. These differences reflect the balance between water temperature, light availability, and nutrient supply. We also found that the newer generation of climate models projects a much stronger increase than previous models, but with greater uncertainty.
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