Articles | Volume 23, issue 15
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-23-5461-2026
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-23-5461-2026
Research article
 | 
07 Aug 2026
Research article |  | 07 Aug 2026

Improved model predictions of carbon and water fluxes by including drought legacy effects

Yitong Yao, Yujie Wang, Yi Yin, Jeffrey D. Wood, and Christian Frankenberg

Data sets

Predawn Leaf Water Potential of Oak-Hickory Forest at Missouri Ozark (MOFLUX) Site: 2004-2021 S. G. Pallardy et al. https://doi.org/10.3334/CDIAC/ORNLSFA.004

Model code and software

Improved model predictions of carbon and water fluxes by including drought legacy effects Y. Yao and Y. Wang https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.21831824

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Short summary
Droughts can leave lasting "scars" that slow down recovery long after the rain returns. In this study, we found that models assuming plants recover immediately after drought performed poorly, while those allowing only partial recovery matched real observations much better. Accounting for these delayed recovery processes will make land surface models more accurate in predicting carbon and water cycles under future droughts.
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